Making good decisions [[electronic resource] /] / Reidar B. Bratvold, Steve H. Begg

• Autore: Bratvold Reidar B (Reidar Brumer)
• Pubblicazione: Richardson, TX, : Society of Petroleum Engineers, c2010
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (215 p.)
• Soggetto topico: Decision making; Petroleum engineering - Decision making; Petroleum industry and trade - Management - Decision making
• Soggetto genere / forma: Electronic books.
• Altri autori: BeggSteve
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references (p. [187]-194) and indexes.
• Nota di contenuto: ""Preface""; ""Contents""; ""1-Decision Making and Uncertainty in the Exploration and Production Industry""; ""1.1 Introduction""; ""1.2 Decisions in the Exploration and Production (E&P) Industry""; ""1.3 Decision Making""; ""1.4 Uncertainty and Decision Making""; ""1.5 Using Models""; ""1.6 Subsequent Chapters""; ""1.7 Suggested Reading""; ""2-How to Make Good Decisions""; ""2.1 Introduction""; ""2.2 High-Level Decision-Making Methodology""; ""2.3 Decision Elements""; ""2.4 A Decision-Making Methodology""; ""2.5 Phase 1: Framing or Structuring""; ""2.6 Phase 2: Modeling and Evaluating"" ; ""2.7 Phase 3: Assessing and Deciding""""2.8 Assessing Decision Quality""; ""2.9 Summary""; ""2.10 Suggested Reading""; ""3-Quantifying Uncertainty""; ""3.1 Introduction""; ""3.2 Uncertain Variables""; ""3.3 The Nature of Probability""; ""3.4 The Basics""; ""3.5 Updating Probabilities With New Information""; ""3.6 Probability Models""; ""3.7 Summary""; ""3.8 Suggested Reading""; ""4-Monte Carlo Simulation""; ""4.1 Introduction""; ""4.2 Procedure""; ""4.3 Sensitivity Analysis""; ""4.4 Dependencies""; ""4.5 Expected Value Revisited""; ""4.6 Suggested Reading"" ; ""5-Structuring and Solving Decision Problems""""5.1 Decision-Tree Elements""; ""5.2 Building Decision Trees""; ""5.3 Tree Size and Compact Notation""; ""5.4 Solving Decision Trees""; ""5.5 Risk Profiles""; ""5.6 Sensitivity Analysis""; ""5.7 Decision Trees in the Context of Decision-Making Methodology""; ""5.8 Summary""; ""5.9 Suggested Reading""; ""6-Creating Value From Uncertainty""; ""6.1 Updating Probabilities With New Information""; ""6.2 Value of Information""; ""6.3 Value of Flexibility""; ""6.4 Discussion""; ""6.5 Implementation Issues""; ""6.6 Additional Reading"" ; ""7-Behavioral Challenges in Decision Making""""7.1 Introduction""; ""7.2 The Two Decision Systems""; ""7.3 Biases in Judgment and Decision Making""; ""7.4 Eliciting and Encoding Probabilities""; ""7.5 Summaryâ€?Why We Need Help""; ""7.6 Suggested Reading""; ""Appendix A""; ""Glossary""; ""References""; ""Author Index""; ""Subject Index""
• Titolo autorizzato: Making good decisions
• ISBN: 1-61399-226-2
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Record Nr.: 9910462020703321
• Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II