The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience From Low-Income Countries / / Stephan Danninger, Annette Kyobe, M. Cangiano
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| Autore: |
Danninger Stephan
|
| Titolo: |
The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience From Low-Income Countries / / Stephan Danninger, Annette Kyobe, M. Cangiano
|
| Pubblicazione: | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2005 |
| Descrizione fisica: | 1 online resource (34 p.) |
| Soggetto topico: | Capital movements |
| Electronic books. -- local | |
| Financial crises | |
| Lenders of last resort | |
| Liquidity (Economics) | |
| Political Science | |
| Law, Politics & Government | |
| Public Finance | |
| Budgeting | |
| Taxation | |
| Criminology | |
| Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General | |
| National Budget | |
| Budget Systems | |
| Bureaucracy | |
| Administrative Processes in Public Organizations | |
| Corruption | |
| National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General | |
| Public finance & taxation | |
| Budgeting & financial management | |
| Corporate crime | |
| white-collar crime | |
| Revenue forecasting | |
| Budget planning and preparation | |
| Revenue administration | |
| Expenditure | |
| Tax policy | |
| Public financial management (PFM) | |
| Crime | |
| Tax administration and procedure | |
| Budget | |
| Revenue | |
| Expenditures, Public | |
| Soggetto geografico: | United States |
| Altri autori: |
KyobeAnnette
CangianoM
|
| Note generali: | Description based upon print version of record. |
| Nota di contenuto: | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. VARIETIES OF COUNTRY INSURANCE""; ""A. Capital Controls""; ""B. Self-Insurance""; ""C. Private Insurance""; ""D. IMF-Led Packages""; ""E. Regional Swap Agreements""; ""III. A NEW COUNTRY INSURANCE FACILITY""; ""A. Eligibility Criteria""; ""B. Interest Rate""; ""C. Duration""; ""D. Size""; ""E. Procedures""; ""F. The Exit Problem""; ""IV. FINAL REMARKS"" |
| Sommario/riassunto: | This paper analyzes interference and timeliness in the revenue-forecasting process, using new data on revenue-forecasting practices in low-income countries. Interference is defined as the occurrence of a significant deviation from purely technical forecasts. A theoretical model explains forecasting interference through government corruption. The data broadly supports the model, and the results are robust to alternative explanations. The paper also constructs three indices-transparency, formality, and organizational simplicity-that characterize revenue-forecasting practices, and assesses their effectiveness in producing an upfront-that is, timely-budget envelope. More transparent and simple forecasting processes lead to early budget constraints, while formality has no measurable effect. |
| Titolo autorizzato: | The Political Economy of Revenue-Forecasting Experience From Low-Income Countries |
| ISBN: | 1-4623-1251-9 |
| 1-4527-8549-X | |
| 1-282-04589-X | |
| 1-4519-0557-2 | |
| 9786613797674 | |
| Formato: | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione: | Inglese |
| Record Nr.: | 9910788518103321 |
| Lo trovi qui: | Univ. Federico II |
| Opac: | Controlla la disponibilità qui |
Serie:
IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; ; No. 2005/002