Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model / / Roberto Garcia-Saltos, Douglas Laxton, Michal Andrle, Haris Munandar, Charles Freedman, Danny Hermawan |
Autore | Garcia-Saltos Roberto |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
Descrizione fisica | 57 p. : ill |
Altri autori (Persone) |
LaxtonDouglas
AndrleMichal MunandarHaris FreedmanCharles HermawanDanny |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting - Indonesia - Econometric models
Economic forecasting - United States - Econometric models Economic forecasting - Europe - Econometric models Economic forecasting - Japan - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Indonesia - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - United States - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Europe - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Japan - Econometric models Monetary policy - Indonesia - Econometric models Monetary policy - United States - Econometric models Monetary policy - Europe - Econometric models Monetary policy - Japan - Econometric models Banks and Banking Foreign Exchange Inflation Production and Operations Management Price Level Deflation Macroeconomics: Production Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects Macroeconomics Currency Foreign exchange Finance Real exchange rates Output gap Real interest rates Short term interest rates Prices Production Economic theory Interest rates |
ISBN |
1-4623-8703-9
1-4527-5207-9 1-282-84491-1 9786612844911 1-4519-4171-4 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788228703321 |
Garcia-Saltos Roberto
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model / / Roberto Garcia-Saltos, Douglas Laxton, Michal Andrle, Haris Munandar, Charles Freedman, Danny Hermawan |
Autore | Garcia-Saltos Roberto |
Edizione | [1st ed.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
Descrizione fisica | 57 p. : ill |
Disciplina | 339.53091724 |
Altri autori (Persone) |
LaxtonDouglas
AndrleMichal MunandarHaris FreedmanCharles HermawanDanny |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting - Indonesia - Econometric models
Economic forecasting - United States - Econometric models Economic forecasting - Europe - Econometric models Economic forecasting - Japan - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Indonesia - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - United States - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Europe - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Japan - Econometric models Monetary policy - Indonesia - Econometric models Monetary policy - United States - Econometric models Monetary policy - Europe - Econometric models Monetary policy - Japan - Econometric models Banks and Banking Foreign Exchange Inflation Production and Operations Management Price Level Deflation Macroeconomics: Production Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects Macroeconomics Currency Foreign exchange Finance Real exchange rates Output gap Real interest rates Short term interest rates Prices Production Economic theory Interest rates |
ISBN |
1-4623-8703-9
1-4527-5207-9 1-282-84491-1 9786612844911 1-4519-4171-4 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto | Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- A. Background -- B. A Brief Outline of Indonesian Economic Developments Over The Sample Period -- II. Benchmark Model -- A. Background -- B. The Specification of The Model -- B.1 Observable variables and data definitions -- B.2 Stochastic processes and model definitions -- B.3 Behavorial equations -- B.4 Cross correlations of disturbances -- III. Extending the Model to Include Financial-Real Linkages -- A. Background -- B. Model Specication Incorporating the US Bank Lending TighteningVariable -- V. Confronting the Model with the Data -- A. Bayesian Estimation -- B. Results -- B.1 Estimates of coeficients -- B.2 Estimates of standard deviation of structural shocks and cross correlations -- B.3 RMSEs -- B.4 Impulse response functions -- VI. Concluding Remarks -- IV. Modifications of the Model for the Indonesian Economy -- References -- Appendix: GPM Data Definitions -- Figures -- 1. Indonesia - Historical Data [1] -- 2. Indonesia - Historical Data [2] -- 3. Indonesia - Historical Data [3] -- 4. Comparison CDS Emerging Countries -- 5. Indonesia Historical Inflation Graph -- 6. Domestic Demand Shock -- 7. Domestic Price Shock -- 8. Domestic Interest Rate Shock -- 9. Domestic Real Exchange Rate Shock -- 10. Shock to the Domestic Target Rate of Inflation -- 11. Demand Shock in the US -- 12. BLT Shock in the US -- Tables -- 1. Results from Posterior Maximization -- 2. Results from Posterior Parameters (standard deviation of structural shocks) -- 3. Results from Posterior Parameters (correlation of structural shocks) -- 4. Root Mean Squared Errors. |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910812316203321 |
Garcia-Saltos Roberto
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (50 p.) |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Globalization - Economic aspects - Latin America
Econometrics Banks and Banking Foreign Exchange Inflation Production and Operations Management Macroeconomics: Production Price Level Deflation Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects Macroeconomics Currency Foreign exchange Finance Output gap Real exchange rates Real interest rates Exchange rates Production Economic theory Prices Interest rates |
ISBN |
1-4623-3357-5
1-4527-5410-1 1-4518-7232-1 1-282-84305-2 9786612843051 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Benchmark Model; A. Background; B. The Specification of the Model; B.1 Observable variables and data definitions; B.2 Stochastic processes and model definitions; B.3 Behavioral equations; B.4 Cross correlations of disturbances; III. Extending the Model to Include Financial-Real Linkages; A. Background; B. Model Specification Incorporating the US Bank Lending Tightening Variable; IV. Confronting the Model with the Data; A. Bayesian Estimation; B. Results; B.1 Estimates of output gap; B.2 Estimates of coefficients
B.3 Estimates of standard deviation of structural shocks and cross correlationsB.4 RMSEs; B.5 Impulse response functions; B.6 Historical variance decomposition; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendix Tables; 1. GPM Data Definitions; 2. Trade Matrix (Average 2001-2007, in percent); Figures; 1. Output Gap in LA5; Text Tables; 1. Results from Posterior Maximization; 2. Estimated Parameters in the Output Gap Equation; 3. Estimated Parameters in the Inflation Equation; 4. Estimated Parameters in the Monetary Policy Rule 2. Results from Posterior Parameters (Standard Deviation of Structural Shocks)3. Results from Posterior Parameters (Correlation of Structural Shocks); 4. Root Mean Squared Errors; 5. Domestic Demand Shock; 6. Domestic Price Shock; 7. Demand Shock in the US; 8. BLT Shock in the US; 9. Historical Decomposition of Inflation 2004-08 |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788336303321 |
Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Adding Latin America to the Global Projection Model |
Edizione | [1st ed.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (50 p.) |
Disciplina | 332.152 |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Globalization - Economic aspects - Latin America
Econometrics Banks and Banking Foreign Exchange Inflation Production and Operations Management Macroeconomics: Production Price Level Deflation Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects Macroeconomics Currency Foreign exchange Finance Output gap Real exchange rates Real interest rates Exchange rates Production Economic theory Prices Interest rates |
ISBN |
1-4623-3357-5
1-4527-5410-1 1-4518-7232-1 1-282-84305-2 9786612843051 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Benchmark Model; A. Background; B. The Specification of the Model; B.1 Observable variables and data definitions; B.2 Stochastic processes and model definitions; B.3 Behavioral equations; B.4 Cross correlations of disturbances; III. Extending the Model to Include Financial-Real Linkages; A. Background; B. Model Specification Incorporating the US Bank Lending Tightening Variable; IV. Confronting the Model with the Data; A. Bayesian Estimation; B. Results; B.1 Estimates of output gap; B.2 Estimates of coefficients
B.3 Estimates of standard deviation of structural shocks and cross correlationsB.4 RMSEs; B.5 Impulse response functions; B.6 Historical variance decomposition; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Appendix Tables; 1. GPM Data Definitions; 2. Trade Matrix (Average 2001-2007, in percent); Figures; 1. Output Gap in LA5; Text Tables; 1. Results from Posterior Maximization; 2. Estimated Parameters in the Output Gap Equation; 3. Estimated Parameters in the Inflation Equation; 4. Estimated Parameters in the Monetary Policy Rule 2. Results from Posterior Parameters (Standard Deviation of Structural Shocks)3. Results from Posterior Parameters (Correlation of Structural Shocks); 4. Root Mean Squared Errors; 5. Domestic Demand Shock; 6. Domestic Price Shock; 7. Demand Shock in the US; 8. BLT Shock in the US; 9. Historical Decomposition of Inflation 2004-08 |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910828558303321 |
Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis / / Kevin Clinton, Marianne Johnson, Huigang Chen, Ondrej Kamenik, Douglas Laxton |
Autore | Clinton Kevin |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
Descrizione fisica | 23 p. : ill |
Altri autori (Persone) |
JohnsonMarianne
ChenHuigang KamenikOndrej LaxtonDouglas |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009
Financial crises - United States - Econometric models Financial crises - European Union countries - Econometric models Financial crises - Japan - Econometric models Petroleum products - Prices - United States - Econometric models Petroleum products - Prices - European Union countries - Econometric models Petroleum products - Prices - Japan - Econometric models Interest rates - United States - Econometric models Interest rates - European Union countries - Econometric models Interest rates - Japan - Econometric models Bank loans - United States - Econometric models Bank loans - European Union countries - Econometric models Bank loans - Japan - Econometric models Foreign Exchange Inflation Macroeconomics Production and Operations Management Macroeconomics: Production Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Price Level Deflation Currency Foreign exchange Oil prices Output gap Potential output Real exchange rates Production Economic theory |
ISBN |
1-4623-7594-4
1-282-84420-2 1-4527-2887-9 1-4518-7361-1 9786612844201 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788225703321 |
Clinton Kevin
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Constructing Forecast Confidence Bands During the Financial Crisis / / Kevin Clinton, Marianne Johnson, Huigang Chen, Ondrej Kamenik, Douglas Laxton |
Autore | Clinton Kevin |
Edizione | [1st ed.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
Descrizione fisica | 23 p. : ill |
Disciplina | 330.9;330.90511 |
Altri autori (Persone) |
JohnsonMarianne
ChenHuigang KamenikOndrej LaxtonDouglas |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009
Financial crises - United States - Econometric models Financial crises - European Union countries - Econometric models Financial crises - Japan - Econometric models Petroleum products - Prices - United States - Econometric models Petroleum products - Prices - European Union countries - Econometric models Petroleum products - Prices - Japan - Econometric models Interest rates - United States - Econometric models Interest rates - European Union countries - Econometric models Interest rates - Japan - Econometric models Bank loans - United States - Econometric models Bank loans - European Union countries - Econometric models Bank loans - Japan - Econometric models Foreign Exchange Inflation Macroeconomics Production and Operations Management Macroeconomics: Production Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Price Level Deflation Currency Foreign exchange Oil prices Output gap Potential output Real exchange rates Production Economic theory |
ISBN |
1-4623-7594-4
1-282-84420-2 1-4527-2887-9 1-4518-7361-1 9786612844201 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto | Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Model Structure -- 2.1 Overview -- 2.2 Model components -- 2.2.1 Variable definitions -- 2.2.2 Underlying equilibrium values and stochastic processes -- 2.2.3 Bank lending tightening -- 2.2.4 Output gap -- 2.2.5 Unemployment -- 2.2.6 Inflation -- 2.2.7 Policy rule for the interest rate -- 2.2.8 Exchange rate -- 2.2.9 Variance and coviariance of disturbances -- III. GPM-Generated Confidence Bands -- 3.1 Construction -- 3.2 U.S. inflation -- 3.3 U.S. interest rate -- 3.4 U.S. output gap -- 3.5 Bank lending tightening -- IV. Conclusions -- References -- Figures -- 1. U.S. Year-on Year CPI Inflation -- 2. U.S. Interest Rate -- 3. U.S. Output Gap -- 4. Bank Lending Tightening -- 5. Oil Price. |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910817621303321 |
Clinton Kevin
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Current Account Developments in New Member States of the European Union : : Equilibrium, Excess, and EU-Phoria / / Jesmin Rahman |
Autore | Rahman Jesmin |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (36 p.) |
Disciplina | 382.17 |
Collana |
IMF Working Papers
IMF working paper |
Soggetto topico |
Balance of payments - European Union countries
Exports and Imports Macroeconomics Production and Operations Management International Investment Long-term Capital Movements Empirical Studies of Trade Fiscal Policy Macroeconomics: Production Trade: General International economics Finance Foreign direct investment Trade balance Fiscal stance Output gap Exports Investments, Foreign Balance of trade Fiscal policy Production Economic theory |
ISBN |
1-4623-8102-2
1-4527-5816-6 9786612840470 1-282-84047-9 1-4518-6953-3 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; Text Figures; 1. Average CA Balance (Relative to GDP) in New Member States of the EU and Other Emerging Market Countries, 1992-2006; 2. Trend in CA Balances (Relative to GDP) in New Member States of the EU, 1992-2006; II. Estimating CA Norms: The Empirical Framework; III. Estimation Results: Calculting CA Norms; Text Tables; 1. Current Account Regressions: Pooled and Fixed Effect Estimations; 2. Pooled Estimates and Findings of Other Recent Studies; 3. Average Current Account Norms in EU-10 and Other Developing Countries
4. Current Account Regression: Check for Homogeneity in the Sample3. CA Norms in EU-10; IV. CA Balance in EU-10: What Explains Divergence from Norms?; 4. EU-10: Divergence of Actual CA Balances from Annual Norms, 1992-06; 5. Regression Results Explaining Divergence from CA Norms; 5a. EU-10: CA Balances after Accounting for Explanations from CA Norm and Divergence (pooled estimate) Regressions; 5b. EU-10: CA Balances after Accounting for Explanations from CA Norm and Divergence (FE estimate) Regressions 6. Current Account and Export Developments in the Low CAD Group: Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia7. Current Account and Export Developments in the High CAD Group: Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia and Romania; V. Coming Back to Equilibrium: How Difficult is the Road?; 8. Evolution of Corporate Sector Credit and FDI in EU-10, 2002-06; 9. Stock of Manufacturing FDI in EU-10, 2006; 6. Composition of FDI Stock in High CAD Group, 2006; References; Appendix 1: Contribution of Explanatory Variables to CA norms in EU-10 Appendix 2: Robustness Check for Explanation of CA DivergenceAppendix 3: Data sources |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788240503321 |
Rahman Jesmin
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Current Account Developments in New Member States of the European Union : : Equilibrium, Excess, and EU-Phoria / / Jesmin Rahman |
Autore | Rahman Jesmin |
Edizione | [1st ed.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (36 p.) |
Disciplina | 382.17 |
Collana |
IMF Working Papers
IMF working paper |
Soggetto topico |
Balance of payments - European Union countries
Exports and Imports Macroeconomics Production and Operations Management International Investment Long-term Capital Movements Empirical Studies of Trade Fiscal Policy Macroeconomics: Production Trade: General International economics Finance Foreign direct investment Trade balance Fiscal stance Output gap Exports Investments, Foreign Balance of trade Fiscal policy Production Economic theory |
ISBN |
1-4623-8102-2
1-4527-5816-6 9786612840470 1-282-84047-9 1-4518-6953-3 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; Text Figures; 1. Average CA Balance (Relative to GDP) in New Member States of the EU and Other Emerging Market Countries, 1992-2006; 2. Trend in CA Balances (Relative to GDP) in New Member States of the EU, 1992-2006; II. Estimating CA Norms: The Empirical Framework; III. Estimation Results: Calculting CA Norms; Text Tables; 1. Current Account Regressions: Pooled and Fixed Effect Estimations; 2. Pooled Estimates and Findings of Other Recent Studies; 3. Average Current Account Norms in EU-10 and Other Developing Countries
4. Current Account Regression: Check for Homogeneity in the Sample3. CA Norms in EU-10; IV. CA Balance in EU-10: What Explains Divergence from Norms?; 4. EU-10: Divergence of Actual CA Balances from Annual Norms, 1992-06; 5. Regression Results Explaining Divergence from CA Norms; 5a. EU-10: CA Balances after Accounting for Explanations from CA Norm and Divergence (pooled estimate) Regressions; 5b. EU-10: CA Balances after Accounting for Explanations from CA Norm and Divergence (FE estimate) Regressions 6. Current Account and Export Developments in the Low CAD Group: Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia7. Current Account and Export Developments in the High CAD Group: Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia and Romania; V. Coming Back to Equilibrium: How Difficult is the Road?; 8. Evolution of Corporate Sector Credit and FDI in EU-10, 2002-06; 9. Stock of Manufacturing FDI in EU-10, 2006; 6. Composition of FDI Stock in High CAD Group, 2006; References; Appendix 1: Contribution of Explanatory Variables to CA norms in EU-10 Appendix 2: Robustness Check for Explanation of CA DivergenceAppendix 3: Data sources |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910818151103321 |
Rahman Jesmin
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Enforcement and the Stability and Growth Pact : : How Fiscal Policy Did and Did Not Change Under Europe’s Fiscal Framework / / Anthony Annett |
Autore | Annett Anthony |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (34 p.) |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Fiscal policy - European Union countries - Econometric models
Monetary unions - European Union countries - Econometric models Macroeconomics Public Finance Production and Operations Management Fiscal Policy Macroeconomics: Production Fiscal policy Fiscal governance Fiscal stance Output gap Fiscal rules Production Economic theory |
ISBN |
1-4623-3467-9
1-4527-8142-7 1-283-51141-X 1-4519-0910-1 9786613823861 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF FISCAL FRAMEWORKS""; ""III. DEVELOPMENTS UNDER THE FISCAL FRAMEWORK""; ""IV. EXPLAINING DIVERGENT COUNTRY EXPERIENCES: EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""V. CONCLUSION""; ""REFERENCES"" |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788414203321 |
Annett Anthony
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Enforcement and the Stability and Growth Pact : : How Fiscal Policy Did and Did Not Change Under Europe’s Fiscal Framework / / Anthony Annett |
Autore | Annett Anthony |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (34 p.) |
Collana | IMF Working Papers |
Soggetto topico |
Fiscal policy - European Union countries - Econometric models
Monetary unions - European Union countries - Econometric models Macroeconomics Public Finance Production and Operations Management Fiscal Policy Macroeconomics: Production Fiscal policy Fiscal governance Fiscal stance Output gap Fiscal rules Production Economic theory |
ISBN |
1-4623-3467-9
1-4527-8142-7 1-283-51141-X 1-4519-0910-1 9786613823861 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF FISCAL FRAMEWORKS""; ""III. DEVELOPMENTS UNDER THE FISCAL FRAMEWORK""; ""IV. EXPLAINING DIVERGENT COUNTRY EXPERIENCES: EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""V. CONCLUSION""; ""REFERENCES"" |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910814666303321 |
Annett Anthony
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Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
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Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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