LEADER 06401nam 2200697Ia 450 001 9910970656703321 005 20251116141110.0 010 $a9786610185368 010 $a9780309132893 010 $a0309132894 010 $a9781280185366 010 $a1280185368 010 $a9780309569828 010 $a0309569826 035 $a(CKB)110986584753142 035 $a(EBL)3377456 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000283757 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11195414 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000283757 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10249086 035 $a(PQKB)10648958 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3377456 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3377456 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10071486 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL18536 035 $a(OCoLC)923270718 035 $a(Perlego)4737971 035 $a(BIP)6845232 035 $a(EXLCZ)99110986584753142 100 $a20011107d2000 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aRisk analysis and uncertainty in flood damage reduction studies /$fCommittee on Risk-Based Analysis for Flood Damage Reduction, Water Science and Technology Board, Commission on Geosciences, Environment, and Resources, National Research Council 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aWashington, D.C. ;$a[Great Britain] $cNational Academy Press$dc2000 215 $a1 online resource (216 pages) $cillustrations, maps 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 0 $a9780309071369 311 0 $a0309071364 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""RISK ANALYSIS AND UNCERTAINTY IN FLOOD DAMAGE REDUCTION STUDIES""; ""Copyright""; ""Preface""; ""Contents""; ""Executive Summary""; ""APPLICATION OF RISK ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES""; ""Risk Measures and Modeling""; ""Economics""; ""CONSISTENT TERMINOLOGY""; ""LEVEE CERTIFICATION""; ""FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT""; ""1 The Corps and U.S. Flood Damage Reduction Planning, Policies, and Programs""; ""RISK ANALYSIS APPROACH""; ""THE CORPS'S WATER RESOURCES PROJECT PLANNING PROCEDURES""; ""From Principles and Standards to Principles and Guidelines"" 327 $a""U.S. FEDERAL FLOOD PREPAREDNESS, MITIGATION, AND RESPONSE ACTIVITIES"" ""The Galloway Report""; ""2 Decision Making and Communication Issues""; ""THE GOAL OF FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT""; ""MULTIPLE OBJECTIVES""; ""COMPARING PROJECT ALTERNATIVES""; ""FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES""; ""RISK COMMUNICATION""; ""3 Risk Analysis Concepts and Terms""; ""UNCERTAINTY""; ""CONSISTENCY ACROSS PROGRAM AREAS""; ""RISK ANALYSIS AND DECISION MAKING""; ""4 Risk Analysis Techniques""; ""CORPS FRAMEWORK""; ""NATURAL VARIABILITY AND IMPERFECT KNOWLEDGE""; ""RISK ANALYSIS""; ""MONTE CARLO SIMULATION"" 327 $a""ASSESSMENT OF ENGINEERING PERFORMANCE""""GEOTECHNICAL RELIABILITY""; ""5 Case Studies""; ""BEARGRASS CREEK""; ""Flood Damage Reduction Measures""; ""Damage Reaches""; ""Flood Hydrology""; ""Rainfall-Runoff Model""; ""Uncertainty in Flood Discharge""; ""River Hydraulics""; ""Uncertainty in Flood Stage""; ""Economic Analysis""; ""Uncertainty in Flood Damage""; ""Project Planning""; ""Evaluation of Project Alternatives""; ""Risk of Flooding""; ""Effect on Project Economics of Including Risk and Uncertainty"" 327 $a""RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AT EAST GRAND FORKS, MINNESOTA, AND GRAND FORKS, NORTH DAKOTA"" ""Risk Analysis""; ""Discharge-Frequency Relationships""; ""Elevation-Discharge Relationships""; ""Risk and Uncertainty Analysis Results""; ""Project Reliability""; ""6 Evaluation and Proposed Improvements""; ""CONCERNS WITH THE RISK ANALYSIS METHODS""; ""ENGINEERING PERFORMANCE""; ""Knowledge Uncertainty""; ""HYDROLOGIC ANALYSIS""; ""Parameter Uncertainty for the LP3 Distribution""; ""Neglecting Skew Uncertainty""; ""Errors in Flood Frequency Curves Derived from Rainfall-Runoff Modeling"" 327 $a""Errors in the Stage-Discharge Relationship"" ""GEOTECHNICAL RELIABILITY""; ""ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE""; ""INTERDEPENDENCE IN RISK ANALYSIS FOR FLOOD DAMAGE ASSESSMENT""; ""CORRELATION LENGTH""; ""SPATIAL AGGREGATION""; ""COMPUTATIONAL ALTERNATIVES TO MINIMIZE CORRELATION EFFECTS""; ""Determine the Scale of Randomization""; ""Introduce Correlation in Monte Carlo Simulation""; ""Randomize Structures Jointly""; ""Randomize Hydrology and Hydraulics for River Reaches""; ""Analyze Statistical Variability in Project Benefits Rather than Damage""; ""Statistically Compare Net Benefits from Alternative Plans"" 330 $aReducing flood damage is a complex task that requires multidisciplinary understanding of the earth sciences and civil engineering. In addressing this task the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers employs its expertise in hydrology, hydraulics, and geotechnical and structural engineering. Dams, levees, and other river-training works must be sized to local conditions; geotechnical theories and applications help ensure that structures will safely withstand potential hydraulic and seismic forces; and economic considerations must be balanced to ensure that reductions in flood damages are proportionate with project costs and associated impacts on social, economic, and environmental values. A new National Research Council report, Risk Analysis and Uncertainty in Flood Damage Reduction Studies, reviews the Corps of Engineers' risk-based techniques in its flood damage reduction studies and makes recommendations for improving these techniques. Areas in which the Corps has made good progress are noted, and several steps that could improve the Corps' risk-based techniques in engineering and economics applications for flood damage reduction are identified. The report also includes recommendations for improving the federal levee certification program, for broadening the scope of flood damage reduction planning, and for improving communication of risk-based concepts. 606 $aFlood damage prevention$xRisk assessment 606 $aFlood damage prevention$xResearch 615 0$aFlood damage prevention$xRisk assessment. 615 0$aFlood damage prevention$xResearch. 676 $a363.34936 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910970656703321 996 $aRisk analysis and uncertainty in flood damage reduction studies$94360391 997 $aUNINA