Betting Against the Crowd : A Complex Systems Approach / / by Yair Neuman |
Autore | Neuman Yair <1968-> |
Edizione | [1st ed. 2024.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cham : , : Springer Nature Switzerland : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2024 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (172 pages) |
Disciplina | 302.35 |
Soggetto topico |
System theory
Statistical Mechanics Economics - Psychological aspects Sports - Sociological aspects Complex Systems Behavioral Finance Sport Sociology |
ISBN | 3-031-52019-X |
Formato | Materiale a stampa |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Intro -- Preface -- Reference -- Summary -- Contents -- Part I Foundations of Crowd's Dynamics -- 1 Navigating the Collective: Insights into Crowd Behavior and Strategies for the Individual -- From the Painted Bird to the Celebrating Crowd -- The Importance of Interactions -- The Individual and the Collective -- Constraints and Opportunities -- The Importance of Learned Ignorance -- The Dancing Crowd -- Scientific Thinking in the Absence of Truth -- The Rebel's Perspective -- The Structure of the Book -- References -- 2 Signs of Collective Dynamics: Insights from the Stock Market Collapse -- Introduction -- Ponzi and the Pyramids -- How to Recognize Bad Omens -- Always Look for the Rats -- In Sum … -- References -- 3 Entropy, Constraints, and Action: Tools for Short-Term Prediction -- Introduction -- The Lady or the Tiger? -- How to Measure Uncertainty -- The Appropriate Dose of Chaos -- Understanding Constraints -- On the Cognitive Importance of D = 3 -- How a Navy SEAL Uses the Fluctuation Theorem -- In the Midst of Chaos, There Is Opportunity -- Windows of Opportunity: Pockets of Order and Chaos -- References -- 4 Information Thresholds: Navigating Predictive Boundaries -- How Much Information Is Enough? -- Time to Clearance -- The Exponential Decay of Information -- So, How Much Information Do We Need? -- Out of Plato's Cave -- References -- 5 Short-Term Fluctuations Versus Long-Range Trends: Unearthing Investment Opportunities -- Introduction -- Buy-Low-Sell-High (BLSH) -- Betting Against the Crowd -- What Is Your Expected Value? -- The Kelly Criterion -- Playing with Kelly -- So, Have We Won? -- Simple Models in a Complex World -- Lessons to Be Learned About Betting Against the Crowd -- References -- Part II Case Studies: Political Nationalism, Football, Financial Markets and Armed Conflicts.
6 Non-linearity in the Emergence of Political Nationalism: A Lesson from Hungary -- Introduction -- Measuring the Expected and the Observed Levels of Nationalism -- Entropy, Variability, and Non-linearity -- Additivity and Extensivity -- Measuring the Entropy of Political Parties -- What if the Whole Is Different from the Sum of Its Parts? -- References -- 7 Fixed Beliefs and Football Fandom: Unraveling the Dynamics of Collective Optimism -- Introduction -- Optimism and Pessimism in Football -- Cinderella Teams and Hermes' Invisible Hand -- Lady Fortuna's Invisible Hand -- Hermes' Invisible Hand -- "Knowledge Is Safety" -- References -- 8 Contrarian Strategies: Capitalizing on the Limits of Exponential Growth in Financial Markets -- Introduction -- Identifying a Significant Exponential Growth -- Leaving the Ship in Good Time -- Signs of Reversal -- The Experiment -- Betting Against the Herd -- References -- 9 Unraveling the Complexities of Chronic Armed Conflicts: Patterns, Predictability, and Uncertainties -- Can We Learn from the Past? And How Much? -- The Long Memory of a Conflict -- Order Is Never Enough -- Tsallis Entropy, Again -- Discretizing the Dataset -- Predicting the Class of Fatalities -- Predicting Surprise -- Crowds, Conflicts, and Lady Fortuna -- References -- 10 Mentsh Trakht un Got Lakht: Final Lessons in Individuality and Collective Dynamics -- A Final Word -- Reference -- Author Index -- Subject Index. |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910838286203321 |
Neuman Yair <1968-> | ||
Cham : , : Springer Nature Switzerland : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2024 | ||
Materiale a stampa | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Computational Personality Analysis : Introduction, Practical Applications and Novel Directions / / by Yair Neuman |
Autore | Neuman Yair <1968-> |
Edizione | [1st ed. 2016.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2016 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (120 p.) |
Disciplina | 004 |
Soggetto topico |
Application software
Personality Social psychology Computational linguistics Criminology System safety Computer Appl. in Social and Behavioral Sciences Personality and Social Psychology Computational Linguistics Criminology and Criminal Justice, general Security Science and Technology |
