Poverty and the WTO : impacts of the Doha Development Agenda / / edited by Thomas W. Hertel and L. Alan Winters

• Pubblicazione: Basingstoke, Hampshire ; ; New York, : Palgrave; Washington, DC, : World Bank, c2006
• Edizione: 1st ed.
• Descrizione fisica: xxi, 537 pages : illustrations ; ; 23 cm
• Disciplina: 339.4/6091724
• Soggetto topico: International trade; Poverty - Developing countries
• Soggetto geografico: Developing countries Economic conditions; Developing countries Economic policy
• Altri autori: HertelThomas W <1953-> (Thomas Warren) WintersL. Alan
• Note generali: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references and index.
• Nota di contenuto: Cover -- Title Page -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Contributors -- Abbreviations and Acronyms -- PART 1 Evaluation of the Doha Development Agenda -- 1 Poverty Impacts of a WTO Agreement: Synthesis and Overview -- Summary -- Introduction and Motivation -- Choice of Methodologies -- The Global Impact of the Doha Development Agenda -- Price Transmission -- The Disaggregated Impact on Households -- Labor Markets -- Interactions with Tax Policies -- Cross-Country Comparisons -- Effects on Productivity and Economic Growth -- Summary and Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- 2 Scenarios for Global Trade Reform -- Introduction -- What Is at Stake? -- What the Doha Declaration and July 2004 Framework Decision Promise -- Agricultural Market Access -- Overview of Agricultural Tariffs -- Tiered Formulas -- Agricultural Domestic Support -- Agricultural Export Subsidies -- Nonagricultural Market Access -- Implications of Doha for Market Access -- Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- 3 Assessing the World Market Impacts of Multilateral Trade Reforms -- Introduction -- Modeling World Price and Volume Changes -- Choice of Model -- Model Description -- Model Validation -- Results -- Tariff Landscapes in the Focus Countries -- Full Liberalization -- Doha Scenario -- Communicating Global Results to the National Models -- 3 Annex A: Shocking a Single-Country CGE Model with Export Prices and Quantities from a Global Model -- Notes -- References -- PART 2 Price Linkages -- 4 Multilateral Trade Liberalization and Mexican Households: The Effect of the Doha Development Agenda -- Summary -- Introduction -- Poverty in Mexico -- Exposure of the Poor to International Price Shocks -- Net Sales Position of the Poor -- Doha Implications for Mexico -- Empirical Framework -- International Prices and Domestic Prices -- Production and Export Supply -- Labor Earnings. ; Changes in Household Welfare -- Simulation Results -- Doha Scenario -- Complementary Reform Scenario 1 ("Doha Plus") -- Complementary Reform Scenario 2 ("Doha Plus-Plus") -- Full Liberalization -- Summary -- Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- 5 The Doha Trade Round and Mozambique -- Summary -- Introduction -- Mozambique -- Modeling the Implications of Doha -- The Mozambique CGE Model -- Behavioral Specification -- Operation of Markets -- Macro Closure -- More Novel Features -- The Mozambique Microsimulation Model -- Structure of the Mozambican Economy -- Inequality -- Simulations and Results -- Limitations of the Analysis -- Price Transmission -- Revenue Replacement -- Downward-Sloping Export Demand Functions -- Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- PART 3 Household Impacts of Price Changes -- 6 The WTO Doha Round, Cotton Sector Dynamics, and Poverty Trends in Zambia -- Summary -- Introduction -- Cotton Reforms and Poverty Trends in Zambia -- Cotton Reforms -- International Markets and World Prices -- Poverty Trends -- Cotton Income and Higher Export Prices -- Cotton Production and Household Outcomes -- The Method -- Monetary Outcomes -- Nonmonetary Outcomes -- Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- 7 The Doha Round, Poverty, and Regional Inequality in Brazil -- Summary -- Introduction -- Poverty and Income Distribution Evolution in Brazil: An Overview -- Methodology -- Overview of the Modeling Approach -- Model Running Procedures and Highlights -- The Base Year Picture -- Model Closure -- Results -- The CGE Model Results -- Poverty and Income Distribution Results -- Concluding Remarks -- Notes -- References -- 8 Growing Together or Growing Apart? A Village-Level Study of the Impact of the Doha Round on Rural China -- Summary -- Introduction -- A Household Perspective on General Equilibrium Modeling -- Models and Data. ; Linking Macro Results to the Village Model -- The Case Study Village -- The Village Equilibrium Model -- Full Liberalization Impacts -- The Impact of Price Changes with Full Liberalization -- The Household as a Supplier of Labor: The Impact of Increasing Off-Farm Employment -- Combining Price and Employment Effects -- Doha Impacts -- Impacts on Inequality -- Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- PART 4 A Focus on Labor Markets -- 9 Structural Change and Poverty Reduction in Brazil: The Impact of the Doha Round -- Summary -- Introduction -- Background and Motivation -- The Modeling Framework -- The Macro Model -- Production -- Income Distribution and Absorption -- International Trade -- Factor Markets -- Model Closure -- Growth Equations -- The MS Model -- Who Moves Out of Agriculture? -- Brazil in the Next Decade: A Baseline Scenario -- Macroeconomic Characteristics of the Baseline -- Distributional and Poverty Results for the BaU Scenario -- Macroeconomic Impacts of Trade Reforms -- Distributional and Poverty Impacts of Trade Reform -- Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- 10 Impacts of the DDA on China: The Role of Labor Markets and Complementary Education Reforms -- Summary -- Introduction -- The CGE Model -- Household Behavior -- Rural-Urban Migration -- Production, Exports, and Imports -- Recursive-Dynamic and Steady-State, Comparative Static Closures -- Modeling Education -- The Role of Education in the Model -- Model Calibration and Choice of Parameters -- Simulations -- Simulation Design -- Economywide Impacts of Multilateral Trade Liberalization -- Sector Impacts -- Household Impacts -- Impact of Investing in Rural Education -- Conclusions and Policy Implications -- Notes -- References -- 11 The Social Impact of a WTO Agreement in Indonesia -- Summary -- Introduction -- Economic and Policy Environment. ; Analytical Framework: A Macro-Micro Model for Indonesia -- Specifications of the Indonesia CGE model -- Specification of the Indonesia microsimulation model -- Implementation and Analysis of Trade Policy Shocks -- Examining Alternative Scenarios -- Tax Replacement Scheme -- Labor Markets -- Monte Carlo Analysis -- Summary and Conclusions -- Notes -- References -- PART 5 Fiscal Replacement of Lost Tariff Revenue -- 12 The Poverty Impacts of the Doha Round in Cameroon: The Role of Tax Policy -- Summary -- Introduction -- Poverty and Trade Background -- Poverty Trends During 1996-2001 -- Trends in Cameroon's Trade -- Modeling Features and Data -- Impacts of the Doha Scenario -- Macro and Sectoral Effects -- Household Income Effects -- Poverty Effects -- World and Domestic Free-Trade Simulations -- Macro Effects -- Sectoral Effects, the Labor Market, and Reallocation of Resources -- ROW Liberalization Scenario -- Cameroon Unilateral Liberalization Scenario -- Combined Full Liberalization of ROW and Cameroon -- Household Income Effects -- Poverty Effects -- Decomposing Impacts of Own-Liberalization -- The Contribution of TOT Effects to Overall Impacts at the Macro and Sectoral Levels -- Contribution of TOT Deterioration to Overall Poverty Impacts of Unilateral Liberalization -- Evaluating the Replacement Tax Alternatives -- An Overview of the VAT in Cameroon -- Comparative Macro and Sectoral Effects -- Comparative Household Income Effects -- Comparative Poverty Effects -- Concluding Remarks -- Notes -- References -- 13 Doha Scenarios, Trade Reforms, and Poverty in the Philippines: A CGE Analysis -- Summary -- Introduction -- Background -- Agricultural Stagnation -- Post-World War II Trade Policies -- Import Substitution -- Export Taxes on Agriculture -- Overvaluation of Exchange Rate -- Government Intervention -- Philippine Trade Reform. ; Poverty Profile in the Philippines -- Model Specification -- Basic Structure -- Model Closure -- Economic Structure -- Definition of the Scenarios -- Doha Results -- Macro and Sectoral Effects -- Incomes and Poverty -- Full-Liberalization Simulations -- Macro and Sectoral Effects -- Incomes and Poverty -- Disaggregating the Full Liberalization Scenario -- Macro and Sectoral Effects -- Incomes and Poverty -- Conclusion -- Notes -- References -- PART 6 Cross-Country Analysis -- 14 The Effects of a Prospective Multilateral Trade Reform on Poverty in Developing Countries -- Summary -- Introduction -- Data -- Stratification of Households According to Main Source of Income -- Model and Method -- Scenarios and Experimental Design -- Trade Reform Scenarios -- Decomposing Differences between Doha and Full Liberalization -- Factor Mobility Assumptions -- Results -- Price Results -- Poverty Results -- Decomposition of the Differences in Poverty Effects of the Doha and Full-Liberalization Scenarios -- Conclusion -- Note -- References -- PART 7 The Toha Development Agenda, Growth, and Poverty -- 15 Implications of WTO Agreements and Unilateral Trade Policy Reforms for Poverty in Bangladesh: Short- versus Long-Run Impacts -- Summary -- Introduction -- An Overview of the Issues -- Agricultural Trade Liberalization -- Liberalization of Textile and Garments Trade -- Free Movement of Natural Persons -- Unilateral Trade Liberalization -- Methodology -- Model Features -- Static Module -- Dynamic Module -- The Bangladesh SAM for 1999-2000 -- The 1999-2000 HIES -- Simulation Design and Analysis -- The Doha Scenario -- Overview of Shocks -- Macro Effects -- Sectoral Effects -- Welfare Effects -- Poverty Effects -- Conclusion -- ROW Free Trade -- Overview of Shocks -- Macro Effects -- Sectoral Effects -- Welfare Effects -- Conclusion -- Unilateral Trade Liberalization. ; Overview of Shocks.
• Sommario/riassunto: Poverty reduction is deemed to be a centerpiece of the Doha Development Agenda currently being negotiated under the auspices of the WTO. Yet there is considerable debate about the poverty impacts of such an agreement. Some are convinced it will increase poverty, while others are equally convinced that it will lead to poverty reduction. This book brings the best scientific methods to bear on this question, taking into account the specific characteristics embodied in the Doha Development Agenda.
• Titolo autorizzato: Poverty and the WTO
• ISBN: 1-280-28066-2; 9786610280667; 0-8213-6315-8
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Record Nr.: 9910811587803321
• Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
• Serie: Trade and development series.