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Forecasting inflation in Sudan [[electronic resource] /] / Kenji Moriyama and Abdul Naseer
| Forecasting inflation in Sudan [[electronic resource] /] / Kenji Moriyama and Abdul Naseer |
| Autore | Moriyama Kenji |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | [Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (27 p.) |
| Collana | IMF working paper |
| Soggetto topico |
Inflation (Finance) - Sudan
Economic forecasting - Sudan |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-4623-4063-6
1-4527-3897-1 1-4518-7279-8 9786612843464 1-282-84346-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Recent Developments; Figures; 1. Average and Standard Deviation of Inflation, 2000-08; 2. Monthly Inflation (12-Month) in Sudan, January 2000-October 2008; III. Methodology; A. Which Inflation Should Be Forecasted?; 3. Overall Inflation, 2000-08; B. Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) Model; 4. Cumulative Spectral Distribution of Inflation, 2000-08; C. Leading Indicators; 5. Currency Holding and Islamic Dummies, 2005-08; 6. Candidates of Leading Indicators; IV. Results; A. ARMA Model; 7. Actual and Projected Inflation Based on the Estimated ARMA Models
B. Granger Causality Tests for Leading IndicatorsV. Implications-What Can be said from the Estimated Model and the Tests?; A. Can the Estimated Model Explain the Surge of Inflation in 2007 and 2008?; 8. Forecasted Inflation, July 2007-December 2008; 9. Forecast Errors of the Model and Bread Contribution to Inflation, July 2007-October 2008; B. Forecasting Inflation for 2009 and 2010; 10. Forecasted Inflation; 11. Inflation Forecast Based on ARMA (4,5), July 2008-December 2010; C. Leading Indicators (Private Sector Credit Growth and Wheat Price Inflation) 12. Oil Price Projections, World Economic Outlook, 2000-1013. Wheat Price Projections, World Economic Outlook, 2000-10; VI. Conclusions; Tables; 1. Estimated ARMA Model of Inflation; 2. Main Statistics of Various ARMA Models, 2000-08; 3. Granger Causality Tests Between Inflation and Leading Indicators, 2000-08; Appendices; I. The Schwartz Information Criterion; II. Estimated ARMA Model for main Monetary Aggregates; Appendix Tables; A1. Estimated ARMA Model of Broad money, 2000-08; References |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910464006503321 |
Moriyama Kenji
|
||
| [Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Forecasting Inflation in Sudan / / Kenji Moriyama, Abdul Naseer
| Forecasting Inflation in Sudan / / Kenji Moriyama, Abdul Naseer |
| Autore | Moriyama Kenji |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (27 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) | NaseerAbdul |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Inflation (Finance) - Sudan
Economic forecasting - Sudan Inflation Macroeconomics Money and Monetary Policy Forecasting Price Level Deflation Forecasting and Other Model Applications Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis Prices Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General Economic Forecasting Economic growth Monetary economics Economic forecasting Agricultural prices Cyclical indicators Monetary base Business cycles Money supply |
| ISBN |
1-4623-4063-6
1-4527-3897-1 1-4518-7279-8 9786612843464 1-282-84346-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Recent Developments; Figures; 1. Average and Standard Deviation of Inflation, 2000-08; 2. Monthly Inflation (12-Month) in Sudan, January 2000-October 2008; III. Methodology; A. Which Inflation Should Be Forecasted?; 3. Overall Inflation, 2000-08; B. Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) Model; 4. Cumulative Spectral Distribution of Inflation, 2000-08; C. Leading Indicators; 5. Currency Holding and Islamic Dummies, 2005-08; 6. Candidates of Leading Indicators; IV. Results; A. ARMA Model; 7. Actual and Projected Inflation Based on the Estimated ARMA Models
B. Granger Causality Tests for Leading IndicatorsV. Implications-What Can be said from the Estimated Model and the Tests?; A. Can the Estimated Model Explain the Surge of Inflation in 2007 and 2008?; 8. Forecasted Inflation, July 2007-December 2008; 9. Forecast Errors of the Model and Bread Contribution to Inflation, July 2007-October 2008; B. Forecasting Inflation for 2009 and 2010; 10. Forecasted Inflation; 11. Inflation Forecast Based on ARMA (4,5), July 2008-December 2010; C. Leading Indicators (Private Sector Credit Growth and Wheat Price Inflation) 12. Oil Price Projections, World Economic Outlook, 2000-1013. Wheat Price Projections, World Economic Outlook, 2000-10; VI. Conclusions; Tables; 1. Estimated ARMA Model of Inflation; 2. Main Statistics of Various ARMA Models, 2000-08; 3. Granger Causality Tests Between Inflation and Leading Indicators, 2000-08; Appendices; I. The Schwartz Information Criterion; II. Estimated ARMA Model for main Monetary Aggregates; Appendix Tables; A1. Estimated ARMA Model of Broad money, 2000-08; References |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788332703321 |
|
Moriyama Kenji
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Forecasting Inflation in Sudan / / Kenji Moriyama, Abdul Naseer
| Forecasting Inflation in Sudan / / Kenji Moriyama, Abdul Naseer |
| Autore | Moriyama Kenji |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (27 p.) |
| Disciplina | 338.9624 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | NaseerAbdul |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Inflation (Finance) - Sudan
Economic forecasting - Sudan Agricultural prices Agriculture: Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis Business cycles Cyclical indicators Deflation Economic Forecasting Economic forecasting Economic growth Forecasting and Other Model Applications Forecasting Inflation Macroeconomics Monetary base Monetary economics Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General Money and Monetary Policy Money supply Price Level Prices Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) |
| ISBN |
1-4623-4063-6
1-4527-3897-1 1-4518-7279-8 9786612843464 1-282-84346-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Recent Developments; Figures; 1. Average and Standard Deviation of Inflation, 2000-08; 2. Monthly Inflation (12-Month) in Sudan, January 2000-October 2008; III. Methodology; A. Which Inflation Should Be Forecasted?; 3. Overall Inflation, 2000-08; B. Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) Model; 4. Cumulative Spectral Distribution of Inflation, 2000-08; C. Leading Indicators; 5. Currency Holding and Islamic Dummies, 2005-08; 6. Candidates of Leading Indicators; IV. Results; A. ARMA Model; 7. Actual and Projected Inflation Based on the Estimated ARMA Models
B. Granger Causality Tests for Leading IndicatorsV. Implications-What Can be said from the Estimated Model and the Tests?; A. Can the Estimated Model Explain the Surge of Inflation in 2007 and 2008?; 8. Forecasted Inflation, July 2007-December 2008; 9. Forecast Errors of the Model and Bread Contribution to Inflation, July 2007-October 2008; B. Forecasting Inflation for 2009 and 2010; 10. Forecasted Inflation; 11. Inflation Forecast Based on ARMA (4,5), July 2008-December 2010; C. Leading Indicators (Private Sector Credit Growth and Wheat Price Inflation) 12. Oil Price Projections, World Economic Outlook, 2000-1013. Wheat Price Projections, World Economic Outlook, 2000-10; VI. Conclusions; Tables; 1. Estimated ARMA Model of Inflation; 2. Main Statistics of Various ARMA Models, 2000-08; 3. Granger Causality Tests Between Inflation and Leading Indicators, 2000-08; Appendices; I. The Schwartz Information Criterion; II. Estimated ARMA Model for main Monetary Aggregates; Appendix Tables; A1. Estimated ARMA Model of Broad money, 2000-08; References |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910827476303321 |
|
Moriyama Kenji
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