ISBN | 3-319-42460-2 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto | Acknowledgments -- Introduction: From The Princess Bride to computational personality -- Personality in a nutshell: Understanding who we are -- Computational personality analysis: When the machine meets the psychologist -- Distributional semantics and personality: How to find a perpetrator in a haystack -- Themes of personality: Profiling a political leader -- Going beyond words: How the Sisters of Mercy may identify psychopaths -- Hidden textual themes: Into Shakespeare’s mind -- The complexity of personality: From Snowden to Superman -- Attractors of personality: A murderer, a terrorist and some angry Jews -- Taking complexity a step forward: The reversibility of the pedophile’s mind -- Discussion -- Appendix -- Author index -- Subject index. |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910255008203321 |
Neuman Yair <1968-> | ||
Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2016 | ||
Materiale a stampa | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Conceptual mathematics and literature : toward a deep reading of texts and minds / / by Yair Neuman |
Autore | Neuman Yair <1968-> |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Leiden, The Netherlands ; ; Boston : , : Brill, , [2021] |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (xi, 175 pages) : illustrations |
Disciplina | 418.4019 |
Collana | Studies in mathematics in the arts and humanities |
Soggetto topico | Reading, Psychology of |
ISBN | 90-04-44237-5 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910794329203321 |
Neuman Yair <1968-> | ||
Leiden, The Netherlands ; ; Boston : , : Brill, , [2021] | ||
Materiale a stampa | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
|
Conceptual mathematics and literature : toward a deep reading of texts and minds / / by Yair Neuman |
Autore | Neuman Yair <1968-> |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Leiden, The Netherlands ; ; Boston : , : Brill, , [2021] |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (xi, 175 pages) : illustrations |
Disciplina | 418.4019 |
Collana | Studies in mathematics in the arts and humanities |
Soggetto topico | Reading, Psychology of |
ISBN | 90-04-44237-5 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910817502203321 |
Neuman Yair <1968-> | ||
Leiden, The Netherlands ; ; Boston : , : Brill, , [2021] | ||
Materiale a stampa | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
|
How small social systems work : from soccer teams to jazz trios and families / / Yair Neuman |
Autore | Neuman Yair <1968-> |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cham, Switzerland : , : Springer, , [2021] |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource |
Disciplina | 301 |
Collana | The Frontiers Collection |
Soggetto topico | Social systems |
ISBN | 3-030-82238-9 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Record Nr. | UNISA-996466846003316 |
Neuman Yair <1968-> | ||
Cham, Switzerland : , : Springer, , [2021] | ||
Materiale a stampa | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. di Salerno | ||
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How small social systems work : from soccer teams to jazz trios and families / / Yair Neuman |
Autore | Neuman Yair <1968-> |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cham, Switzerland : , : Springer, , [2021] |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource |
Disciplina | 301 |
Collana | The Frontiers Collection |
Soggetto topico | Social systems |
ISBN | 3-030-82238-9 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910739424703321 |
Neuman Yair <1968-> | ||
Cham, Switzerland : , : Springer, , [2021] | ||
Materiale a stampa | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
|
Mathematical Structures of Natural Intelligence / / by Yair Neuman |
Autore | Neuman Yair <1968-> |
Edizione | [1st ed. 2017.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2017 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (XVII, 173 p. 39 illus., 6 illus. in color.) |
Disciplina | 512.55 |
Collana | Mathematics in Mind |
Soggetto topico |
Category theory (Mathematics)
Homological algebra Neural networks (Computer science) Algebraic topology Category Theory, Homological Algebra Mathematical Models of Cognitive Processes and Neural Networks Algebraic Topology |
ISBN | 3-319-68246-6 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto | Part I. 1. Introduction -- 2. What is Structure? -- 3. Category Theory -- 4. How to Trick the Demon of Entropy -- 5. Neural Networks and Groupoids -- Part II. 6. Natural Intelligence in the Wild -- 7. Natural Intelligence is about meaning -- 8. From Identity to Equivalence -- 9. On Negation -- 10. Modeling -- 11. On Structures and Wholes -- Part III. 12. Let's Talk About Nothing -- 13. King Richard is a Lion -- 14. The Madman and the Dentist -- 15. Discussion -- References -- Author index -- Subject index. |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910254296803321 |
Neuman Yair <1968-> | ||
Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2017 | ||
Materiale a stampa | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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