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Iran after the bomb : how would a nuclear-armed Tehran behave? / / Alireza Nader
Iran after the bomb : how would a nuclear-armed Tehran behave? / / Alireza Nader
Autore Nader Alireza
Pubbl/distr/stampa Santa Monica, CA : , : Rand National Security Research Division, , 2013
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (50 pages)
Soggetto topico Nuclear weapons - Iran
Nuclear nonproliferation - Iran
Terrorism - Government policy - Iran
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Record Nr. UNINA-9910220118503321
Nader Alireza  
Santa Monica, CA : , : Rand National Security Research Division, , 2013
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Iran's influence in Afghanistan : implications for the U.S. drawdown / / Alireza Nader [and four others]
Iran's influence in Afghanistan : implications for the U.S. drawdown / / Alireza Nader [and four others]
Autore Nader Alireza
Pubbl/distr/stampa Santa Monica, California : , : RAND, , 2014
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (162 p.)
Disciplina 327.581055
Soggetto topico Political stability - Afghanistan
Afghan War, 2001-2021 - Peace
ISBN 0-8330-8594-8
0-8330-8593-X
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE: Introduction; CHAPTER TWO: Iran and Afghanistan: A Complicated Relationship; Close but Not Exclusive Ties with the Afghan Tajik and Shia; Iran's Political Role in Afghanistan; Iran's Positive Economic Influence; Iran's Anti-U.S. Policies in Afghanistan; Iran's Military Aid to Afghan Insurgents; Challenges to Iranian Influence in Afghanistan; Popular Resistance to Iranian Influence; Water Disputes; Narcotics Challenge; Refugee Issues; CHAPTER THREE: Iran and Other Powers in Afghanistan
Iran and PakistanIran and India; Iran and Russia; The China Factor; CHAPTER FOUR: Conclusion and Implications for the United States; References
Record Nr. UNINA-9910220117703321
Nader Alireza  
Santa Monica, California : , : RAND, , 2014
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
The next supreme leader [[electronic resource] ] : succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran / / Alireza Nader, David E. Thaler, S. R. Bohandy
The next supreme leader [[electronic resource] ] : succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran / / Alireza Nader, David E. Thaler, S. R. Bohandy
Autore Nader Alireza
Pubbl/distr/stampa Santa Monica, Calif., : Rand/National Defense Research Institute, 2011
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (158 p.)
Disciplina 320.955
Altri autori (Persone) ThalerDavid E
BohandyS. R
Soggetto topico Heads of state - Succession - Iran
ISBN 0-8330-5199-7
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; Chapter One - Introduction; The Official Procedure for Selecting Iran's Supreme Leader Is Laid Out in the Iranian Constitution; In Actuality, the Next Succession Is Likely to Occur in a Much Different Way; The Factional Balance of Power; The Prevailing View of Velayat-e Faghih; Khamenei's Personal Network; Other Potential Factors Are Not as Relevant if the Succession Happens in the Near Term
The Trajectory of the Next Succession Will Hinge on How the Three Principal Factors Are Configured at the Time of Khamenei's Departure Methodology; Roadmap of the Report; Chapter Two - Factor 1: The Factional Balance of Power; The Factional Landscape in Iran; The Islamist Right; The Islamist Left (Reformists); Since the Islamic Revolution, Factionalism Has Been More Influential Than Constitutional Process in Decision making and Policy making Within the Iranian Political System; Khomeini Was Able to Keep Factional Jockeying Largely in Check
Since Khamenei Came to Power in 1989, Factional Competition Has Grown Markedly in Both Intensity and Influence Chapter Three - Factor 2: The Prevailing View of Velayat-e Faghih; The Absolute View of Velayat-e Faghih; The Democratic View of Velayat-e Faghih; The Quietist View of Velayat-e Faghih; Since Each Faction Has a Different View of Velayat-e Faghih, Whichever Dominates Iran's Political Landscape Will Play a Decisive Role in Shaping Succession; Chapter Four - Factor 3: Khamenei's Personal Network; The Members of Khamenei's Personal Network
The Supreme Leader Has Historically Maintained a Personal Network Instrumental in Making Key Political Decisions Khomeini's Personal Network Was the Main Driver of the 1989 Succession; Since the Mid-1990s, Khamenei and His Personal Network Have Steadily Consolidated Authority and Are Now the Principal Decision makers in Iranian Politics; Chapter Five - Five Scenarios for Succession of the Supreme Leader in the Near Term; Indicators That Suggest How Factional Competition Is Evolving; Indicators That Point to the Prevailing View of Velayat-e Faghih
Indicators That Signal How Khamenei's Personal Network Is Developing and the Power It Holds The Configuration of the Three Factors as of 2011; Five Possible Scenarios for Succession of the Current Supreme Leader; Status Quo: The Supreme Leader Remains Powerful But Not Omnipotent; Absolutist: The Supreme Leader, a Dictator, Discards Elected Institutions; Democratic: An Iranian-Stylized Islamic Democracy; Leadership Council: An Executive Body Beholden to Qom; Abolition: Demise of the Islamic Republic; The "Wild Card" Factor: The Nature and Timing of Khamenei's Exit
The Status Quo and Absolutist Scenarios Seem the Most Likely for the Next Succession
Record Nr. UNISA-996320193903316
Nader Alireza  
Santa Monica, Calif., : Rand/National Defense Research Institute, 2011
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. di Salerno
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
The next supreme leader [[electronic resource] ] : succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran / / Alireza Nader, David E. Thaler, S. R. Bohandy
The next supreme leader [[electronic resource] ] : succession in the Islamic Republic of Iran / / Alireza Nader, David E. Thaler, S. R. Bohandy
Autore Nader Alireza
Pubbl/distr/stampa Santa Monica, Calif., : Rand/National Defense Research Institute, 2011
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (158 p.)
Disciplina 320.955
Altri autori (Persone) ThalerDavid E
BohandyS. R
Soggetto topico Heads of state - Succession - Iran
ISBN 0-8330-5199-7
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; Chapter One - Introduction; The Official Procedure for Selecting Iran's Supreme Leader Is Laid Out in the Iranian Constitution; In Actuality, the Next Succession Is Likely to Occur in a Much Different Way; The Factional Balance of Power; The Prevailing View of Velayat-e Faghih; Khamenei's Personal Network; Other Potential Factors Are Not as Relevant if the Succession Happens in the Near Term
The Trajectory of the Next Succession Will Hinge on How the Three Principal Factors Are Configured at the Time of Khamenei's Departure Methodology; Roadmap of the Report; Chapter Two - Factor 1: The Factional Balance of Power; The Factional Landscape in Iran; The Islamist Right; The Islamist Left (Reformists); Since the Islamic Revolution, Factionalism Has Been More Influential Than Constitutional Process in Decision making and Policy making Within the Iranian Political System; Khomeini Was Able to Keep Factional Jockeying Largely in Check
Since Khamenei Came to Power in 1989, Factional Competition Has Grown Markedly in Both Intensity and Influence Chapter Three - Factor 2: The Prevailing View of Velayat-e Faghih; The Absolute View of Velayat-e Faghih; The Democratic View of Velayat-e Faghih; The Quietist View of Velayat-e Faghih; Since Each Faction Has a Different View of Velayat-e Faghih, Whichever Dominates Iran's Political Landscape Will Play a Decisive Role in Shaping Succession; Chapter Four - Factor 3: Khamenei's Personal Network; The Members of Khamenei's Personal Network
The Supreme Leader Has Historically Maintained a Personal Network Instrumental in Making Key Political Decisions Khomeini's Personal Network Was the Main Driver of the 1989 Succession; Since the Mid-1990s, Khamenei and His Personal Network Have Steadily Consolidated Authority and Are Now the Principal Decision makers in Iranian Politics; Chapter Five - Five Scenarios for Succession of the Supreme Leader in the Near Term; Indicators That Suggest How Factional Competition Is Evolving; Indicators That Point to the Prevailing View of Velayat-e Faghih
Indicators That Signal How Khamenei's Personal Network Is Developing and the Power It Holds The Configuration of the Three Factors as of 2011; Five Possible Scenarios for Succession of the Current Supreme Leader; Status Quo: The Supreme Leader Remains Powerful But Not Omnipotent; Absolutist: The Supreme Leader, a Dictator, Discards Elected Institutions; Democratic: An Iranian-Stylized Islamic Democracy; Leadership Council: An Executive Body Beholden to Qom; Abolition: Demise of the Islamic Republic; The "Wild Card" Factor: The Nature and Timing of Khamenei's Exit
The Status Quo and Absolutist Scenarios Seem the Most Likely for the Next Succession
Record Nr. UNINA-9910141009403321
Nader Alireza  
Santa Monica, Calif., : Rand/National Defense Research Institute, 2011
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui