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A risky business : an actuary's guide to quantifying and managing risk in society / / Catrin Townsend
A risky business : an actuary's guide to quantifying and managing risk in society / / Catrin Townsend
Autore Townsend Catrin
Pubbl/distr/stampa Cham, Switzerland : , : Palgrave Macmillan, , [2022]
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (415 pages)
Disciplina 031
Soggetto topico Actuarial science
Risc (Assegurances)
Gestió del risc
Soggetto genere / forma Llibres electrònics
ISBN 3-031-11673-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Intro -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- The Non-actuaries -- The Actuaries -- The Future Actuaries -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Introduction to Risk -- 1.2 There's No Business Like… -- 1.3 Can I Insure That? -- 1.4 Risk by Numbers -- 1.4.1 Risk Metrics -- 1.4.2 Success Metrics -- 2 A Short History of Actuarial Work -- 2.1 I'll Be There For You: The Beginning of Lloyd's -- 2.2 Pooling -- 2.3 San Francisco and Uberrima Fides -- 2.4 Lloyd's as a Marketplace -- 2.5 The Role of Actuarial Institutes Around the World -- 3 Products and Perils -- 3.1 What Could Possibly Go Wrong? -- 3.1.1 Property Damage -- 3.1.2 Liability -- 3.1.3 Financial Loss -- 3.1.4 Fixed Benefit -- 3.2 Boats, Buildings, and Beckham: An Introduction to Types of Insurance -- 3.2.1 Motor Insurance -- 3.2.2 Property Insurance -- 3.2.3 Business Insurance -- 3.2.4 Bespoke Financial Loss Policies -- 3.3 New Products, New Possibilities, New Problems -- 3.3.1 Environmental, Social, and Governance Sustainability in Insurance and Pensions -- 3.4 Case Study: Drone Insurance -- 4 Data -- 4.1 More Is More: Data for Beginners -- 4.1.1 More data gives more certainty -- 4.2 Data Is (a Bit Like) the New Oil -- 4.3 Exposure Data -- 4.4 The Importance of Being Earnest (and Honest): GDPR and Ethics in Actuarial Work -- 4.4.1 Who Cares About GDPR? -- 4.4.2 What Are the Broad Aims of GDPR? -- 4.4.3 What Are the New Consumer Rights? -- 4.4.4 What Does GDPR Mean for Actuaries? -- 4.4.5 Price-Walking -- 4.4.6 Discriminatory Data -- 4.4.7 Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) and Sustainable Investment -- 4.5 The Future of Data: Insurtech and AI -- 4.5.1 Telematics -- 4.5.2 Smart Appliances and Wearable Tech -- 4.5.3 Machine Learning -- 5 Annuities -- 5.1 Interested in Interest? -- 5.2 Introduction to Annuities -- 5.3 Variations on Annuities.
5.3.1 Annuities Paid Monthly -- 5.3.2 Deferred Annuities -- 5.3.3 Increasing Annuities -- 5.3.4 Perpetuities -- 5.4 IOU: Calculating Loan Repayments -- 5.5 Worked Example -- 6 Life-Dependent Products: Your Money or Your Life -- 6.1 When Will They Die? (And Other Morbid Questions) -- 6.2 What Life Tables Tell Us About Life -- 6.3 Calculations with Life Tables -- 6.4 Life-Dependent Annuities -- 6.5 Variation in Mortality Rates -- 6.5.1 Occupation -- 6.5.2 Smoking -- 6.5.3 Income-Related Risk Factors -- 6.5.4 Genetics -- 6.5.5 Selection Bias -- 6.6 Joint Life Annuities -- 6.7 Reversionary Annuities -- 7 Pensions: Who Pays? -- 7.1 A Short History of Pensions -- 7.2 Defining Defined Benefit Schemes -- 7.3 The DB Disappearance -- 7.4 The Fundamentals of Funding -- 7.4.1 Regular Contribution -- 7.4.2 Terminal Funding -- 7.4.3 Pay As You Go -- 7.5 Social Care -- 8 Pricing: The Science of Estimating the Risk Cost -- 8.1 Why Estimate the Risk Cost? -- 8.2 Getting to Know (People Like) You -- 8.3 Anti-Selection -- 8.4 An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Pricing -- 8.5 Worked Example: Pricing Pet Insurance -- 8.6 Pricing for Large Risks -- 9 Pricing: The Art of Estimating Everything Else -- 9.1 Types of Non-risk Costs -- 9.1.1 Wages, Rent, and Other Operating Expenses -- 9.1.2 Insurance and Reinsurance -- 9.1.3 Commission and Acquisition Expenses -- 9.1.4 Profit Loading -- 9.1.5 Investment Income -- 9.1.6 Insurance Premium Tax -- 9.2 Insurance Fraud -- 9.3 The Insurance Cycle -- 10 Reserving: First Principles -- 10.1 Principles of Reserving -- 10.2 Types of Claim Data -- 10.3 Using Patterns in Data -- 10.4 Injury Claims and PPOs -- 11 Reserving: Methods -- 11.1 Chain Ladder Method -- 11.2 Expected Loss Ratio method -- 11.3 The Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method -- 11.4 Alternative Reserving Methods -- 11.4.1 The ACPC Method.
11.4.2 Curve Fitting -- 11.4.3 Stochastic Methods -- 11.4.4 Machine Learning -- 12 In Case of Emergency: Capital Requirements -- 12.1 That's Capital! -- 12.2 How Much Capital Should be Held? -- 12.3 Solvency -- 12.4 Solvency II -- 12.4.1 What is Solvency II? -- 12.4.2 How Much is the Capital Requirement Under Solvency II? -- 12.4.3 What Kinds of Assets are Allowed Under Solvency II? -- 12.5 Capital Calculation Methods -- 12.5.1 Risk Measures -- 12.5.2 Risk Allocation Methods -- 12.6 Inadequate Capital: A Warning from History -- 12.6.1 Transit: 'The Titanic of Insurance Insolvencies' -- 13 Reinsurance -- 13.1 A Problem Shared: An Introduction to Reinsurance -- 13.1.1 Proportional Reinsurance -- 13.1.2 Excess of Loss Reinsurance (XL) -- 13.2 The LMX Spiral -- 13.3 Reinsurance to Close -- 13.4 Sharing Risk Outside of Insurance -- 13.4.1 Risk Transfer to the Financial Sector -- 13.4.2 Transferring Risk to the Public Sector -- 13.4.2.1 Case Study: Flood Re -- 13.4.2.2 Other Public Sector Flood Insurance Models -- 14 Catastrophes -- 14.1 Modeling Natural Catastrophes -- 14.2 Lessons from Hurricane Katrina -- 14.2.1 Lesson 1: Run for Cover -- 14.2.2 Lesson 2: Count the Seconds -- 14.2.3 Lesson 3: Take a Break (into Consideration) -- 14.2.4 Lesson 4: Social Good, but Profit Better -- 14.2.5 Lesson 5: It Never Rains but It Pours -- 14.3 Promising the World - the Challenge and Benefits of the Globalization of Insurance -- 14.4 A Micro Introduction to Microinsurance -- 14.5 Cyber Insurance -- 15 Climate Change and Biodiversity Loss -- 15.1 Climate Change -- 15.2 From A(ctuary) to Z(oonotic) -- 15.2.1 Underwriting Exclusions -- 15.2.2 Creating a Biodiversity Loss Metric -- 15.2.3 Calculating the Value of Biodiversity to Insurers -- 16 Latent Claims: A Problem for Another Day -- 16.1 An Introduction to… (Wait for It) …. Latent Claims.
16.2 Asbestos: The Wonder Fabric with a Dark Secret -- 16.3 The Blame Game: Insurance and the Law -- 16.4 Environmental Claims -- 17 Modeling Coronavirus-19 -- 17.1 Modeling in a Crisis -- 17.2 Modeling Coronavirus-19 Spread -- 17.3 Re-modeling (and Re-modeling and Re-modeling) Coronavirus Spread -- 17.4 Covid Corollaries: The Effect of the Pandemic on Insurance and Pensions -- 18 Careers in Actuarial Science -- 18.1 What Do You Need to Be an Actuary? -- 18.2 Professional Qualifications -- 18.2.1 IFoA Exams-The Detail -- 18.2.2 SOA and CAS Exams-The Detail -- 18.3 Exam FAQs -- 18.4 Professional Development -- 18.5 The International Market for Actuarial Science -- 18.6 A Day in the Life of an Actuarial Analyst -- 18.6.1 A Day in the Life of a Pricing Analyst -- 18.6.2 A Day in the Life of a Reserving Analyst -- 18.7 Final Remarks on Actuarial Careers -- 19 Looking Forward: The Future of Actuarial Work -- 19.1 It's The End of The World as We Know it-And We'll Be Fine -- Appendices -- Appendix A: Table of Compound Interest, for 3% and 5% Effective Interest Per Annum -- Appendix B: Life Tables for UK Male and Female Lives -- Appendix C: Net Present Value of Life-Dependent Annuities for 3% and 5% Interest Rates -- Glossary -- Index.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910595029203321
Townsend Catrin  
Cham, Switzerland : , : Palgrave Macmillan, , [2022]
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
A risky business : an actuary's guide to quantifying and managing risk in society / / Catrin Townsend
A risky business : an actuary's guide to quantifying and managing risk in society / / Catrin Townsend
Autore Townsend Catrin
Pubbl/distr/stampa Cham, Switzerland : , : Palgrave Macmillan, , [2022]
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (415 pages)
Disciplina 031
Soggetto topico Actuarial science
Risc (Assegurances)
Gestió del risc
Soggetto genere / forma Llibres electrònics
ISBN 3-031-11673-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Intro -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- The Non-actuaries -- The Actuaries -- The Future Actuaries -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Introduction to Risk -- 1.2 There's No Business Like… -- 1.3 Can I Insure That? -- 1.4 Risk by Numbers -- 1.4.1 Risk Metrics -- 1.4.2 Success Metrics -- 2 A Short History of Actuarial Work -- 2.1 I'll Be There For You: The Beginning of Lloyd's -- 2.2 Pooling -- 2.3 San Francisco and Uberrima Fides -- 2.4 Lloyd's as a Marketplace -- 2.5 The Role of Actuarial Institutes Around the World -- 3 Products and Perils -- 3.1 What Could Possibly Go Wrong? -- 3.1.1 Property Damage -- 3.1.2 Liability -- 3.1.3 Financial Loss -- 3.1.4 Fixed Benefit -- 3.2 Boats, Buildings, and Beckham: An Introduction to Types of Insurance -- 3.2.1 Motor Insurance -- 3.2.2 Property Insurance -- 3.2.3 Business Insurance -- 3.2.4 Bespoke Financial Loss Policies -- 3.3 New Products, New Possibilities, New Problems -- 3.3.1 Environmental, Social, and Governance Sustainability in Insurance and Pensions -- 3.4 Case Study: Drone Insurance -- 4 Data -- 4.1 More Is More: Data for Beginners -- 4.1.1 More data gives more certainty -- 4.2 Data Is (a Bit Like) the New Oil -- 4.3 Exposure Data -- 4.4 The Importance of Being Earnest (and Honest): GDPR and Ethics in Actuarial Work -- 4.4.1 Who Cares About GDPR? -- 4.4.2 What Are the Broad Aims of GDPR? -- 4.4.3 What Are the New Consumer Rights? -- 4.4.4 What Does GDPR Mean for Actuaries? -- 4.4.5 Price-Walking -- 4.4.6 Discriminatory Data -- 4.4.7 Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) and Sustainable Investment -- 4.5 The Future of Data: Insurtech and AI -- 4.5.1 Telematics -- 4.5.2 Smart Appliances and Wearable Tech -- 4.5.3 Machine Learning -- 5 Annuities -- 5.1 Interested in Interest? -- 5.2 Introduction to Annuities -- 5.3 Variations on Annuities.
5.3.1 Annuities Paid Monthly -- 5.3.2 Deferred Annuities -- 5.3.3 Increasing Annuities -- 5.3.4 Perpetuities -- 5.4 IOU: Calculating Loan Repayments -- 5.5 Worked Example -- 6 Life-Dependent Products: Your Money or Your Life -- 6.1 When Will They Die? (And Other Morbid Questions) -- 6.2 What Life Tables Tell Us About Life -- 6.3 Calculations with Life Tables -- 6.4 Life-Dependent Annuities -- 6.5 Variation in Mortality Rates -- 6.5.1 Occupation -- 6.5.2 Smoking -- 6.5.3 Income-Related Risk Factors -- 6.5.4 Genetics -- 6.5.5 Selection Bias -- 6.6 Joint Life Annuities -- 6.7 Reversionary Annuities -- 7 Pensions: Who Pays? -- 7.1 A Short History of Pensions -- 7.2 Defining Defined Benefit Schemes -- 7.3 The DB Disappearance -- 7.4 The Fundamentals of Funding -- 7.4.1 Regular Contribution -- 7.4.2 Terminal Funding -- 7.4.3 Pay As You Go -- 7.5 Social Care -- 8 Pricing: The Science of Estimating the Risk Cost -- 8.1 Why Estimate the Risk Cost? -- 8.2 Getting to Know (People Like) You -- 8.3 Anti-Selection -- 8.4 An Introduction to Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Pricing -- 8.5 Worked Example: Pricing Pet Insurance -- 8.6 Pricing for Large Risks -- 9 Pricing: The Art of Estimating Everything Else -- 9.1 Types of Non-risk Costs -- 9.1.1 Wages, Rent, and Other Operating Expenses -- 9.1.2 Insurance and Reinsurance -- 9.1.3 Commission and Acquisition Expenses -- 9.1.4 Profit Loading -- 9.1.5 Investment Income -- 9.1.6 Insurance Premium Tax -- 9.2 Insurance Fraud -- 9.3 The Insurance Cycle -- 10 Reserving: First Principles -- 10.1 Principles of Reserving -- 10.2 Types of Claim Data -- 10.3 Using Patterns in Data -- 10.4 Injury Claims and PPOs -- 11 Reserving: Methods -- 11.1 Chain Ladder Method -- 11.2 Expected Loss Ratio method -- 11.3 The Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method -- 11.4 Alternative Reserving Methods -- 11.4.1 The ACPC Method.
11.4.2 Curve Fitting -- 11.4.3 Stochastic Methods -- 11.4.4 Machine Learning -- 12 In Case of Emergency: Capital Requirements -- 12.1 That's Capital! -- 12.2 How Much Capital Should be Held? -- 12.3 Solvency -- 12.4 Solvency II -- 12.4.1 What is Solvency II? -- 12.4.2 How Much is the Capital Requirement Under Solvency II? -- 12.4.3 What Kinds of Assets are Allowed Under Solvency II? -- 12.5 Capital Calculation Methods -- 12.5.1 Risk Measures -- 12.5.2 Risk Allocation Methods -- 12.6 Inadequate Capital: A Warning from History -- 12.6.1 Transit: 'The Titanic of Insurance Insolvencies' -- 13 Reinsurance -- 13.1 A Problem Shared: An Introduction to Reinsurance -- 13.1.1 Proportional Reinsurance -- 13.1.2 Excess of Loss Reinsurance (XL) -- 13.2 The LMX Spiral -- 13.3 Reinsurance to Close -- 13.4 Sharing Risk Outside of Insurance -- 13.4.1 Risk Transfer to the Financial Sector -- 13.4.2 Transferring Risk to the Public Sector -- 13.4.2.1 Case Study: Flood Re -- 13.4.2.2 Other Public Sector Flood Insurance Models -- 14 Catastrophes -- 14.1 Modeling Natural Catastrophes -- 14.2 Lessons from Hurricane Katrina -- 14.2.1 Lesson 1: Run for Cover -- 14.2.2 Lesson 2: Count the Seconds -- 14.2.3 Lesson 3: Take a Break (into Consideration) -- 14.2.4 Lesson 4: Social Good, but Profit Better -- 14.2.5 Lesson 5: It Never Rains but It Pours -- 14.3 Promising the World - the Challenge and Benefits of the Globalization of Insurance -- 14.4 A Micro Introduction to Microinsurance -- 14.5 Cyber Insurance -- 15 Climate Change and Biodiversity Loss -- 15.1 Climate Change -- 15.2 From A(ctuary) to Z(oonotic) -- 15.2.1 Underwriting Exclusions -- 15.2.2 Creating a Biodiversity Loss Metric -- 15.2.3 Calculating the Value of Biodiversity to Insurers -- 16 Latent Claims: A Problem for Another Day -- 16.1 An Introduction to… (Wait for It) …. Latent Claims.
16.2 Asbestos: The Wonder Fabric with a Dark Secret -- 16.3 The Blame Game: Insurance and the Law -- 16.4 Environmental Claims -- 17 Modeling Coronavirus-19 -- 17.1 Modeling in a Crisis -- 17.2 Modeling Coronavirus-19 Spread -- 17.3 Re-modeling (and Re-modeling and Re-modeling) Coronavirus Spread -- 17.4 Covid Corollaries: The Effect of the Pandemic on Insurance and Pensions -- 18 Careers in Actuarial Science -- 18.1 What Do You Need to Be an Actuary? -- 18.2 Professional Qualifications -- 18.2.1 IFoA Exams-The Detail -- 18.2.2 SOA and CAS Exams-The Detail -- 18.3 Exam FAQs -- 18.4 Professional Development -- 18.5 The International Market for Actuarial Science -- 18.6 A Day in the Life of an Actuarial Analyst -- 18.6.1 A Day in the Life of a Pricing Analyst -- 18.6.2 A Day in the Life of a Reserving Analyst -- 18.7 Final Remarks on Actuarial Careers -- 19 Looking Forward: The Future of Actuarial Work -- 19.1 It's The End of The World as We Know it-And We'll Be Fine -- Appendices -- Appendix A: Table of Compound Interest, for 3% and 5% Effective Interest Per Annum -- Appendix B: Life Tables for UK Male and Female Lives -- Appendix C: Net Present Value of Life-Dependent Annuities for 3% and 5% Interest Rates -- Glossary -- Index.
Record Nr. UNISA-996490344403316
Townsend Catrin  
Cham, Switzerland : , : Palgrave Macmillan, , [2022]
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. di Salerno
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui