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Business cycles [[electronic resource] ] : theory, history, indicators, and forecasting / / Victor Zarnowitz
| Business cycles [[electronic resource] ] : theory, history, indicators, and forecasting / / Victor Zarnowitz |
| Autore | Zarnowitz Victor <1919-2009.> |
| Edizione | [Pbk. ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Chicago, : University of Chicago Press, 1996, c1992 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (614 p.) |
| Disciplina |
338.5/42
338.542 |
| Collana | Studies in business cycles |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles
Economic forecasting |
| Soggetto non controllato | forecasting, inflation, growth, business cycles, rational expectation, monetary theory, keynes, economic activity, trends, indicators, interest rates, economics, economy, nonfiction, macroeconomics, cost, price, prediction, uncertainty, consensus, investment, economist, money, consumers, loans, financing, prosperity, gdp, production |
| ISBN |
1-281-12616-0
9786611126162 0-226-97892-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Front matter -- National Bureau of Economic Research -- Relation of the Directors to the Work and Publications of the National Bureau of Economic Research -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Preface -- I. THEORIES AND EVIDENCE -- 1. Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview -- 2. Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective -- 3. Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U.S. Economic Fluctuations -- 4. Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements -- 5. Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau -- II. HISTORY AND MEASUREMENT -- 6. How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction -- 7. Business Cycles and Growth -- 8. The Regularity of Business Cycles -- 9. Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy -- III. INDICATORS -- 10. Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses -- 11. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators -- 12. Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes -- IV. FORECASTING -- 13. On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions -- 14. An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts -- 15. The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts -- 16. Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts -- 17. Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction -- 18. The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting -- References -- Author Index -- Subject Index |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910777037503321 |
Zarnowitz Victor <1919-2009.>
|
||
| Chicago, : University of Chicago Press, 1996, c1992 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Business cycles : theory, history, indicators, and forecasting / / Victor Zarnowitz
| Business cycles : theory, history, indicators, and forecasting / / Victor Zarnowitz |
| Autore | Zarnowitz Victor <1919-2009.> |
| Edizione | [Pbk. ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Chicago, : University of Chicago Press, 1996, c1992 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (614 p.) |
| Disciplina |
338.5/42
338.542 |
| Collana | Studies in business cycles |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles
Economic forecasting |
| Soggetto non controllato | forecasting, inflation, growth, business cycles, rational expectation, monetary theory, keynes, economic activity, trends, indicators, interest rates, economics, economy, nonfiction, macroeconomics, cost, price, prediction, uncertainty, consensus, investment, economist, money, consumers, loans, financing, prosperity, gdp, production |
| ISBN |
1-281-12616-0
9786611126162 0-226-97892-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Front matter -- National Bureau of Economic Research -- Relation of the Directors to the Work and Publications of the National Bureau of Economic Research -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Preface -- I. THEORIES AND EVIDENCE -- 1. Macroeconomics and Business Cycles: An Overview -- 2. Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective -- 3. Facts and Factors in the Modern Evolution of U.S. Economic Fluctuations -- 4. Cyclical Aspects of Cost and Price Movements -- 5. Research during the First 50 Years of the National Bureau -- II. HISTORY AND MEASUREMENT -- 6. How Trends and Fluctuations Are Observed, Modeled, and Simulated: An Introduction -- 7. Business Cycles and Growth -- 8. The Regularity of Business Cycles -- 9. Econometric Model Simulations and the Cyclical Characteristics of the Economy -- III. INDICATORS -- 10. Cyclical Indicators: Structure, Significance, and Uses -- 11. Composite Indexes of Leading, Coincident, and Lagging Indicators -- 12. Major Macroeconomic Variables and Leading Indexes -- IV. FORECASTING -- 13. On Short-Term Predictions of General Economic Conditions -- 14. An Analysis of Annual and Multiperiod Quarterly Aggregate Forecasts -- 15. The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts -- 16. Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts -- 17. Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction -- 18. The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting -- References -- Author Index -- Subject Index |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910811010503321 |
|
Zarnowitz Victor <1919-2009.>
|
||
| Chicago, : University of Chicago Press, 1996, c1992 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||