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Deterrence & influence in counterterrorism : a component in the war on al Qaeda / / Paul K. Davis, Brian Michael Jenkins
| Deterrence & influence in counterterrorism : a component in the war on al Qaeda / / Paul K. Davis, Brian Michael Jenkins |
| Autore | Davis Paul K. <1943-> |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Santa Monica, CA, : Rand, c2002 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (107 p.) |
| Disciplina | 363.3/2 |
| Soggetto topico |
Terrorism - Prevention
September 11 Terrorist Attacks, 2001 |
| ISBN | 0-8330-3406-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES AND TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; Chapter One INTRODUCTION; OBJECTIVES; APPROACH; Chapter Two BACKGROUND: WHY DETERRING TERRORISTS IS SO DIFFICULT; OVERVIEW; OBSTACLES TO DETERRENCE; Chapter Three PRINCIPLES FOR INFLUENCING TERRORISTS; GOING BEYOND DETERRENCE; VIEWING TERRORIST ORGANIZATIONS AS COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS; FINDING SITUATIONS WHERE INFLUENCING EFFORTS MAY WORK; CONDUCTING A BROAD-FRONT STRATEGY; DEVELOPING A PERSUASIVE, HIGH-MINDED STRATEGY; Chapter Four BROAD ISSUES OF STRATEGY; ORCHESTRATING A BROAD-FRONT STRATEGY
THE STRATEGIC SIGNIFICANCE OF EFFICIENCY, EVEN IN WARA PARADIGM FOR DEFENSE; Chapter Five SOME CONTROVERSIAL ISSUES; DETERRING ACQUISITION AND USE OF WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION; POLITICAL WARFARE: THE NEGLECTED COMPONENT OF ANTITERRORISM STRATEGY; PUTTING AT RISK WHAT THE TERRORISTS HOLD DEAR; CHALLENGES IN U.S.-SAUDI RELATIONS; THE PAKISTAN PROBLEM; BALANCING INTERESTS: REALPOLITIK VERSUS IDEALISM; UPHOLDING AMERICAN VALUES IN THE WAR AGAINST AL QAEDA; Chapter Six CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS; THE STORY IN BRIEF; NEXT STEPS FOR RESEARCH; Appendix A COLD WAR CONCEPTS OF DETERRENCE Appendix B SELECTED DEFINITIONSAppendix C METHODS FOR ANALYZING COUNTERTERRORISM IN A COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM; Appendix D ADAPTING THE CONSTRUCTS OF EFFECTS-BASED PLANNING; BIBLIOGRAPHY; ABOUT THE AUTHORS |
| Altri titoli varianti | Deterrence and influence in counterterrorism |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910219964403321 |
Davis Paul K. <1943->
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| Santa Monica, CA, : Rand, c2002 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Implications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems / / Paul K. Davis, Jonathan Kulick, Michael Egner
| Implications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems / / Paul K. Davis, Jonathan Kulick, Michael Egner |
| Autore | Davis Paul K. <1943-> |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Santa Monica, CA, : Rand, Project Air Force, 2005 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (181 p.) |
| Disciplina | 358.4/07/0973 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
KulickJonathan <1966->
EgnerMichael |
| Soggetto topico |
Military planning - United States - Decision making - Data processing
Decision support systems |
| ISBN | 0-8330-4088-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Preface; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; Chapter One - Introductions; Objective; Definition and Scope; Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research; Approach in This Monograph; Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking; How to Think About Decisionmaking; Images of the Decision Process; The Problems of Heuristics and Biases; The Naturalistic School; Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking; Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution; Decision Analysis and Game Theory; Systems Analysis; Policy Analysis
Summary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScienceChapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis; Introduction; Broad Methods; Enablers; Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations; Introduction; Improving Automated Decision Support; Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support; General Recommendations; Chapter Six - Conclusions; The Decisionmaking Component; The Analysis Component; Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign; Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models; Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSS Bibliography |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910220133803321 |
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Davis Paul K. <1943->
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| Santa Monica, CA, : Rand, Project Air Force, 2005 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Portfolio-analysis methods for assessing capability options / / Paul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, Justin Beck
| Portfolio-analysis methods for assessing capability options / / Paul K. Davis, Russell D. Shaver, Justin Beck |
| Autore | Davis Paul K. <1943-> |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Santa Monica, CA, : RAND Corporation, 2008 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (203 p.) |
| Disciplina | 355.6/840973 |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
ShaverR. D (Russell D.)
BeckJustin |
| Soggetto topico |
Military planning - United States
Strategy |
| ISBN |
9786611736453
0-8330-4589-X |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations and Acronyms; Glossary of Terminology; Chapter One - Introduction; Objectives; Structure of This Monograph; Chapter Two - Background: The Capabilities-Development Process; Context: DoD's Capabilities-Development Process; Problems with the Current Process; Historical Successes in Capability Development; Past Recommendations and Recent Changes; Chapter Three - A Framework and a Generic Terms of Reference; What Should a Capability-Area Review Accomplish?; Elements of the Generic Analytic Process
Chapter Four - Tools to Enable the FrameworkSystems Engineering, Modeling, Simulation, and Analysis,and Experiments; Capability Models; Generating and Screening Candidate Options; Portfolio-Analysis Tools; Tailoring Analysis for Different Contexts; Chapter Five - A Notional Example: Global Strike; Defining Global Strike; Defining a Parameterized Scenario Space for Global Strike; Defining CONOPS and Critical Componentsfor Global Strike; Identifying, Evaluating, and Comparing Global StrikeOptions; Summary Results for Cost-Effectiveness Comparisons; Illustrative Conclusions for Global Strike Chapter Six - A Second Example: Ballistic Missile Defense Defining Ballistic Missile Defense Missions; A Parameterized Scenario Space for BMD; CONOPS and Critical Components; Framework for Portfolio Analysis; Shortfalls, Opportunities, and Surpluses for the BMD Program; Identifying, Evaluating, and Comparing BMD Options; Chapter Seven - Conclusions and Next Steps; Conclusions; Next Steps; Appendix A - Joint Capability Areas; Appendix B - Implications for Systems Engineering and Modeling and Simulation; Appendix C - RAND's Portfolio-Analysis Tools; End notes; Bibliography |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910220105103321 |
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Davis Paul K. <1943->
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| Santa Monica, CA, : RAND Corporation, 2008 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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