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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia
| Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (117 p.) |
| Collana |
Regional Economic Outlook
World economic and financial surveys |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting - Middle East
Economic forecasting - Asia, Central Investments: Energy Exports and Imports Inflation Labor Macroeconomics Energy: General Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Price Level Deflation Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search Remittances Investment & securities Labour income economics International economics Energy industries & utilities Oil Unemployment Oil prices Fuel prices Commodities Balance of payments Petroleum industry and trade International finance Expenditures, Public Food prices |
| ISBN |
1-4639-6060-3
1-4639-9865-1 1-283-53715-X 9786613849601 1-4639-3764-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Contents; Acknowledgments; Assumptions and Conventions; Country and Regional Groupings; World Economic Outlook; MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AFRICA, AFGHANISTAN, AND PAKISTAN; MENAP Highlights; (omitted); Principaux points; 1. MENAP Oil Exporters: Benefiting from High Oil Prices amid Growing Risks; Gradual Recovery Continues; Figures; 1.1 On the Back of High Oil Prices, the Recovery Continues; 1.2 Strong Fluctuations in Oil Sector GDP, Non-Oil Remains Steady; Boxes; 1.1 Libyan Revolution: Economic Impact and Challenges Ahead; 1.2 Sudan and South Sudan: Beyond the Breakup
Fiscal Expansion Continues, with New Vigor in the Social Sector Table; 1.1 New Spending Measures Announced in 2011; Fiscal, External Balances Improve despite Higher Spending; 1.3 Non-Oil Fiscal Deficits Have Been Widening in Most Countries; 1.4 Most Oil Exporters Have Ramped Up Spending; Financial Conditions Point to Increased Regional, Global Risk; 1.5 Despite Higher Spending, Fiscal Balances Improve in Most Countries; 1.6 Current Account Balances Improve Further; 1.7 Sovereign Risk Levels Still Elevated; Banks Gain Strength, but Credit Recovery Remains Subdued 1.8 GCC Countries: Spillover Coefficient from Financial Distress in Other MENA Countries 1.9 Stock Market Indices Still Not Back to Pre-Lehman Levels; Inflationary Pressures Modest amid High Commodity Prices; Echoes of 2008, but with Key Differences in Risk Tolerance; 1.10 Financial Stability Improving, but Vulnerabilities Still Present; 1.11 GCC Credit Growth Is Still Mostly Subdued ... Although Deposits Are Picking Up; 1.12 Some Inflationary Pressures in the Oil Exporters ... But Inflation Still Subdued in the GCC; 1.13 Fiscal Break-Even Oil Prices Have Been Creeping Upward 1.14 International Issuance of Bonds, Loans, and Equity Designing Fiscal Policy for the Long Haul; Monetary Policy for Stability and Growth; 1.3 Labor Markets in the GCC; Structural Reforms Should Continue; 1.15 High Loan Concentration in MENA; Annex 1.1. Medium-Term Outlook on the Production of Oil and Natural Gas; 2. MENAP Oil Importers: Meeting Social Needs, Restoring Economic Confidence; Sharp Downturn to Last through 2012; 2.1 Real GDP Growth Stalls in 2011; 2.2 Private and Public Investment Have Declined 2.1 Mitigating the Impact of High Energy Prices: Oil Importers as Commodity Exporters Inflation Remains Stable as Food and Fuel Subsidies Rise; External Balances Are Worsening; 2.3 Real GDP Growth Forecasts Revised Downward; 2.4 Inflationary Pressures Muted; 2.5 Real Policy Interest Rates Near Zero; 2.2 Global Linkages and Regional Spillovers from the Slowdown in Europe; 2.6 Oil Import Bills Rising; Financial Markets Have Taken a Hit; 2.7 MENAP Oil Importers Tourism Activity; 2.8 International Capital Market Issuance; 2.9 Stock Market Indices Lower; 2.10 Sovereign Bond Spreads Higher Spending Escalates with Universal Subsidies Rising Sharply |
| Altri titoli varianti | Middle East and Central Asia |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910779290003321 |
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia
| Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Middle East and Central Asia |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (117 p.) |
| Collana |
Regional Economic Outlook
World economic and financial surveys |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting - Middle East
Economic forecasting - Asia, Central Investments: Energy Exports and Imports Inflation Labor Macroeconomics Energy: General Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Price Level Deflation Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search Remittances Investment & securities Labour income economics International economics Energy industries & utilities Oil Unemployment Oil prices Fuel prices Commodities Balance of payments Petroleum industry and trade International finance Expenditures, Public Food prices |
| ISBN |
1-4639-6060-3
1-4639-9865-1 1-283-53715-X 9786613849601 1-4639-3764-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Contents; Acknowledgments; Assumptions and Conventions; Country and Regional Groupings; World Economic Outlook; MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AFRICA, AFGHANISTAN, AND PAKISTAN; MENAP Highlights; (omitted); Principaux points; 1. MENAP Oil Exporters: Benefiting from High Oil Prices amid Growing Risks; Gradual Recovery Continues; Figures; 1.1 On the Back of High Oil Prices, the Recovery Continues; 1.2 Strong Fluctuations in Oil Sector GDP, Non-Oil Remains Steady; Boxes; 1.1 Libyan Revolution: Economic Impact and Challenges Ahead; 1.2 Sudan and South Sudan: Beyond the Breakup
Fiscal Expansion Continues, with New Vigor in the Social Sector Table; 1.1 New Spending Measures Announced in 2011; Fiscal, External Balances Improve despite Higher Spending; 1.3 Non-Oil Fiscal Deficits Have Been Widening in Most Countries; 1.4 Most Oil Exporters Have Ramped Up Spending; Financial Conditions Point to Increased Regional, Global Risk; 1.5 Despite Higher Spending, Fiscal Balances Improve in Most Countries; 1.6 Current Account Balances Improve Further; 1.7 Sovereign Risk Levels Still Elevated; Banks Gain Strength, but Credit Recovery Remains Subdued 1.8 GCC Countries: Spillover Coefficient from Financial Distress in Other MENA Countries 1.9 Stock Market Indices Still Not Back to Pre-Lehman Levels; Inflationary Pressures Modest amid High Commodity Prices; Echoes of 2008, but with Key Differences in Risk Tolerance; 1.10 Financial Stability Improving, but Vulnerabilities Still Present; 1.11 GCC Credit Growth Is Still Mostly Subdued ... Although Deposits Are Picking Up; 1.12 Some Inflationary Pressures in the Oil Exporters ... But Inflation Still Subdued in the GCC; 1.13 Fiscal Break-Even Oil Prices Have Been Creeping Upward 1.14 International Issuance of Bonds, Loans, and Equity Designing Fiscal Policy for the Long Haul; Monetary Policy for Stability and Growth; 1.3 Labor Markets in the GCC; Structural Reforms Should Continue; 1.15 High Loan Concentration in MENA; Annex 1.1. Medium-Term Outlook on the Production of Oil and Natural Gas; 2. MENAP Oil Importers: Meeting Social Needs, Restoring Economic Confidence; Sharp Downturn to Last through 2012; 2.1 Real GDP Growth Stalls in 2011; 2.2 Private and Public Investment Have Declined 2.1 Mitigating the Impact of High Energy Prices: Oil Importers as Commodity Exporters Inflation Remains Stable as Food and Fuel Subsidies Rise; External Balances Are Worsening; 2.3 Real GDP Growth Forecasts Revised Downward; 2.4 Inflationary Pressures Muted; 2.5 Real Policy Interest Rates Near Zero; 2.2 Global Linkages and Regional Spillovers from the Slowdown in Europe; 2.6 Oil Import Bills Rising; Financial Markets Have Taken a Hit; 2.7 MENAP Oil Importers Tourism Activity; 2.8 International Capital Market Issuance; 2.9 Stock Market Indices Lower; 2.10 Sovereign Bond Spreads Higher Spending Escalates with Universal Subsidies Rising Sharply |
| Altri titoli varianti | Middle East and Central Asia |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910819867503321 |
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Saudi Arabia : : Selected Issues
| Saudi Arabia : : Selected Issues |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (86 pages) : illustrations (color) |
| Collana | IMF Staff Country Reports |
| Soggetto topico |
Monetary policy - Saudi Arabia
Banks and Banking Investments: Energy Inflation Labor Macroeconomics Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Banks Depository Institutions Micro Finance Institutions Mortgages Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy Demand and Supply of Labor: General Price Level Deflation Electric Utilities Labour income economics Investment & securities Finance Public finance & taxation Energy prices Oil prices Fuel prices Labor markets Electricity Commodities Labor market Economic policy Electric utilities Employment Economic theory |
| ISBN |
1-5135-2256-6
1-5135-2520-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910796417603321 |
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Saudi Arabia : : Selected Issues
| Saudi Arabia : : Selected Issues |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (86 pages) : illustrations (color) |
| Collana | IMF Staff Country Reports |
| Soggetto topico |
Monetary policy - Saudi Arabia
Banks and Banking Investments: Energy Inflation Labor Macroeconomics Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Banks Depository Institutions Micro Finance Institutions Mortgages Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy Demand and Supply of Labor: General Price Level Deflation Electric Utilities Labour income economics Investment & securities Finance Public finance & taxation Energy prices Oil prices Fuel prices Labor markets Electricity Commodities Labor market Economic policy Electric utilities Employment Economic theory |
| ISBN |
1-5135-5955-9
1-5135-2256-6 1-5135-2520-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover -- CONTENTS -- ASSESSING THE IMPORTANCE OF OIL AND INTEREST RATE SPILLOVERS FOR SAUDI ARABIA -- A. What Does History Tell us About the Impact of Oil Price Declines and Interest Rate Increases on the Saudi Economy? -- B. Econometric Analysis of the Oil and Interest Rate Links in the Saudi Economy -- C. Model Simulations of the Impact of Lower Oil Prices on the Saudi Economy -- D. Conclusions and Policy Implications -- References -- FIGURES -- 1. Oil Price and Saudi Public Debt, 1993-2014 -- 2. Saudi Policy Rates & -- Fed Funds Target Rate, 1992-2015 -- 3. Oil Revenue Declines During the Three Historical Episodes -- 4. Economic and Financial Developments Around the 1982-86 Decline in Oil Prices -- 5. Economic and Financial Developments Around the 1998-99 Decline in Oil Prices -- 6. Economic and Financial Developments Around the 2008-09 Decline in Oil Prices -- 7. Oil Price and Interest Rates, 1975-2015 -- 8. Economic and Financial Developments Around the 1988-89 Tightening of U.S. Monetary Policy -- 9. Economic and Financial Developments Around the 1994-95 Tightening of U.S. Monetary Policy -- 10. Impact of Oil Prices on Real and Financial Variables -- 11. Impact of Fed Funds Rate on Real and Financial Variables -- 12. Macro-Financial Feedback Loops in Saudi Arabia -- 13. Impact of Lower Oil Prices in Saudi Arabia-Results from G20MOD -- TABLE -- 1. Dependence on Oil, 2005-15 -- ANNEX -- I. A Summary of the IMF's G20MOD Module of FSGM -- ASSESSING THE RESILIENCE OF SAUDI BANKS TO WEAKER ECONOMIC CONDITIONS -- A. Background -- B. Bank balance sheet quality under weaker economic conditions -- References -- BOX -- 1. The Resilience of Saudi Banks to Deposit Withdrawals -- FIGURES -- 1. Key Economic Indicators in Saudi Arabia, 1995-2014 -- 2. NPL Ratio and its Key Determinants: Historical and Scenario I.
3. NPL Ratio and its Key Determinants: Historical and Scenarios I-III -- TABLES -- 1. Determinants of Bank NPLs in Saudi Arabia -- 2. Effects of Economic Scenarios on the Banking Sector -- COUNTERCYCLICAL MACROPRUDENTIAL POLICIES IN SAUDI ARABIA -- A. Introduction -- B. Oil Prices Drive Real and Financial Cycles -- C. Countercyclical Macroprudential Policies in Saudi Arabia -- D. Countercyclical Macroprudential Policies-International Experience -- E. Policy Recommendations and Conclusions -- References -- BOXES -- 1. Countercyclical Capital and Provisioning Ratios in Saudi Arabia -- 2. Financial Soundness Indicators in Commodity Exporting Countries -- FIGURES -- 1. Transmission of Oil Price Shock: Results from a VAR Analysis -- 2. Oil, Real, and Financial Cycles -- 3. Financial Soundness Indicators, 2000-14 -- ANNEXES -- I. SAMA Policy Toolkit for the Banking and Insurance Sectors -- II. Countercyclical Use of Macroprudential Tools, 2013 -- III. Issues in the Implementation of Macroprudential Policies -- ENERGY PRICE REFORM IN SAUDI ARABIA -- A. Calculating Cost and Impact of Low Energy Prices -- B. Current Energy Initiatives in Saudi Arabia -- C. Cross Country Experience with Energy Price Reform -- D. Macroeconomic Impact of Energy Price Reform -- E. Conclusions/Key Takeaways for Saudi Arabia -- References -- BOXES -- 1. The Electricity Sector in Saudi Arabia -- 2. Automatic Pricing Mechanism -- FIGURES -- 1. Implicit Cost Estimates for Gasoline -- 2. Implications of Low Energy Prices -- 3. Co2 Emission Shares and Intensity, 2010 -- 4. Share of Benefits from Low Energy Prices to the Bottom 40 Percent of the Population -- 5. Saudi Arabia: Government Expenditure and Implicit Fuel Cost -- 6. Event Study: Impact on Domestic Price Inflation from Energy Price Reforms -- 7. Energy Intensity by Country, 2000 and 2010 -- TABLES. 1. Retail Prices of Gasoline and Diesel -- 2. Implied Energy Cost for Saudi Arabia in 2014 -- 3. Saudi Arabia: Trends in Oil Consumption and Exports -- 4. Energy Price Reform in the GCC -- MACROECONOMIC IMPLICATIONS OF LABOR REFORMS IN SAUDI ARABIA -- A. Introduction -- B. Background: The Employment-Growth Paradox -- C. Recent Labor Market Reforms and Their Initial Impact -- D. Potential Macroeconomic Implications of Labor Reforms -- E. Fiscal Implications -- F. Impact on Wages, Inflation and Real Exchange Rate -- G. Productivity and growth -- H. Policy Recommendations and Conclusions -- References -- BOX -- 1. Recent Labor Initiatives -- FIGURES -- 1. Saudi Arabia: Total Population by Age, 1980 and 2015 -- 2. Employment of Saudi Nationals -- 3. Labor Market Segmentation -- 4. Public Spending on Education, 2004-14 -- 5. Labor Market Response to Recent Initiatives -- 6. Decomposition of Growth in Labor Market Entrants -- 7. Unemployment and Government Wage Bill in 2020 -- 8. Employment and Wages of Nationals in the Private Sector -- 9. Impulse Response of Inflation -- 10. Labor Productivity, 2000-13 -- 11. Labor Productivity in Saudi Arabia, 1980-2014. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910808603503321 |
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2015 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Weathering the Storm So Far : : The Impact of the 2003–05 Oil Shock on Low-Income Countries / / Helaway Tadesse, Mark Lewis, Jörg Zeuner, James John, Luzmaria Monasi, Paolo Dudine
| Weathering the Storm So Far : : The Impact of the 2003–05 Oil Shock on Low-Income Countries / / Helaway Tadesse, Mark Lewis, Jörg Zeuner, James John, Luzmaria Monasi, Paolo Dudine |
| Autore | Tadesse Helaway |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (33 p.) |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
LewisMark
ZeunerJörg JohnJames MonasiLuzmaria DudinePaolo |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Balance of payments - Developing countries
Petroleum industry and trade - Economic aspects - Developing countries Petroleum products - Prices Investments: Energy Exports and Imports Macroeconomics Energy: General Energy: Demand and Supply Prices Trade: General Current Account Adjustment Short-term Capital Movements Investment & securities International economics Oil Oil prices Imports Fuel prices Capital account Petroleum industry and trade Balance of payments |
| ISBN |
1-4623-7906-0
1-4527-8243-1 1-283-51810-4 1-4519-8620-3 9786613830555 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | ""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE GLOBAL AND HISTORICAL CONTEXT""; ""III. Balance of Payments Impact""; ""IV. FISCAL IMPACT""; ""V. LOOKING FORWARD POSSIBLE VULNERABILITIES""; ""VI. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR DEMAND FOR IMF RESOURCES""; ""APPENDIX I COMPARISON TO OIL SHOCKS OF THE 1970's""; ""APPENDIX II ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS"" |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788695203321 |
Tadesse Helaway
|
||
| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2006 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Soggetto topico
- Energy: Demand and Supply (25)
-
Fuel prices
(25)
- Macroeconomics (25)
- Prices (25)
- Deflation (22)