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The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, Maziar Raissi
| The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, Maziar Raissi |
| Autore | Cashin Paul |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (42 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
MohaddesKamiar
RaissiMehdi RaissiMaziar |
| Collana |
IMF Working Papers
IMF working paper |
| Soggetto topico |
Petroleum reserves - Economic aspects
Economics Investments: Energy Econometrics Foreign Exchange Macroeconomics Industries: Energy Time-Series Models Dynamic Quantile Regressions Dynamic Treatment Effect Models Diffusion Processes State Space Models General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation International Business Cycles Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Energy: General Macroeconomics: Production Investment & securities Econometrics & economic statistics Petroleum, oil & gas industries Currency Foreign exchange Oil Oil prices Vector autoregression Oil production Real effective exchange rates Commodities Econometric analysis Production Petroleum industry and trade |
| ISBN |
1-4755-2461-7
1-4755-9607-3 1-283-86688-9 1-4755-4455-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Global VAR (GVAR) Methodology; III. A Global VAR Model Including Major Oil Exporters; Tables; 1. Countries and Regions in the GVAR Model with Major Oil Exporters; A. Variables; Domestic Variables; Foreign Variables; Global Variables; 2. Oil Consumption by Oil Importers, averages over 1979-2010; B. Model Specification; 3. Oil Reserves, Production and Exports of Major Oil Exporters, averages over 2008-2010; C. Country-Specific Estimates and Tests; 4. Variables Specification of the Country-Specific VARX* Models
Lag Order Selection, Cointegrating Relations, and Persistence Profiles5. Lag Orders of the Country-Specific VARX*(s,s*) Models Together with the Number of Cointegrating Relations (r); Figures; 1. Persistence Profiles of the Effect of a System-wide Shock to the Cointegrating Relations; Testing the Weak Exogeneity Assumption; 6. F-Statistics for Testing the Weak Exogeneity of the Country-Specific Foreign Variables, Oil Prices, and Oil Production; Testing for Structural Breaks; IV. Identification of Oil Shocks 7. Number of Rejections of the Null of Parameter Constancy per Variable Across the Country-specific Models at the 5 Percent Significance Level8. Identification of Structural Shocks; A. Oil-Supply Shocks; 2. Impact of Oil-Supply Shocks on Major Oil Importers; 3. Impact of Oil-Supply Shocks on OPEC Countries; 4. Impact of Oil-Supply Shocks on OECD Oil Exporters; B. Oil-Demand Shocks; 5. Impact of Oil-Demand Shocks on Major Oil Importers; 6. Impact of Oil-Demand Shocks on OPEC Countries; 7. Impact of Oil-Demand Shocks on OECD Oil Exporters; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Data Appendix 9. Fixed Trade Weights based on the years 2006-2008 |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910779331403321 |
Cashin Paul
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, Maziar Raissi
| The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, Maziar Raissi |
| Autore | Cashin Paul |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (42 p.) |
| Disciplina | 332.1/52 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
MohaddesKamiar
RaissiMaziar RaissiMehdi |
| Collana |
IMF Working Papers
IMF working paper |
| Soggetto topico |
Petroleum reserves - Economic aspects
Economics Investments: Energy Econometrics Foreign Exchange Macroeconomics Industries: Energy Time-Series Models Dynamic Quantile Regressions Dynamic Treatment Effect Models Diffusion Processes State Space Models General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation International Business Cycles Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Energy: General Macroeconomics: Production Investment & securities Econometrics & economic statistics Petroleum, oil & gas industries Currency Foreign exchange Oil Oil prices Vector autoregression Oil production Real effective exchange rates Commodities Econometric analysis Production Petroleum industry and trade |
| ISBN |
1-4755-2461-7
1-4755-9607-3 1-283-86688-9 1-4755-4455-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Global VAR (GVAR) Methodology; III. A Global VAR Model Including Major Oil Exporters; Tables; 1. Countries and Regions in the GVAR Model with Major Oil Exporters; A. Variables; Domestic Variables; Foreign Variables; Global Variables; 2. Oil Consumption by Oil Importers, averages over 1979-2010; B. Model Specification; 3. Oil Reserves, Production and Exports of Major Oil Exporters, averages over 2008-2010; C. Country-Specific Estimates and Tests; 4. Variables Specification of the Country-Specific VARX* Models
Lag Order Selection, Cointegrating Relations, and Persistence Profiles5. Lag Orders of the Country-Specific VARX*(s,s*) Models Together with the Number of Cointegrating Relations (r); Figures; 1. Persistence Profiles of the Effect of a System-wide Shock to the Cointegrating Relations; Testing the Weak Exogeneity Assumption; 6. F-Statistics for Testing the Weak Exogeneity of the Country-Specific Foreign Variables, Oil Prices, and Oil Production; Testing for Structural Breaks; IV. Identification of Oil Shocks 7. Number of Rejections of the Null of Parameter Constancy per Variable Across the Country-specific Models at the 5 Percent Significance Level8. Identification of Structural Shocks; A. Oil-Supply Shocks; 2. Impact of Oil-Supply Shocks on Major Oil Importers; 3. Impact of Oil-Supply Shocks on OPEC Countries; 4. Impact of Oil-Supply Shocks on OECD Oil Exporters; B. Oil-Demand Shocks; 5. Impact of Oil-Demand Shocks on Major Oil Importers; 6. Impact of Oil-Demand Shocks on OPEC Countries; 7. Impact of Oil-Demand Shocks on OECD Oil Exporters; V. Concluding Remarks; References; Data Appendix 9. Fixed Trade Weights based on the years 2006-2008 |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910816177603321 |
|
Cashin Paul
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The global impact of the systemic economies and MENA business cycles [[electronic resource] /] / prepared by Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, and Mehdi Raissi
| The global impact of the systemic economies and MENA business cycles [[electronic resource] /] / prepared by Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, and Mehdi Raissi |
| Autore | Cashin Paul |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, c2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (41 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
MohaddesKamiar
RaissiMehdi |
| Collana | IMF working paper |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - China - Econometric models
Business cycles - United Stated - Econometric models Business cycles - Middle East - Econometric models Business cycles - Africa, North - Econometric models |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-4755-3230-X
1-4755-9666-9 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Global VAR (GVAR) Methodology; III. A Global VAR Model Including the MENA Region; Tables; 1. Countries and Regions in the GVAR Model Including MENA; A. Variables; Domestic Variables; Foreign Variables; Global Variables; B. MENA Trade Weights; 2. MENA Trade Weights; C. Model Specification; 3. Variables Specification of the Country-Specific VARX* Models; D. Country-Specific Estimates and Tests; Lag Order Selection, Cointegrating Relations, and Persistence Profiles
4. Lag Orders of the Country-Specific VARX*(s,s*) Models Together with the Number of Cointegrating Relations (r)Testing the Weak Exogeneity Assumption; Figures; 1. Persistence Profiles of the Effect of a System-wide Shock to the Cointegrating Relations; Testing for Structural Breaks; 5. F-Statistics for Testing the Weak Exogeneity of the Country-Specific Foreign Variables, Oil Prices, and Oil Production; 6. Number of Rejections of the Null of Parameter Constancy per Variable Across the Country-specific Models at the 5 Percent Significance Level; IV. Inward Spillovers; A. Shock to U.S. GDP 2. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in the United States (Relative to the U.S.)3. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Oil Prices and Supply; B. Shock to Euro Area GDP; 4. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in the Euro Area (Relative to the Euro Area); 5. Impulse Responses of a Negative Unit Shock to Euro Area Output; C. Shock to Chinese GDP; 6. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in China (Relative to China); V. Outward Spillovers 7. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Positive GDP Shock in the GCC Region (Relative to the GCC)8. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Positive GDP Shock in the MENA Oil Exporters (Relative to the MENAEX); VI. Concluding Remarks; References; Data Appendix; 7. Trade Weights, Averages over 2006-2008; 8. Trade Weights, Averages over 1986-1988 |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910452731703321 |
|
Cashin Paul
|
||
| Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, c2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi
| The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi |
| Autore | Cashin Paul |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (41 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
MohaddesKamiar
RaissiMehdi |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - China - Econometric models
Business cycles - United Stated - Econometric models Business cycles - Middle East - Econometric models Business cycles - Africa, North - Econometric models Investments: Energy Econometrics Foreign Exchange Macroeconomics Industries: Energy Time-Series Models Dynamic Quantile Regressions Dynamic Treatment Effect Models Diffusion Processes State Space Models General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation Business Fluctuations Cycles International Business Cycles Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Energy: General Macroeconomics: Production Investment & securities Econometrics & economic statistics Currency Foreign exchange Petroleum, oil & gas industries Oil Oil prices Vector autoregression Real effective exchange rates Oil production Commodities Econometric analysis Production Petroleum industry and trade |
| ISBN |
1-4755-3230-X
1-4755-9666-9 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Global VAR (GVAR) Methodology; III. A Global VAR Model Including the MENA Region; Tables; 1. Countries and Regions in the GVAR Model Including MENA; A. Variables; Domestic Variables; Foreign Variables; Global Variables; B. MENA Trade Weights; 2. MENA Trade Weights; C. Model Specification; 3. Variables Specification of the Country-Specific VARX* Models; D. Country-Specific Estimates and Tests; Lag Order Selection, Cointegrating Relations, and Persistence Profiles
4. Lag Orders of the Country-Specific VARX*(s,s*) Models Together with the Number of Cointegrating Relations (r)Testing the Weak Exogeneity Assumption; Figures; 1. Persistence Profiles of the Effect of a System-wide Shock to the Cointegrating Relations; Testing for Structural Breaks; 5. F-Statistics for Testing the Weak Exogeneity of the Country-Specific Foreign Variables, Oil Prices, and Oil Production; 6. Number of Rejections of the Null of Parameter Constancy per Variable Across the Country-specific Models at the 5 Percent Significance Level; IV. Inward Spillovers; A. Shock to U.S. GDP 2. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in the United States (Relative to the U.S.)3. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Oil Prices and Supply; B. Shock to Euro Area GDP; 4. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in the Euro Area (Relative to the Euro Area); 5. Impulse Responses of a Negative Unit Shock to Euro Area Output; C. Shock to Chinese GDP; 6. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in China (Relative to China); V. Outward Spillovers 7. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Positive GDP Shock in the GCC Region (Relative to the GCC)8. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Positive GDP Shock in the MENA Oil Exporters (Relative to the MENAEX); VI. Concluding Remarks; References; Data Appendix; 7. Trade Weights, Averages over 2006-2008; 8. Trade Weights, Averages over 1986-1988 |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910779643103321 |
|
Cashin Paul
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi
| The Global Impact of the Systemic Economies and MENA Business Cycles / / Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi |
| Autore | Cashin Paul |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (41 p.) |
| Disciplina | 332.1532 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
MohaddesKamiar
RaissiMehdi |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - China - Econometric models
Business cycles - United Stated - Econometric models Business cycles - Middle East - Econometric models Business cycles - Africa, North - Econometric models Business Fluctuations Commodities Currency Cycles Diffusion Processes Dynamic Quantile Regressions Dynamic Treatment Effect Models Econometric analysis Econometrics & economic statistics Econometrics Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East Energy: Demand and Supply Energy: General Foreign Exchange Foreign exchange General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation Industries: Energy International Business Cycles Investment & securities Investments: Energy Macroeconomics Macroeconomics: Production Oil prices Oil production Oil Petroleum industry and trade Petroleum, oil & gas industries Prices Production Real effective exchange rates State Space Models Time-Series Models Vector autoregression |
| ISBN |
1-4755-3230-X
1-4755-9666-9 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Global VAR (GVAR) Methodology; III. A Global VAR Model Including the MENA Region; Tables; 1. Countries and Regions in the GVAR Model Including MENA; A. Variables; Domestic Variables; Foreign Variables; Global Variables; B. MENA Trade Weights; 2. MENA Trade Weights; C. Model Specification; 3. Variables Specification of the Country-Specific VARX* Models; D. Country-Specific Estimates and Tests; Lag Order Selection, Cointegrating Relations, and Persistence Profiles
4. Lag Orders of the Country-Specific VARX*(s,s*) Models Together with the Number of Cointegrating Relations (r)Testing the Weak Exogeneity Assumption; Figures; 1. Persistence Profiles of the Effect of a System-wide Shock to the Cointegrating Relations; Testing for Structural Breaks; 5. F-Statistics for Testing the Weak Exogeneity of the Country-Specific Foreign Variables, Oil Prices, and Oil Production; 6. Number of Rejections of the Null of Parameter Constancy per Variable Across the Country-specific Models at the 5 Percent Significance Level; IV. Inward Spillovers; A. Shock to U.S. GDP 2. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in the United States (Relative to the U.S.)3. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Oil Prices and Supply; B. Shock to Euro Area GDP; 4. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in the Euro Area (Relative to the Euro Area); 5. Impulse Responses of a Negative Unit Shock to Euro Area Output; C. Shock to Chinese GDP; 6. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Negative GDP Shock in China (Relative to China); V. Outward Spillovers 7. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Positive GDP Shock in the GCC Region (Relative to the GCC)8. Four Quarters Cumulated Impulse Responses of Output to a Positive GDP Shock in the MENA Oil Exporters (Relative to the MENAEX); VI. Concluding Remarks; References; Data Appendix; 7. Trade Weights, Averages over 2006-2008; 8. Trade Weights, Averages over 1986-1988 |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910810127103321 |
|
Cashin Paul
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||