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Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model / / Roberto Garcia-Saltos, Douglas Laxton, Michal Andrle, Haris Munandar, Charles Freedman, Danny Hermawan
| Adding Indonesia to the Global Projection Model / / Roberto Garcia-Saltos, Douglas Laxton, Michal Andrle, Haris Munandar, Charles Freedman, Danny Hermawan |
| Autore | Garcia-Saltos Roberto |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 57 p. : ill |
| Disciplina | 339.53091724 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
AndrleMichal
FreedmanCharles HermawanDanny LaxtonDouglas MunandarHaris |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting - Indonesia - Econometric models
Economic forecasting - United States - Econometric models Economic forecasting - Europe - Econometric models Economic forecasting - Japan - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Indonesia - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - United States - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Europe - Econometric models Inflation (Finance) - Japan - Econometric models Monetary policy - Indonesia - Econometric models Monetary policy - United States - Econometric models Monetary policy - Europe - Econometric models Monetary policy - Japan - Econometric models Banks and Banking Currency Deflation Economic theory Finance Foreign Exchange Foreign exchange Inflation Interest rates Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects Macroeconomics Macroeconomics: Production Output gap Price Level Prices Production and Operations Management Production Real exchange rates Real interest rates Short term interest rates |
| ISBN |
9786612844911
9781462387038 1462387039 9781452752075 1452752079 9781282844919 1282844911 9781451941715 1451941714 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- A. Background -- B. A Brief Outline of Indonesian Economic Developments Over The Sample Period -- II. Benchmark Model -- A. Background -- B. The Specification of The Model -- B.1 Observable variables and data definitions -- B.2 Stochastic processes and model definitions -- B.3 Behavorial equations -- B.4 Cross correlations of disturbances -- III. Extending the Model to Include Financial-Real Linkages -- A. Background -- B. Model Specication Incorporating the US Bank Lending TighteningVariable -- V. Confronting the Model with the Data -- A. Bayesian Estimation -- B. Results -- B.1 Estimates of coeficients -- B.2 Estimates of standard deviation of structural shocks and cross correlations -- B.3 RMSEs -- B.4 Impulse response functions -- VI. Concluding Remarks -- IV. Modifications of the Model for the Indonesian Economy -- References -- Appendix: GPM Data Definitions -- Figures -- 1. Indonesia - Historical Data [1] -- 2. Indonesia - Historical Data [2] -- 3. Indonesia - Historical Data [3] -- 4. Comparison CDS Emerging Countries -- 5. Indonesia Historical Inflation Graph -- 6. Domestic Demand Shock -- 7. Domestic Price Shock -- 8. Domestic Interest Rate Shock -- 9. Domestic Real Exchange Rate Shock -- 10. Shock to the Domestic Target Rate of Inflation -- 11. Demand Shock in the US -- 12. BLT Shock in the US -- Tables -- 1. Results from Posterior Maximization -- 2. Results from Posterior Parameters (standard deviation of structural shocks) -- 3. Results from Posterior Parameters (correlation of structural shocks) -- 4. Root Mean Squared Errors. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910961803103321 |
Garcia-Saltos Roberto
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| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts / / Alasdair Scott, Pau Rabanal, Prakash Kannan
| Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-up to Asset Price Busts / / Alasdair Scott, Pau Rabanal, Prakash Kannan |
| Autore | Scott Alasdair |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 39 p. : ill |
| Disciplina | 339.53091724 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
KannanPrakash
RabanalPau |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Assets (Accounting) - Prices
Macroeconomics Monetary policy Asset prices Balance of payments Credit Current Account Adjustment Current account balance Deflation Exports and Imports Housing prices Housing Supply and Markets Housing Inflation International economics Monetary economics Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit: General Money and Monetary Policy Price Level Prices Property & real estate Real Estate Short-term Capital Movements |
| ISBN |
9786612844492
9781462317417 1462317413 9781451873993 1451873999 9781282844490 1282844490 9781452754093 1452754098 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Asset Price Busts in the Modern Era -- A. Defining Asset Price Busts -- B. Patterns in macroeconomic Variables in the Run-Up to a Bust -- III. How Good are These Variables as Indicators of Asset Price Busts? -- IV. Macroeconomic Patterns Ahead of the Current Crisis -- A. The Role of Monetary Policy -- V. Conclusion -- References -- Data Appendix -- Tables -- 1. House Price and Stock Price Busts from 1970 to 2008 -- 2. Classification of Observations Based on variable Thresholds -- 3. Percentiles Used as Thresholds for Alarms -- 4. Marginal Probabilities Based on Probit Regressions -- Figures -- 1. Asset Price Busts -- 2. Selected Macroeconomic Variables Before and During House Price Busts -- 3. Selected Macroeconomic Variables Before and During Stock Price Busts -- 4. Selected Macroeconomic Variables Before and During High-Cost and Other House Price Busts, 1985-2008 -- 5. The Probability of an Asset Price Bust -- 6. The Failure of the Indicators to Predict an Asset Price Bust -- 7. Recent Developments in House and Stock Prices -- 8. Warning Signs for Recent House Price Busts -- 9. Macroeconomic Patterns Underlying Recent House Price Booms -- 10. Recent House Price Booms and Household Balance Sheets -- 11. Monetary Conditions Leading up to the Current Crisis -- 12. Inflation and Output for Advnaced Economies in Recent Years -- 13. House Prices and Monetary Conditions -- 14. Stock Prices and Monetary Conditions -- 15. Growth Rate of Nominal Credit Relative to GDP and Real Policy Rates -- 16. Selected Macroeconomic Variables Before and During House Price Busts -- 17. Selected Macroeconomic Variables Before and During Stock Price Busts. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910962131603321 |
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Scott Alasdair
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| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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On the Sources of Oil Price Fluctuations / / Deren Unalmis, Ibrahim Unalmis, Filiz Unsal
| On the Sources of Oil Price Fluctuations / / Deren Unalmis, Ibrahim Unalmis, Filiz Unsal |
| Autore | Unalmis Deren |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 28 p. : ill |
| Disciplina | 339.53091724 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
UnalmisIbrahim
UnsalFiliz |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Petroleum products - Prices
Accounting and price fluctuations Deflation Energy: Demand and Supply Energy: General Government business enterprises Human Capital Inflation Investment & securities Investments: Energy Labor Productivity Labor productivity Macroeconomics Nationalization Nonprofit Organizations and Public Enterprise: General Occupational Choice Oil prices Oil Petroleum industry and trade Price Level Prices Production and Operations Management Public enterprises Public ownership Skills |
| ISBN |
9786612844720
9781462324477 1462324479 9781451874303 1451874308 9781452740973 1452740976 9781282844728 1282844725 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. The Small Open Economy Model -- A. Households -- B. Firms -- C. Monetary and Fiscal Policy -- D. Equilibrium -- III. Rest of the World and the Oil Market -- A. Equilibrium in the Rest of the World -- B. Oil Market Equilibrium -- IV. Impulse Response Analysis -- A. Aggregate Demand Shocks -- B. Oil Supply Shock -- C. Precautionary Demand Shock -- V. Conclusions -- References -- Tables -- 1. Model in Log- Linearized Form: Behavioral Equations for SOE -- 2. Model in Log-Linearized Form: Behavioral Equations for the ROW and the Oil Market -- 3. Model in Log-Linearized Form: Parameters -- 4. Model in Log-Linearized Form: Exogenous Processes -- 5. Parameters Values Used in Calibration -- Appendix: Equilibrium Conditions -- A. Households and Goods Market Equilibrium in SOE -- B. Marginal Cost and Inflation Dynamics -- C. Rest of the World and Oil Market Equilibrium -- Appendix Figures -- 1. Impulse Responses to 1 Percent Labor Productivity Shock -- 2. Impulse Responses to 1 Percent Government Spending Shock -- 3. Impulse Responses to 10 Percent Negative Oil Supply Shock -- 4. Impulse Responses to 10 Percent Expected Negative Oil Supply Shock. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910965895403321 |
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Unalmis Deren
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| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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