The Persistence of Capital Account Crises / / Mauro Mecagni, Ruben Atoyan, David Hofman

• Autore: Mecagni Mauro
• Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009
• Edizione: 1st ed.
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (29 p.)
• Disciplina: 332.152
• Soggetto topico: Capital movements; Financial crises; Balance of payments; Banks and Banking; Capital account crisis; Currency; Current Account Adjustment; Debts, External; Duration Analysis; Economic & financial crises & disasters; Exchange rate arrangements; Exports and Imports; External debt; Finance; Financial Crises; Financial Risk Management; Financial services; Foreign Exchange; Foreign exchange; Index Numbers and Aggregation; Interest rates; Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects; International economics; International Lending and Debt Problems; Leading indicators; Real interest rates; Short-term Capital Movements
• Soggetto geografico: Turkey
• Altri autori: AtoyanRuben HofmanDavid
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
• Nota di contenuto: Contents; I. Introduction; II. Conceptual Framework and Methodology; A. Crisis Persistence, Complexity, and Macroeconomic Effects; Figures; 1. Average Duration and Crisis Complexity; Tables; 1. Duration and Nature of Crises; 2. Crisis Complexity, Duration, and Macroeconomic Costs; B. Determinants of the Duration of Crises; 3. Post-Crisis Vulnerabilities; C. Econometric Methodology; III. Persistence of Capital Account Crises; A. Estimation Results and Robustness Tests; 2. Estimation Results for the Capital Account Crises Duration Model; Boxes; 1. Some Further Diagnostic Results ; B. Counterfactual Experiments 3. Descriptive Statistics for the Model Variables; 4. Predicted Probabilities of Staying in Crisis under Different Scenarios; 5. Increase in Predicted Probability of Exit from Crisis under Various Scenarios; 6. Reduction in Predicted Crisis Duration under Various Scenarios; IV. Conclusions; Appendices; 1. Measuring the Duration of Capital Account Crises; 2. A Model for the Duration of Capital Account Crises; References
• Sommario/riassunto: This study contributes to the literature on capital account crises in two ways. First, our analysis of crisis episodes between 1994 and 2002 establishes a clear relationship between the persistence of crises, their complexity, and the intensity of movement of key macroeconomic variables. Second, we provide a systematic examination of the determinants of crisis duration. Our econometric analysis suggests that initial conditions and the external environment plays a key role in determining crisis persistence. The policy response also matters, but cannot offset a record of poor past policies. Overall, the results underscore the critical importance of crisis prevention efforts.
• Titolo autorizzato: The Persistence of Capital Account Crises
• ISBN: 1-4623-9310-1; 1-4527-1374-X; 1-4518-7250-X; 1-282-84318-4; 9786612843181
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Record Nr.: 9910825975603321
• Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
• Serie: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; ; No. 2009/103