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Lost and Found : : Market Access and Public Debt Dynamics / / Carlo Cottarelli, Andrea Presbitero, Antonio Bassanetti



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Autore: Cottarelli Carlo Visualizza persona
Titolo: Lost and Found : : Market Access and Public Debt Dynamics / / Carlo Cottarelli, Andrea Presbitero, Antonio Bassanetti Visualizza cluster
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2016
Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (35 pages) : illustrations (some color), graphs, tables
Disciplina: 336.34
Soggetto topico: Debts, Public
Gross domestic product
Foreign exchange market
Exports and Imports
Macroeconomics
Public Finance
International Lending and Debt Problems
International Financial Markets
National Deficit Surplus
Debt
Debt Management
Sovereign Debt
Fiscal Policy
International economics
Public finance & taxation
Public debt
Debt sustainability
Debt sustainability analysis
Fiscal stance
Debt default
External debt
Fiscal policy
Debts, External
Soggetto geografico: United States
Altri autori: BassanettiAntonio  
PresbiteroAndrea  
Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
Sommario/riassunto: The empirical literature on sovereign debt crises identifies the level of public debt (measured as a share of GDP) as a key variable to predict debt defaults and to determine sovereign market access. This evidence has led to the widespread use of (country-specific) debt thresholds to assess debt sustainability. We argue that the level of the debt-to-GDP ratio, whose use is justified on a theoretical and empirical ground, should not be the only fiscal metric to assess the complex relationship between public debt and debt defaults/market access. In particular, we show that, in a large panel of emerging markets, the dynamics of the debt ratio plays a critical role for market access. In particular, given a certain level of debt, a steadily declining debt ratio is associated with a lower probability of debt distress/market loss and with a higher likelihood of market re-access once access had been lost.
Titolo autorizzato: Lost and Found  Visualizza cluster
ISBN: 1-4755-6786-3
1-4755-6789-8
Formato: Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
Record Nr.: 9910162944903321
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
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Serie: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; ; No. 2016/253