Thinking and Reasoning [[electronic resource] ] : An Introduction to the Psychology of Reason, Judgment and Decision Making |
Autore | Manktelow Ken |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, : Taylor and Francis, 2012 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (329 p.) |
Disciplina |
153.4/2
153.42 153.43 |
Soggetto topico |
Cognition
Decision making Reasoning (Psychology) Thought and thinking |
Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
ISBN |
1-283-45834-9
9786613458346 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Thinking and Reasoning; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Chapter 1 : Judging and thinking about probability; Defining probability; Logical possibility; Frequency; Propensity; Degree of belief; Belief revision: Bayes' rule; Judging plain probalities; Logical possibilities; Frequencies; Taking samples: where our information comes from; Belief updating; Base rates: neglect or respect?; Belief revision by natural frequencies; Probability from the inside and the outside; The planning fallacy; Overconfi dence; The conjunction fallacy; Summary
Chapter 2 : The study of reasoning: classic researchThe classical syllogism: reasoning with quantities; Validity; Reasoning with syllogisms; Patterns in human performance; Explaining the patterns of performance; Mental logic; Mental models; Probability heuristics; Summary; Chapter 3 : Reasoning with propositions; If: conditionals; Knowing p , knowing q : inferences and truth tables; Research results; The Wason selection task; Reasoning with Or: disjunctives; Research results; Wason's THOG problem; Summary; Chapter 4 : Reasoning and meaning; Facilitation: the study of content effects Deontic reasoning: thinking about rulesPragmatic reasoning schemas; Evolutionary approaches to deontic reasoning; Decision-theoretic approaches; Causal reasoning: thinking about how the world works; Causal reasoning about general events; The covariational approach to causal thinking; Prior knowledge and causal models; Causal models theory; Single cases and counterfactual thinking; Summary; Chapter 5 : Explaining reasoning: the classic approaches; Mental logic; Braine and O'Brien's theory of If; Rips' Psycop theory; The theory of mental models; Mental models and conditionals The selection taskContent and context; Illusory inferences; Causal and counterfactual reasoning; Summary; Chapter 6 : Explaining reasoning: the 'new paradigm'; Oaksford and Chater's Bayesian theory; Rational analysis; Matching bias; The deontic selection task; Conditional inference; Evans and Over's suppositional theory; The dual process theory; Dual processes in the selection task; Belief bias in syllogistic reasoning; Heuristic and analytic processes; Dual processes and dual systems; Dual minds; Summary; Chapter 7 : Hypothetical thinking: induction and testing; Induction Induction and deductionCategory-based induction; Extensions and explanations; Category-based induction without categories; Abduction: fi nding explanations and causes; Induction and deduction revisited; Hypothesis testing; Wason's 2 4 6 task and its descendants; Confi rmation bias; Better hypothesis testing; Hypothesis testing in the wild; Hypothetical thinking theory; Summary; Chapter 8 : Decision making: preference and prospects; Subjective expected utility; Principles and problems; Complex decisions; Preference; Different utilities; Competing options; Framing: the effects of description Prospect theory: a descriptive theory of decision making |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910462398903321 |
Manktelow Ken
![]() |
||
Hoboken, : Taylor and Francis, 2012 | ||
![]() | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
|
Thinking and Reasoning [[electronic resource] ] : An Introduction to the Psychology of Reason, Judgment and Decision Making |
Autore | Manktelow Ken |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, : Taylor and Francis, 2012 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (329 p.) |
Disciplina |
153.4/2
153.42 153.43 |
Soggetto topico |
Cognition
Decision making Reasoning (Psychology) Thought and thinking |
ISBN |
0-203-11546-5
1-136-29523-2 1-84169-741-9 1-283-45834-9 9786613458346 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Thinking and Reasoning; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Chapter 1 : Judging and thinking about probability; Defining probability; Logical possibility; Frequency; Propensity; Degree of belief; Belief revision: Bayes' rule; Judging plain probalities; Logical possibilities; Frequencies; Taking samples: where our information comes from; Belief updating; Base rates: neglect or respect?; Belief revision by natural frequencies; Probability from the inside and the outside; The planning fallacy; Overconfi dence; The conjunction fallacy; Summary
