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Strategic decisions and weak signals : anticipation for decision-making / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Strategic decisions and weak signals : anticipation for decision-making / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Autore Lesca Humbert
Pubbl/distr/stampa London, England ; ; Hoboken, New Jersey : , : ISTE Ltd : , : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., , 2014
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (145 p.)
Disciplina 658.403
Collana Focus Business, Management and Finance Series
Focus Series
Soggetto topico Decision making - Data processing
ISBN 1-118-95914-0
1-118-95915-9
1-118-95913-2
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Contents; Introduction; CHAPTER 1. THE SUBJECT WITHIN THE FIELD OF MANAGEMENTSCIENCE: CONCEPTS AND ISSUES; 1.1. Strategic management and strategic decision making; 1.2. Strategic decision-making and anticipatio; 1.2.1. Knowing and anticipating; 1.2.2. Anticipating and deciding; 1.2.3. Anticipating for effective decision-making; 1.2.4. Characteristics of a strategic decision; 1.3. Anticipation, anticipative information and weak signals; 1.3.1. Weak signals; 1.3.2. Characteristics of a weak signal; 1.3.3. Weak signals for anticipation
1.3.4. Where might we find a weak signal?1.3.5. Usefulness of weak signals in strategic decision making; 1.4. Weak signals and anticipative strategic scanning; 1.4.1. Anticipative strategic scanning and weak-signal detection; 1.4.2. The use of weak signals depends on managers' wishes; 1.5. Organizational issues in anticipative strategic scanning, which could weaken strategic decision making; 1.5.1. Definition of "targeting" of anticipative strategic scanning; 1.5.2. Insufficient information: too restrictive a target, and the consequences for strategic decision-making
1.5.3. Too much information: consequences of information overload for strategic decision-making1.5.4. Detecting a weak signal in an informationoverload situation (in a full text); 1.6. Conclusion: concepts discussed, issues noted and resulting requirements; CHAPTER 2. STATE OF THE ART: SYSTEMS SUGGESTED BYPREVIOUS AUTHORS; 2.1. Entry point: collective interpretation of a set of homogeneous weak signals to make sense; 2.1.1. Interpreting weak signals: sense-making; 2.1.2. How about sense-making using images, remotely?; 2.1.3. Puzzle method: example
2.2. Directly detecting a weak signal in a full text2.3. Automatically selecting a "useful" information fragment (a "brief", for our purposes); 2.3.1. Data overload versus "useful" information fragments; 2.3.2. Managers want automation of information detection; 2.3.3. Is it possible to automate the detection of potentially useful information?; 2.3.4. Prototype of a device to filter data obtained from Web 2.0: ABIMA; 2.4. Improving weak-signal detection by improving the target; 2.4.1. What should we scan for in the environment?
2.4.2. Learning about the boundary of the environment being scanned2.4.3. An automated technique to help change an organization's peripheral vision; 2.5. Conclusion; CHAPTER 3. PROPOSED SYSTEMS: RESULTS OF INFORMATIONSYSTEM PROTOTYPING RESEARCH CONDUCTED AT THECNRS-CERAG LAB (FRANCE); 3.1. TARGETBUILDER, an aid to targeting scanning priorities; 3.1.1. Usefulness; 3.1.2. Principle behind TARGETBUILDER system; 3.1.3. Recap on TARGETBUILDER; 3.2. APROXIMA, automated extraction of fragments (briefs), which may hold weak signals; 3.2.1. Usefulness; 3.2.2. Principle behind APROXIMA system
3.2.3. Case study: application to the topic of "solar/photovoltaic" power
Record Nr. UNINA-9910139141703321
Lesca Humbert  
London, England ; ; Hoboken, New Jersey : , : ISTE Ltd : , : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., , 2014
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Strategic decisions and weak signals : anticipation for decision-making / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Strategic decisions and weak signals : anticipation for decision-making / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Autore Lesca Humbert
Pubbl/distr/stampa London, England ; ; Hoboken, New Jersey : , : ISTE Ltd : , : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., , 2014
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (145 p.)
Disciplina 658.403
Collana Focus Business, Management and Finance Series
Focus Series
Soggetto topico Decision making - Data processing
ISBN 1-118-95914-0
1-118-95915-9
1-118-95913-2
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Contents; Introduction; CHAPTER 1. THE SUBJECT WITHIN THE FIELD OF MANAGEMENTSCIENCE: CONCEPTS AND ISSUES; 1.1. Strategic management and strategic decision making; 1.2. Strategic decision-making and anticipatio; 1.2.1. Knowing and anticipating; 1.2.2. Anticipating and deciding; 1.2.3. Anticipating for effective decision-making; 1.2.4. Characteristics of a strategic decision; 1.3. Anticipation, anticipative information and weak signals; 1.3.1. Weak signals; 1.3.2. Characteristics of a weak signal; 1.3.3. Weak signals for anticipation
1.3.4. Where might we find a weak signal?1.3.5. Usefulness of weak signals in strategic decision making; 1.4. Weak signals and anticipative strategic scanning; 1.4.1. Anticipative strategic scanning and weak-signal detection; 1.4.2. The use of weak signals depends on managers' wishes; 1.5. Organizational issues in anticipative strategic scanning, which could weaken strategic decision making; 1.5.1. Definition of "targeting" of anticipative strategic scanning; 1.5.2. Insufficient information: too restrictive a target, and the consequences for strategic decision-making
1.5.3. Too much information: consequences of information overload for strategic decision-making1.5.4. Detecting a weak signal in an informationoverload situation (in a full text); 1.6. Conclusion: concepts discussed, issues noted and resulting requirements; CHAPTER 2. STATE OF THE ART: SYSTEMS SUGGESTED BYPREVIOUS AUTHORS; 2.1. Entry point: collective interpretation of a set of homogeneous weak signals to make sense; 2.1.1. Interpreting weak signals: sense-making; 2.1.2. How about sense-making using images, remotely?; 2.1.3. Puzzle method: example
2.2. Directly detecting a weak signal in a full text2.3. Automatically selecting a "useful" information fragment (a "brief", for our purposes); 2.3.1. Data overload versus "useful" information fragments; 2.3.2. Managers want automation of information detection; 2.3.3. Is it possible to automate the detection of potentially useful information?; 2.3.4. Prototype of a device to filter data obtained from Web 2.0: ABIMA; 2.4. Improving weak-signal detection by improving the target; 2.4.1. What should we scan for in the environment?
2.4.2. Learning about the boundary of the environment being scanned2.4.3. An automated technique to help change an organization's peripheral vision; 2.5. Conclusion; CHAPTER 3. PROPOSED SYSTEMS: RESULTS OF INFORMATIONSYSTEM PROTOTYPING RESEARCH CONDUCTED AT THECNRS-CERAG LAB (FRANCE); 3.1. TARGETBUILDER, an aid to targeting scanning priorities; 3.1.1. Usefulness; 3.1.2. Principle behind TARGETBUILDER system; 3.1.3. Recap on TARGETBUILDER; 3.2. APROXIMA, automated extraction of fragments (briefs), which may hold weak signals; 3.2.1. Usefulness; 3.2.2. Principle behind APROXIMA system
3.2.3. Case study: application to the topic of "solar/photovoltaic" power
Record Nr. UNINA-9910816027003321
Lesca Humbert  
London, England ; ; Hoboken, New Jersey : , : ISTE Ltd : , : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., , 2014
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Weak signals for strategic intelligence [[electronic resource] ] : anticipation tool for managers / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Weak signals for strategic intelligence [[electronic resource] ] : anticipation tool for managers / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Autore Lesca Humbert
Edizione [1st edition]
Pubbl/distr/stampa London, : ISTE
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (246 p.)
Disciplina 658.4/72
Altri autori (Persone) LescaNicolas
LescaHumbert
Collana ISTE
Soggetto topico Strategic planning
Management
ISBN 1-118-60277-3
1-299-18779-X
1-118-60287-0
1-118-60281-1
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Weak Signals for Strategic Intelligence; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; Introduction; Chapter 1. Concepts, Issues and Hypotheses; 1.1. Introduction: governance and radar; 1.1.1. Steering the ship; 1.1.2. Corporate governance and strategic decision-making; 1.1.3. The ship's radar (radio detection and ranging); 1.1.4. The organization's "radar", a tool for its governability; 1.2. The organization's environment and its governance through a "storm"; 1.2.1. The ship, the ocean, and any danger to be faced
1.2.2. The enterprise, its environment, uncertainty, hazards, and opportunities1.2.3. Scrutinizing and interpreting the environment; 1.3. Anticipation (act of looking forward); 1.3.1. Anticipating: definition and examples; 1.3.2. Do not confuse anticipation with forecasting; 1.3.3. Anticipation and scenario-based prospective: possible complementarity; 1.3.4. Anticipating odd events, discontinuities, anomalies, etc; 1.4. Anticipative information: two types; 1.4.1. Definition; 1.4.2. Difference between strategic information and day-to-day management information
1.4.3. Two types of anticipative information1.5. Weak signals; 1.5.1. Definition of a weak signal; 1.5.2. An example of weak signal as the trigger to a warning; 1.5.3. Should we prefer a "strong" but backward-looking signal, or a "weak" but forward-looking signal?; 1.5.4. Conversion, transformation of a weak signal into an early warning signal; 1.5.5. Should we refer to a "signal" or a "sign"? Intentionality of the sender; 1.5.6. Weak signals... or decoys, deceptions, and information asymmetry; 1.5.7. Characteristics of a weak signal: "stealthy information"
1.5.8. Sources emitting weak signals: examples1.6. Detecting weak signals; 1.6.1. Individual intelligence (in the Latin sense of the word): a definition; 1.6.2. Cognitive style of a person; 1.6.3. Individual cognitive biases; 1.6.4. Fear; 1.7. Interpreting, amplifying and exploiting weak signals to support strategic decision making; 1.7.1. Need for collective intelligence (CI) for interpreting weak signals; 1.7.2. CM: justification and definition of the process; 1.7.3. Definition of CI as the emergence of CCM; 1.7.4. From CCM to knowledge management
1.8. Puzzle® method for the operationalization of CCM1.8.1. Issue: why the puzzle metaphor?; 1.8.2. Definition of the Puzzle® method; 1.8.3. Fundamental hypotheses of the Puzzle® method; 1.8.4. Work group and CI; 1.9. Global VASIC process for detecting, recognizing and utilizing weak signals; 1.9.1. Targeting of anticipative scanning and information sources; 1.9.2. Tracking and individual selection of weak signals; 1.9.3. Escalating information, collective/centralized selection and storage; 1.9.4. Dissemination and preparation of information for CCM sessions; 1.9.5. Animation
1.9.6. Measurements: performance indicators of the VASIC process
Record Nr. UNINA-9910141479703321
Lesca Humbert  
London, : ISTE
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Weak signals for strategic intelligence [[electronic resource] ] : anticipation tool for managers / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Weak signals for strategic intelligence [[electronic resource] ] : anticipation tool for managers / / Humbert Lesca, Nicolas Lesca
Autore Lesca Humbert
Edizione [1st edition]
Pubbl/distr/stampa London, : ISTE
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (246 p.)
Disciplina 658.4/72
Altri autori (Persone) LescaNicolas
LescaHumbert
Collana ISTE
Soggetto topico Strategic planning
Management
ISBN 1-118-60277-3
1-299-18779-X
1-118-60287-0
1-118-60281-1
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover; Weak Signals for Strategic Intelligence; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; Introduction; Chapter 1. Concepts, Issues and Hypotheses; 1.1. Introduction: governance and radar; 1.1.1. Steering the ship; 1.1.2. Corporate governance and strategic decision-making; 1.1.3. The ship's radar (radio detection and ranging); 1.1.4. The organization's "radar", a tool for its governability; 1.2. The organization's environment and its governance through a "storm"; 1.2.1. The ship, the ocean, and any danger to be faced
1.2.2. The enterprise, its environment, uncertainty, hazards, and opportunities1.2.3. Scrutinizing and interpreting the environment; 1.3. Anticipation (act of looking forward); 1.3.1. Anticipating: definition and examples; 1.3.2. Do not confuse anticipation with forecasting; 1.3.3. Anticipation and scenario-based prospective: possible complementarity; 1.3.4. Anticipating odd events, discontinuities, anomalies, etc; 1.4. Anticipative information: two types; 1.4.1. Definition; 1.4.2. Difference between strategic information and day-to-day management information
1.4.3. Two types of anticipative information1.5. Weak signals; 1.5.1. Definition of a weak signal; 1.5.2. An example of weak signal as the trigger to a warning; 1.5.3. Should we prefer a "strong" but backward-looking signal, or a "weak" but forward-looking signal?; 1.5.4. Conversion, transformation of a weak signal into an early warning signal; 1.5.5. Should we refer to a "signal" or a "sign"? Intentionality of the sender; 1.5.6. Weak signals... or decoys, deceptions, and information asymmetry; 1.5.7. Characteristics of a weak signal: "stealthy information"
1.5.8. Sources emitting weak signals: examples1.6. Detecting weak signals; 1.6.1. Individual intelligence (in the Latin sense of the word): a definition; 1.6.2. Cognitive style of a person; 1.6.3. Individual cognitive biases; 1.6.4. Fear; 1.7. Interpreting, amplifying and exploiting weak signals to support strategic decision making; 1.7.1. Need for collective intelligence (CI) for interpreting weak signals; 1.7.2. CM: justification and definition of the process; 1.7.3. Definition of CI as the emergence of CCM; 1.7.4. From CCM to knowledge management
1.8. Puzzle® method for the operationalization of CCM1.8.1. Issue: why the puzzle metaphor?; 1.8.2. Definition of the Puzzle® method; 1.8.3. Fundamental hypotheses of the Puzzle® method; 1.8.4. Work group and CI; 1.9. Global VASIC process for detecting, recognizing and utilizing weak signals; 1.9.1. Targeting of anticipative scanning and information sources; 1.9.2. Tracking and individual selection of weak signals; 1.9.3. Escalating information, collective/centralized selection and storage; 1.9.4. Dissemination and preparation of information for CCM sessions; 1.9.5. Animation
1.9.6. Measurements: performance indicators of the VASIC process
Record Nr. UNINA-9910828871303321
Lesca Humbert  
London, : ISTE
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui