Risk analysis and uncertainty in flood damage reduction studies / / Committee on Risk-Based Analysis for Flood Damage Reduction, Water Science and Technology Board, Commission on Geosciences, Environment, and Resources, National Research Council

• Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. ; ; [Great Britain], : National Academy Press, c2000
• Edizione: 1st ed.
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (216 pages) : illustrations, maps
• Disciplina: 363.34936
• Soggetto topico: Flood damage prevention - Risk assessment; Flood damage prevention - Research
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
• Nota di contenuto: ""RISK ANALYSIS AND UNCERTAINTY IN FLOOD DAMAGE REDUCTION STUDIES""; ""Copyright""; ""Preface""; ""Contents""; ""Executive Summary""; ""APPLICATION OF RISK ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES""; ""Risk Measures and Modeling""; ""Economics""; ""CONSISTENT TERMINOLOGY""; ""LEVEE CERTIFICATION""; ""FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT""; ""1 The Corps and U.S. Flood Damage Reduction Planning, Policies, and Programs""; ""RISK ANALYSIS APPROACH""; ""THE CORPS'S WATER RESOURCES PROJECT PLANNING PROCEDURES""; ""From Principles and Standards to Principles and Guidelines"" ; ""U.S. FEDERAL FLOOD PREPAREDNESS, MITIGATION, AND RESPONSE ACTIVITIES"" ""The Galloway Report""; ""2 Decision Making and Communication Issues""; ""THE GOAL OF FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT""; ""MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES""; ""COMPARING PROJECT ALTERNATIVES""; ""FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES""; ""RISK COMMUNICATION""; ""3 Risk Analysis Concepts and Terms""; ""UNCERTAINTY""; ""CONSISTENCY ACROSS PROGRAM AREAS""; ""RISK ANALYSIS AND DECISION MAKING""; ""4 Risk Analysis Techniques""; ""CORPS FRAMEWORK""; ""NATURAL VARIABILITY AND IMPERFECT KNOWLEDGE""; ""RISK ANALYSIS""; ""MONTE CARLO SIMULATION"" ; ""ASSESSMENT OF ENGINEERING PERFORMANCE""""GEOTECHNICAL RELIABILITY""; ""5 Case Studies""; ""BEARGRASS CREEK""; ""Flood Damage Reduction Measures""; ""Damage Reaches""; ""Flood Hydrology""; ""Rainfall-Runoff Model""; ""Uncertainty in Flood Discharge""; ""River Hydraulics""; ""Uncertainty in Flood Stage""; ""Economic Analysis""; ""Uncertainty in Flood Damage""; ""Project Planning""; ""Evaluation of Project Alternatives""; ""Risk of Flooding""; ""Effect on Project Economics of Including Risk and Uncertainty"" ; ""RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AT EAST GRAND FORKS, MINNESOTA, AND GRAND FORKS, NORTH DAKOTA"" ""Risk Analysis""; ""Discharge-Frequency Relationships""; ""Elevation-Discharge Relationships""; ""Risk and Uncertainty Analysis Results""; ""Project Reliability""; ""6 Evaluation and Proposed Improvements""; ""CONCERNS WITH THE RISK ANALYSIS METHODS""; ""ENGINEERING PERFORMANCE""; ""Knowledge Uncertainty""; ""HYDROLOGIC ANALYSIS""; ""Parameter Uncertainty for the LP3 Distribution""; ""Neglecting Skew Uncertainty""; ""Errors in Flood Frequency Curves Derived from Rainfall-Runoff Modeling"" ; ""Errors in the Stage-Discharge Relationship"" ""GEOTECHNICAL RELIABILITY""; ""ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE""; ""INTERDEPENDENCE IN RISK ANALYSIS FOR FLOOD DAMAGE ASSESSMENT""; ""CORRELATION LENGTH""; ""SPATIAL AGGREGATION""; ""COMPUTATIONAL ALTERNATIVES TO MINIMIZE CORRELATION EFFECTS""; ""Determine the Scale of Randomization""; ""Introduce Correlation in Monte Carlo Simulation""; ""Randomize Structures Jointly""; ""Randomize Hydrology and Hydraulics for River Reaches""; ""Analyze Statistical Variability in Project Benefits Rather than Damage""; ""Statistically Compare Net Benefits from Alternative Plans""
• Sommario/riassunto: Reducing flood damage is a complex task that requires multidisciplinary understanding of the earth sciences and civil engineering. In addressing this task the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers employs its expertise in hydrology, hydraulics, and geotechnical and structural engineering. Dams, levees, and other river-training works must be sized to local conditions; geotechnical theories and applications help ensure that structures will safely withstand potential hydraulic and seismic forces; and economic considerations must be balanced to ensure that reductions in flood damages are proportionate with project costs and associated impacts on social, economic, and environmental values. A new National Research Council report, Risk Analysis and Uncertainty in Flood Damage Reduction Studies, reviews the Corps of Engineers' risk-based techniques in its flood damage reduction studies and makes recommendations for improving these techniques. Areas in which the Corps has made good progress are noted, and several steps that could improve the Corps' risk-based techniques in engineering and economics applications for flood damage reduction are identified. The report also includes recommendations for improving the federal levee certification program, for broadening the scope of flood damage reduction planning, and for improving communication of risk-based concepts.
• Titolo autorizzato: Risk analysis and uncertainty in flood damage reduction studies
• ISBN: 9786610185368; 9780309132893; 0309132894; 9781280185366; 1280185368; 9780309569828; 0309569826
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Record Nr.: 9910970656703321
• Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II