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Embracing the fog of war : assessment and metrics in counterinsurgency / / Ben Connable
| Embracing the fog of war : assessment and metrics in counterinsurgency / / Ben Connable |
| Autore | Connable Ben |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Santa Monica, Calif., : RAND, 2012 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (341 p.) |
| Disciplina | 355.02/180973 |
| Soggetto topico |
Counterinsurgency - United States - Evaluation
Counterinsurgency - Afghanistan - Evaluation Counterinsurgency - Vietnam - Evaluation |
| ISBN | 0-8330-6840-7 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables and Text Boxes; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE: Introduction; Background; Differences Between Campaign Assessment and Intelligence Analysis; The Role and Purpose of Military Campaign Assessment; Dissatisfaction with Counterinsurgency Campaign Assessment; Literature Review; Research Methodology; Issues Not Addressed; Organization of This Monograph; CHAPTER TWO: Concepts That Shape Counterinsurgency Assessment; Policy Requirements and Counterinsurgency Assessment; Wicked Problems and Counterinsurgency
Complex Adaptive Systems, Nonlinearity, and ChaosMilitary Doctrine and the COIN Environment; Chapter Summary; CHAPTER THREE: Centralized Assessment Theory and Pattern and Trend Analysis; Centralized Quantitative Assessment; Differences Between Scientific Research and Campaign Assessment; Applying Scientific Rigor to Assessment; Time-Series Analysis; Time-Series Graphs in Military Assessment; Retroactively Adjusting Time-Series Analysis and Assessment; Pattern and Trend Analysis; Chapter Summary; CHAPTER FOUR: The Effects-Based Approach to Assessment What Is Effects-Based Operations Theory and How Does It Shape Assessment?Introduction to Effects-Based Operations; Elements of Effects-Based Theory: Definitions and System-of-Systems Analysis; Effects-Based Assessment.; Measures and Indicators; Doctrinal Effects-Based Assessment Process: Overview; Selecting Measures and Indicators; Weighting the Assessment; Determining Thresholds for Indicators; Examples of Color-Coded Reports; Chapter Summary; CHAPTER FIVE: Choosing Core Metrics; Choosing "Metrics" and Determining Values; Considerations for Selecting Core Metrics Example of a Core Metric: First-to-Fire IndicatorExample of Input Measures of Performance or Indicators; Example of Output Measures of Effectiveness or Indicators; Example of Measures of Effectiveness and Indicators from Doctrine; Chapter Summary; CHAPTER SIX: Vietnam-Era Assessment; Orientation to Vietnam, Circa 1967-1973; Overview of Vietnam-Era Assessment Processes; Thomas C. Thayer and the Southeast Asia Analysis Reports; Limitations of Thayer's Data; The Concept of "Reasonable" Accuracy; Body Counts; The Hamlet Evaluation System; Hamlet Evaluation System Concept and Execution Hamlet Evaluation System Data and AnalysisPattern and Trend Analysis of Vietnam War Data; Casualty Data and Impressionistic Assessment of the Vietnam War; Is Analysis of Vietnam Assessment Germane to Iraq and Afghanistan Assessment?; Chapter Summary; CHAPTER SEVEN: Assessment in Afghanistan; Overview of the Assessment Process in Afghanistan as of Late 2010; Data Management Challenges: The Case of Afghanistan; Problems with the Significant Activities Data Sets; Analysis of the Afghanistan Assessment Process; Chapter Summary CHAPTER EIGHT: Why Does Centralized Assessment Fail in Counterinsurgency? |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910220152203321 |
Connable Ben
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| Santa Monica, Calif., : RAND, 2012 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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From Negative to Positive Stability : How the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook
| From Negative to Positive Stability : How the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook |
| Autore | Connable Ben |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | RAND Corporation, 2015 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource |
| Disciplina | 362.87095695 |
| Soggetto topico |
Environmental policy and protocols
Human rights, civil rights International relations Middle Eastern history Public international law: treaties and other sources |
| Soggetto genere / forma | History |
| Soggetto non controllato |
History
Political Science |
| ISBN | 0-8330-9347-9 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Preface -- Figures and Table -- Summary -- Chapter One: Introduction to the Status of Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014: ; Geographic Orientation and Syrian Refugees as of Late 2014 -- ; Syrian Refugees in Jordan: Late 2014 -- ; Methodology -- ; Organization of This Report -- Chapter Two: Assessment of Stability and Strategic Challenges: Late 2014: ; Jordan's Stability as of Late 2014 -- ; Security from External and Internal Threats -- ; Political Turmoil and the Impact of the Arab Spring -- ; Water Shortages Contribute to Economic and Social Unease -- ; Economic and Financial Dependencies -- ; Existing Refugee and Nonnational Worker Populations -- ; Summary of Stability Issues as of Late 2014 -- Chapter Three: Economic Factors and Forecasted Impact: ; Current Economic Status and Economic Integration of Syrian Refugees -- ; Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Economic Stability -- Chapter Four: Social Factors and Forecasted Impact: ; Assessing Late-2014 Social Integration and Social Impacts of Syrian Refugees -- ; Forecast: Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Social Stability -- Chapter Five: Security Assessment and Forecasted Impact: ; Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordanian Security as of Late 2014 -- ; Forecast: The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Jordan's Security -- Chapter Six: Conclusion, Summary Forecast, and Black Swan Warnings: ; Black Swans -- Abbreviations -- Bibliography. |
| Altri titoli varianti | From Negative to Positive Stability |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910220139203321 |
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Connable Ben
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| RAND Corporation, 2015 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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How insurgencies end / / Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki
| How insurgencies end / / Ben Connable and Martin C. Libicki |
| Autore | Connable Ben |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Santa Monica, CA, : RAND, c2010 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (268 p.) |
| Disciplina | 355.02/18 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | LibickiMartin C |
| Soggetto topico |
Insurgency
Counterinsurgency |
| ISBN |
1-282-79724-7
9786612797248 0-8330-4983-6 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE - Introduction; Purpose of This Monograph; A Note on Contemporary Threats and Operations; Research Approach; Graphs Used in This Monograph; Conventional Wisdom; How This Monograph Is Organized; CHAPTER TWO - Classifying Outcomes and Selecting Cases; Outcomes; Type I: Government Loss; Type II: Government Victory; Type III: Mixed (Stalemate/Negotiated Settlement); Type IV: Inconclusive or Ongoing Outcome; The Tipping Point: Explanation by Way of Example; Key Indicators: A Note of Caution
CHAPTER THREE - Assessments of Insurgency Endings: Time and External FactorsAssessments of Time and External Factors; Duration of Conflict; Sanctuary Available; Outside Intervention in Support of Government; Outside Intervention in Support of Insurgencies; CHAPTER FOUR - Assessments of Insurgency Endings: Internal Factors; Structure; Thailand and the BRN and the P ULO; Urbanization; Uruguay and the Tupamaros; Insurgent Use of Terrorism; Insurgent Strength; System of Government; CHAPTER FIVE - Assessments of Insurgency Endings: Other Factors; Force Ratios; Civil-Defense Forces CHAPTER SIX - ConclusionsAPPENDIX A - Case Studies: Methodology; APPENDIX B - Supplemental Findings; APPENDIX C - Multivariate Regression Analysis; APPENDIX D - Insurgencies Not Examined for This Publication; APPENDIX E - Categories Used for the Spring 2006 Survey; APPENDIX F - Unavoidable Ambiguities; APPENDIX G - Questions Used for the Autumn 2006 Survey; Glossary; Bibliography |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910220125303321 |
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Connable Ben
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| Santa Monica, CA, : RAND, c2010 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Modeling, simulation, and operations analysis in Afghanistan and Iraq : operational vignettes, lessons learned, and a survey of selected efforts
| Modeling, simulation, and operations analysis in Afghanistan and Iraq : operational vignettes, lessons learned, and a survey of selected efforts |
| Autore | Connable Ben |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | RAND Corporation, 2014 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource |
| Disciplina | 956.7044/38 |
| Soggetto topico |
Counterinsurgency - Simulation methods - Evaluation - United States
Irregular warfare - Evaluation - Simulation methods - United States Soldiers - Protection - Evaluation - Simulation methods - United States Logistics - Simulation methods - Evaluation - United States Military planning - Simulation methods - Evaluation - United States Decision making - Evaluation - Simulation methods Operations research - Computer simulation Afghan War, 2001-2021 - Computer simulation Iraq War, 2003-2011 Military Science - General Military & Naval Science Law, Politics & Government |
| ISBN | 0-8330-8470-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Introduction -- Decision issues and analysis in COIN and IW literature -- Support to force protection decisions -- Support to logistics decisions -- Support to campaign assessment decisions -- Support to force structuring -- Conclusions, findings, and recommendations -- Appendix. Review of selected models and simulations. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910220127703321 |
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Connable Ben
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| RAND Corporation, 2014 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Stretching and exploiting thresholds for high-order war : how Russia, China, and Iran are eroding American influence using time-tested measures short of war / / Ben Connable, Jason H. Campbell, Dan Madden
| Stretching and exploiting thresholds for high-order war : how Russia, China, and Iran are eroding American influence using time-tested measures short of war / / Ben Connable, Jason H. Campbell, Dan Madden |
| Autore | Connable Ben |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Santa Monica, California : , : RAND Corporation, , 2016 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (57 p.) |
| Disciplina | 355.0218 |
| Soggetto topico | Low-intensity conflicts (Military science) |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN | 0-8330-9544-7 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover ; Title Page ; Copyright ; Preface; Contents; Figure; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE: Time-Tested Measures Short of War; Myths of the New Paradigms; CHAPTER TWO: American Understanding of Thresholds Is Impractical; CHAPTER THREE: Russia, China, and Iran Apply Measures Short of War; Example 1: Russia Exploits and Stretches Thresholds in Eastern Europe; Example 2: China Expands Its Boundaries in East Asia; Example 3: Iran in Iraq; CHAPTER FOUR: Conclusion, Considerations, and Cautions; Considerations
The Risks of Improving and Increasing the Use of Measures Short of WarBibliography |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910213813603321 |
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Connable Ben
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| Santa Monica, California : , : RAND Corporation, , 2016 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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