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Understanding uncertainty / / Dennis V. Lindley, Minehead, Somerset, England



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Autore: Lindley D. V (Dennis Victor), <1923-> Visualizza persona
Titolo: Understanding uncertainty / / Dennis V. Lindley, Minehead, Somerset, England Visualizza cluster
Pubblicazione: Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2014
©2014
Edizione: Revised edition.
Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (1 v.) : ill
Disciplina: 519.2
Soggetto topico: Probabilities
Uncertainty - Mathematics
Decision making - Mathematics
Mathematical statistics
Note generali: Includes indexes.
Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references and index.
Sommario/riassunto: Praise for the First Edition "...a reference for everyone who is interested in knowing and handling uncertainty." —Journal of Applied Statistics The critically acclaimed First Edition of Understanding Uncertainty provided a study of uncertainty addressed to scholars in all fields, showing that uncertainty could be measured by probability, and that probability obeyed three basic rules that enabled uncertainty to be handled sensibly in everyday life. These ideas were extended to embrace the scientific method and to show how decisions, containing an uncertain element, could be rationally made. Featuring new material, the Revised Edition remains the go-to guide for uncertainty and decision making, providing further applications at an accessible level including: A critical study of transitivity, a basic concept in probability A discussion of how the failure of the financial sector to use the proper approach to uncertainty may have contributed to the recent recession A consideration of betting, showing that a bookmaker's odds are not expressions of probability Applications of the book's thesis to statistics A demonstration that some techniques currently popular in statistics, like significance tests, may be unsound, even seriously misleading, because they violate the rules of probability Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition is ideal for students studying probability or statistics and for anyone interested in one of the most fascinating and vibrant fields of study in contemporary science and mathematics.
Titolo autorizzato: Understanding uncertainty  Visualizza cluster
ISBN: 1-118-65015-8
1-118-65011-5
1-118-65023-9
Formato: Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
Record Nr.: 9910819505003321
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
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Serie: Wiley series in probability and statistics.