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Regional financial integration in the Caribbean [[electronic resource] ] : evidence from financial and macroeconomic data / / by Raphael Espinova and Goohoon Kwon
Regional financial integration in the Caribbean [[electronic resource] ] : evidence from financial and macroeconomic data / / by Raphael Espinova and Goohoon Kwon
Autore Espinoza Raphael A
Pubbl/distr/stampa Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia dept., 2009
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (37 p.)
Altri autori (Persone) KwonGoohoon
Collana IMF working paper
Soggetto topico Finance - Caribbean Area
Macroeconomics
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 1-4623-9209-1
1-4527-2686-8
1-4518-7286-0
1-282-84353-2
9786612843532
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Contents; I. Introduction; II. Background; III. Stock Price Convergence; A. Data; B. AR results; C. Threshold Auto-Regression (TAR) estimator; IV. Current Account Convergence and Regional Trade Balance; A. Theory; B. Estimation framework; C. Global Financial Integration; D. Intra-regional trade and regional financial integration; V. Conclusion; References; Appendix A; Tables; 1. Balance of Payments; 2. UNCTAD FDI Inward Stock (In millions U.S. dollars, 2001; 3. UNCTAD FDI Outward Stock (In millions of U.S. dollars, 2001); 4. Regional Exports, as a Share of GDP
5. Interest Rates: Principal Component Analysis, 1980m1-2005m126. Interest Comovements; 7. Cross-Listed Stocks; 8. Cross-Market Premium; 9. (G) ARCH-AR Model; 10. (G) ARCH-TAR Model; 11. β Coefficient from 1975-2005; 12. β Coefficient from 1975-90; 13. β Coefficient from 1991-2005; 14. Regional Financial Integration 1975-2005; 15. 1975-90 Estimates of Regional Financial Integration; 16. 1991-2005 Estimates of Regional Financial Integration; Figures; 1. Interest Rates in the CARICOM and Sigma-Convergence (3 month T-Bills); 2. Cross-Listed Stocks; 3. Convergence Speed vs. Foreign Liabilities
Record Nr. UNINA-9910463991103321
Espinoza Raphael A  
Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia dept., 2009
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
Regional financial integration in the Caribbean : evidence from financial and macroeconomic data / / by Raphael Espinova and Goohoon Kwon
Regional financial integration in the Caribbean : evidence from financial and macroeconomic data / / by Raphael Espinova and Goohoon Kwon
Autore Espinoza Raphael A
Edizione [1st ed.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia dept., 2009
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (37 p.)
Disciplina 332.4;332.41;332.4109729
Altri autori (Persone) KwonGoohoon
Collana IMF working paper
Soggetto topico Finance - Caribbean Area
Macroeconomics
ISBN 1-4623-9209-1
1-4527-2686-8
1-4518-7286-0
1-282-84353-2
9786612843532
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Contents; I. Introduction; II. Background; III. Stock Price Convergence; A. Data; B. AR results; C. Threshold Auto-Regression (TAR) estimator; IV. Current Account Convergence and Regional Trade Balance; A. Theory; B. Estimation framework; C. Global Financial Integration; D. Intra-regional trade and regional financial integration; V. Conclusion; References; Appendix A; Tables; 1. Balance of Payments; 2. UNCTAD FDI Inward Stock (In millions U.S. dollars, 2001; 3. UNCTAD FDI Outward Stock (In millions of U.S. dollars, 2001); 4. Regional Exports, as a Share of GDP
5. Interest Rates: Principal Component Analysis, 1980m1-2005m126. Interest Comovements; 7. Cross-Listed Stocks; 8. Cross-Market Premium; 9. (G) ARCH-AR Model; 10. (G) ARCH-TAR Model; 11. β Coefficient from 1975-2005; 12. β Coefficient from 1975-90; 13. β Coefficient from 1991-2005; 14. Regional Financial Integration 1975-2005; 15. 1975-90 Estimates of Regional Financial Integration; 16. 1991-2005 Estimates of Regional Financial Integration; Figures; 1. Interest Rates in the CARICOM and Sigma-Convergence (3 month T-Bills); 2. Cross-Listed Stocks; 3. Convergence Speed vs. Foreign Liabilities
Record Nr. UNINA-9910828556703321
Espinoza Raphael A  
Washington, D.C., : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia dept., 2009
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity in the Euro area [[electronic resource] /] / prepared by Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari and Marco Lombardi
The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity in the Euro area [[electronic resource] /] / prepared by Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari and Marco Lombardi
Autore Espinoza Raphael A
Pubbl/distr/stampa [Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept., 2009
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (56 p.)
Altri autori (Persone) FornariFabio
LombardiMarco J. <1976->
Collana IMF working paper
Soggetto topico Business cycles - Europe
Business cycles - United States
Economic indicators - Europe
Economic indicators - United States
Soggetto genere / forma Electronic books.
ISBN 1-4623-2750-8
1-282-84441-5
9786612844416
1-4518-7388-3
1-4527-8840-5
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The VAR models; A. Data; 1. Rates of Growth of Real GDP in the Three Economic Areas (quarter-on-quarter); B. Specifications; III. Characterizing the Models; A. IRFs and Pre-1985 and Post-1985 Evidence; 2. Impulse Response Functions from a Trivariate VAR; 3. Impulse Response Function from a 9-Variable VAR; 4. Impulse Response Function to GDP Shocks Across Sub-Samples; 5. Impulse Response Functions Across Sub-Samples; B. Linkages and the Role of Financial Shocks; 6. Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for the Euro Area GDP
1. Variance Decomposition of the GDP in the Three Areas2. R2 of a Regression of Δlog GDP on its Counterfactual; 7. Historical Decomposition; IV. Out-of-Sample Evidence; A. 'Unconditional' Forecast Evaluation; 3. Unconditional Out-of-Sample RMSE; B. Conditional Forecast Evaluation; 4. Out-of-Sample RMSE; 5. Out-of-Sample RMSE; C. Additional Explanatory Factors; 6. Conditional Choice Between Models at Selected Horizons; V. Conditional Evaluation; A. Rolling RMSEs; 8. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models; 9. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models (ctd.); B. Conditional Predictive Ability Test
10. GW Test for Conditional Predictive - Random Walk Model11. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 2 GDP VAR; 12. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 3 GDP VAR; VI. Conclusions; References; Footnotes
Record Nr. UNINA-9910463687903321
Espinoza Raphael A  
[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Central Asia Dept., 2009
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui
The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity in the Euro area / / prepared by Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari and Marco Lombardi
The role of financial variables in predicting economic activity in the Euro area / / prepared by Raphael Espinoza, Fabio Fornari and Marco Lombardi
Autore Espinoza Raphael A
Edizione [1st ed.]
Pubbl/distr/stampa [Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Cental Asia Dept., 2009
Descrizione fisica 1 online resource (56 p.)
Disciplina 338.5443094
Altri autori (Persone) FornariFabio
LombardiMarco J. <1976->
Collana IMF working paper
Soggetto topico Business cycles - Europe
Business cycles - United States
Economic indicators - Europe
Economic indicators - United States
ISBN 1-4623-2750-8
1-282-84441-5
9786612844416
1-4518-7388-3
1-4527-8840-5
Formato Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione eng
Nota di contenuto Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The VAR models; A. Data; 1. Rates of Growth of Real GDP in the Three Economic Areas (quarter-on-quarter); B. Specifications; III. Characterizing the Models; A. IRFs and Pre-1985 and Post-1985 Evidence; 2. Impulse Response Functions from a Trivariate VAR; 3. Impulse Response Function from a 9-Variable VAR; 4. Impulse Response Function to GDP Shocks Across Sub-Samples; 5. Impulse Response Functions Across Sub-Samples; B. Linkages and the Role of Financial Shocks; 6. Forecast Error Variance Decomposition for the Euro Area GDP
1. Variance Decomposition of the GDP in the Three Areas2. R2 of a Regression of Δlog GDP on its Counterfactual; 7. Historical Decomposition; IV. Out-of-Sample Evidence; A. 'Unconditional' Forecast Evaluation; 3. Unconditional Out-of-Sample RMSE; B. Conditional Forecast Evaluation; 4. Out-of-Sample RMSE; 5. Out-of-Sample RMSE; C. Additional Explanatory Factors; 6. Conditional Choice Between Models at Selected Horizons; V. Conditional Evaluation; A. Rolling RMSEs; 8. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models; 9. RMSE from Competing Classes of Models (ctd.); B. Conditional Predictive Ability Test
10. GW Test for Conditional Predictive - Random Walk Model11. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 2 GDP VAR; 12. GW Test for Conditional Predictive Ability - 3 GDP VAR; VI. Conclusions; References; Footnotes
Record Nr. UNINA-9910811772703321
Espinoza Raphael A  
[Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Middle East and Cental Asia Dept., 2009
Materiale a stampa
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
Opac: Controlla la disponibilità qui