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Quantitative risk assessment : the scientific platform / / Terje Aven [[electronic resource]]
| Quantitative risk assessment : the scientific platform / / Terje Aven [[electronic resource]] |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (xi, 211 pages) : digital, PDF file(s) |
| Disciplina | 519.2/87 |
| Soggetto topico |
Probabilities
Risk assessment - Statistical methods Decision making - Statistical methods |
| ISBN |
1-107-21651-6
1-139-03612-2 1-283-05456-6 9786613054562 0-511-97412-4 1-139-04158-4 1-139-04235-1 1-139-04498-2 1-139-03844-3 1-139-04081-2 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Machine generated contents note: Preface; 1. Introduction to risk management and risk assessments. Challenges; 2. Concepts and perspectives on risk; 3. Science and scientific requirements; 4. Introduction to case studies; 5. Risk assessment when the objective is accurate risk estimation; 6. Risk assessment when the objective is uncertainty descriptions; 7. Risk management and communication issues; 8. Towards a holistic approach to risk assessments; 9. Conclusions; Appendix A. Introduction to probability theory and statistical analysis; Appendix B. Terminology; References; Index. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910459716103321 |
Aven Terje
|
||
| Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Quantitative risk assessment : the scientific platform / / Terje Aven [[electronic resource]]
| Quantitative risk assessment : the scientific platform / / Terje Aven [[electronic resource]] |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (xi, 211 pages) : digital, PDF file(s) |
| Disciplina | 519.2/87 |
| Soggetto topico |
Probabilities
Risk assessment - Statistical methods Decision making - Statistical methods |
| ISBN |
1-107-21651-6
1-139-03612-2 1-283-05456-6 9786613054562 0-511-97412-4 1-139-04158-4 1-139-04235-1 1-139-04498-2 1-139-03844-3 1-139-04081-2 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Machine generated contents note: Preface; 1. Introduction to risk management and risk assessments. Challenges; 2. Concepts and perspectives on risk; 3. Science and scientific requirements; 4. Introduction to case studies; 5. Risk assessment when the objective is accurate risk estimation; 6. Risk assessment when the objective is uncertainty descriptions; 7. Risk management and communication issues; 8. Towards a holistic approach to risk assessments; 9. Conclusions; Appendix A. Introduction to probability theory and statistical analysis; Appendix B. Terminology; References; Index. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910785653203321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Quantitative risk assessment : the scientific platform / / Terje Aven [[electronic resource]]
| Quantitative risk assessment : the scientific platform / / Terje Aven [[electronic resource]] |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (xi, 211 pages) : digital, PDF file(s) |
| Disciplina | 519.2/87 |
| Soggetto topico |
Probabilities
Risk assessment - Statistical methods Decision making - Statistical methods |
| ISBN |
1-107-21651-6
1-139-03612-2 1-283-05456-6 9786613054562 0-511-97412-4 1-139-04158-4 1-139-04235-1 1-139-04498-2 1-139-03844-3 1-139-04081-2 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Machine generated contents note: Preface; 1. Introduction to risk management and risk assessments. Challenges; 2. Concepts and perspectives on risk; 3. Science and scientific requirements; 4. Introduction to case studies; 5. Risk assessment when the objective is accurate risk estimation; 6. Risk assessment when the objective is uncertainty descriptions; 7. Risk management and communication issues; 8. Towards a holistic approach to risk assessments; 9. Conclusions; Appendix A. Introduction to probability theory and statistical analysis; Appendix B. Terminology; References; Index. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910818432003321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Cambridge : , : Cambridge University Press, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Risk analysis / / Terje Aven
| Risk analysis / / Terje Aven |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Edizione | [2nd ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Chichester, West Sussex, United Kingdom : , : John Wiley & Sons, , 2015 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (212 p.) |
| Disciplina | 338.5 |
| Soggetto topico |
Risk assessment - Mathematical models
Risk - Mathematical models Uncertainty - Mathematical models Analyse des risques risk management Modèles mathématiques |
| ISBN |
1-119-05782-5
1-119-05781-7 1-119-05780-9 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Chapter 1 What is a risk analysis?; 1.1 Why risk analysis?; 1.2 Risk management; 1.2.1 Decision-making under uncertainty; 1.3 Examples: decision situations; 1.3.1 Risk analysis for a tunnel; 1.3.2 Risk analysis for an offshore installation; 1.3.3 Risk analysis related to a cash depot; Chapter 2 What is risk?; 2.1 The risk concept and its description; 2.2 Vulnerability; 2.3 How to describe risk quantitatively; 2.3.1 Description of risk in a financial context; 2.3.2 Description of risk in a safety context; 2.4 Qualitative judgementsChapter 3 The risk analysis process: planning3.1 Problem definition; 3.2 Selection of analysis method; 3.2.1 Checklist-based approach; 3.2.2 Risk-based approach; Chapter 4 The risk analysis process: risk assessment; 4.1 Identification of initiating events; 4.2 Cause analysis; 4.3 Consequence analysis; 4.4 Probabilities and uncertainties; 4.5 Risk picture: risk presentation; 4.5.1 Handling the background knowledge; 4.5.2 Risk evaluation; Chapter 5 The risk analysis process: risk treatment; 5.1 Comparisons of alternatives; 5.1.1 How to assess measures?; 5.2 Management review and judgementChapter 6 Risk analysis methods6.1 Coarse risk analysis; 6.2 Job safety analysis; 6.3 Failure modes and effects analysis; 6.3.1 Strengths and weaknesses of an FMEA; 6.4 Hazard and operability studies; 6.5 SWIFT; 6.6 Fault tree analysis; 6.6.1 Qualitative analysis; 6.6.2 Quantitative analysis; 6.7 Event tree analysis; 6.7.1 Barrier block diagrams; 6.8 Bayesian networks; 6.9 Monte Carlo simulation; Chapter 7 Safety measures for a road tunnel; 7.1 Planning; 7.1.1 Problem definition; 7.1.2 Selection of analysis method; 7.2 Risk assessment; 7.2.1 Identification of initiating events7.2.2 Cause analysis7.2.3 Consequence analysis; 7.2.4 Risk picture; 7.3 Risk treatment; 7.3.1 Comparison of alternatives; 7.3.2 Management review and decision; Chapter 8 Risk analysis process for an offshore installation; 8.1 Planning; 8.1.1 Problem definition; 8.1.2 Selection of analysis method; 8.2 Risk analysis; 8.2.1 Hazard identification; 8.2.2 Cause analysis; 8.2.3 Consequence analysis; 8.3 Risk picture and comparison of alternatives; 8.4 Management review and judgement; Chapter 9 Production assurance; 9.1 Planning; 9.2 Risk analysis; 9.2.1 Identification of failures9.2.2 Cause analysis9.2.3 Consequence analysis; 9.3 Risk picture and comparison of alternatives; 9.4 Management review and judgement. Decision; Chapter 10 Risk analysis process for a cash depot; 10.1 Planning; 10.1.1 Problem definition; 10.1.2 Selection of analysis method; 10.2 Risk analysis; 10.2.1 Identification of hazards and threats; 10.2.2 Cause analysis; 10.2.3 Consequence analysis; 10.3 Risk picture; 10.4 Risk-reducing measures; 10.4.1 Relocation of the NOKAS facility; 10.4.2 Erection of a wall; 10.5 Management review and judgement. Decision; 10.6 DiscussionChapter 11 Risk analysis process for municipalities |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910131575003321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Chichester, West Sussex, United Kingdom : , : John Wiley & Sons, , 2015 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Risk analysis / / Terje Aven
| Risk analysis / / Terje Aven |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Edizione | [2nd ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Chichester, West Sussex, United Kingdom : , : John Wiley & Sons, , 2015 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (212 p.) |
| Disciplina | 338.5 |
| Soggetto topico |
Risk assessment - Mathematical models
Risk - Mathematical models Uncertainty - Mathematical models Analyse des risques risk management Modèles mathématiques |
| ISBN |
1-119-05782-5
1-119-05781-7 1-119-05780-9 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Contents; Preface; Chapter 1 What is a risk analysis?; 1.1 Why risk analysis?; 1.2 Risk management; 1.2.1 Decision-making under uncertainty; 1.3 Examples: decision situations; 1.3.1 Risk analysis for a tunnel; 1.3.2 Risk analysis for an offshore installation; 1.3.3 Risk analysis related to a cash depot; Chapter 2 What is risk?; 2.1 The risk concept and its description; 2.2 Vulnerability; 2.3 How to describe risk quantitatively; 2.3.1 Description of risk in a financial context; 2.3.2 Description of risk in a safety context; 2.4 Qualitative judgementsChapter 3 The risk analysis process: planning3.1 Problem definition; 3.2 Selection of analysis method; 3.2.1 Checklist-based approach; 3.2.2 Risk-based approach; Chapter 4 The risk analysis process: risk assessment; 4.1 Identification of initiating events; 4.2 Cause analysis; 4.3 Consequence analysis; 4.4 Probabilities and uncertainties; 4.5 Risk picture: risk presentation; 4.5.1 Handling the background knowledge; 4.5.2 Risk evaluation; Chapter 5 The risk analysis process: risk treatment; 5.1 Comparisons of alternatives; 5.1.1 How to assess measures?; 5.2 Management review and judgementChapter 6 Risk analysis methods6.1 Coarse risk analysis; 6.2 Job safety analysis; 6.3 Failure modes and effects analysis; 6.3.1 Strengths and weaknesses of an FMEA; 6.4 Hazard and operability studies; 6.5 SWIFT; 6.6 Fault tree analysis; 6.6.1 Qualitative analysis; 6.6.2 Quantitative analysis; 6.7 Event tree analysis; 6.7.1 Barrier block diagrams; 6.8 Bayesian networks; 6.9 Monte Carlo simulation; Chapter 7 Safety measures for a road tunnel; 7.1 Planning; 7.1.1 Problem definition; 7.1.2 Selection of analysis method; 7.2 Risk assessment; 7.2.1 Identification of initiating events7.2.2 Cause analysis7.2.3 Consequence analysis; 7.2.4 Risk picture; 7.3 Risk treatment; 7.3.1 Comparison of alternatives; 7.3.2 Management review and decision; Chapter 8 Risk analysis process for an offshore installation; 8.1 Planning; 8.1.1 Problem definition; 8.1.2 Selection of analysis method; 8.2 Risk analysis; 8.2.1 Hazard identification; 8.2.2 Cause analysis; 8.2.3 Consequence analysis; 8.3 Risk picture and comparison of alternatives; 8.4 Management review and judgement; Chapter 9 Production assurance; 9.1 Planning; 9.2 Risk analysis; 9.2.1 Identification of failures9.2.2 Cause analysis9.2.3 Consequence analysis; 9.3 Risk picture and comparison of alternatives; 9.4 Management review and judgement. Decision; Chapter 10 Risk analysis process for a cash depot; 10.1 Planning; 10.1.1 Problem definition; 10.1.2 Selection of analysis method; 10.2 Risk analysis; 10.2.1 Identification of hazards and threats; 10.2.2 Cause analysis; 10.2.3 Consequence analysis; 10.3 Risk picture; 10.4 Risk-reducing measures; 10.4.1 Relocation of the NOKAS facility; 10.4.2 Erection of a wall; 10.5 Management review and judgement. Decision; 10.6 DiscussionChapter 11 Risk analysis process for municipalities |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910830233303321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Chichester, West Sussex, United Kingdom : , : John Wiley & Sons, , 2015 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The science of risk analysis : foundation and practice / / Terje Aven
| The science of risk analysis : foundation and practice / / Terje Aven |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2020 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (316 pages) |
| Disciplina | 658.155 |
| Soggetto topico |
Risk assessment
Risk perception Risk communication Risk management |
| ISBN |
0-429-02918-7
0-429-63955-4 0-429-64272-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Introduction: Challenges -- Fundamentals about science, knowledge and research -- The risk analysis science : foundation -- Fundamentals about the risk concept and how to describe risk -- Risk assessment -- Risk perception and risk communication -- Risk management and governance -- Solving practical risk analysis problems -- Perspectives on the future of risk analysis. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910795343103321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2020 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The science of risk analysis : foundation and practice / / Terje Aven
| The science of risk analysis : foundation and practice / / Terje Aven |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2020 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (316 pages) |
| Disciplina | 658.155 |
| Soggetto topico |
Risk assessment
Risk perception Risk communication Risk management |
| ISBN |
0-429-02918-7
0-429-63955-4 0-429-64272-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Introduction: Challenges -- Fundamentals about science, knowledge and research -- The risk analysis science : foundation -- Fundamentals about the risk concept and how to describe risk -- Risk assessment -- Risk perception and risk communication -- Risk management and governance -- Solving practical risk analysis problems -- Perspectives on the future of risk analysis. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910825031803321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2020 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Stochastic models in reliability / / Terje Aven, Uwe Jensen
| Stochastic models in reliability / / Terje Aven, Uwe Jensen |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Edizione | [2nd ed. 2013.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | New York : , : Springer, , 2013 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (xiv, 297 pages) : illustrations |
| Disciplina |
519.23
620/.00452/015118 |
| Collana | Stochastic Modelling and Applied Probability |
| Soggetto topico |
Reliability (Engineering) - Mathematical models
Stochastic processes |
| ISBN | 1-4614-7894-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Introduction -- Basic Reliability Theory -- Stochastic Failure Models -- Availability Analysis of Complex Systems -- Maintenance Optimization. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910438155003321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| New York : , : Springer, , 2013 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Uncertainty in risk assessment : the representation and treatment of uncertainties by probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods / / Terje Aven [and three others]
| Uncertainty in risk assessment : the representation and treatment of uncertainties by probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods / / Terje Aven [and three others] |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Edizione | [1st edition] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Chichester, West Sussex : , : Wiley, , 2014 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (198 pages) : illustrations |
| Disciplina | 338.5 |
| Soggetto topico |
Mathematics
Probabilities Risk assessment - Statistical methods |
| ISBN |
1-118-76305-X
1-118-76303-3 1-118-76306-8 |
| Classificazione | MAT029000 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910208818403321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Chichester, West Sussex : , : Wiley, , 2014 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Uncertainty in risk assessment : the representation and treatment of uncertainties by probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods / / Terje Aven [and three others]
| Uncertainty in risk assessment : the representation and treatment of uncertainties by probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods / / Terje Aven [and three others] |
| Autore | Aven Terje |
| Edizione | [1st edition] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Chichester, West Sussex : , : Wiley, , 2014 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (198 pages) : illustrations |
| Disciplina | 338.5 |
| Soggetto topico |
Mathematics
Probabilities Risk assessment - Statistical methods |
| ISBN |
1-118-76305-X
1-118-76303-3 1-118-76306-8 |
| Classificazione | MAT029000 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Uncertainty in Risk Assessment: The Representation and Treatment of Uncertainties by Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Methods -- Contents -- Preface -- Part I: Introduction -- 1 Introduction -- 1.1 Risk -- 1.1.1 The concept of risk -- 1.1.2 Describing/measuring risk -- 1.1.3 Examples -- 1.2 Probabilistic risk assessment -- 1.3 Use of risk assessment: The risk management and decision-making context -- 1.4 Treatment of uncertainties in risk assessments -- 1.5 Challenges: Discussion -- 1.5.1 Examples -- 1.5.2 Alternatives to the probability-based approaches to risk and uncertainty assessment -- 1.5.3 The way ahead -- References - Part I -- Part II: Methods -- 2 Probabilistic approaches for treating uncertainty -- 2.1 Classical probabilities -- 2.2 Frequentist probabilities -- 2.3 Subjective probabilities -- 2.3.1 Betting interpretation -- 2.3.2 Reference to a standard for uncertainty -- 2.4 The Bayesian subjective probability framework -- 2.5 Logical probabilities -- 3 Imprecise probabilities for treating uncertainty -- 4 Possibility theory for treating uncertainty -- 4.1 Basics of possibility theory -- 4.2 Approaches for constructing possibility distributions -- 4.2.1 Building possibility distributions from nested probability intervals -- 4.2.2 Justification for using the triangular possibility distribution -- 4.2.3 Building possibility distributions using Chebyshev's inequality -- 5 Evidence theory for treating uncertainty -- 6 Methods of uncertainty propagation -- 6.1 Level 1 uncertainty propagation setting -- 6.1.1 Level 1 purely probabilistic framework -- 6.1.2 Level 1 purely possibilistic framework -- 6.1.3 Level 1 hybrid probabilistic-possibilistic framework -- 6.2 Level 2 uncertainty propagation setting -- 6.2.1 Level 2 purely probabilistic framework -- 6.2.2 Level 2 hybrid probabilistic-evidence theory framework -- 7 Discussion.
7.1 Probabilistic analysis -- 7.2 Lower and upper probabilities -- 7.3 Non-probabilistic representations with interpretations other than lower and upper probabilities -- 7.4 Hybrid representations of uncertainty -- 7.5 Semi-quantitative approaches -- References - Part II -- Part III: Practical Applications -- 8 Uncertainty representation and propagation in structural reliability analysis -- 8.1 Structural reliability analysis -- 8.1.1 A model of crack propagation under cyclic fatigue -- 8.2 Case study -- 8.3 Uncertainty representation -- 8.4 Uncertainty propagation -- 8.5 Results -- 8.6 Comparison to a purely probabilistic method -- 9 Uncertainty representation and propagation in maintenance performance assessment -- 9.1 Maintenance performance assessment -- 9.2 Case study -- 9.3 Uncertainty representation -- 9.4 Uncertainty propagation -- 9.4.1 Maintenance performance assessment in the case of no epistemic uncertainty on the parameters -- 9.4.2 Application of the hybrid probabilistic-theory of evidence uncertainty propagation method -- 9.5 Results -- 10 Uncertainty representation and propagation in event tree analysis -- 10.1 Event tree analysis -- 10.2 Case study -- 10.3 Uncertainty representation -- 10.4 Uncertainty propagation -- 10.5 Results -- 10.6 Comparison of the results to those obtained by using other uncertainty representation and propagation methods -- 10.6.1 Purely probabilistic representation and propagation of the uncertainty -- 10.6.2 Purely possibilistic representation and propagation of the uncertainty -- 10.7 Result comparison -- 10.7.1 Comparison of results -- 10.7.2 Comparison of the results for the probability of occurrence of a severe consequence accident -- 11 Uncertainty representation and propagation in the evaluation of the consequences of industrial activity -- 11.1 Evaluation of the consequences of undesirable events. 11.2 Case study -- 11.3 Uncertainty representation -- 11.4 Uncertainty propagation -- 11.5 Results -- 11.6 Comparison of the results to those obtained using a purely probabilistic approach -- 12 Uncertainty representation and propagation in the risk assessment of a process plant -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Case description -- 12.3 The "textbook" Bayesian approach (level 2 analysis) -- 12.4 An alternative approach based on subjective probabilities (level 1 analysis) -- References - Part III -- Part IV: Conclusions -- 13 Conclusions -- References - Part IV -- Appendix A: Operative procedures for the methods of uncertainty propagation -- A.1 Level 1 hybrid probabilistic-possibilistic framework -- A.2 Level 2 purely probabilistic framework -- Appendix B: Possibility-probability transformation -- Reference -- Index. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910828287203321 |
|
Aven Terje
|
||
| Chichester, West Sussex : , : Wiley, , 2014 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||