Chapter 2 : The study of reasoning: classic researchThe classical syllogism: reasoning with quantities; Validity; Reasoning with syllogisms; Patterns in human performance; Explaining the patterns of performance; Mental logic; Mental models; Probability heuristics; Summary; Chapter 3 : Reasoning with propositions; If: conditionals; Knowing p , knowing q : inferences and truth tables; Research results; The Wason selection task; Reasoning with Or: disjunctives; Research results; Wason's THOG problem; Summary; Chapter 4 : Reasoning and meaning; Facilitation: the study of content effects Deontic reasoning: thinking about rulesPragmatic reasoning schemas; Evolutionary approaches to deontic reasoning; Decision-theoretic approaches; Causal reasoning: thinking about how the world works; Causal reasoning about general events; The covariational approach to causal thinking; Prior knowledge and causal models; Causal models theory; Single cases and counterfactual thinking; Summary; Chapter 5 : Explaining reasoning: the classic approaches; Mental logic; Braine and O'Brien's theory of If; Rips' Psycop theory; The theory of mental models; Mental models and conditionals The selection taskContent and context; Illusory inferences; Causal and counterfactual reasoning; Summary; Chapter 6 : Explaining reasoning: the 'new paradigm'; Oaksford and Chater's Bayesian theory; Rational analysis; Matching bias; The deontic selection task; Conditional inference; Evans and Over's suppositional theory; The dual process theory; Dual processes in the selection task; Belief bias in syllogistic reasoning; Heuristic and analytic processes; Dual processes and dual systems; Dual minds; Summary; Chapter 7 : Hypothetical thinking: induction and testing; Induction Induction and deductionCategory-based induction; Extensions and explanations; Category-based induction without categories; Abduction: fi nding explanations and causes; Induction and deduction revisited; Hypothesis testing; Wason's 2 4 6 task and its descendants; Confi rmation bias; Better hypothesis testing; Hypothesis testing in the wild; Hypothetical thinking theory; Summary; Chapter 8 : Decision making: preference and prospects; Subjective expected utility; Principles and problems; Complex decisions; Preference; Different utilities; Competing options; Framing: the effects of description Prospect theory: a descriptive theory of decision making |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910790492003321 |
Manktelow Ken
![]() |
||
Hoboken, : Taylor and Francis, 2012 | ||
![]() | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
|
Thinking and Reasoning [[electronic resource] ] : An Introduction to the Psychology of Reason, Judgment and Decision Making |
Autore | Manktelow Ken |
Edizione | [1st ed.] |
Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, : Taylor and Francis, 2012 |
Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (329 p.) |
Disciplina |
153.4/2
153.42 153.43 |
Soggetto topico |
Cognition
Decision making Reasoning (Psychology) Thought and thinking |
ISBN |
0-203-11546-5
1-136-29523-2 1-84169-741-9 1-283-45834-9 9786613458346 |
Formato | Materiale a stampa ![]() |
Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Thinking and Reasoning; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Chapter 1 : Judging and thinking about probability; Defining probability; Logical possibility; Frequency; Propensity; Degree of belief; Belief revision: Bayes' rule; Judging plain probalities; Logical possibilities; Frequencies; Taking samples: where our information comes from; Belief updating; Base rates: neglect or respect?; Belief revision by natural frequencies; Probability from the inside and the outside; The planning fallacy; Overconfi dence; The conjunction fallacy; Summary
Chapter 2 : The study of reasoning: classic researchThe classical syllogism: reasoning with quantities; Validity; Reasoning with syllogisms; Patterns in human performance; Explaining the patterns of performance; Mental logic; Mental models; Probability heuristics; Summary; Chapter 3 : Reasoning with propositions; If: conditionals; Knowing p , knowing q : inferences and truth tables; Research results; The Wason selection task; Reasoning with Or: disjunctives; Research results; Wason's THOG problem; Summary; Chapter 4 : Reasoning and meaning; Facilitation: the study of content effects Deontic reasoning: thinking about rulesPragmatic reasoning schemas; Evolutionary approaches to deontic reasoning; Decision-theoretic approaches; Causal reasoning: thinking about how the world works; Causal reasoning about general events; The covariational approach to causal thinking; Prior knowledge and causal models; Causal models theory; Single cases and counterfactual thinking; Summary; Chapter 5 : Explaining reasoning: the classic approaches; Mental logic; Braine and O'Brien's theory of If; Rips' Psycop theory; The theory of mental models; Mental models and conditionals The selection taskContent and context; Illusory inferences; Causal and counterfactual reasoning; Summary; Chapter 6 : Explaining reasoning: the 'new paradigm'; Oaksford and Chater's Bayesian theory; Rational analysis; Matching bias; The deontic selection task; Conditional inference; Evans and Over's suppositional theory; The dual process theory; Dual processes in the selection task; Belief bias in syllogistic reasoning; Heuristic and analytic processes; Dual processes and dual systems; Dual minds; Summary; Chapter 7 : Hypothetical thinking: induction and testing; Induction Induction and deductionCategory-based induction; Extensions and explanations; Category-based induction without categories; Abduction: fi nding explanations and causes; Induction and deduction revisited; Hypothesis testing; Wason's 2 4 6 task and its descendants; Confi rmation bias; Better hypothesis testing; Hypothesis testing in the wild; Hypothetical thinking theory; Summary; Chapter 8 : Decision making: preference and prospects; Subjective expected utility; Principles and problems; Complex decisions; Preference; Different utilities; Competing options; Framing: the effects of description Prospect theory: a descriptive theory of decision making |
Record Nr. | UNINA-9910807165403321 |
Manktelow Ken
![]() |
||
Hoboken, : Taylor and Francis, 2012 | ||
![]() | ||
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
|