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Doubly Stochastic Models for Volcanic Hazard Assessment at Campi Flegrei Caldera / / by Andrea Bevilacqua



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Autore: Bevilacqua Andrea Visualizza persona
Titolo: Doubly Stochastic Models for Volcanic Hazard Assessment at Campi Flegrei Caldera / / by Andrea Bevilacqua Visualizza cluster
Pubblicazione: Pisa : , : Scuola Normale Superiore : , : Imprint : Edizioni della Normale, , 2016
Edizione: 1st ed. 2016.
Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (234 p.)
Disciplina: 510
Soggetto topico: Probabilities
Environmental sciences
Physics
Natural disasters
Probability Theory
Environmental Physics
Natural Hazards
Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
Nota di contenuto: Introduction -- Vent opening probability maps -- Pyroclastic density current invasion maps -- Time-space model for the next eruption -- Addendum -- Supporting information.
Sommario/riassunto: This study provides innovative mathematical models for assessing the eruption probability and associated volcanic hazards, and applies them to the Campi Flegrei caldera in Italy. Throughout the book, significant attention is devoted to quantifying the sources of uncertainty affecting the forecast estimates. The Campi Flegrei caldera is certainly one of the world’s highest-risk volcanoes, with more than 70 eruptions over the last 15,000 years, prevalently explosive ones of varying magnitude, intensity and vent location. In the second half of the twentieth century the volcano apparently once again entered a phase of unrest that continues to the present. Hundreds of thousands of people live inside the caldera and over a million more in the nearby city of Naples, making a future eruption of Campi Flegrei an event with potentially catastrophic consequences at the national and European levels.
Titolo autorizzato: Doubly stochastic models for volcanic hazard assessment at Campi Flegrei caldera  Visualizza cluster
ISBN: 88-7642-577-2
Formato: Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
Record Nr.: 9910254075203321
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Serie: Theses (Scuola Normale Superiore), . 2532-1668 ; ; 21