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Collapse and Revival : : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries / / Ayhan Kose, Marco Terrones
| Collapse and Revival : : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries / / Ayhan Kose, Marco Terrones |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (307 pages) : color illustrations, charts, tables |
| Disciplina | 338.5/42 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | TerronesMarco |
| Soggetto topico |
Financial crises
Recessions Business cycles Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 Macroeconomics Banks and Banking Foreign Exchange Central Banks and Their Policies Economic & financial crises & disasters Banking Central banks Currency crises Banks and banking, Central |
| ISBN |
1-4843-4244-5
1-4755-2336-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910796419503321 |
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Collapse and Revival : : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries / / Ayhan Kose, Marco Terrones
| Collapse and Revival : : Understanding Global Recessions and Recoveries / / Ayhan Kose, Marco Terrones |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (307 pages) : color illustrations, charts, tables |
| Disciplina | 338.5/42 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | TerronesMarco |
| Soggetto topico |
Financial crises
Recessions Business cycles Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 Macroeconomics Banks and Banking Foreign Exchange Central Banks and Their Policies Economic & financial crises & disasters Banking Central banks Currency crises Banks and banking, Central |
| ISBN |
1-4843-4244-5
1-4755-2336-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Intro -- Collapse and Revival -- Blurb -- Half Title Page -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Summary of Contents -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- About the Authors -- Introduction -- About This Book -- How This Book is Organized -- About the Multimedia Content -- Icons Used in This Book -- Chapter 1: Overview -- Part I: Setting the Stage -- Chapter 2: Global Cycles: Toward a Better Understanding -- Fundamental Questions in Search of Answers -- Changing Nature of the Global Business Cycle -- Measuring the Global Business Cycle -- Identifying the Turning Points -- A Road Map -- FOCUS Box: Is There a Global Business Cycle -- Chapter 3: Tools of the Trade -- A Global Database -- Methodology: Let's Date -- Defining Global Recession and Global Recovery -- Building on an Earlier Contribution -- Time to Get to Work -- Part II: Learning aboutthe Four Episodes -- Chapter 4: Dates and Events: What Happened When? -- Turning Points of the Global Business Cycle -- Is It Just a U.S. Recession? No! -- Events Surrounding the Global Recessions -- True Turning Points for Macroeconomics -- Focusing Next on the Effects -- Focus Box: The Global Financial Crisis -- Chapter 5: Global Recessions: Sad Stories of Collapse -- Global Recessions: Main Similarities -- The 2009 Global Recession: Collapse All Over -- Different Effects by Country -- Global Downturns: Close Calls! -- How Often? How Likely? -- What Happens after Global Recessions? -- Chapter 6: Global Recoveries: Tales of Revival -- Global Recoveries: Main Similarities -- The Latest Recovery: Weaker or Stronger? -- Is It 1992 All Over Again? -- Large and Persistent Human and Social Costs -- Global Expansions: What Happens between Global Recessions? -- The Collapse of 2009 under a Microscope -- Part III: The Great Recession under a Microscope -- Chapter 7: Synchronization of Recessions.
Globalization and Synchronization -- Synchronization during Global Recessions -- When Synchronized, Recessions are Deeper and Recoveries are Weaker -- Synchronization of Financial Downturns -- From Synchronization to Crises -- Focus Box: Linkages between Globalization and Synchronization -- Chapter 8: Double Whammy: Crisis and Recession -- Different? Or Not? -- Recessions, Recoveries, and Financial Crises -- Why Do Crises Produce Different Cyclical Outcomes? -- Ebullient Expansions Prior to Financial Crises -- Recoveries after Crises Look Different Too -- Medium-Term Implications: It Gets Ugly -- And the Long-Term Implications: Pessimists Galore -- Have We Been Here Before? You Bet! -- Looming Uncertainty: Not Good Either -- Focus Box: Financial Disruptions and Activity -- Chapter 9: Uncertainty: How Bad Is It? -- Something of a Mystery -- Measuring Uncertainty -- Uncertainty: Here, There, and Everywhere -- Uncertainty and Activity: Understanding the Linkages -- What Is the Impact of Uncertainty on Growth? -- Uncertainty, Recessions, and Recoveries -- On the Horizon: Policies -- Chapter 10: The Great Divergence of Policies -- The Debate on Policies and Cycles -- Understanding the Great Divergence -- Fiscal Policy: Stimulus First, but Then Austerity -- Monetary Policy: On Steroids -- The Great Divergence in Policy Effectiveness -- Why Did Policies Diverge? -- What Is the Right Mix of Policies? -- Winds of Change -- Support from Global Growth: Next in Line -- Focus Box: Impact of Policies on Activity -- Part IV Living with the Global Cycle -- Chapter 11: A Complex Affair: Global and National Cycles -- Reconsidering the Linkages -- From Global to National Growth -- Need a New Model -- How Does Global Growth Impact National Growth? -- How Do linkages Vary Across Country Groups?. -- Are Country-Specific Features Important? -- What Does It All Mean?. Focus Box: Transmission of Cycles across Borders -- Chapter 12: Lessons: Past, Present, and Future -- What Was Our Objective? -- What Did We Learn? -- What Are the Key Lessons? -- Four Policy Messages -- Future Work: What Is Next? -- Collapse and Revival: The Enduring Reality -- Notes -- Chapter 2: Global Cycles: Toward a Better Understanding -- Chapter 3: Tools of the Trade -- Chapter 4: Dates and Events: What Happened When? -- Chapter 5: Global Recessions: Sad Stories of Collapse -- Chapter 6: Global Recoveries: Tales of Revival -- Chapter 7: Synchronization of Recessions -- Chapter 8: Double Whammy: Crisis and Recession -- Chapter 9: Uncertainty: How Bad Is It? -- Chapter 10: The Great Divergence of Policies -- Chapter 11: A Complex Affair: Global and National Cycles -- Chapter 12: Lessons: Past, Present, and Future -- Appendices -- List of Appendices -- Appendix A: Abbreviations -- Appendix B: Database -- 1. Definitions and Sources of Variables -- 2. List of Countries: Functional Groups (163 Countries) -- 3. List of Countries: Regional Groups (128) -- 4. List of Countries Used in Regressions in Chapter 11 (97 Countries) -- Appendix C: Evolution of Purchasing Power Parity and Market Weights -- Appendix D: Crises around Global Recessions and Global Downturns -- Appendix E: Timeline: Selected Events around Global Recessions and Recoveries -- 1975 Global Recession -- 1982 Global Recession -- 1991 Global Recession -- 2009 Global Recession -- Appendix F: Global Recessions: Regional Country Groups -- Appendix G: Sensitivity of Global Activity Variables -- Appendix H: Global Recoveries: Regional Country Groups -- Appendix I: Uncertainty, Business Cycles, and Growth. -- Appendix J: Linkages between the Global Cycle and National Cycles. -- Bibliography -- Credits -- Art -- Video Images -- Epigraphs -- Index. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910815434003321 |
|
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Financial Globalization : : A Reappraisal / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei
| Financial Globalization : : A Reappraisal / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (94 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
PrasadEswar
RogoffKenneth WeiShang-Jin |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
International finance
Globalization - Mathematical models Exports and Imports Finance: General Globalization General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) International Investment Long-term Capital Movements Current Account Adjustment Short-term Capital Movements Globalization: General Finance International economics Financial integration Foreign direct investment Capital account liberalization Stock markets Investments, Foreign Balance of payments Stock exchanges |
| ISBN |
1-4623-5081-X
1-4527-7032-8 1-282-39205-0 9786613820488 1-4519-9010-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""EXECUTIVE SUMMARY""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF THEORY""; ""III. MEASURING FINANCIAL OPENNESS""; ""IV. PATTERNS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""V. MACROECONOMIC EVIDENCE ON EFFECTS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""VI. HOW DOES THE COMPOSITION OF CAPITAL FLOWS MATTER?""; ""VII. ORGANIZING PRINCIPLES""; ""VIII. COLLATERAL BENEFITS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""IX. THRESHOLD EFFECTS IN OUTCOMES OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""X. CONCLUDING REMARKS""; ""APPENDIXES""; ""References"" |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788521503321 |
|
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Financial Globalization : : A Reappraisal / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei
| Financial Globalization : : A Reappraisal / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Kenneth Rogoff, Shang-Jin Wei |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (94 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
PrasadEswar
RogoffKenneth WeiShang-Jin |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
International finance
Globalization - Mathematical models Balance of payments Capital account liberalization Current Account Adjustment Exports and Imports Finance Finance: General Financial integration Foreign direct investment General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) Globalization Globalization: General International economics International Investment Investments, Foreign Long-term Capital Movements Short-term Capital Movements Stock exchanges Stock markets |
| ISBN |
1-4623-5081-X
1-4527-7032-8 1-282-39205-0 9786613820488 1-4519-9010-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""EXECUTIVE SUMMARY""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. A BRIEF OVERVIEW OF THEORY""; ""III. MEASURING FINANCIAL OPENNESS""; ""IV. PATTERNS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""V. MACROECONOMIC EVIDENCE ON EFFECTS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""VI. HOW DOES THE COMPOSITION OF CAPITAL FLOWS MATTER?""; ""VII. ORGANIZING PRINCIPLES""; ""VIII. COLLATERAL BENEFITS OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""IX. THRESHOLD EFFECTS IN OUTCOMES OF FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION""; ""X. CONCLUDING REMARKS""; ""APPENDIXES""; ""References"" |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910820343603321 |
|
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Global Business Cycles : : Convergence or Decoupling? / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Christopher Otrok
| Global Business Cycles : : Convergence or Decoupling? / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Christopher Otrok |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (51 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
PrasadEswar
OtrokChristopher |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - Econometric models
Globalization Econometrics Finance: General Macroeconomics Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) Macroeconomics: Consumption Saving Wealth Globalization: General General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) Classification Methods Cluster Analysis Principal Components Factor Models Economic growth Finance Econometrics & economic statistics Business cycles Consumption Emerging and frontier financial markets Factor models Economics Financial services industry Econometric models |
| ISBN |
1-4623-3965-4
1-4527-8339-X 1-4518-7001-9 9786612840944 1-282-84094-0 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Data; A. A Dynamic Factor Model; B. Advantages of Dynamic Factor Models; C. Variance Decompositions; D. Data; III. Dynamic Factors and Episodes of Business Cycles; A. Evolution of the Global and Group-Specific Factors; B. Country Factors and Domestic Economic Activity; IV. Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations: 1960-2005; A. Common Cycles: Global and Country-Specific Factors; B. National Cycles: Country and Idiosyncratic Factors; C. Summary; V. Globalization and the Evolution of International Business Cycles; A. Convergence or Decoupling?
B. Consumption ComovementC. Dynamics of Investment; D. Summary; VI. Sensitivity Experiments; A. Results for Sub-groups of Countries; B. Changes in the Importance of Global and Group Factors; C. Implications of Crises; D. Alternative Breakpoints; VII. Conclusion; References; Appendices; I. A Bayesian Approach to Estimating Dynamic Factor Models; II. Testing for Structural Breaks; III. List of Countries; Tables; 1. Variance Decompositions-All Groups; 2. Variance Decompositions-Industrial Country Subsamples; 3. Variance Decompositions-All Groups 4. Variance Decompositions-Industrial Country Subsamples5. Variance Decompositions-Emerging Economy Subsamples; 6. Variance Decompositions-Other Developing Economy Subsamples; Figures; 1. Global and Group-Specific Factors; 2. Output Growth and Estimated Factors for Selected Countries; 3. Average Variance Explained by the Global and Group Factors; 4. Average Variance Explained by Global and Group Factors; 5. Average Variance Explained by Global Factor; 6. Average Variance Explained by Group Specific Factors; 7. Average Variance Explained by Global and Group-Specific Factors-All Countries 8. Output Variance Explained by Global Factor9. Output Variance Explained by Group Factor |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788245303321 |
|
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Global Business Cycles : : Convergence or Decoupling? / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Christopher Otrok
| Global Business Cycles : : Convergence or Decoupling? / / Ayhan Kose, Eswar Prasad, Christopher Otrok |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (51 p.) |
| Disciplina | 339.015195 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
OtrokChristopher
PrasadEswar |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Business cycles - Econometric models
Globalization Business cycles Classification Methods Cluster Analysis Consumption Econometric models Econometrics & economic statistics Econometrics Economic growth Economics Emerging and frontier financial markets Factor Models Factor models Finance Finance: General Financial services industry General Financial Markets: General (includes Measurement and Data) Globalization: General Macroeconomics Macroeconomics: Consumption Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) Principal Components Saving Wealth |
| ISBN |
1-4623-3965-4
1-4527-8339-X 1-4518-7001-9 9786612840944 1-282-84094-0 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Contents; I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Data; A. A Dynamic Factor Model; B. Advantages of Dynamic Factor Models; C. Variance Decompositions; D. Data; III. Dynamic Factors and Episodes of Business Cycles; A. Evolution of the Global and Group-Specific Factors; B. Country Factors and Domestic Economic Activity; IV. Sources of Business Cycle Fluctuations: 1960-2005; A. Common Cycles: Global and Country-Specific Factors; B. National Cycles: Country and Idiosyncratic Factors; C. Summary; V. Globalization and the Evolution of International Business Cycles; A. Convergence or Decoupling?
B. Consumption ComovementC. Dynamics of Investment; D. Summary; VI. Sensitivity Experiments; A. Results for Sub-groups of Countries; B. Changes in the Importance of Global and Group Factors; C. Implications of Crises; D. Alternative Breakpoints; VII. Conclusion; References; Appendices; I. A Bayesian Approach to Estimating Dynamic Factor Models; II. Testing for Structural Breaks; III. List of Countries; Tables; 1. Variance Decompositions-All Groups; 2. Variance Decompositions-Industrial Country Subsamples; 3. Variance Decompositions-All Groups 4. Variance Decompositions-Industrial Country Subsamples5. Variance Decompositions-Emerging Economy Subsamples; 6. Variance Decompositions-Other Developing Economy Subsamples; Figures; 1. Global and Group-Specific Factors; 2. Output Growth and Estimated Factors for Selected Countries; 3. Average Variance Explained by the Global and Group Factors; 4. Average Variance Explained by Global and Group Factors; 5. Average Variance Explained by Global Factor; 6. Average Variance Explained by Group Specific Factors; 7. Average Variance Explained by Global and Group-Specific Factors-All Countries 8. Output Variance Explained by Global Factor9. Output Variance Explained by Group Factor |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910820699303321 |
|
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
How Different Is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries? / / Ayhan Kose, William Blankenau
| How Different Is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries? / / Ayhan Kose, William Blankenau |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (32 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) | BlankenauWilliam |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Households - Economic aspects - Canada
Households - Economic aspects - United States Households - Economic aspects - Germany Households - Economic aspects - Japan Exports and Imports Labor Macroeconomics Production and Operations Management Macroeconomics: Consumption Saving Wealth Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) Macroeconomics: Production Trade: General Demand and Supply of Labor: General Economic growth International economics Labour income economics Consumption Business cycles Productivity Exports Labor markets Economics Industrial productivity Labor market |
| ISBN |
1-4623-3266-8
1-4527-2896-8 1-282-39204-2 9786613820471 1-4519-0842-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE MODEL""; ""III. DATA""; ""IV. PARAMETER CALIBRATION""; ""V. RESULTS""; ""VI. CONCLUSION""; ""References"" |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788521003321 |
|
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
How Different Is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries? / / Ayhan Kose, William Blankenau
| How Different Is the Cyclical Behavior of Home Production Across Countries? / / Ayhan Kose, William Blankenau |
| Autore | Kose Ayhan |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (32 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) | BlankenauWilliam |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Households - Economic aspects - Canada
Households - Economic aspects - United States Households - Economic aspects - Germany Households - Economic aspects - Japan Business cycles Consumption Demand and Supply of Labor: General Economic growth Economics Exports and Imports Exports Income economics Industrial productivity International economics Labor market Labor markets Labor Labour Macroeconomics Macroeconomics: Consumption Macroeconomics: Production Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) Production and Operations Management Productivity Saving Trade: General Wealth |
| ISBN |
1-4623-3266-8
1-4527-2896-8 1-282-39204-2 9786613820471 1-4519-0842-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE MODEL""; ""III. DATA""; ""IV. PARAMETER CALIBRATION""; ""V. RESULTS""; ""VI. CONCLUSION""; ""References"" |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910814664603321 |
|
Kose Ayhan
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||