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Failing the crystal ball test [[electronic resource] ] : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Failing the crystal ball test [[electronic resource] ] : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa Westport, Conn., : Praeger, 2000
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (269 p.)
Disciplina 327.73055/09/047
Soggetto topico Islamic fundamentalism - Iran
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 0-313-00277-0
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Record Nr. UNINA-9910454866503321
Seliktar Ofira  
Westport, Conn., : Praeger, 2000
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xxi, 245 pages)
Disciplina 327.73055/09/047
Soggetto topico Islamic fundamentalism - Iran
ISBN 0-313-00277-0
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Record Nr. UNINA-9910779852203321
Seliktar Ofira  
Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Edizione [1st ed.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xxi, 245 pages)
Disciplina 327.73055/09/047
Soggetto topico Islamic fundamentalism - Iran
ISBN 9798400649516
9780313002779
0313002770
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover -- Failing the Crystal Ball Test -- Contents -- Preface -- Abbreviations -- Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change -- 1 Theories of Political Change and Predictions of Change: Methodological Problems -- METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS OF TRACKING CHANGES IN A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM -- THE DIMENSIONS OF A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM: EXISTENTIAL IMPERATIVES AS VALIDITY CLAIMS -- THE PROCESS OF LEGITIMIZING A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM: THE DISCURSIVE APPROACH -- THE PROCESS OF DELEGITIMATION: THE SYSTEMIC AND INDIVIDUAL LEVEL VIEW -- Systemic Level Mechanisms -- Individual Level Mechanisms -- ACTIVATING THE PROCESS OF DELEGITIMATION: TRIGGER CONDITIONS OF CHANGE -- THE NATURE OF THE DELEGITIMATION DISCOURSE: SYMBOLS AND SUBSTANCE -- THE TIMETABLE OF THE DELEGITIMATION DISCOURSE: CONTINUOUS AND REVOLUTIONARY CHANGE -- THE PROCESS OF TRANSVALUATION: REFORMIST AND RADICAL -- 2 Paradigmatic Views of Political Change: Developmentalism vs. Dependency -- THE DEVELOPMENTAL VIEW OF CHANGE: LINEAR PROGRESSION TOWARD THE WEST -- THE DEPENDENCY VIEW OF CHANGE: LINEAR PROGRESSION TOWARD A SOCIALIST UTOPIA -- HEADED TOWARD CONVERGENCE: REDEFINING THE DIRECTION OF POLITICAL CHANGE -- LEANING TO THE LEFT: THE MYTH AND REALITY OF THE OBJECTIVE SOCIAL SCIENTIST -- FROM REALPOLITIK TO MORALPOLITIK: THE INTELLECTUAL BASE OF NEW INTERNATIONALISM -- 3 Road Testing New Internationalism: The Iran Policy of the Carter Administration -- CRUSADING AGAINST REALPOLITIK: MAINSTREAMING THE NEW INTERNATIONALISM VISION -- THE UNLIKELY CRUSADER: JIMMY CARTER AND THE EMBRACE OF NEW INTERNATIONALISM -- A COAT OF MANY COLORS: THE SHAPING OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S IRANIAN POLICY -- THE RESURGENT CONGRESS: THE AWACS SALE AS A REFERENDUM ON THE SHAH'S LEGITIMACY -- BACK HOME: THE SHAH AND THE OPPOSITION TAKE MEASURE OF THE "CARTER REVOLUTION" IN FOREIGN POLICY.
WASHINGTON'S CHALLENGE: THE POLITICS OF THE PREDICTIVE PROCESS -- 4 In the Eye of the Storm: The Carter Administration and the Iranian Revolution -- THE CYCLICAL RIOTS: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE CYCLICAL RIOTS: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- THE MASS PROTEST: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE MASS PROTEST: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- THE GENERAL STRIKES: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE GENERAL STRIKES: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- THE ENDGAME: A VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE ENDGAME: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- 5 Dealing with Chaos: The Carter Administration and the Successor Regime in Iran -- THE SHORT SPRING OF THE MODERATES: THE EMERGENCE OF A DUAL GOVERNMENT -- MAKING SENSE OF THE REVOLUTIONARY AFTERMATH: WASHINGTON'S GUIDE FOR THE PERPLEXED -- THE HOT SUMMER: THE FUNDAMENTALIST TAKEOVER -- WHAT'S IN A NAME?: WASHINGTON BETS ON THE MODERATES -- THE LONG FALL: THE PUSH FOR A FUNDAMENTALIST HEGEMONY -- THE UNWELCOME VISITOR: THE POLITICS OF THE SHAH'S ADMISSION TO THE UNITED STATES AND THE SEIZURE OF THE EMBASSY -- 6 Reflections on Predictive Failures -- PARADIGMATIC FAILURE -- POLICY FAILURE -- INTELLIGENCE FAILURE -- UNDERSTANDING THE "GREAT UNKNOWN": THE IRANIAN REVOLUTION AND PREDICTING POLITICAL CHANGE IN THE FUTURE -- References -- Index -- About the Author.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910965957303321
Seliktar Ofira  
Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Iran, Revolution, and Proxy Wars / / by Ofira Seliktar, Farhad Rezaei
Iran, Revolution, and Proxy Wars / / by Ofira Seliktar, Farhad Rezaei
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Edizione [1st ed. 2020.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Palgrave Macmillan, , 2020
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (252 pages)
Disciplina 320.955
324.22
Collana Middle East Today
Soggetto topico Middle East - Politics and government
World politics
Religion and politics
Political science
Political leadership
Middle Eastern Politics
Political History
Politics and Religion
Governance and Government
Political Leadership
ISBN 9783030294182
3030294188
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Exporting the Revolution and Building Hegemony -- 2. Hezbollah in Lebanon: Creating the Model Proxy -- 3. Deploying Proxies against the "Zionist Enemy" and Undermining the Oslo Peace Process -- 4. Al-Qaeda: Islamist Ecumenism Against the United States and the West -- 5. From the Bader Brigade to the Popular Mobilization Forces: Fighting the Americans while Turning Iraq into a New Lebanon -- 6. Rescuing the Assad Regime and Turning Syria into a Client State -- 7. Proxies in the Gulf and Beyond: Saudi Arabia, the Gulf Principalities, and Yemen -- 8. Conclusions: The Success of the Proxy Strategy and its Limits.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910369920503321
Seliktar Ofira  
Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Palgrave Macmillan, , 2020
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (323 pages) : illustrations, tables
Disciplina 327.5694
Collana Routledge Library Editions : Israel and Palestine
Soggetto topico Zionism - Israel
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 1-315-69540-5
1-317-44284-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910460915103321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (323 pages) : illustrations, tables
Disciplina 327.5694
Collana Routledge Library Editions : Israel and Palestine
Soggetto topico Zionism - Israel
ISBN 1-315-69540-5
1-317-44284-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910797264503321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (323 pages) : illustrations, tables
Disciplina 327.5694
Collana Routledge Library Editions : Israel and Palestine
Soggetto topico Zionism - Israel
ISBN 1-315-69540-5
1-317-44284-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910800170503321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (294 p.)
Disciplina 327.73047/09/048
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 1-315-70163-4
0-7656-1465-0
1-317-46243-2
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto ""Cover ""; ""Half Title ""; ""Title Page ""; ""Copyright Page ""; ""Dedication ""; ""Table of Contents ""; ""List of Abbreviations ""; ""Preface ""; ""Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change""; ""1. Theories of Political Change and Prediction of Change: Methodological Problems""; ""Methodological Problems of Tracking Changes in a Collective Belief System""; ""The Dimensions of a Collective Belief System: Existential Imperatives as Validity Claims""; ""Changing the Collective Belief System: The Process of Delegitimation""
""Activating the Process of Delegitimation: Trigger Conditions of Change""""The Durability of Legitimacy: Personal and Systemic Factors of Maintenance""; ""Legitimacy of the Soviet Union: The Theory and Politics of a Concept""; ""Rational Choice Theory and Soviet Legitimacy: Coercion and Preference Falsification""; ""2. Oligarchic Petrification or Pluralistic Transformation: Paradigmatic Views of the Soviet Union in the 1970s""; ""The Totalitarian Model: Oligarchic Petrification and Final Doom""; ""The Revisionist Model: Pluralistic Transformation and Final Convergence""
""The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Moscow """"The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Washington ""; ""5. Acceleration: Tinkering Around the Edges, 1985-1986""; ""Revisiting Communist Legitimacy: In Search of a New Formula""; ""Domestic Reforms and Gorbachev's Foreign Policy: Clouding the Vision for a Global Class Struggle""; ""Making Sense of Gorbachev: The Politics of the Predictive Process in Washington""; ""The Revisionist Paradigm Vindicated? Gorbachev and the Reformability of the Soviet System""; ""6. Perestroika: Systemic Change,1987-1989""
""Experimenting with a New Legitimacy Formula: From Gramsci to ""Socialist Democracy"" and ""Socialist Market""""
Record Nr. UNINA-9910464017703321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (294 p.)
Disciplina 327.73047/09/048
ISBN 1-315-70163-4
0-7656-1465-0
1-317-46243-2
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto ""Cover ""; ""Half Title ""; ""Title Page ""; ""Copyright Page ""; ""Dedication ""; ""Table of Contents ""; ""List of Abbreviations ""; ""Preface ""; ""Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change""; ""1. Theories of Political Change and Prediction of Change: Methodological Problems""; ""Methodological Problems of Tracking Changes in a Collective Belief System""; ""The Dimensions of a Collective Belief System: Existential Imperatives as Validity Claims""; ""Changing the Collective Belief System: The Process of Delegitimation""
""Activating the Process of Delegitimation: Trigger Conditions of Change""""The Durability of Legitimacy: Personal and Systemic Factors of Maintenance""; ""Legitimacy of the Soviet Union: The Theory and Politics of a Concept""; ""Rational Choice Theory and Soviet Legitimacy: Coercion and Preference Falsification""; ""2. Oligarchic Petrification or Pluralistic Transformation: Paradigmatic Views of the Soviet Union in the 1970s""; ""The Totalitarian Model: Oligarchic Petrification and Final Doom""; ""The Revisionist Model: Pluralistic Transformation and Final Convergence""
""The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Moscow """"The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Washington ""; ""5. Acceleration: Tinkering Around the Edges, 1985-1986""; ""Revisiting Communist Legitimacy: In Search of a New Formula""; ""Domestic Reforms and Gorbachev's Foreign Policy: Clouding the Vision for a Global Class Struggle""; ""Making Sense of Gorbachev: The Politics of the Predictive Process in Washington""; ""The Revisionist Paradigm Vindicated? Gorbachev and the Reformability of the Soviet System""; ""6. Perestroika: Systemic Change,1987-1989""
""Experimenting with a New Legitimacy Formula: From Gramsci to ""Socialist Democracy"" and ""Socialist Market""""
Record Nr. UNINA-9910788280803321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui