Reducing uncertainty [[electronic resource] ] : intelligence analysis and national security / / Thomas Fingar
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| Autore: |
Fingar Thomas
|
| Titolo: |
Reducing uncertainty [[electronic resource] ] : intelligence analysis and national security / / Thomas Fingar
|
| Pubblicazione: | Stanford, California, : Stanford Security Studies, 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica: | 1 online resource (192 p.) |
| Disciplina: | 327.1273 |
| Soggetto topico: | Intelligence service - United States |
| National security - United States | |
| Nota di bibliografia: | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| Nota di contenuto: | Front matter -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- 1. Reducing uncertainty -- 2. Myths, fears, and expectations -- 3. Spies collect data, analysts provide insight -- 4. Using intelligence to anticipate opportunities and shape the future -- 5. Estimative analysis: what it is, what it isn’t, and how to read it -- 6. A tale of two estimates -- 7. Epilogue: lessons and challenges -- Notes -- Index |
| Sommario/riassunto: | The US government spends billions of dollars every year to reduce uncertainty: to monitor and forecast everything from the weather to the spread of disease. In other words, we spend a lot of money to anticipate problems, identify opportunities, and avoid mistakes. A substantial portion of what we spend—over |
| Titolo autorizzato: | Reducing uncertainty |
| ISBN: | 0-8047-8165-6 |
| Formato: | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione: | Inglese |
| Record Nr.: | 9910781475303321 |
| Lo trovi qui: | Univ. Federico II |
| Opac: | Controlla la disponibilità qui |