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Failing the crystal ball test [[electronic resource] ] : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Failing the crystal ball test [[electronic resource] ] : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa Westport, Conn., : Praeger, 2000
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (269 p.)
Disciplina 327.73055/09/047
Soggetto topico Islamic fundamentalism - Iran
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 0-313-00277-0
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Record Nr. UNINA-9910454866503321
Seliktar Ofira  
Westport, Conn., : Praeger, 2000
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xxi, 245 pages)
Disciplina 327.73055/09/047
Soggetto topico Islamic fundamentalism - Iran
ISBN 0-313-00277-0
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Record Nr. UNINA-9910779852203321
Seliktar Ofira  
Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Failing the crystal ball test : the Carter administration and the fundamentalist revolution in Iran / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Edizione [1st ed.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xxi, 245 pages)
Disciplina 327.73055/09/047
Soggetto topico Islamic fundamentalism - Iran
ISBN 979-84-00-64951-6
0-313-00277-0
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover -- Failing the Crystal Ball Test -- Contents -- Preface -- Abbreviations -- Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change -- 1 Theories of Political Change and Predictions of Change: Methodological Problems -- METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS OF TRACKING CHANGES IN A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM -- THE DIMENSIONS OF A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM: EXISTENTIAL IMPERATIVES AS VALIDITY CLAIMS -- THE PROCESS OF LEGITIMIZING A COLLECTIVE BELIEF SYSTEM: THE DISCURSIVE APPROACH -- THE PROCESS OF DELEGITIMATION: THE SYSTEMIC AND INDIVIDUAL LEVEL VIEW -- Systemic Level Mechanisms -- Individual Level Mechanisms -- ACTIVATING THE PROCESS OF DELEGITIMATION: TRIGGER CONDITIONS OF CHANGE -- THE NATURE OF THE DELEGITIMATION DISCOURSE: SYMBOLS AND SUBSTANCE -- THE TIMETABLE OF THE DELEGITIMATION DISCOURSE: CONTINUOUS AND REVOLUTIONARY CHANGE -- THE PROCESS OF TRANSVALUATION: REFORMIST AND RADICAL -- 2 Paradigmatic Views of Political Change: Developmentalism vs. Dependency -- THE DEVELOPMENTAL VIEW OF CHANGE: LINEAR PROGRESSION TOWARD THE WEST -- THE DEPENDENCY VIEW OF CHANGE: LINEAR PROGRESSION TOWARD A SOCIALIST UTOPIA -- HEADED TOWARD CONVERGENCE: REDEFINING THE DIRECTION OF POLITICAL CHANGE -- LEANING TO THE LEFT: THE MYTH AND REALITY OF THE OBJECTIVE SOCIAL SCIENTIST -- FROM REALPOLITIK TO MORALPOLITIK: THE INTELLECTUAL BASE OF NEW INTERNATIONALISM -- 3 Road Testing New Internationalism: The Iran Policy of the Carter Administration -- CRUSADING AGAINST REALPOLITIK: MAINSTREAMING THE NEW INTERNATIONALISM VISION -- THE UNLIKELY CRUSADER: JIMMY CARTER AND THE EMBRACE OF NEW INTERNATIONALISM -- A COAT OF MANY COLORS: THE SHAPING OF THE ADMINISTRATION'S IRANIAN POLICY -- THE RESURGENT CONGRESS: THE AWACS SALE AS A REFERENDUM ON THE SHAH'S LEGITIMACY -- BACK HOME: THE SHAH AND THE OPPOSITION TAKE MEASURE OF THE "CARTER REVOLUTION" IN FOREIGN POLICY.
WASHINGTON'S CHALLENGE: THE POLITICS OF THE PREDICTIVE PROCESS -- 4 In the Eye of the Storm: The Carter Administration and the Iranian Revolution -- THE CYCLICAL RIOTS: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE CYCLICAL RIOTS: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- THE MASS PROTEST: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE MASS PROTEST: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- THE GENERAL STRIKES: THE VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE GENERAL STRIKES: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- THE ENDGAME: A VIEW FROM TEHERAN -- THE ENDGAME: THE VIEW FROM WASHINGTON -- 5 Dealing with Chaos: The Carter Administration and the Successor Regime in Iran -- THE SHORT SPRING OF THE MODERATES: THE EMERGENCE OF A DUAL GOVERNMENT -- MAKING SENSE OF THE REVOLUTIONARY AFTERMATH: WASHINGTON'S GUIDE FOR THE PERPLEXED -- THE HOT SUMMER: THE FUNDAMENTALIST TAKEOVER -- WHAT'S IN A NAME?: WASHINGTON BETS ON THE MODERATES -- THE LONG FALL: THE PUSH FOR A FUNDAMENTALIST HEGEMONY -- THE UNWELCOME VISITOR: THE POLITICS OF THE SHAH'S ADMISSION TO THE UNITED STATES AND THE SEIZURE OF THE EMBASSY -- 6 Reflections on Predictive Failures -- PARADIGMATIC FAILURE -- POLICY FAILURE -- INTELLIGENCE FAILURE -- UNDERSTANDING THE "GREAT UNKNOWN": THE IRANIAN REVOLUTION AND PREDICTING POLITICAL CHANGE IN THE FUTURE -- References -- Index -- About the Author.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910818697603321
Seliktar Ofira  
Westport, Conn. : , : Praeger, , 2000
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Iran, Revolution, and Proxy Wars / / by Ofira Seliktar, Farhad Rezaei
Iran, Revolution, and Proxy Wars / / by Ofira Seliktar, Farhad Rezaei
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Edizione [1st ed. 2020.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Palgrave Macmillan, , 2020
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (252 pages)
Disciplina 320.955
324.22
Collana Middle East Today
Soggetto topico Middle East—Politics and government
World politics
Religion and politics
Political science
Political leadership
Middle Eastern Politics
Political History
Politics and Religion
Governance and Government
Political Leadership
ISBN 3-030-29418-8
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Exporting the Revolution and Building Hegemony -- 2. Hezbollah in Lebanon: Creating the Model Proxy -- 3. Deploying Proxies against the “Zionist Enemy” and Undermining the Oslo Peace Process -- 4. Al-Qaeda: Islamist Ecumenism Against the United States and the West -- 5. From the Bader Brigade to the Popular Mobilization Forces: Fighting the Americans while Turning Iraq into a New Lebanon -- 6. Rescuing the Assad Regime and Turning Syria into a Client State -- 7. Proxies in the Gulf and Beyond: Saudi Arabia, the Gulf Principalities, and Yemen -- 8. Conclusions: The Success of the Proxy Strategy and its Limits.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910369920503321
Seliktar Ofira  
Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Palgrave Macmillan, , 2020
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (323 pages) : illustrations, tables
Disciplina 327.5694
Collana Routledge Library Editions : Israel and Palestine
Soggetto topico Zionism - Israel
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 1-315-69540-5
1-317-44284-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910460915103321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (323 pages) : illustrations, tables
Disciplina 327.5694
Collana Routledge Library Editions : Israel and Palestine
Soggetto topico Zionism - Israel
ISBN 1-315-69540-5
1-317-44284-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910797264503321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (323 pages) : illustrations, tables
Disciplina 327.5694
Collana Routledge Library Editions : Israel and Palestine
Soggetto topico Zionism - Israel
ISBN 1-315-69540-5
1-317-44284-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910800170503321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
New Zionism and the foreign policy system of Israel / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Edizione [1st ed.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (323 pages) : illustrations, tables
Disciplina 327.5694
Collana Routledge Library Editions : Israel and Palestine
Soggetto topico Zionism - Israel
ISBN 1-315-69540-5
1-317-44284-9
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto 1. Framework of analysis : identifying a society's changing belief system -- pt. 1, 2. Jewish belief systems in perspective : traditional and Zionist ideologies. 3. The evolution of New Zionism -- pt. 2, 4. The delegitimisation of socialist Zionism : the domestic politics of a nation in the making. 5. Foreign policy and delegitimisation : socialist Zionism in the aftermath of the Six-day War. 6. The process of transvaluation : changing patterns of political culture and foreign policy -- pt. 3, 7. New Zionism and models of foreign policy conduct : the application of the idealistic-initiating model to the foreign policy of Likud. 8. Changes in the New Zionist belief system in the aftermath of the Lebanon War. 9. Conclusions.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910809865503321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (294 p.)
Disciplina 327.73047/09/048
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 1-315-70163-4
0-7656-1465-0
1-317-46243-2
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto ""Cover ""; ""Half Title ""; ""Title Page ""; ""Copyright Page ""; ""Dedication ""; ""Table of Contents ""; ""List of Abbreviations ""; ""Preface ""; ""Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change""; ""1. Theories of Political Change and Prediction of Change: Methodological Problems""; ""Methodological Problems of Tracking Changes in a Collective Belief System""; ""The Dimensions of a Collective Belief System: Existential Imperatives as Validity Claims""; ""Changing the Collective Belief System: The Process of Delegitimation""
""Activating the Process of Delegitimation: Trigger Conditions of Change""""The Durability of Legitimacy: Personal and Systemic Factors of Maintenance""; ""Legitimacy of the Soviet Union: The Theory and Politics of a Concept""; ""Rational Choice Theory and Soviet Legitimacy: Coercion and Preference Falsification""; ""2. Oligarchic Petrification or Pluralistic Transformation: Paradigmatic Views of the Soviet Union in the 1970s""; ""The Totalitarian Model: Oligarchic Petrification and Final Doom""; ""The Revisionist Model: Pluralistic Transformation and Final Convergence""
""The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Moscow """"The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Washington ""; ""5. Acceleration: Tinkering Around the Edges, 1985-1986""; ""Revisiting Communist Legitimacy: In Search of a New Formula""; ""Domestic Reforms and Gorbachev's Foreign Policy: Clouding the Vision for a Global Class Struggle""; ""Making Sense of Gorbachev: The Politics of the Predictive Process in Washington""; ""The Revisionist Paradigm Vindicated? Gorbachev and the Reformability of the Soviet System""; ""6. Perestroika: Systemic Change,1987-1989""
""Experimenting with a New Legitimacy Formula: From Gramsci to ""Socialist Democracy"" and ""Socialist Market""""
Record Nr. UNINA-9910464017703321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Politics, paradigms, and intelligence failures : why so few predicted the collapse of the Soviet Union / / Ofira Seliktar
Autore Seliktar Ofira
Pubbl/distr/stampa London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (294 p.)
Disciplina 327.73047/09/048
ISBN 1-315-70163-4
0-7656-1465-0
1-317-46243-2
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto ""Cover ""; ""Half Title ""; ""Title Page ""; ""Copyright Page ""; ""Dedication ""; ""Table of Contents ""; ""List of Abbreviations ""; ""Preface ""; ""Introduction: The Theory and Practice of Predicting Political Change""; ""1. Theories of Political Change and Prediction of Change: Methodological Problems""; ""Methodological Problems of Tracking Changes in a Collective Belief System""; ""The Dimensions of a Collective Belief System: Existential Imperatives as Validity Claims""; ""Changing the Collective Belief System: The Process of Delegitimation""
""Activating the Process of Delegitimation: Trigger Conditions of Change""""The Durability of Legitimacy: Personal and Systemic Factors of Maintenance""; ""Legitimacy of the Soviet Union: The Theory and Politics of a Concept""; ""Rational Choice Theory and Soviet Legitimacy: Coercion and Preference Falsification""; ""2. Oligarchic Petrification or Pluralistic Transformation: Paradigmatic Views of the Soviet Union in the 1970s""; ""The Totalitarian Model: Oligarchic Petrification and Final Doom""; ""The Revisionist Model: Pluralistic Transformation and Final Convergence""
""The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Moscow """"The Chernenko-Gorbachev Transition: The View from Washington ""; ""5. Acceleration: Tinkering Around the Edges, 1985-1986""; ""Revisiting Communist Legitimacy: In Search of a New Formula""; ""Domestic Reforms and Gorbachev's Foreign Policy: Clouding the Vision for a Global Class Struggle""; ""Making Sense of Gorbachev: The Politics of the Predictive Process in Washington""; ""The Revisionist Paradigm Vindicated? Gorbachev and the Reformability of the Soviet System""; ""6. Perestroika: Systemic Change,1987-1989""
""Experimenting with a New Legitimacy Formula: From Gramsci to ""Socialist Democracy"" and ""Socialist Market""""
Record Nr. UNINA-9910788280803321
Seliktar Ofira  
London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 2015
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui