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Averting Disaster Before It Strikes [[electronic resource] ] : How to Make Sure Your Subordinates Warn You While There is Still Time to Act / / by Dmitry Chernov, Ali Ayoub, Giovanni Sansavini, Didier Sornette
Averting Disaster Before It Strikes [[electronic resource] ] : How to Make Sure Your Subordinates Warn You While There is Still Time to Act / / by Dmitry Chernov, Ali Ayoub, Giovanni Sansavini, Didier Sornette
Autore Chernov Dmitry
Edizione [1st ed. 2023.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2023
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (XXII, 376 p. 69 illus., 35 illus. in color.)
Disciplina 658.155
Soggetto topico Financial risk management
Psychology, Industrial
Management
Security systems
Automation
Risk Management
Work and Organizational Psychology
Security Science and Technology
ISBN 3-031-30772-0
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Introduction -- The reason of the concealment -- Top 10 recommendations -- Results of the pilot project -- Discussion.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910731411603321
Chernov Dmitry  
Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2023
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Cyber-physical distributed systems : modeling, reliability analysis and applications / / Huadong Mo, Giovanni Sansavini, M. Xie
Cyber-physical distributed systems : modeling, reliability analysis and applications / / Huadong Mo, Giovanni Sansavini, M. Xie
Autore Mo Huadong
Pubbl/distr/stampa Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2021]
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xv, 206 pages)
Disciplina 004.678
Soggetto topico Electronic data processing - Distributed processing - Simulation methods
Cooperating objects (Computer systems) - Simulation methods
Internet of things - Simulation methods
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 1-119-68271-1
1-119-68270-3
1-119-68272-X
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Preface -- Acronyms and Abbreviations -- Chapter 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Challenges of Traditional Physical and Cyber Systems -- 1.2 Research Trends of CPSs -- 1.2.1 Stability of CPSs -- 1.2.2 Reliability of CPSs -- 1.3 Opportunities for CPS Applications -- 1.3.1 Managing Reliability and Feasibility of CPSs -- 1.3.2 Ensuring Cybersecurity of CPSs -- Chapter 2 Fundamentals of CPSs -- 2.1 Models for Exploring CPSs -- 2.1.1 Control-Block-Diagram for CPSs -- 2.1.1.1 Control Signal in CPSs -- 2.1.1.2 Degraded Actuator and Sensor -- 2.1.1.3 Time-Varying Model of CPSs -- 2.1.2 Implementation in TrueTime Simulator -- 2.1.2.1 Introduction of TrueTime Simulator -- 2.1.2.2 Architectures of CPSs in TrueTime -- 2.2 Evaluation and Verification of CPSs -- 2.2.1 CPS Performance Evaluation -- 2.2.1.1 CPS Performance Index -- 2.2.1.2 Reliability Evaluation of CPSs -- 2.2.2 CPS Model Verification -- 2.3 CPS Performance Improvement -- 2.3.1 PSO-Based Reliability Enhancement -- 2.3.2 Optimal PID-AGC -- Chapter 3 Stability Enhancement of CPSs -- 3.1 Integration of Physical and Cyber Models -- 3.1.1 Basics of WAPS -- 3.1.1.1 Physical Layer -- 3.1.1.2 Cyber Layer -- 3.1.1.3 WAPS Realized in TrueTime -- 3.1.2 An Illustrative WAPS -- 3.1.2.1 Illustrative Physical Layer -- 3.1.2.2 Illustrative Cyber Layer -- 3.1.2.3 Illustrative Integrated System -- 3.2 Settings of Stability Analysis -- 3.2.1 Settings for Delay Predictions -- 3.2.2 Settings for Illustrative WAPS -- 3.2.3 Cases for Illustrative WAPS -- 3.3 HMM-Based Stability Improvement -- 3.3.1 On-line Smith Predictor -- 3.3.1.1 Initialization of DHMM -- 3.3.1.2 Parameter Estimation of DHMM -- 3.3.1.3 Delay Prediction via DHMM -- 3.3.1.4 Smith Predictor Structure -- 3.3.2 Delay Predictions -- 3.3.2.1 Settings of DHMM -- 3.3.2.2 Prediction Comparison.
3.3.3 Performance of Smith Predictor -- 3.3.3.1 Settings of Smith Predictor -- 3.3.3.2 Analysis of Case 1 -- 3.3.3.3 Analysis of Case 2 -- 3.4 Stability Enhancement of Illustrative WAPS -- 3.4.1 Eigenvalue Analysis and Delay Impact -- 3.4.2 Sensitivity Analysis of Network Parameters -- 3.4.3 Optimal AGC -- 3.4.3.1 Optimal Controller Performance -- 3.4.3.2 Scenario 1 Analysis -- 3.4.3.3 Scenario 2 Analysis -- 3.4.3.4 Scenario 3 Analysis -- 3.4.3.5 Scenario 4 Analysis -- 3.4.3.6 Robustness of Optimal AGC -- Chapter 4 Reliability Analysis of CPSs -- 4.1 Conceptual DGSs -- 4.2 Mathematical Model of Degraded Network -- 4.2.1 Model of Transmission Delay -- 4.2.2 Model of Packet Dropout -- 4.2.3 Scenarios of Degraded Network -- 4.3 Modeling and Simulation of DGSs -- 4.3.1 DGS Model -- 4.3.1.1 Preliminary Model -- 4.3.1.2 Power Source Model -- 4.3.2 Data Interpolation -- 4.4 Reliability Estimation Via OPF -- 4.4.1 Data Prediction -- 4.4.2 MCS of DGSs -- 4.4.3 OPF of DGSs -- 4.4.4 Actual Cost and Reliability Analysis -- 4.5 OPF of DGSs Against Unreliable Network -- 4.5.1 Settings of Networked DGSs -- 4.5.2 OPF Under Different Demand Levels -- 4.5.3 OPF Under Entire Period -- Chapter 5 Maintenance of Aging CPSs -- 5.1 Data-driven Degradation Model for CPSs -- 5.1.1 Degraded Control System -- 5.1.2 Parameter Estimation via EM Algorithm -- 5.1.3 LFC Performance Criteria -- 5.2 Maintenance Model and Cost Model -- 5.2.1 PBM Model -- 5.2.2 Cost Model -- 5.3 Applications to DGSs -- 5.3.1 Output of Aging Generators -- 5.3.2 Impact of Aging on DGSs -- 5.3.2.1 Settings of Aging DGSs -- 5.3.2.2 Validations of Generator Performance Indexes -- 5.3.2.3 Quantitative Aging Impact -- 5.4 Applications to Gas Turbine Plant -- 5.4.1 Sensitivity Analysis of PBM -- 5.4.1.1 Impact of Degradation on LFC -- 5.4.1.2 Numerical Sensitivity Analysis.
5.4.1.3 Pictorial Sensitivity Analysis -- 5.4.2 Optimal Maintenance Strategy -- 5.4.3 Maintenance Models Comparison -- Chapter 6 Game Theory Based CPS Protection Plan -- 6.1 Vulnerability Model for CPSs -- 6.2 Multi-state Attack-Defence Game -- 6.2.1 Backgrounds of Game Model for CPSs -- 6.2.2 Mathematical Game Model -- 6.3 Attack Consequence and Optimal Defence -- 6.3.1 Damage Cost Model -- 6.3.2 Attack Uncertainty -- 6.3.3 Optimal Defence Plan -- 6.4 Applications to Distributed Generation Systems (DGSs) with Uncertain Cyber-attacks -- 6.4.1 Settings of Game Model -- 6.4.2 Optimal Protection with Constant Resource Allocation -- 6.4.2.1 Impact Under Constant Case -- 6.4.2.2 Optimal Constant Resource Allocation Fraction -- 6.4.3 Optimal Protection with Dynamic Resource Allocation -- 6.4.3.1 Vulnerability Model Under Dynamic Case -- 6.4.3.2 Optimal Dynamic Resource Allocation Fraction -- 6.4.3.3 Optimization Results Justification -- Chapter 7 Bayesian Based Cyberteam Deployment -- 7.1 Poisson Distribution based Cyber-attacks -- 7.1.1 Impacts of DoS Attack -- 7.1.2 Poisson Arrival Model Verification -- 7.1.3 Average Arrival Attacks -- 7.2 Cost of MNB Model -- 7.2.1 Regret Function of Worst Case -- 7.2.2 Upper Bound on Cost -- 7.3 Thompson-Hedge Algorithm -- 7.3.1 Hedge Algorithm -- 7.3.2 Details of Thompson-Hedge Algorithm -- 7.3.2.1 Separation of Target Regret -- 7.3.2.2 Upper Bound of .1 -- 7.3.2.3 Upper Bound of .2 -- 7.3.2.4 Upper Bound of Regret RTH -- 7.4 Applications to Smart Grids -- 7.4.1 Operation Cost of Smart Grids -- 7.4.2 Numerical Analysis of Cost Sequences -- 7.5 Performance of Thompson-Hedge Algorithm -- 7.5.1 Comparison Study Against R.EXP3 -- 7.5.2 Sensitivity to the Variation -- Chapter 8 Recent Advances in CPS Modeling, Stability and Reliability -- 8.1 Modeling Techniques for CPS Components -- 8.1.1 Inverse Gaussian Process.
8.1.2 Hitting Time to a Curved Boundary -- 8.1.3 Estimator Error -- 8.2 Theoretical Stability Analysis -- 8.2.1 Impacts of Uncertainties -- 8.2.2 Small Gain Theorem based Stability Criteria -- 8.2.3 Robust Stability Criteria -- 8.3 Game Model for CPSs -- References -- Index -- EULA.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910554832803321
Mo Huadong  
Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2021]
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Cyber-physical distributed systems : modeling, reliability analysis and applications / / Huadong Mo, Giovanni Sansavini, M. Xie
Cyber-physical distributed systems : modeling, reliability analysis and applications / / Huadong Mo, Giovanni Sansavini, M. Xie
Autore Mo Huadong
Pubbl/distr/stampa Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2021]
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xv, 206 pages)
Disciplina 004.678
Soggetto topico Electronic data processing - Distributed processing - Simulation methods
Cooperating objects (Computer systems) - Simulation methods
Internet of things - Simulation methods
ISBN 1-119-68271-1
1-119-68270-3
1-119-68272-X
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Contents -- Preface -- Acronyms and Abbreviations -- Chapter 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Challenges of Traditional Physical and Cyber Systems -- 1.2 Research Trends of CPSs -- 1.2.1 Stability of CPSs -- 1.2.2 Reliability of CPSs -- 1.3 Opportunities for CPS Applications -- 1.3.1 Managing Reliability and Feasibility of CPSs -- 1.3.2 Ensuring Cybersecurity of CPSs -- Chapter 2 Fundamentals of CPSs -- 2.1 Models for Exploring CPSs -- 2.1.1 Control-Block-Diagram for CPSs -- 2.1.1.1 Control Signal in CPSs -- 2.1.1.2 Degraded Actuator and Sensor -- 2.1.1.3 Time-Varying Model of CPSs -- 2.1.2 Implementation in TrueTime Simulator -- 2.1.2.1 Introduction of TrueTime Simulator -- 2.1.2.2 Architectures of CPSs in TrueTime -- 2.2 Evaluation and Verification of CPSs -- 2.2.1 CPS Performance Evaluation -- 2.2.1.1 CPS Performance Index -- 2.2.1.2 Reliability Evaluation of CPSs -- 2.2.2 CPS Model Verification -- 2.3 CPS Performance Improvement -- 2.3.1 PSO-Based Reliability Enhancement -- 2.3.2 Optimal PID-AGC -- Chapter 3 Stability Enhancement of CPSs -- 3.1 Integration of Physical and Cyber Models -- 3.1.1 Basics of WAPS -- 3.1.1.1 Physical Layer -- 3.1.1.2 Cyber Layer -- 3.1.1.3 WAPS Realized in TrueTime -- 3.1.2 An Illustrative WAPS -- 3.1.2.1 Illustrative Physical Layer -- 3.1.2.2 Illustrative Cyber Layer -- 3.1.2.3 Illustrative Integrated System -- 3.2 Settings of Stability Analysis -- 3.2.1 Settings for Delay Predictions -- 3.2.2 Settings for Illustrative WAPS -- 3.2.3 Cases for Illustrative WAPS -- 3.3 HMM-Based Stability Improvement -- 3.3.1 On-line Smith Predictor -- 3.3.1.1 Initialization of DHMM -- 3.3.1.2 Parameter Estimation of DHMM -- 3.3.1.3 Delay Prediction via DHMM -- 3.3.1.4 Smith Predictor Structure -- 3.3.2 Delay Predictions -- 3.3.2.1 Settings of DHMM -- 3.3.2.2 Prediction Comparison.
3.3.3 Performance of Smith Predictor -- 3.3.3.1 Settings of Smith Predictor -- 3.3.3.2 Analysis of Case 1 -- 3.3.3.3 Analysis of Case 2 -- 3.4 Stability Enhancement of Illustrative WAPS -- 3.4.1 Eigenvalue Analysis and Delay Impact -- 3.4.2 Sensitivity Analysis of Network Parameters -- 3.4.3 Optimal AGC -- 3.4.3.1 Optimal Controller Performance -- 3.4.3.2 Scenario 1 Analysis -- 3.4.3.3 Scenario 2 Analysis -- 3.4.3.4 Scenario 3 Analysis -- 3.4.3.5 Scenario 4 Analysis -- 3.4.3.6 Robustness of Optimal AGC -- Chapter 4 Reliability Analysis of CPSs -- 4.1 Conceptual DGSs -- 4.2 Mathematical Model of Degraded Network -- 4.2.1 Model of Transmission Delay -- 4.2.2 Model of Packet Dropout -- 4.2.3 Scenarios of Degraded Network -- 4.3 Modeling and Simulation of DGSs -- 4.3.1 DGS Model -- 4.3.1.1 Preliminary Model -- 4.3.1.2 Power Source Model -- 4.3.2 Data Interpolation -- 4.4 Reliability Estimation Via OPF -- 4.4.1 Data Prediction -- 4.4.2 MCS of DGSs -- 4.4.3 OPF of DGSs -- 4.4.4 Actual Cost and Reliability Analysis -- 4.5 OPF of DGSs Against Unreliable Network -- 4.5.1 Settings of Networked DGSs -- 4.5.2 OPF Under Different Demand Levels -- 4.5.3 OPF Under Entire Period -- Chapter 5 Maintenance of Aging CPSs -- 5.1 Data-driven Degradation Model for CPSs -- 5.1.1 Degraded Control System -- 5.1.2 Parameter Estimation via EM Algorithm -- 5.1.3 LFC Performance Criteria -- 5.2 Maintenance Model and Cost Model -- 5.2.1 PBM Model -- 5.2.2 Cost Model -- 5.3 Applications to DGSs -- 5.3.1 Output of Aging Generators -- 5.3.2 Impact of Aging on DGSs -- 5.3.2.1 Settings of Aging DGSs -- 5.3.2.2 Validations of Generator Performance Indexes -- 5.3.2.3 Quantitative Aging Impact -- 5.4 Applications to Gas Turbine Plant -- 5.4.1 Sensitivity Analysis of PBM -- 5.4.1.1 Impact of Degradation on LFC -- 5.4.1.2 Numerical Sensitivity Analysis.
5.4.1.3 Pictorial Sensitivity Analysis -- 5.4.2 Optimal Maintenance Strategy -- 5.4.3 Maintenance Models Comparison -- Chapter 6 Game Theory Based CPS Protection Plan -- 6.1 Vulnerability Model for CPSs -- 6.2 Multi-state Attack-Defence Game -- 6.2.1 Backgrounds of Game Model for CPSs -- 6.2.2 Mathematical Game Model -- 6.3 Attack Consequence and Optimal Defence -- 6.3.1 Damage Cost Model -- 6.3.2 Attack Uncertainty -- 6.3.3 Optimal Defence Plan -- 6.4 Applications to Distributed Generation Systems (DGSs) with Uncertain Cyber-attacks -- 6.4.1 Settings of Game Model -- 6.4.2 Optimal Protection with Constant Resource Allocation -- 6.4.2.1 Impact Under Constant Case -- 6.4.2.2 Optimal Constant Resource Allocation Fraction -- 6.4.3 Optimal Protection with Dynamic Resource Allocation -- 6.4.3.1 Vulnerability Model Under Dynamic Case -- 6.4.3.2 Optimal Dynamic Resource Allocation Fraction -- 6.4.3.3 Optimization Results Justification -- Chapter 7 Bayesian Based Cyberteam Deployment -- 7.1 Poisson Distribution based Cyber-attacks -- 7.1.1 Impacts of DoS Attack -- 7.1.2 Poisson Arrival Model Verification -- 7.1.3 Average Arrival Attacks -- 7.2 Cost of MNB Model -- 7.2.1 Regret Function of Worst Case -- 7.2.2 Upper Bound on Cost -- 7.3 Thompson-Hedge Algorithm -- 7.3.1 Hedge Algorithm -- 7.3.2 Details of Thompson-Hedge Algorithm -- 7.3.2.1 Separation of Target Regret -- 7.3.2.2 Upper Bound of .1 -- 7.3.2.3 Upper Bound of .2 -- 7.3.2.4 Upper Bound of Regret RTH -- 7.4 Applications to Smart Grids -- 7.4.1 Operation Cost of Smart Grids -- 7.4.2 Numerical Analysis of Cost Sequences -- 7.5 Performance of Thompson-Hedge Algorithm -- 7.5.1 Comparison Study Against R.EXP3 -- 7.5.2 Sensitivity to the Variation -- Chapter 8 Recent Advances in CPS Modeling, Stability and Reliability -- 8.1 Modeling Techniques for CPS Components -- 8.1.1 Inverse Gaussian Process.
8.1.2 Hitting Time to a Curved Boundary -- 8.1.3 Estimator Error -- 8.2 Theoretical Stability Analysis -- 8.2.1 Impacts of Uncertainties -- 8.2.2 Small Gain Theorem based Stability Criteria -- 8.2.3 Robust Stability Criteria -- 8.3 Game Model for CPSs -- References -- Index -- EULA.
Record Nr. UNINA-9910830372703321
Mo Huadong  
Hoboken, New Jersey : , : Wiley, , [2021]
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui