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An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts / / Allan Timmermann
| An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts / / Allan Timmermann |
| Autore | Timmermann Allan |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (108 p.) |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic development
Economic forecasting - Evaluation International economic relations Exports and Imports Inflation Macroeconomics Forecasting Current Account Adjustment Short-term Capital Movements Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Price Level Deflation Forecasting and Other Model Applications International economics Economic Forecasting Current account balance Current account GDP forecasting Economic forecasting Balance of payments National income Prices |
| ISBN |
1-4623-9421-3
1-4527-1887-3 1-283-51486-9 1-4519-0855-5 9786613827319 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY""; ""II. DESCRIPTION OF WEO DATASET""; ""III. PROPERTIES OF OPTIMAL FORECASTS""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""V. ANALYSIS OF STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE""; ""VI. CAN THE WEO FORECAST ERRORS BE PREDICTED?""; ""VII. DIRECTIONAL ACCURACY""; ""VIII. REVISIONS FROM BOARD TO PUBLISHED FORECASTS""; ""IX. RECENT PERFORMANCE OF WEO FORECASTS""; ""X. LONG-RUN FORECASTING PERFORMANCE FOR G-7 ECONOMIES""; ""XI. COMPARISON OF WEO AND CONSENSUS FORECASTS""; ""XII. FORECAST COMBINATIONS""; ""XIII. RECOMMENDATIONS""; ""XIV. CONCLUSION""; ""References"" |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788403003321 |
Timmermann Allan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts / / Allan Timmermann
| An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts / / Allan Timmermann |
| Autore | Timmermann Allan |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (108 p.) |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic development
Economic forecasting - Evaluation International economic relations Balance of payments Current Account Adjustment Current account balance Current account Deflation Economic Forecasting Economic forecasting Exports and Imports Forecasting and Other Model Applications Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Forecasting Gdp forecasting Inflation International economics Macroeconomics National income Price Level Prices Short-term Capital Movements |
| ISBN |
9786613827319
9781462394210 1462394213 9781452718873 1452718873 9781283514866 1283514869 9781451908558 1451908555 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY""; ""II. DESCRIPTION OF WEO DATASET""; ""III. PROPERTIES OF OPTIMAL FORECASTS""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL RESULTS""; ""V. ANALYSIS OF STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE""; ""VI. CAN THE WEO FORECAST ERRORS BE PREDICTED?""; ""VII. DIRECTIONAL ACCURACY""; ""VIII. REVISIONS FROM BOARD TO PUBLISHED FORECASTS""; ""IX. RECENT PERFORMANCE OF WEO FORECASTS""; ""X. LONG-RUN FORECASTING PERFORMANCE FOR G-7 ECONOMIES""; ""XI. COMPARISON OF WEO AND CONSENSUS FORECASTS""; ""XII. FORECAST COMBINATIONS""; ""XIII. RECOMMENDATIONS""; ""XIV. CONCLUSION""; ""References"" |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910972474603321 |
|
Timmermann Allan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart / / Prakash Kannan, Selim Elekdag
| Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart / / Prakash Kannan, Selim Elekdag |
| Autore | Kannan Prakash |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (23 p.) |
| Disciplina | 336.54 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | ElekdagSelim |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting - Econometric models
Time-series analysis Asset prices Deflation Derivative securities Economic Forecasting Energy: Demand and Supply Finance Financial Instruments Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Gdp forecasting Inflation Institutional Investors Investments: Options Macroeconomics National income Non-bank Financial Institutions Oil prices Options Pension Funds Price Level Prices |
| ISBN |
9786612843891
9781462368884 1462368883 9781452748047 1452748047 9781282843899 1282843893 9781451873252 1451873255 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Outline of Theory; A. Characterizing the Distribution of Global Growth; Box; 1. The Two-Piece Normal Distribution; B. Constructing Confidence Intervals; III. Using Survey- and Market-Based Information; Figures; 1. Constructing Confidence Intervals; A. Survey-based Measures; B. Market-based Measures; IV. An Example: Forecasting Global Growth; A. Choice of Risk Factors; Tables; 1. Estimated Elasticities and Skewness Coefficients; B. Estimating the Weighting Parameters .; C. Constructing the Fan Chart; D. Interpreting the Results
2. Dispersion of Forecasts for GDP and Selected Risk FactorsV. Conclusions; 3. Fan Chart for Global Growth and Skewness of Risk Factors; 4. Fan Chart for Global Growth Based on Direct Estimates of Variance and Skew; References |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910965593203321 |
|
Kannan Prakash
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart
| Incorporating Market Information into the Construction of the Fan Chart |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (23 p.) |
| Disciplina | 336.54 |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting - Econometric models
