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European business cycle convergence : portfolio similarity and a declining home bias of private investors / / Jennifer Schneider
| European business cycle convergence : portfolio similarity and a declining home bias of private investors / / Jennifer Schneider |
| Autore | Schneider Jennifer |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Frankfurt am Main, [Germany] : , : PL Academic Research, , 2013 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (223 p.) |
| Disciplina | 330.94 |
| Collana | Hohenheimer volkswirtschaftliche Schriften |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - Europe
Monetary unions - Europe |
| ISBN | 3-653-01915-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Preface; Content; Tables; Graphs; Abbreviations; Variables; A. Introduction; 1. Motivation; B. Theoretical and Empirical Background; 2. Business Cycle Convergence and Consumption; 2.1 Optimal Currency Area Criteria; 2.2 Financial Market Integration and Business Cycle Convergence; 2.3 Consumption; 2.3.1 Consumption Function; 2.3.2 Consumption-wealth-linkage; 2.3.3 A Side Note on Financial Systems and Monetary Policy Transmission; 2.4 The Context of Consumption and Business Cycles; 3. Portfolio Theory; 3.1 Motivation; 3.2 Basics of Modern Portfolio Theory
3.2.1 Core Elements of Portfolio Theory 3.2.2 The Efficient Frontier; 3.2.3 The Single Index Model; 3.3 Capital Asset Pricing Model; 3.3.2 The Standard Model; 3.3.3 Shortcomings of the Standard CAPM; 3.3.4 Empirical Findings; 3.4 International Asset Pricing Model and the Home Bias Phenomenon; 3.4.2 IAPM; 3.4.3 Home Bias - Empirical Background; 3.4.4 Explaining Home Bias; 3.4.4.1 Rational Explanations; 3.4.4.2 Behavioural Finance; 3.5 IAPM - A Plausible Starting Point?; C. Empirical Analysis; 4. Home Bias - Status quo in Europe; 4.1 Development of Private Financial Wealth 4.2 Development of Foreign Investment 4.3 Calculation of Home Bias; 4.4 Status quo of Home Bias; 4.5 The Market Portfolio as the Ideal Portfolio; 4.6 Return on Investment of the Country Strategies; 4.7 Volatility of Return; 4.8 Contribution of Portfolio Returns to Consumption Convergence; 4.9 Concluding Remarks; 5. Similarity of Portfolios in Europe; 5.1 Calculation; 5.2 Results; 5.3 Portfolio Similarity and Home Bias; 6. Consumption and Business Cycle Correlation; 6.1 Data and Estimation Method; 6.2 Results/Correlations Coefficients 6.3 Summary of Results for Portfolio Similarity and Correlation 7. Model; 7.1 General Outline and Variables; 7.2 Econometric Model; 7.2.1 Formal Analysis and Model Specification; 7.2.2 Approach; 7.2.3 Consumption Correlation; 7.2.4 GDP Correlation; 7.2.5 Two-stage Least-squares and General Method of Moments; 7.2.5.1 Model; 7.2.5.2 Results; 7.2.6 Summary; D. Political Implications and Summary; 8. Political Implications; 8.1 Reasons for Political Actions; 8.2 Reasons for Portfolio Dissimilarity; 8.3 Solutions Discussed in Literature; 8.4 Current Political Discussion of Solutions 8.5 Target Group for Measurements 9. Summary; 9.1 Hypothesis 1; 9.2 Hypothesis 2; 9.3 Hypothesis 3; 9.4 Hypothesis 4; 9.5 Hypothesis 5; 9.6 Hypothesis 6; 9.7 Hypothesis 7; 9.8 Outlook; References; Data Appendices |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910297051103321 |
Schneider Jennifer
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| Frankfurt am Main, [Germany] : , : PL Academic Research, , 2013 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity in the Euro area [[electronic resource] /] / prepared by Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari and Marco Lombardi
| The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity in the Euro area [[electronic resource] /] / prepared by Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari and Marco Lombardi |
| Autore | Espinoza Raphael A |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | [Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept., 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (56 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
FornariFabio
LombardiMarco J. <1976-> |
| Collana | IMF working paper |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - Europe
Business cycles - United States Economic indicators - Europe Economic indicators - United States |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-4623-2750-8
1-282-84441-5 9786612844416 1-4518-7388-3 1-4527-8840-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The VAR models; A. Data; 1. Rates of Growth of Real GDP in the Three Economic Areas (quarter-on-quarter); B. Specifications; III. Characterizing the Models; A. IRFs and Pre-1985 and Post-1985 Evidence; 2. Impulse Response Functions from a Trivariate VAR; 3. Impulse Response Function from a 9-Variable VAR; 4. Impulse Response Function to GDP Shocks Across Sub-Samples; 5. Impulse Response Functions Across Sub-Samples; B. Linkages and the Role of Financial Shocks; 6. Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for the Euro Area GDP
1. Variance Decomposition of the GDP in the Three Areas2. R2 of a Regression of Δlog GDP on its Counterfactual; 7. Historical Decomposition; IV. Out-of-Sample Evidence; A. 'Unconditional' Forecast Evaluation; 3. Unconditional Out-of-Sample RMSE; B. Conditional Forecast Evaluation; 4. Out-of-Sample RMSE; 5. Out-of-Sample RMSE; C. Additional Explanatory Factors; 6. Conditional Choice Between Models at Selected Horizons; V. Conditional Evaluation; A. Rolling RMSEs; 8. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models; 9. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models (ctd.); B. Conditional Predictive Ability Test 10. GW Test for Conditional Predictive - Random Walk Model11. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 2 GDP VAR; 12. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 3 GDP VAR; VI. Conclusions; References; Footnotes |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910463687903321 |
|
Espinoza Raphael A
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| [Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept., 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area / / Marco Lombardi, Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari
| The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area / / Marco Lombardi, Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari |
| Autore | Lombardi Marco |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (56 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
EspinozaRaphael
FornariFabio |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - Europe
Business cycles - United States Economic indicators - Europe Economic indicators - United States Banks and Banking Econometrics Finance: General Statistics Industries: Financial Services Time-Series Models Dynamic Quantile Regressions Dynamic Treatment Effect Models Diffusion Processes General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology Computer Programs: Other Banks Depository Institutions Micro Finance Institutions Mortgages Finance Econometrics & economic statistics Vector autoregression Stock markets Yield curve Financial statistics Loans Stock exchanges Interest rates |
| ISBN |
1-4623-2750-8
1-282-84441-5 9786612844416 1-4518-7388-3 1-4527-8840-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The VAR models; A. Data; 1. Rates of Growth of Real GDP in the Three Economic Areas (quarter-on-quarter); B. Specifications; III. Characterizing the Models; A. IRFs and Pre-1985 and Post-1985 Evidence; 2. Impulse Response Functions from a Trivariate VAR; 3. Impulse Response Function from a 9-Variable VAR; 4. Impulse Response Function to GDP Shocks Across Sub-Samples; 5. Impulse Response Functions Across Sub-Samples; B. Linkages and the Role of Financial Shocks; 6. Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for the Euro Area GDP
1. Variance Decomposition of the GDP in the Three Areas2. R2 of a Regression of Δlog GDP on its Counterfactual; 7. Historical Decomposition; IV. Out-of-Sample Evidence; A. 'Unconditional' Forecast Evaluation; 3. Unconditional Out-of-Sample RMSE; B. Conditional Forecast Evaluation; 4. Out-of-Sample RMSE; 5. Out-of-Sample RMSE; C. Additional Explanatory Factors; 6. Conditional Choice Between Models at Selected Horizons; V. Conditional Evaluation; A. Rolling RMSEs; 8. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models; 9. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models (ctd.); B. Conditional Predictive Ability Test 10. GW Test for Conditional Predictive - Random Walk Model11. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 2 GDP VAR; 12. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 3 GDP VAR; VI. Conclusions; References; Footnotes |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788224903321 |
|
Lombardi Marco
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area / / Marco Lombardi, Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari
| The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area / / Marco Lombardi, Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari |
| Autore | Lombardi Marco |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (56 p.) |
| Disciplina | 338.5443094 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
EspinozaRaphael
FornariFabio |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - Europe
Business cycles - United States Economic indicators - Europe Economic indicators - United States Banks and Banking Banks Computer Programs: Other Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology Depository Institutions Diffusion Processes Dynamic Quantile Regressions Dynamic Treatment Effect Models Econometrics & economic statistics Econometrics Finance Finance: General Financial statistics General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) Industries: Financial Services Interest rates Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects Loans Micro Finance Institutions Mortgages Statistics Stock exchanges Stock markets Time-Series Models Vector autoregression Yield curve |
| ISBN |
9786612844416
9781462327508 1462327508 9781282844414 1282844415 9781451873887 1451873883 9781452788401 1452788405 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The VAR models; A. Data; 1. Rates of Growth of Real GDP in the Three Economic Areas (quarter-on-quarter); B. Specifications; III. Characterizing the Models; A. IRFs and Pre-1985 and Post-1985 Evidence; 2. Impulse Response Functions from a Trivariate VAR; 3. Impulse Response Function from a 9-Variable VAR; 4. Impulse Response Function to GDP Shocks Across Sub-Samples; 5. Impulse Response Functions Across Sub-Samples; B. Linkages and the Role of Financial Shocks; 6. Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for the Euro Area GDP
1. Variance Decomposition of the GDP in the Three Areas2. R2 of a Regression of Δlog GDP on its Counterfactual; 7. Historical Decomposition; IV. Out-of-Sample Evidence; A. 'Unconditional' Forecast Evaluation; 3. Unconditional Out-of-Sample RMSE; B. Conditional Forecast Evaluation; 4. Out-of-Sample RMSE; 5. Out-of-Sample RMSE; C. Additional Explanatory Factors; 6. Conditional Choice Between Models at Selected Horizons; V. Conditional Evaluation; A. Rolling RMSEs; 8. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models; 9. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models (ctd.); B. Conditional Predictive Ability Test 10. GW Test for Conditional Predictive - Random Walk Model11. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 2 GDP VAR; 12. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 3 GDP VAR; VI. Conclusions; References; Footnotes |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910957531803321 |
|
Lombardi Marco
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
