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Engineering decision making and risk management / / Jeffrey W. Herrmann
| Engineering decision making and risk management / / Jeffrey W. Herrmann |
| Autore | Herrmann Jeffrey W. |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2015] |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (357 pages) |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Soggetto topico |
Engineering - Decision making
Decision making Risk management |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-118-91937-8
9781118919378 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Machine generated contents note: 1. Introduction to Engineering Decision Making 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Decision Making in Engineering Practice 1.3 Decision Making and Optimization 1.4 Decision Making and Problem Solving 1.5 Decision Making and Risk Management 1.6 Problems in Decision Making 1.7 The Value of Improving Decision Making 1.8 Perspectives on Decision Making Exercises References 2. Decision Making Fundamentals 2.1 Decision Characteristics 2.2 Objectives in Decision Making 2.3 Influence Diagrams 2.4 Rationality 2.5 Dominance 2.6 Choice Strategies 2.7 Making Tradeoffs 2.8 Reframing the Decision 2.9 Risk Acceptance 2.10 Measurement Scales Exercises References 3. Multicriteria Decision Making 3.1 Pugh Concept Selection Method 3.2 Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) 3.3 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT) 3.4 Conjoint Analysis 3.5 Value of a Statistical Life 3.6 Compensation 3.7 The Impact of Changing Weights Exercises References 4. Group Decision Making 4.1 Ranking 4.2 Scoring and Majority Judgment 4.3 Arrow's Impossibility Theorem Exercises References 5. Decision Making Under Uncertainty 5.1 Types of Uncertainties 5.2 Assessing a Subjective Probability 5.3 Imprecise Probabilities 5.4 Cumulative Risk Profile and Dominance 5.5 Decision Trees: Modeling 5.6 Decision Trees: Determining Expected Values 5.7 Sequential Decision Making 5.8 Modeling Risk Aversion 5.9 Robustness 5.10 Uncertainty Propagation: Sensitivity Analysis 5.11 Uncertainty Propagation: Method of Moments 5.12 Uncertainty Propagation: Monte Carlo Simulation Exercises References 6. Game Theory 6.1 Game Theory Basics 6.2 Zero-sum Games 6.3 Optimal Mixed Strategies for Zero-sum Games 6.4 The Minimax Theorem 6.5 Resource Allocation Games 6.6 Mixed Motive Games 6.7 Bidding 6.8 Stackelberg Games Exercises References 7. Decision-making Processes 7.1 Decision-making Contexts 7.2 Technical Knowledge and Problem Consensus 7.3 Optimization: Search and Evaluation 7.4 Diagnosing Risk Decision Situations 7.5 Values and Ethics 7.6 Systematic Decision-making Processes 7.7 The Decision-making Cycle 7.8 The Analytic-deliberative Process 7.9 Concept Selection 7.10 Decision Calculus 7.11 Recognition-primed Decision Making 7.12 Heuristics 7.13 Unconscious Decision Making 7.14 Search 7.15 Types of Search in Practice 7.16 Secretary Problem 7.17 Composite Decisions 7.18 Separation 7.19 Product Development Processes Exercises References 8. The Value of Information 8.1 The Expected Value of Perfect Information 8.2 The Expected Value of Imperfect Information 8.3 Experimentation to Reduce Ambiguity 8.4 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives 8.5 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives with Multiple Attributes Exercises References 9. Risk Management 9.1 Risk Management Process 9.2 Potential Problem Analysis 9.3 Risk Management Guide for DOD Acquisition 9.4 Risk Management at NASA 9.5 Precursors 9.6 Warnings 9.7 Risk Communication 9.8 Managing the Risk of a Bad Decision 9.9 Learning from Failures 9.10 Transforming Failure Information Exercises References 10. Decision-making Systems 10.1 Introduction to Decision-making Systems 10.2 Mechanisms of Organization Influence 10.3 Roles in Decision-making Systems 10.4 Information Flow 10.5 The Structure of Decision-making Systems 10.6 Product Development Organizations 10.7 Information Flow in Product Development 10.8 The Design Factory Exercises References 11. Modeling and Improving Decision-making Systems 11.1 Modeling Decision-making Systems 11.2 Rich Pictures 11.3 Swimlanes 11.4 Root Definitions 11.5 Conceptual Models 11.6 Models of Product Development Organizations 11.7 Improving Decision-making Systems 11.8 An Integrative Strategy Exercises References. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910464020603321 |
Herrmann Jeffrey W.
|
||
| Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2015] | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Engineering decision making and risk management / / Jeffrey W. Herrmann
| Engineering decision making and risk management / / Jeffrey W. Herrmann |
| Autore | Herrmann Jeffrey W. |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2015] |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (357 pages) : illustrations |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Soggetto topico |
Engineering - Decision making
Decision making Risk management |
| ISBN | 1-118-91937-8 |
| Classificazione | BUS042000BUS019000 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Machine generated contents note: 1. Introduction to Engineering Decision Making 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Decision Making in Engineering Practice 1.3 Decision Making and Optimization 1.4 Decision Making and Problem Solving 1.5 Decision Making and Risk Management 1.6 Problems in Decision Making 1.7 The Value of Improving Decision Making 1.8 Perspectives on Decision Making Exercises References 2. Decision Making Fundamentals 2.1 Decision Characteristics 2.2 Objectives in Decision Making 2.3 Influence Diagrams 2.4 Rationality 2.5 Dominance 2.6 Choice Strategies 2.7 Making Tradeoffs 2.8 Reframing the Decision 2.9 Risk Acceptance 2.10 Measurement Scales Exercises References 3. Multicriteria Decision Making 3.1 Pugh Concept Selection Method 3.2 Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) 3.3 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT) 3.4 Conjoint Analysis 3.5 Value of a Statistical Life 3.6 Compensation 3.7 The Impact of Changing Weights Exercises References 4. Group Decision Making 4.1 Ranking 4.2 Scoring and Majority Judgment 4.3 Arrow's Impossibility Theorem Exercises References 5. Decision Making Under Uncertainty 5.1 Types of Uncertainties 5.2 Assessing a Subjective Probability 5.3 Imprecise Probabilities 5.4 Cumulative Risk Profile and Dominance 5.5 Decision Trees: Modeling 5.6 Decision Trees: Determining Expected Values 5.7 Sequential Decision Making 5.8 Modeling Risk Aversion 5.9 Robustness 5.10 Uncertainty Propagation: Sensitivity Analysis 5.11 Uncertainty Propagation: Method of Moments 5.12 Uncertainty Propagation: Monte Carlo Simulation Exercises References 6. Game Theory 6.1 Game Theory Basics 6.2 Zero-sum Games 6.3 Optimal Mixed Strategies for Zero-sum Games 6.4 The Minimax Theorem 6.5 Resource Allocation Games 6.6 Mixed Motive Games 6.7 Bidding 6.8 Stackelberg Games Exercises References 7. Decision-making Processes 7.1 Decision-making Contexts 7.2 Technical Knowledge and Problem Consensus 7.3 Optimization: Search and Evaluation 7.4 Diagnosing Risk Decision Situations 7.5 Values and Ethics 7.6 Systematic Decision-making Processes 7.7 The Decision-making Cycle 7.8 The Analytic-deliberative Process 7.9 Concept Selection 7.10 Decision Calculus 7.11 Recognition-primed Decision Making 7.12 Heuristics 7.13 Unconscious Decision Making 7.14 Search 7.15 Types of Search in Practice 7.16 Secretary Problem 7.17 Composite Decisions 7.18 Separation 7.19 Product Development Processes Exercises References 8. The Value of Information 8.1 The Expected Value of Perfect Information 8.2 The Expected Value of Imperfect Information 8.3 Experimentation to Reduce Ambiguity 8.4 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives 8.5 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives with Multiple Attributes Exercises References 9. Risk Management 9.1 Risk Management Process 9.2 Potential Problem Analysis 9.3 Risk Management Guide for DOD Acquisition 9.4 Risk Management at NASA 9.5 Precursors 9.6 Warnings 9.7 Risk Communication 9.8 Managing the Risk of a Bad Decision 9.9 Learning from Failures 9.10 Transforming Failure Information Exercises References 10. Decision-making Systems 10.1 Introduction to Decision-making Systems 10.2 Mechanisms of Organization Influence 10.3 Roles in Decision-making Systems 10.4 Information Flow 10.5 The Structure of Decision-making Systems 10.6 Product Development Organizations 10.7 Information Flow in Product Development 10.8 The Design Factory Exercises References 11. Modeling and Improving Decision-making Systems 11.1 Modeling Decision-making Systems 11.2 Rich Pictures 11.3 Swimlanes 11.4 Root Definitions 11.5 Conceptual Models 11.6 Models of Product Development Organizations 11.7 Improving Decision-making Systems 11.8 An Integrative Strategy Exercises References. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910796087203321 |
|
Herrmann Jeffrey W.
|
||
| Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2015] | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Engineering decision making and risk management / / Jeffrey W. Herrmann
| Engineering decision making and risk management / / Jeffrey W. Herrmann |
| Autore | Herrmann Jeffrey W. |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2015] |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (357 pages) : illustrations |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Soggetto topico |
Engineering - Decision making
Decision making Risk management |
| ISBN | 1-118-91937-8 |
| Classificazione | BUS042000BUS019000 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Machine generated contents note: 1. Introduction to Engineering Decision Making 1.1 Introduction 1.2 Decision Making in Engineering Practice 1.3 Decision Making and Optimization 1.4 Decision Making and Problem Solving 1.5 Decision Making and Risk Management 1.6 Problems in Decision Making 1.7 The Value of Improving Decision Making 1.8 Perspectives on Decision Making Exercises References 2. Decision Making Fundamentals 2.1 Decision Characteristics 2.2 Objectives in Decision Making 2.3 Influence Diagrams 2.4 Rationality 2.5 Dominance 2.6 Choice Strategies 2.7 Making Tradeoffs 2.8 Reframing the Decision 2.9 Risk Acceptance 2.10 Measurement Scales Exercises References 3. Multicriteria Decision Making 3.1 Pugh Concept Selection Method 3.2 Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) 3.3 Multiattribute Utility Theory (MAUT) 3.4 Conjoint Analysis 3.5 Value of a Statistical Life 3.6 Compensation 3.7 The Impact of Changing Weights Exercises References 4. Group Decision Making 4.1 Ranking 4.2 Scoring and Majority Judgment 4.3 Arrow's Impossibility Theorem Exercises References 5. Decision Making Under Uncertainty 5.1 Types of Uncertainties 5.2 Assessing a Subjective Probability 5.3 Imprecise Probabilities 5.4 Cumulative Risk Profile and Dominance 5.5 Decision Trees: Modeling 5.6 Decision Trees: Determining Expected Values 5.7 Sequential Decision Making 5.8 Modeling Risk Aversion 5.9 Robustness 5.10 Uncertainty Propagation: Sensitivity Analysis 5.11 Uncertainty Propagation: Method of Moments 5.12 Uncertainty Propagation: Monte Carlo Simulation Exercises References 6. Game Theory 6.1 Game Theory Basics 6.2 Zero-sum Games 6.3 Optimal Mixed Strategies for Zero-sum Games 6.4 The Minimax Theorem 6.5 Resource Allocation Games 6.6 Mixed Motive Games 6.7 Bidding 6.8 Stackelberg Games Exercises References 7. Decision-making Processes 7.1 Decision-making Contexts 7.2 Technical Knowledge and Problem Consensus 7.3 Optimization: Search and Evaluation 7.4 Diagnosing Risk Decision Situations 7.5 Values and Ethics 7.6 Systematic Decision-making Processes 7.7 The Decision-making Cycle 7.8 The Analytic-deliberative Process 7.9 Concept Selection 7.10 Decision Calculus 7.11 Recognition-primed Decision Making 7.12 Heuristics 7.13 Unconscious Decision Making 7.14 Search 7.15 Types of Search in Practice 7.16 Secretary Problem 7.17 Composite Decisions 7.18 Separation 7.19 Product Development Processes Exercises References 8. The Value of Information 8.1 The Expected Value of Perfect Information 8.2 The Expected Value of Imperfect Information 8.3 Experimentation to Reduce Ambiguity 8.4 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives 8.5 Experimentation to Compare Alternatives with Multiple Attributes Exercises References 9. Risk Management 9.1 Risk Management Process 9.2 Potential Problem Analysis 9.3 Risk Management Guide for DOD Acquisition 9.4 Risk Management at NASA 9.5 Precursors 9.6 Warnings 9.7 Risk Communication 9.8 Managing the Risk of a Bad Decision 9.9 Learning from Failures 9.10 Transforming Failure Information Exercises References 10. Decision-making Systems 10.1 Introduction to Decision-making Systems 10.2 Mechanisms of Organization Influence 10.3 Roles in Decision-making Systems 10.4 Information Flow 10.5 The Structure of Decision-making Systems 10.6 Product Development Organizations 10.7 Information Flow in Product Development 10.8 The Design Factory Exercises References 11. Modeling and Improving Decision-making Systems 11.1 Modeling Decision-making Systems 11.2 Rich Pictures 11.3 Swimlanes 11.4 Root Definitions 11.5 Conceptual Models 11.6 Models of Product Development Organizations 11.7 Improving Decision-making Systems 11.8 An Integrative Strategy Exercises References. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910821143703321 |
|
Herrmann Jeffrey W.
|
||
| Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2015] | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Essentials of engineering leadership and innovation / / Pamela McCauley
| Essentials of engineering leadership and innovation / / Pamela McCauley |
| Autore | McCauley Pamela |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Boca Raton, FL : , : Taylor & Francis Group, CRC Press, , [2017] |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (229 pages) |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Soggetto topico |
Engineering - Professional guidance
Leadership |
| ISBN |
1-315-37479-X
1-4398-2012-0 1-315-35710-0 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | chapter 1. A call to leadership -- chapter 2. The role of creativity and innovation in leadership -- chapter 3. Leadership within an organization -- chapter 4. Distinguishing yourself as an engineering leader and learning your engineering leadership style -- chapter 5. Establishing the vision as an engineering leader -- chapter 6. Ethics and professional responsibility -- chapter 7. Integration and execution : putting it all together. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910162855603321 |
|
McCauley Pamela
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||
| Boca Raton, FL : , : Taylor & Francis Group, CRC Press, , [2017] | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The offshoring of engineering [[electronic resource] ] : facts, unknowns, and potential implications / / Committee on the Offshoring of Engineering, National Academy of Engineering of the National Academies
| The offshoring of engineering [[electronic resource] ] : facts, unknowns, and potential implications / / Committee on the Offshoring of Engineering, National Academy of Engineering of the National Academies |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, c2008 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (240 p.) |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Soggetto topico |
Engineering - United States - Management
Offshore outsourcing - United States |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-281-76725-5
9786611767259 0-309-11484-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910453726503321 |
| Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, c2008 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The offshoring of engineering [[electronic resource] ] : facts, unknowns, and potential implications / / Committee on the Offshoring of Engineering, National Academy of Engineering of the National Academies
| The offshoring of engineering [[electronic resource] ] : facts, unknowns, and potential implications / / Committee on the Offshoring of Engineering, National Academy of Engineering of the National Academies |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, c2008 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (240 p.) |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Soggetto topico |
Engineering - United States - Management
Offshore outsourcing - United States |
| ISBN |
1-281-76725-5
9786611767259 0-309-11484-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910782104903321 |
| Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, c2008 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The offshoring of engineering : facts, unknowns, and potential implications / / Committee on the Offshoring of Engineering, National Academy of Engineering of the National Academies
| The offshoring of engineering : facts, unknowns, and potential implications / / Committee on the Offshoring of Engineering, National Academy of Engineering of the National Academies |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, c2008 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (240 p.) |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Soggetto topico |
Engineering - United States - Management
Offshore outsourcing - United States |
| ISBN |
1-281-76725-5
9786611767259 0-309-11484-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Front Matter -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Contents -- Executive Summary -- Part I: Consensus Report -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Offshoring and Engineering: The Knowledge Base and Issues -- 3 Effects of Offshoring on Specific Industries -- 4 Workshop Findings and Discussion -- Additional Reading -- Part II: Commissioned Papers and Workshop Presentations -- Commissioned Papers, Implications of Globalization for Software Engineering--Rafiq Dossani and Martin Kenney -- Implications of Globalization for Software Engineering--Rafiq Dossani and Martin Kenney -- The Changing Nature of Engineering in the Automotive Industry--John Moavenzadeh -- Offshoring in the Pharmaceutical Industry--Mridula Pore, Yu Pu, Lakshman Pernenkil, and Charles L. Cooney -- Impact of Globalization and Offshoring on Engineering Employment in the Personal Computing Industry--Jason Dedrick and Kenneth L. Kraemer -- Offshoring of Engineering Services in the Construction Industry--John I. Messner -- Semiconductor Engineers in a Global Economy--Clair Brown and Greg Linden -- Workshop Presentations, Implications of Offshoring for Engineering Management and Engineering Education--Anne Stevens -- An Academic Perspective on the Globalization of Engineering--Charles M. Vest -- Keynote Talk on the Globalization of Engineering--Robert Galvin -- Software-Related Offshoring--Alfred Z. Spector -- Implications of Offshoring for the Engineering Workforce and Profession--Ralph Wyndrum -- Industry Trends in Engineering Offshoring--Vivek Wadhwa -- Offshoring in the U.S. Telecommunications Industry--Theodore S. Rappaport -- Appendixes -- Appendix A: Workshop Agenda -- Appendix B: Workshop Participants -- Appendix C: Biographical Information. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910815402303321 |
| Washington, D.C., : National Academies Press, c2008 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Trade-off analytics : creating and exploring the system tradespace / / edited by Gregory S. Parnell
| Trade-off analytics : creating and exploring the system tradespace / / edited by Gregory S. Parnell |
| Edizione | [1st edition] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2017 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (635 pages) : illustrations, tables |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Collana | Wiley Series in Systems Engineering and Management |
| Soggetto topico |
Systems engineering - Decision making
Multiple criteria decision making |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910148748503321 |
| Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2017 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Trade-off analytics : creating and exploring the system tradespace / / edited by Gregory S. Parnell
| Trade-off analytics : creating and exploring the system tradespace / / edited by Gregory S. Parnell |
| Edizione | [1st edition] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2017 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (635 pages) : illustrations, tables |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Collana | Wiley Series in Systems Engineering and Management |
| Soggetto topico |
Systems engineering - Decision making
Multiple criteria decision making |
| ISBN | 1-119-23830-7 |
| Classificazione |
509.6
620.0068/4 620.0011 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of Contributors -- About the Authors -- Foreword -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- About the Companion Website -- Chapter 1 Introduction to Trade-off Analysis -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Trade-off Analyses Throughout the Life Cycle -- 1.3 Trade-off Analysis to Identify System Value -- 1.4 Trade-off Analysis to Identify System Uncertainties and Risks -- 1.5 Trade-off Analyses can Integrate Value and Risk Analysis -- 1.6 Trade-off Analysis in the Systems Engineering Decision Management Process -- 1.7 Trade-off Analysis Mistakes of Omission and Commission -- 1.7.1 Mistakes of Omission -- 1.7.2 Mistakes of Commission -- 1.7.3 Impacts of the Trade-Off Analysis Mistakes -- 1.8 Overview of the Book -- 1.8.1 Illustrative Examples and Techniques Used in the Book -- 1.9 Key Terms -- 1.10 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 2 A Conceptual Framework and Mathematical Foundation for Trade-Off Analysis -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Trade-Off Analysis Terms -- 2.3 Influence Diagram of the Tradespace -- 2.3.1 Stakeholder Needs, System Functions, and Requirements -- 2.3.2 Objectives -- 2.3.3 System Alternatives -- 2.3.4 Uncertainty -- 2.3.5 Preferences and Evaluation of Alternatives -- 2.3.6 Resource Analysis -- 2.3.7 An Integrated Trade-Off Analyses -- 2.4 Tradespace Exploration -- 2.5 Summary -- 2.6 Key Words -- 2.7 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 3 Quantifying Uncertainty -- 3.1 Sources of Uncertainty in Systems Engineering -- 3.2 The Rules of Probability and Human Intuition -- 3.3 Probability Distributions -- 3.3.1 Calculating Probabilities from Experiments -- 3.3.2 Calculating Complex Probabilities from Simpler Probabilities -- 3.3.3 Calculating Probabilities Using Parametric Distributions -- 3.3.4 Applications of Parametric Probability Distributions -- 3.4 Estimating Probabilities.
3.4.1 Using Historical Data -- 3.4.2 Using Human Judgment -- 3.4.3 Biases in Judgment -- 3.5 Modeling Using Probability -- 3.5.1 Bayes Nets -- 3.5.2 Monte Carlo Simulation -- 3.5.3 Monte Carlo Simulation with Dependent Uncertainties -- 3.5.4 Monte Carlo Simulation with Partial Information on Output Values -- 3.5.5 Variations on Monte Carlo Simulation -- 3.5.6 Sensitivity Analysis -- 3.6 Summary -- 3.7 Key Terms -- 3.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 4 Analyzing Resources -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Resources -- 4.2.1 People -- 4.2.2 Facilities -- 4.2.3 Costs -- 4.2.4 Resource Space -- 4.3 Cost Analysis -- 4.3.1 Cost Estimation -- 4.3.2 Cost Estimation Techniques -- 4.3.3 Learning Curves -- 4.3.4 Net Present Value -- 4.3.5 Monte Carlo Simulation -- 4.3.6 Sensitivity Analysis -- 4.4 Affordability Analysis -- 4.4.1 Background -- 4.4.2 The Basics of Affordability Analysis Are Not Difficult -- 4.4.3 DoD Comparison of Cost Analysis and Affordability Analysis -- 4.4.4 Affordability Analysis Definitions -- 4.4.5 "Big A" Affordability Analysis Process Guide -- 4.5 Key Terms -- 4.6 Excercises -- References -- Chapter 5 Understanding Decision Management -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 Decision Process Context -- 5.3 Decision Process Activities -- 5.3.1 Frame Decision -- 5.3.2 Develop Objectives and Measures -- 5.3.3 Generate Creative Alternatives -- 5.3.4 Assess Alternatives via Deterministic Analysis -- 5.3.5 Synthesize Results -- 5.3.6 Develop Multidimensional Value Model -- 5.3.7 Identify Uncertainty and Conduct Probabilistic Analysis -- 5.3.8 Assess Impact of Uncertainty -- 5.3.9 Improve Alternatives -- 5.3.10 Communicating Trade-Offs -- 5.3.11 Present Recommendation and Implementation Plan -- 5.4 Summary -- 5.5 Key Terms -- 5.6 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 6 Identifying Opportunities -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 Knowledge -- 6.2.1 Domain Knowledge. 6.2.2 Technical Knowledge -- 6.2.3 Business Knowledge -- 6.2.4 Expert Knowledge -- 6.2.5 Stakeholder Knowledge -- 6.3 Decision Traps -- 6.4 Techniques -- 6.4.1 Interviews -- 6.4.2 Focus Groups -- 6.4.3 Surveys -- 6.5 Tools -- 6.5.1 Concept Map -- 6.5.2 System Boundary -- 6.5.3 Decision Hierarchy -- 6.5.4 Issues List -- 6.5.5 Vision Statement -- 6.5.6 Influence Diagram -- 6.5.7 Selecting Appropriate Tools and Techniques -- 6.6 Illustrative Examples -- 6.6.1 Commercial -- 6.6.2 Defense -- 6.7 Key Terms -- 6.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 7 Identifying Objectives and Value Measures -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 Value-Focused Thinking -- 7.2.1 Four Major VFT Ideas -- 7.2.2 Benefits of VFT -- 7.3 Shareholder and Stakeholder Value -- 7.3.1 Private Company Example -- 7.3.2 Government Agency Example -- 7.4 Challenges in Identifying Objectives -- 7.5 Identifying the Decision Objectives -- 7.5.1 Questions to Help Identify Decision Objectives -- 7.5.2 How to Get Answers to the Questions -- 7.6 The Financial or Cost Objective -- 7.6.1 Financial Objectives for Private Companies -- 7.6.2 Cost Objective for Public Organizations -- 7.7 Developing Value Measures -- 7.8 Structuring Multiple Objectives -- 7.8.1 Value Hierarchies -- 7.8.2 Techniques for Developing Value Hierarchies -- 7.8.3 Value Hierarchy Best Practices -- 7.8.4 Cautions about Cost and Risk Objectives -- 7.9 Illustrative Examples -- 7.9.1 Military Illustrative Example -- 7.9.2 Homeland Security Illustrative Example -- 7.10 Summary -- 7.11 Key Terms -- 7.12 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 8 Developing and Evaluating Alternatives -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 Overview of Decision-making, Creativity, and Teams -- 8.2.1 Approaches to Decision-Making -- 8.2.2 Cognitive Methods for Creating Alternatives -- 8.2.3 Key Concepts for Building and Operating Teams -- 8.3 Alternative Development Techniques. 8.3.1 Structured Creativity Methods -- 8.3.2 Morphological Box -- 8.3.3 Pugh Method for Alternative Generation -- 8.3.4 TRIZ for Alternative Development -- 8.4 Assessment of Alternative Development Techniques -- 8.5 Alternative Evaluation Techniques -- 8.5.1 Decision-Theory-Based Approaches -- 8.5.2 Pugh Method for Alternative Evaluation -- 8.5.3 Axiomatic Approach to Design (AAD) -- 8.5.4 TRIZ for Alternative Evaluation -- 8.5.5 Design of Experiments (DOE) -- 8.5.6 Taguchi Approach -- 8.5.7 Quality Function Deployment (QFD) -- 8.5.8 Analytic Hierarchy Process AHP -- 8.6 Assessment of Alternative Evaluation Techniques -- 8.7 Key Terms -- 8.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 9 An Integrated Model for Trade-Off Analysis -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Conceptual Design Example -- 9.3 Integrated Approach Influence Diagram -- 9.3.1 Decision Nodes -- 9.3.2 Uncertainty Nodes -- 9.3.3 Constant Node -- 9.3.4 Value Nodes -- 9.4 Other Types of Trade-Off Analysis -- 9.5 Simulation Tools -- 9.5.1 Monte Carlo Simulation Proprietary Add-Ins -- 9.5.2 The Discipline of Probability Management -- 9.5.3 SIPmathTM Tool in Native Excel -- 9.5.4 Model Building Steps -- 9.6 Summary -- 9.7 Key Terms -- 9.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 10 Exploring Concept Trade-Offs -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.1.1 Key Concepts, Concept Trade-Offs, and Concept Exploration -- 10.2 Defining the Concept Space and System Concept of Operations -- 10.3 Exploring the Concept Space -- 10.3.1 Storytelling-Enabled Tradespace Exploration -- 10.3.2 Decisions and Outcomes -- 10.3.3 Contingent Decision-Making -- 10.4 Trade-off Analysis Frameworks -- 10.5 Tradespace and System Design Life Cycle -- 10.6 From Point Trade-offs to Tradespace Exploration -- 10.7 Value-based Multiattribute Tradespace Analysis -- 10.7.1 Tradespace Exploration and Sensitivity Analysis. 10.7.2 Tradespace Exploration and Uncertainty -- 10.7.3 Tradespace Exploration with Spiral Development -- 10.7.4 Tradespace Exploration in Relation to Optimization and Decision Theory -- 10.8 Illustrative Example -- 10.8.1 Step 1: Determine Key Decision-Makers -- 10.8.2 Step 2: Scope and Bound the Mission -- 10.8.3 Step 3: Elicit Attributes and Utilities (Preference Capture) -- 10.8.4 Step 4: Define Design Vector Elements (Concept Generation) -- 10.8.5 Step 5: Develop Model(s) (Evaluation) -- 10.8.6 Step 6: Generate the Tradespace (Computation) -- 10.8.7 Step 7: Explore the Tradespace (Analysis and Synthesis) -- 10.9 Conclusions -- 10.10 Key Terms -- 10.11 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 11 Architecture Evaluation Framework -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.1.1 Architecture in the Decision Space -- 11.1.2 Architecture Evaluation -- 11.1.3 Architecture Views and Viewpoints -- 11.1.4 Stakeholders -- 11.1.5 Stakeholder Concerns -- 11.1.6 Architecture versus Design -- 11.1.7 On the Uses of Architecture -- 11.1.8 Standardizing on an Architecture Evaluation Strategy -- 11.2 Key Considerations in Evaluating Architectures -- 11.2.1 Plan-Driven Evaluation Effort -- 11.2.2 Objectives-Driven Evaluation -- 11.2.3 Assessment versus Analysis -- 11.3 Architecture Evaluation Elements -- 11.3.1 Architecture Evaluation Approach -- 11.3.2 Architecture Evaluation Objectives -- 11.3.3 Evaluation Approach Examples -- 11.3.4 Value Assessment Methods -- 11.3.5 Value Assessment Criteria -- 11.3.6 Architecture Analysis Methods -- 11.4 Steps in an Architecture Evaluation Process -- 11.5 Example Evaluation Taxonomy -- 11.5.1 Business Impact Factors -- 11.5.2 Mission Impact Factors -- 11.5.3 Architecture Attributes -- 11.6 Summary -- 11.7 Key Terms -- 11.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 12 Exploring the Design Space -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Example 1: Liftboat. 12.2.1 Liftboat Fractional Factorial Design of Experiments. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910798980103321 |
| Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2017 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Trade-off analytics : creating and exploring the system tradespace / / edited by Gregory S. Parnell
| Trade-off analytics : creating and exploring the system tradespace / / edited by Gregory S. Parnell |
| Edizione | [1st edition] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2017 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (635 pages) : illustrations, tables |
| Disciplina | 620.0068/4 |
| Collana | Wiley Series in Systems Engineering and Management |
| Soggetto topico |
Systems engineering - Decision making
Multiple criteria decision making |
| ISBN | 1-119-23830-7 |
| Classificazione |
509.6
620.0068/4 620.0011 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of Contributors -- About the Authors -- Foreword -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- About the Companion Website -- Chapter 1 Introduction to Trade-off Analysis -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Trade-off Analyses Throughout the Life Cycle -- 1.3 Trade-off Analysis to Identify System Value -- 1.4 Trade-off Analysis to Identify System Uncertainties and Risks -- 1.5 Trade-off Analyses can Integrate Value and Risk Analysis -- 1.6 Trade-off Analysis in the Systems Engineering Decision Management Process -- 1.7 Trade-off Analysis Mistakes of Omission and Commission -- 1.7.1 Mistakes of Omission -- 1.7.2 Mistakes of Commission -- 1.7.3 Impacts of the Trade-Off Analysis Mistakes -- 1.8 Overview of the Book -- 1.8.1 Illustrative Examples and Techniques Used in the Book -- 1.9 Key Terms -- 1.10 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 2 A Conceptual Framework and Mathematical Foundation for Trade-Off Analysis -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Trade-Off Analysis Terms -- 2.3 Influence Diagram of the Tradespace -- 2.3.1 Stakeholder Needs, System Functions, and Requirements -- 2.3.2 Objectives -- 2.3.3 System Alternatives -- 2.3.4 Uncertainty -- 2.3.5 Preferences and Evaluation of Alternatives -- 2.3.6 Resource Analysis -- 2.3.7 An Integrated Trade-Off Analyses -- 2.4 Tradespace Exploration -- 2.5 Summary -- 2.6 Key Words -- 2.7 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 3 Quantifying Uncertainty -- 3.1 Sources of Uncertainty in Systems Engineering -- 3.2 The Rules of Probability and Human Intuition -- 3.3 Probability Distributions -- 3.3.1 Calculating Probabilities from Experiments -- 3.3.2 Calculating Complex Probabilities from Simpler Probabilities -- 3.3.3 Calculating Probabilities Using Parametric Distributions -- 3.3.4 Applications of Parametric Probability Distributions -- 3.4 Estimating Probabilities.
3.4.1 Using Historical Data -- 3.4.2 Using Human Judgment -- 3.4.3 Biases in Judgment -- 3.5 Modeling Using Probability -- 3.5.1 Bayes Nets -- 3.5.2 Monte Carlo Simulation -- 3.5.3 Monte Carlo Simulation with Dependent Uncertainties -- 3.5.4 Monte Carlo Simulation with Partial Information on Output Values -- 3.5.5 Variations on Monte Carlo Simulation -- 3.5.6 Sensitivity Analysis -- 3.6 Summary -- 3.7 Key Terms -- 3.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 4 Analyzing Resources -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Resources -- 4.2.1 People -- 4.2.2 Facilities -- 4.2.3 Costs -- 4.2.4 Resource Space -- 4.3 Cost Analysis -- 4.3.1 Cost Estimation -- 4.3.2 Cost Estimation Techniques -- 4.3.3 Learning Curves -- 4.3.4 Net Present Value -- 4.3.5 Monte Carlo Simulation -- 4.3.6 Sensitivity Analysis -- 4.4 Affordability Analysis -- 4.4.1 Background -- 4.4.2 The Basics of Affordability Analysis Are Not Difficult -- 4.4.3 DoD Comparison of Cost Analysis and Affordability Analysis -- 4.4.4 Affordability Analysis Definitions -- 4.4.5 "Big A" Affordability Analysis Process Guide -- 4.5 Key Terms -- 4.6 Excercises -- References -- Chapter 5 Understanding Decision Management -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 Decision Process Context -- 5.3 Decision Process Activities -- 5.3.1 Frame Decision -- 5.3.2 Develop Objectives and Measures -- 5.3.3 Generate Creative Alternatives -- 5.3.4 Assess Alternatives via Deterministic Analysis -- 5.3.5 Synthesize Results -- 5.3.6 Develop Multidimensional Value Model -- 5.3.7 Identify Uncertainty and Conduct Probabilistic Analysis -- 5.3.8 Assess Impact of Uncertainty -- 5.3.9 Improve Alternatives -- 5.3.10 Communicating Trade-Offs -- 5.3.11 Present Recommendation and Implementation Plan -- 5.4 Summary -- 5.5 Key Terms -- 5.6 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 6 Identifying Opportunities -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 Knowledge -- 6.2.1 Domain Knowledge. 6.2.2 Technical Knowledge -- 6.2.3 Business Knowledge -- 6.2.4 Expert Knowledge -- 6.2.5 Stakeholder Knowledge -- 6.3 Decision Traps -- 6.4 Techniques -- 6.4.1 Interviews -- 6.4.2 Focus Groups -- 6.4.3 Surveys -- 6.5 Tools -- 6.5.1 Concept Map -- 6.5.2 System Boundary -- 6.5.3 Decision Hierarchy -- 6.5.4 Issues List -- 6.5.5 Vision Statement -- 6.5.6 Influence Diagram -- 6.5.7 Selecting Appropriate Tools and Techniques -- 6.6 Illustrative Examples -- 6.6.1 Commercial -- 6.6.2 Defense -- 6.7 Key Terms -- 6.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 7 Identifying Objectives and Value Measures -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 Value-Focused Thinking -- 7.2.1 Four Major VFT Ideas -- 7.2.2 Benefits of VFT -- 7.3 Shareholder and Stakeholder Value -- 7.3.1 Private Company Example -- 7.3.2 Government Agency Example -- 7.4 Challenges in Identifying Objectives -- 7.5 Identifying the Decision Objectives -- 7.5.1 Questions to Help Identify Decision Objectives -- 7.5.2 How to Get Answers to the Questions -- 7.6 The Financial or Cost Objective -- 7.6.1 Financial Objectives for Private Companies -- 7.6.2 Cost Objective for Public Organizations -- 7.7 Developing Value Measures -- 7.8 Structuring Multiple Objectives -- 7.8.1 Value Hierarchies -- 7.8.2 Techniques for Developing Value Hierarchies -- 7.8.3 Value Hierarchy Best Practices -- 7.8.4 Cautions about Cost and Risk Objectives -- 7.9 Illustrative Examples -- 7.9.1 Military Illustrative Example -- 7.9.2 Homeland Security Illustrative Example -- 7.10 Summary -- 7.11 Key Terms -- 7.12 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 8 Developing and Evaluating Alternatives -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 Overview of Decision-making, Creativity, and Teams -- 8.2.1 Approaches to Decision-Making -- 8.2.2 Cognitive Methods for Creating Alternatives -- 8.2.3 Key Concepts for Building and Operating Teams -- 8.3 Alternative Development Techniques. 8.3.1 Structured Creativity Methods -- 8.3.2 Morphological Box -- 8.3.3 Pugh Method for Alternative Generation -- 8.3.4 TRIZ for Alternative Development -- 8.4 Assessment of Alternative Development Techniques -- 8.5 Alternative Evaluation Techniques -- 8.5.1 Decision-Theory-Based Approaches -- 8.5.2 Pugh Method for Alternative Evaluation -- 8.5.3 Axiomatic Approach to Design (AAD) -- 8.5.4 TRIZ for Alternative Evaluation -- 8.5.5 Design of Experiments (DOE) -- 8.5.6 Taguchi Approach -- 8.5.7 Quality Function Deployment (QFD) -- 8.5.8 Analytic Hierarchy Process AHP -- 8.6 Assessment of Alternative Evaluation Techniques -- 8.7 Key Terms -- 8.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 9 An Integrated Model for Trade-Off Analysis -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Conceptual Design Example -- 9.3 Integrated Approach Influence Diagram -- 9.3.1 Decision Nodes -- 9.3.2 Uncertainty Nodes -- 9.3.3 Constant Node -- 9.3.4 Value Nodes -- 9.4 Other Types of Trade-Off Analysis -- 9.5 Simulation Tools -- 9.5.1 Monte Carlo Simulation Proprietary Add-Ins -- 9.5.2 The Discipline of Probability Management -- 9.5.3 SIPmathTM Tool in Native Excel -- 9.5.4 Model Building Steps -- 9.6 Summary -- 9.7 Key Terms -- 9.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 10 Exploring Concept Trade-Offs -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.1.1 Key Concepts, Concept Trade-Offs, and Concept Exploration -- 10.2 Defining the Concept Space and System Concept of Operations -- 10.3 Exploring the Concept Space -- 10.3.1 Storytelling-Enabled Tradespace Exploration -- 10.3.2 Decisions and Outcomes -- 10.3.3 Contingent Decision-Making -- 10.4 Trade-off Analysis Frameworks -- 10.5 Tradespace and System Design Life Cycle -- 10.6 From Point Trade-offs to Tradespace Exploration -- 10.7 Value-based Multiattribute Tradespace Analysis -- 10.7.1 Tradespace Exploration and Sensitivity Analysis. 10.7.2 Tradespace Exploration and Uncertainty -- 10.7.3 Tradespace Exploration with Spiral Development -- 10.7.4 Tradespace Exploration in Relation to Optimization and Decision Theory -- 10.8 Illustrative Example -- 10.8.1 Step 1: Determine Key Decision-Makers -- 10.8.2 Step 2: Scope and Bound the Mission -- 10.8.3 Step 3: Elicit Attributes and Utilities (Preference Capture) -- 10.8.4 Step 4: Define Design Vector Elements (Concept Generation) -- 10.8.5 Step 5: Develop Model(s) (Evaluation) -- 10.8.6 Step 6: Generate the Tradespace (Computation) -- 10.8.7 Step 7: Explore the Tradespace (Analysis and Synthesis) -- 10.9 Conclusions -- 10.10 Key Terms -- 10.11 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 11 Architecture Evaluation Framework -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.1.1 Architecture in the Decision Space -- 11.1.2 Architecture Evaluation -- 11.1.3 Architecture Views and Viewpoints -- 11.1.4 Stakeholders -- 11.1.5 Stakeholder Concerns -- 11.1.6 Architecture versus Design -- 11.1.7 On the Uses of Architecture -- 11.1.8 Standardizing on an Architecture Evaluation Strategy -- 11.2 Key Considerations in Evaluating Architectures -- 11.2.1 Plan-Driven Evaluation Effort -- 11.2.2 Objectives-Driven Evaluation -- 11.2.3 Assessment versus Analysis -- 11.3 Architecture Evaluation Elements -- 11.3.1 Architecture Evaluation Approach -- 11.3.2 Architecture Evaluation Objectives -- 11.3.3 Evaluation Approach Examples -- 11.3.4 Value Assessment Methods -- 11.3.5 Value Assessment Criteria -- 11.3.6 Architecture Analysis Methods -- 11.4 Steps in an Architecture Evaluation Process -- 11.5 Example Evaluation Taxonomy -- 11.5.1 Business Impact Factors -- 11.5.2 Mission Impact Factors -- 11.5.3 Architecture Attributes -- 11.6 Summary -- 11.7 Key Terms -- 11.8 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 12 Exploring the Design Space -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Example 1: Liftboat. 12.2.1 Liftboat Fractional Factorial Design of Experiments. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910809040203321 |
| Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , 2017 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||