Time-series analysis Inflation Investments: Options Macroeconomics Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Price Level Deflation Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Pension Funds Non-bank Financial Institutions Financial Instruments Institutional Investors Economic Forecasting Finance Oil prices Asset prices GDP forecasting Options National income Derivative securities |
| ISBN |
1-4623-6888-3
1-4527-4804-7 1-282-84389-3 9786612843891 1-4518-7325-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Outline of Theory; A. Characterizing the Distribution of Global Growth; Box; 1. The Two-Piece Normal Distribution; B. Constructing Confidence Intervals; III. Using Survey- and Market-Based Information; Figures; 1. Constructing Confidence Intervals; A. Survey-based Measures; B. Market-based Measures; IV. An Example: Forecasting Global Growth; A. Choice of Risk Factors; Tables; 1. Estimated Elasticities and Skewness Coefficients; B. Estimating the Weighting Parameters .; C. Constructing the Fan Chart; D. Interpreting the Results
2. Dispersion of Forecasts for GDP and Selected Risk FactorsV. Conclusions; 3. Fan Chart for Global Growth and Skewness of Risk Factors; 4. Fan Chart for Global Growth Based on Direct Estimates of Variance and Skew; References |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788228603321 |
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid : : The Case of Niger / / Emilio Sacerdoti, Gonzalo Salinas, Abdikarim Farah
| The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid : : The Case of Niger / / Emilio Sacerdoti, Gonzalo Salinas, Abdikarim Farah |
| Autore | Sacerdoti Emilio |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (35 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
SalinasGonzalo
FarahAbdikarim |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic assistance - Niger
Economic development - Niger Exports and Imports Foreign Exchange Investments: General Labor Investment Capital Intangible Capital Capacity Macroeconomics: Production Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development Measurement of Economic Growth Aggregate Productivity Cross-Country Output Convergence Human Capital Skills Occupational Choice Labor Productivity Foreign Aid Labour income economics Currency Foreign exchange International economics Macroeconomics Human capital Real exchange rates Foreign aid Aid flows Private investment National accounts International relief Economic assistance Saving and investment |
| ISBN |
1-4623-6486-1
1-4527-2888-7 1-282-84258-7 9786612842580 1-4518-7183-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid: The Case of Niger; I. Introduction; II. Aid and Growth-Literature Review; III. The Model; A. Supply Side; B. Aid Flows; C. Demand Side; D. Closing of the Model; E. Calibration and Simulation of the Model: the Niger Case; Tables; 1. Assumed Values of Key Parameters for General Equilibrium Simulation; 2. Composition of Assumed Increase in Foreign Aid from 2007 to 2008; Figures; 1. Economic Impact of AID (Scenario I); 3. Incidence of Poverty Under Different Aid Scenarios, 2007-13; F. Comparison to Other Estimates
4. Increase in GDP Growth Rate Caused by Higher Foreign Aid IV. Conclusions; 2. Aid Impact on Growth (% of GDP); References; Appendix; Effect of the Late Impact Aid on Human Capital Accumulation; Appendix Tables; 1. Scenario I-2007-15; 2. Projections Based on Econometric Findings in Clements, Radelet, and Bhavnani, 2004; 3. Alternative Estimates of the Impact of an Aid Increase by Five Percent of GDP in Niger, 2007-15; Appendix Figures; 1. Scenario II; 2. Scenario III; 3. Scenario IV; 4. Scenario V; 5. Scenario VI; 6. Scenario VII; 7. Scenario VIII |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788340403321 |
|
Sacerdoti Emilio
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid : : The Case of Niger / / Emilio Sacerdoti, Gonzalo Salinas, Abdikarim Farah
| The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid : : The Case of Niger / / Emilio Sacerdoti, Gonzalo Salinas, Abdikarim Farah |
| Autore | Sacerdoti Emilio |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (35 p.) |
| Disciplina | 338.91;338.916 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
FarahAbdikarim
SalinasGonzalo |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic assistance - Niger
Economic development - Niger Aggregate Productivity Aid flows Capacity Capital Cross-Country Output Convergence Currency Economic assistance Exports and Imports Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Foreign Aid Foreign aid Foreign Exchange Foreign exchange Human Capital Human capital Income economics Intangible Capital International economics International relief Investment Investments: General Labor Productivity Labor Labour Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development Macroeconomics Macroeconomics: Production Measurement of Economic Growth National accounts Occupational Choice Private investment Real exchange rates Saving and investment Skills |
| ISBN |
9786612842580
9781462364862 1462364861 9781452728889 1452728887 9781282842588 1282842587 9781451871838 145187183X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; The Macroeconomic Impact of Scaled-Up Aid: The Case of Niger; I. Introduction; II. Aid and Growth-Literature Review; III. The Model; A. Supply Side; B. Aid Flows; C. Demand Side; D. Closing of the Model; E. Calibration and Simulation of the Model: the Niger Case; Tables; 1. Assumed Values of Key Parameters for General Equilibrium Simulation; 2. Composition of Assumed Increase in Foreign Aid from 2007 to 2008; Figures; 1. Economic Impact of AID (Scenario I); 3. Incidence of Poverty Under Different Aid Scenarios, 2007-13; F. Comparison to Other Estimates
4. Increase in GDP Growth Rate Caused by Higher Foreign Aid IV. Conclusions; 2. Aid Impact on Growth (% of GDP); References; Appendix; Effect of the Late Impact Aid on Human Capital Accumulation; Appendix Tables; 1. Scenario I-2007-15; 2. Projections Based on Econometric Findings in Clements, Radelet, and Bhavnani, 2004; 3. Alternative Estimates of the Impact of an Aid Increase by Five Percent of GDP in Niger, 2007-15; Appendix Figures; 1. Scenario II; 2. Scenario III; 3. Scenario IV; 4. Scenario V; 5. Scenario VI; 6. Scenario VII; 7. Scenario VIII |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910960891603321 |
|
Sacerdoti Emilio
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Macrofinancial Modeling At Central Banks : : Recent Developments and Future Directions / / Jan Vlcek, Scott Roger
| Macrofinancial Modeling At Central Banks : : Recent Developments and Future Directions / / Jan Vlcek, Scott Roger |
| Autore | Vlcek Jan |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (41 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) | RogerScott |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Equilibrium (Economics)
Banks and banking, Central Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 Banks and Banking Econometrics Finance: General Economic Theory Forecasting Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General Financial Forecasting and Simulation Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Banks Depository Institutions Micro Finance Institutions Mortgages Financial Economics General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models Forecasting and Other Model Applications Banking Finance Economic theory & philosophy Econometrics & economic statistics Economic Forecasting Financial frictions Financial stability assessment Interbank markets Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models Economic theory Financial sector policy and analysis Economic forecasting Econometric analysis Financial markets Banks and banking Financial services industry International finance Econometric models |
| ISBN |
1-4639-5608-8
1-4639-4755-0 1-4639-4296-6 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Macrofinancial DSGE Models in Use by Central Banks; A. Models in Use Before the Crisis; Tables; 1. Central Bank Forecasting and Policy Analysis Models Prior to 2008; B. Model Development Since the Crisis; 2. Central Bank DSGE Forecasting Models Since 2008; 3. Published Central Bank Models with Financial Frictions; III. Challenges and Priorities for Model Development; References; Appendix; I. Approaches to Embedding Financial Frictions, Transmission Channels, and Risks in DSGE Models; 4. Approaches to Modeling Financial Frictions |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910789908003321 |
|
Vlcek Jan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Macrofinancial Modeling At Central Banks : : Recent Developments and Future Directions / / Jan Vlcek, Scott Roger
| Macrofinancial Modeling At Central Banks : : Recent Developments and Future Directions / / Jan Vlcek, Scott Roger |
| Autore | Vlcek Jan |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (41 p.) |
| Disciplina | 332.1/52 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | RogerScott |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Equilibrium (Economics)
Banks and banking, Central Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 Banks and Banking Econometrics Finance: General Economic Theory Forecasting Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General Financial Forecasting and Simulation Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications Banks Depository Institutions Micro Finance Institutions Mortgages Financial Economics General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models Forecasting and Other Model Applications Banking Finance Economic theory & philosophy Econometrics & economic statistics Economic Forecasting Financial frictions Financial stability assessment Interbank markets Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models Economic theory Financial sector policy and analysis Economic forecasting Econometric analysis Financial markets Banks and banking Financial services industry International finance Econometric models |
| ISBN |
9781463956080
1463956088 9781463947552 1463947550 9781463942960 1463942966 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Macrofinancial DSGE Models in Use by Central Banks; A. Models in Use Before the Crisis; Tables; 1. Central Bank Forecasting and Policy Analysis Models Prior to 2008; B. Model Development Since the Crisis; 2. Central Bank DSGE Forecasting Models Since 2008; 3. Published Central Bank Models with Financial Frictions; III. Challenges and Priorities for Model Development; References; Appendix; I. Approaches to Embedding Financial Frictions, Transmission Channels, and Risks in DSGE Models; 4. Approaches to Modeling Financial Frictions |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910955916403321 |
|
Vlcek Jan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
