Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence : : What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe? / / Edda Zoli

• Autore: Zoli Edda
• Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (21 p.)
• Disciplina: 338.278
• Soggetto topico: Primary commodities - Prices - Europe; Inflation (Finance) - Europe; Inflation; Macroeconomics; 'Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models'; Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models; Price Level; Deflation; Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices; Energy: Demand and Supply; Commodity Markets; Food prices; Commodity price shocks; Fuel prices; Oil prices
• Soggetto geografico: Ukraine
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
• Nota di contenuto: Contents; I. Introduction; Figures; 1. Headline Inflation; II. VAR analysis; 2. Variance Decomposition of Headline Inflation; Tables; 1: Response of Domestic Energy Inflation to International Oil Price Inflation Shocks; 2. Response of Domestic Food Inflation to International Food Price Inflation Shocks; III. Panel Estimation; 3. Response of Core Inflation to Shocks to Domestic Food and Energy Price Inflation; 4. Panel Regression Results; IV. Conclusion: What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe?; Appendixes; 1. Variable Definition and Data Sources; 2. Other Panel Results; References
• Sommario/riassunto: This paper assesses the role of international commodity prices, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence in driving inflation in 18 European emerging economies. Country specific VARs and panel estimates indicate that international commodity price shocks have a significant impact on domestic inflation, but the inflation response is asymmetric for positive and negative shocks. Cyclical fluctuations explain a relative small share of inflation variability, and the inflation response is asymmetric during upturns and downturns. Price convergence is estimated to add nearly 3 percentage points to headline inflation, for the average country whose price level is about 50 percent relative to the EU-15 average.
• Titolo autorizzato: Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence
• ISBN: 1-4623-8100-6; 1-4527-4906-X; 9786612842634; 1-282-84263-3; 1-4518-7189-9
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Record Nr.: 9910788340103321
• Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
• Serie: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; ; No. 2009/041