Info
Developments in demographic forecasting / / edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman
| Developments in demographic forecasting / / edited by Stefano Mazzuco, Nico Keilman |
| Autore | Mazzuco Stefano |
| Edizione | [First edition, 2020.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Springer Nature, 2020 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (viii, 258 pages) : illustrations; digital, PDF file(s) |
| Disciplina | 304.6 |
| Collana | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis |
| Soggetto topico |
Demography
Statistics Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law |
| Soggetto non controllato |
Demography
Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law Population and Demography Statistics in Social Sciences, Humanities, Law, Education, Behavorial Sciences, Public Policy Population forecasting Fertility Mortality Migration Forecasting evaluation Social Media data Population statistics Population modelling Bayesian population models Open access Population & demography Social research & statistics |
| ISBN | 3-030-42472-3 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Chapter 1. Introduction -- Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts -- Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions -- Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects? -- Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age–Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes -- Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions -- Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy -- Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide -- Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving? -- Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland -- Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components -- Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910418324703321 |
Mazzuco Stefano
|
||
| Springer Nature, 2020 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting [[electronic resource] /] / edited by Tommy Bengtsson, Nico Keilman
| Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting [[electronic resource] /] / edited by Tommy Bengtsson, Nico Keilman |
| Edizione | [1st ed. 2019.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2019 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (XI, 349 p. 110 illus., 29 illus. in color.) |
| Disciplina | 304.6 |
| Collana | Demographic Research Monographs, A Series of the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research |
| Soggetto topico |
Demography
Population Statistics Population Economics Statistics for Social Sciences, Humanities, Law |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN | 3-030-05075-0 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Ch 1.Introduction: Tommy Bengtsson, Nico Keilman, Juha Alho, Kaare Christensen, Edward Palmer, James W. Vaupel: SECTION 1. Current practice: Introduction by Tommy Bengtsson and Nico Keilman -- Ch 2. Life Expectancy is Taking Center Place in Modern National Pension Schemes – A New Challenge for the Art of Projecting Mortality: Edward Palmer -- Ch 3. Experiences from Forecasting Mortality in Finland: Juha Alho -- Ch 4. Mortality Projections in Norway: Helge Brunborg -- Ch 5. Mortality Assumptions for Sweden. The 2000–2050 Population Projection: Hans Lundström -- Ch 6. Forecasting Life Expectancy: The SCOPE Approach: James W. Vaupel -- Ch 7. Mortality Forecasts. Comments on How to Improve Existing Models – an Epidemiologist’s Perspective: Kaare Christensen -- Ch 8. The Need for Looking Far Back in Time When Predicting Future Mortality Trends: Tommy Bengtsson -- SECTION 2. Probabilistic models: Introduction by Nico Keilman -- Ch 9. Erroneous Population Forecasts: Nico Keilman -- Ch 10. Remarks on the Use of Probabilities in Demography and Forecasting: Juha M. Alho -- Ch 11. An Expert Knowledge Approach to Stochastic Mortality Forecasting in the Netherlands: Maarten Alders and Joop de Beer -- Ch 12. Stochastic Forecasts of Mortality, Population and Pension Systems: Shripad Tuljapurkar -- SECTION 3. The linear rise in life expectancy: History and prospects: Introduction by Tommy Bengtsson -- Ch 13. The Linear Rise in the Number of Our Days: Jim Oeppen and James W. Vaupel -- Ch 14. Mortality Forecasts and Linear Life Expectancy Trends: Ronald Lee -- Ch 15. Forecasting Life Expectancy: A Statistical Look at Model Choice and Use of Auxiliary Series: Juha M. Alho -- Ch 16. Life Expectancy Convergence among Nations since 1820: Separating the Effects of Technology and Income: Jim Oeppen -- Ch 17. Linear Increase in Life Expectancy: Past and Present: Tommy Bengtsson -- SECTION 4. Causes of death: Introduction by Tommy Bengtsson and Kaare Christensen -- Ch 18. How Useful Are the Causes of Death When Extrapolating Mortality Trends. An Update: Graziella Caselli, Jacques Vallin and Marco Marsili -- Ch 19. Forecasting Life Expectancy and Mortality in Sweden – Some Comments on Methodological Problems and Potential Approaches: Måns Rosén -- Ch 20. How Analysis of Mortality by Cause of Death is Currently Influencing UK Forecasts: Richard Willets -- SECTION 5. Cohort factors: How conditions in early life influence mortality later in life: Introduction by Tommy Bengtsson -- Ch 21. A Life Course Perspective to the Modern Secular Mortality Decline and Socioeconomic Differences in Morbidity and Mortality in Sweden: Martin Lindström and George Davey Smith -- Ch 22. Early Life Events and Later Life Health: Twin and Famine Studies: Kaare Christensen -- Ch 23. The Month of Birth: Evidence for Declining but Persistent Cohort Effects in Lifespan: Gabriele Doblhammer -- Ch 24. Early-Life Conditions and Old-Age Mortality in a Comparative Perspective:19th Century Sweden and Belgium: Tommy Bengtsson and George Alter. . |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910337710503321 |
| Cham : , : Springer International Publishing : , : Imprint : Springer, , 2019 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||