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Predicting suicide attacks : integrating spatial, temporal, and social features of terrorist attack targets / / Walter L. Perry [and seven others]
Predicting suicide attacks : integrating spatial, temporal, and social features of terrorist attack targets / / Walter L. Perry [and seven others]
Autore Perry Walt L
Pubbl/distr/stampa Santa Monica, Calif, : RAND, [2013]
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xxv, 85 pages) : illustrations (some color)
Disciplina 363.325/12
Collana Rand Corporation monograph series
Soggetto topico Suicide bombings - Israel
Terrorism - Israel
Terrorists - Suicidal behavior - Israel
ISBN 0-8330-7803-8
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE: Introduction and Overview; Background; About This Report; CHAPTER TWO: Quantitative Data and Methods; Quantitative Data; Socioeconomic Characteristics; Demographic Characteristics; Electoral Data; Proximity to Terrorist Safe Houses; Sociocultural Precipitants; Principal Component Analysis and Logistic Regression; Logistic Regression; Dimension Reduction; Classification and Regression Trees; Sociocultural Precipitants Analysis; Results of Quantitative Data Analysis
Principal Components Analysis Logistic Regression Models; Classification and Regression Trees; Sociocultural Precipitants; Summing Up; CHAPTER THREE: Qualitative Analysis; Methodology; Hypotheses Driving the Use of the Methodology; Assumptions in Using the Methodology; Restrictions; Timing; Results of Qualitative Data Analysis; Identification of Codes; Distribution of Codes; Retargeting of Previously Attacked Locations; Dispersion of Attacks over Time; Assessment of Transportation Targets; Comparison of Codes to a Subject-Matter Expert Hypothesis; CHAPTER FOUR: Conclusions and Recommendations
Conclusions from Quantitative Data Analysis Conclusions from Qualitative Data Analysis; Recommendations for Further Research; Regression Analyses and Classification; Sociocultural Precipitants; Transferability; Appendixes; A. Sociocultural Precipitant Database; B. Logistic Regression Output; About the Authors; Bibliography
Record Nr. UNINA-9910220101303321
Perry Walt L  
Santa Monica, Calif, : RAND, [2013]
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Predictive policing : the role of crime forecasting in law enforcement operations / / Walter L. Perry [and four others]
Predictive policing : the role of crime forecasting in law enforcement operations / / Walter L. Perry [and four others]
Autore Perry Walt L
Pubbl/distr/stampa Santa Monica, CA : , : RAND Corporation, , 2013
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (xxix, 155 pages) : illustrations (chiefly color)
Disciplina 300
Collana Gale eBooks
Soggetto topico Crime forecasting - United States
Crime prevention - United States
Criminal behavior, Prediction of - United States
Police - United States
ISBN 0-8330-8155-1
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE: Introduction; What Is Predictive Policing?; A Criminological Justification for Predictive Policing: Why Crime Is "Predictable"; A Brief History of Predictive Policing; Background; Training; Study Objectives and Methods; Objectives; Approach; The Nature of Predictive Policing: This Is Not Minority Report; A Taxonomy of Predictive Methods; Prediction-Led Policing Processes and Practices; Data Collection; Analysis; Police Operations; Criminal Response; About This Report
CHAPTER TWO: Making Predictions About Potential CrimesNotes on Software; Hot Spot Analysis and Crime Mapping; Grid Mapping; Covering Ellipses; Single and Dual Kernel Density Estimation; Heuristic Methods; Regression Methods; Types of Relationships; Selecting Input Variables; Leading Indicators in Regression (and Other) Models; A Regression Example; Data Mining (Predictive Analytics); Clustering; Classification; Training and Testing a Model; Near-Repeat Methods; Spatiotemporal Analysis; Basics of Spatiotemporal Analysis; Heat Maps; Spatiotemporal Modeling Using the Generalized Additive Model
SeasonalityRisk Terrain Analysis; A Heuristic Approach: Risk Terrain Modeling; A Statistical Approach to Risk Terrain Analysis; Discussion of Risk Terrain Analysis Approaches; Prediction Methods; CHAPTER THREE: Using Predictions to Support Police Operations; Evidence-Based Policing; Taking Action on Hot Spots in Washington, D.C.; Koper Curve Application in Sacramento; Investigating Convenience Store Robberies in Chula Vista, California; Predictive Policing in Context: Case Studies; Shreveport, Louisiana: Predictive Intelligence-Led Operational Targeting
Memphis, Tennessee: Crime Reduction Utilizing Statistical HistoryNashville, Tennessee: Integrating Crime and Traffic Crash Data; Baltimore, Maryland: Crash-Crime Project; Iraq: Locating IED Emplacement Locations; Minneapolis, Minnesota: Micro Crime Hot Spots; Charlotte-Mecklenburg County, North Carolina: Foreclosures and Crime; Crime Maps: Community Relations; Police Actions; CHAPTER FOUR: Using Predictions to Support Investigations of Potential Offenders; Protecting Privacy Rights and Civil Liberties; Predictive Policing Symposium Assessment
Privacy Under the Fourth Amendment of the U.S. ConstitutionPrivacy with Respect to Policing Intelligence Information Systems; Privacy Resources for the Law Enforcement Community; Dealing with Noisy and Conflicting Data: Data Fusion; Heuristic and Simple-Model Methods; More Sophisticated Fusion Methods; Risk Assessment for Individual Criminal Behavior; Commonly Used Behavioral Instruments; Limitations of Behavioral Instruments; Quebec, Canada: Assessing Criminogenic Risks of Gang Members; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania: Predicting Violence and Homicide Among Young Men
Risk Assessment for Organized Crime Behavior
Record Nr. UNINA-9910220096203321
Perry Walt L  
Santa Monica, CA : , : RAND Corporation, , 2013
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui