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Decadal variation of the number of El Niño onsets and El Niño-related months and estimating the likelihood of El Niño onset in a warming world [[electronic resource] /] / Robert M. Wilson
| Decadal variation of the number of El Niño onsets and El Niño-related months and estimating the likelihood of El Niño onset in a warming world [[electronic resource] /] / Robert M. Wilson |
| Autore | Wilson Robert M |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | [Huntsville], Ala. : , : National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Marshall Space Flight Center, , [2009] |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (vi, 13 pages) : illustrations |
| Collana | NASA/TP |
| Soggetto topico |
El Nino
Climate change Forecasting Hurricanes Tropical storms Cyclones Periodic variations |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910700143403321 |
Wilson Robert M
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| [Huntsville], Ala. : , : National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Marshall Space Flight Center, , [2009] | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource]] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles W. Chase, Jr
| Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource]] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles W. Chase, Jr |
| Autore | Chase Charles |
| Edizione | [2nd ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, N.J., : Wiley, c2013 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (386 p.) |
| Disciplina | 330.01/12 |
| Collana | Wiley & SAS Business Series |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting
Business forecasting Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-118-73557-9
1-118-69186-5 1-118-73564-1 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Demand-Driven Forecasting; Contents; Foreword; Preface; Acknowledgments; About the Author; Chapter 1 Demystifying Forecasting: Myths versus Reality; DATA COLLECTION, STORAGE, AND PROCESSING REALITY; ART-OF-FORECASTING MYTH; END-CAP DISPLAY DILEMMA; REALITY OF JUDGMENTAL OVERRIDES; OVEN CLEANER CONNECTION; MORE IS NOT NECESSARILY BETTER; REALITY OF UNCONSTRAINED FORECASTS, CONSTRAINED FORECASTS, AND PLANS; NORTHEAST REGIONAL SALES COMPOSITE FORECAST; HOLD-AND-ROLL MYTH; THE PLAN THAT WAS NOT GOOD ENOUGH; PACKAGE TO ORDER VERSUS MAKE TO ORDER; "DO YOU WANT FRIES WITH THAT?"; SUMMARY; NOTES
Chapter 2 What Is Demand-Driven Forecasting?TRANSITIONING FROM TRADITIONAL DEMAND FORECASTING; WHAT'S WRONG WITH THE DEMAND-GENERATION PICTURE?; FUNDAMENTAL FLAW WITH TRADITIONAL DEMAND GENERATION; RELYING SOLELY ON A SUPPLY-DRIVEN STRATEGY IS NOT THE SOLUTION; WHAT IS DEMAND-DRIVEN FORECASTING?; WHAT IS DEMAND SENSING AND SHAPING?; CHANGING THE DEMAND MANAGEMENT PROCESS IS ESSENTIAL; COMMUNICATION IS KEY; MEASURING DEMAND MANAGEMENT SUCCESS; BENEFITS OF A DEMAND-DRIVEN FORECASTING PROCESS; KEY STEPS TO IMPROVE THE DEMAND MANAGEMENT PROCESS WHY HAVEN'T COMPANIES EMBRACED THE CONCEPT OF DEMAND-DRIVEN?Key Points; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 3 Overview of Forecasting Methods; UNDERLYING METHODOLOGY; DIFFERENT CATEGORIES OF METHODS; HOW PREDICTABLE IS THE FUTURE?; SOME CAUSES OF FORECAST ERROR; SEGMENTING YOUR PRODUCTS TO CHOOSE THE APPROPRIATE FORECASTING METHOD; New Products Quadrant; Niche Brands Quadrant; Growth Brands Quadrant; Harvest Brands Quadrant; SUMMARY; NOTE; Chapter 4 Measuring Forecast Performance; "WE OVERACHIEVED OUR FORECAST, SO LET'S PARTY!"; PURPOSES FOR MEASURING FORECASTING PERFORMANCE STANDARD STATISTICAL ERROR TERMSSPECIFIC MEASURES OF FORECAST ERROR; OUT-OF-SAMPLE MEASUREMENT; FORECAST VALUE ADDED; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 5 Quantitative Forecasting Methods Using Time Series Data; UNDERSTANDING THE MODEL-FITTING PROCESS; INTRODUCTION TO QUANTITATIVE TIME SERIES METHODS; QUANTITATIVE TIME SERIES METHODS; MOVING AVERAGING; EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING; SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING; HOLT'S TWO-PARAMETER METHOD; HOLT'S-WINTERS' METHOD; WINTERS' ADDITIVE SEASONALITY; Multiplicative versus Additive Seasonality; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 6 Regression Analysis; REGRESSION METHODS SIMPLE REGRESSIONCORRELATION COEFFICIENT; COEFFICIENT OF DETERMINATION; MULTIPLE REGRESSION; DATA VISUALIZATION USING SCATTER PLOTS AND LINE GRAPHS; CORRELATION MATRIX; MULTICOLLINEARITY; ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE; F-TEST; ADJUSTED R2; PARAMETER COEFFICIENTS; t-TEST; P-VALUES; VARIANCE INFLATION FACTOR; DURBIN-WATSON STATISTIC; INTERVENTION VARIABLES (OR DUMMY VARIABLES); REGRESSION MODEL RESULTS; KEY ACTIVITIES IN BUILDING A MULTIPLE REGRESSION MODEL; CAUTIONS ABOUT REGRESSION MODELS; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 7 ARIMA Models; PHASE 1: IDENTIFYING THE TENTATIVE MODEL; Stationarity Analysis of the Autocorrelation Plots |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910139044003321 |
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Chase Charles
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| Hoboken, N.J., : Wiley, c2013 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Demand-driven forecasting : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles W. Chase, Jr
| Demand-driven forecasting : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles W. Chase, Jr |
| Autore | Chase Charles |
| Edizione | [2nd ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, N.J., : Wiley, c2013 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (386 p.) |
| Disciplina | 330.01/12 |
| Collana | Wiley & SAS Business Series |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting
Business forecasting Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-118-73557-9
1-118-69186-5 1-118-73564-1 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Demand-Driven Forecasting; Contents; Foreword; Preface; Acknowledgments; About the Author; Chapter 1 Demystifying Forecasting: Myths versus Reality; DATA COLLECTION, STORAGE, AND PROCESSING REALITY; ART-OF-FORECASTING MYTH; END-CAP DISPLAY DILEMMA; REALITY OF JUDGMENTAL OVERRIDES; OVEN CLEANER CONNECTION; MORE IS NOT NECESSARILY BETTER; REALITY OF UNCONSTRAINED FORECASTS, CONSTRAINED FORECASTS, AND PLANS; NORTHEAST REGIONAL SALES COMPOSITE FORECAST; HOLD-AND-ROLL MYTH; THE PLAN THAT WAS NOT GOOD ENOUGH; PACKAGE TO ORDER VERSUS MAKE TO ORDER; "DO YOU WANT FRIES WITH THAT?"; SUMMARY; NOTES
Chapter 2 What Is Demand-Driven Forecasting?TRANSITIONING FROM TRADITIONAL DEMAND FORECASTING; WHAT'S WRONG WITH THE DEMAND-GENERATION PICTURE?; FUNDAMENTAL FLAW WITH TRADITIONAL DEMAND GENERATION; RELYING SOLELY ON A SUPPLY-DRIVEN STRATEGY IS NOT THE SOLUTION; WHAT IS DEMAND-DRIVEN FORECASTING?; WHAT IS DEMAND SENSING AND SHAPING?; CHANGING THE DEMAND MANAGEMENT PROCESS IS ESSENTIAL; COMMUNICATION IS KEY; MEASURING DEMAND MANAGEMENT SUCCESS; BENEFITS OF A DEMAND-DRIVEN FORECASTING PROCESS; KEY STEPS TO IMPROVE THE DEMAND MANAGEMENT PROCESS WHY HAVEN'T COMPANIES EMBRACED THE CONCEPT OF DEMAND-DRIVEN?Key Points; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 3 Overview of Forecasting Methods; UNDERLYING METHODOLOGY; DIFFERENT CATEGORIES OF METHODS; HOW PREDICTABLE IS THE FUTURE?; SOME CAUSES OF FORECAST ERROR; SEGMENTING YOUR PRODUCTS TO CHOOSE THE APPROPRIATE FORECASTING METHOD; New Products Quadrant; Niche Brands Quadrant; Growth Brands Quadrant; Harvest Brands Quadrant; SUMMARY; NOTE; Chapter 4 Measuring Forecast Performance; "WE OVERACHIEVED OUR FORECAST, SO LET'S PARTY!"; PURPOSES FOR MEASURING FORECASTING PERFORMANCE STANDARD STATISTICAL ERROR TERMSSPECIFIC MEASURES OF FORECAST ERROR; OUT-OF-SAMPLE MEASUREMENT; FORECAST VALUE ADDED; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 5 Quantitative Forecasting Methods Using Time Series Data; UNDERSTANDING THE MODEL-FITTING PROCESS; INTRODUCTION TO QUANTITATIVE TIME SERIES METHODS; QUANTITATIVE TIME SERIES METHODS; MOVING AVERAGING; EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING; SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING; HOLT'S TWO-PARAMETER METHOD; HOLT'S-WINTERS' METHOD; WINTERS' ADDITIVE SEASONALITY; Multiplicative versus Additive Seasonality; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 6 Regression Analysis; REGRESSION METHODS SIMPLE REGRESSIONCORRELATION COEFFICIENT; COEFFICIENT OF DETERMINATION; MULTIPLE REGRESSION; DATA VISUALIZATION USING SCATTER PLOTS AND LINE GRAPHS; CORRELATION MATRIX; MULTICOLLINEARITY; ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE; F-TEST; ADJUSTED R2; PARAMETER COEFFICIENTS; t-TEST; P-VALUES; VARIANCE INFLATION FACTOR; DURBIN-WATSON STATISTIC; INTERVENTION VARIABLES (OR DUMMY VARIABLES); REGRESSION MODEL RESULTS; KEY ACTIVITIES IN BUILDING A MULTIPLE REGRESSION MODEL; CAUTIONS ABOUT REGRESSION MODELS; SUMMARY; NOTES; Chapter 7 ARIMA Models; PHASE 1: IDENTIFYING THE TENTATIVE MODEL; Stationarity Analysis of the Autocorrelation Plots |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910815808903321 |
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Chase Charles
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| Hoboken, N.J., : Wiley, c2013 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource] ] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles Chase
| Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource] ] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles Chase |
| Autore | Chase Charles |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, N.J., : John Wiley & Sons, 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (291 p.) |
| Disciplina | 658.40355 |
| Collana | Wiley & SAS Business series |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting
Business forecasting Forecasting |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-119-20361-9
1-282-36930-X 9786612369308 0-470-53099-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Demystifying forecasting : myths versus reality -- What is demand-driven forecasting? -- Overview of forecasting methods -- Measuring forecast performance -- Quantitative forecasting methods using time series data -- Quantitative forecasting methods using causal data -- Weighted combined forecasting methods -- Sensing, shaping, and linking demand to supply : a case study using MTCA -- Strategic value assessment : assessing the readiness of your demand forecasting process. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910139791903321 |
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Chase Charles
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||
| Hoboken, N.J., : John Wiley & Sons, 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource] ] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles Chase
| Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource] ] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles Chase |
| Autore | Chase Charles |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, N.J., : John Wiley & Sons, 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (291 p.) |
| Disciplina | 658.40355 |
| Collana | Wiley & SAS Business series |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting
Business forecasting Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-119-20361-9
1-282-36930-X 9786612369308 0-470-53099-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Demystifying forecasting : myths versus reality -- What is demand-driven forecasting? -- Overview of forecasting methods -- Measuring forecast performance -- Quantitative forecasting methods using time series data -- Quantitative forecasting methods using causal data -- Weighted combined forecasting methods -- Sensing, shaping, and linking demand to supply : a case study using MTCA -- Strategic value assessment : assessing the readiness of your demand forecasting process. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910830497903321 |
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Chase Charles
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||
| Hoboken, N.J., : John Wiley & Sons, 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource] ] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles Chase
| Demand-driven forecasting [[electronic resource] ] : a structured approach to forecasting / / Charles Chase |
| Autore | Chase Charles |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Hoboken, N.J., : John Wiley & Sons, 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (291 p.) |
| Disciplina | 658.40355 |
| Collana | Wiley & SAS Business series |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting
Business forecasting Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-119-20361-9
1-282-36930-X 9786612369308 0-470-53099-5 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Demystifying forecasting : myths versus reality -- What is demand-driven forecasting? -- Overview of forecasting methods -- Measuring forecast performance -- Quantitative forecasting methods using time series data -- Quantitative forecasting methods using causal data -- Weighted combined forecasting methods -- Sensing, shaping, and linking demand to supply : a case study using MTCA -- Strategic value assessment : assessing the readiness of your demand forecasting process. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910877077203321 |
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Chase Charles
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| Hoboken, N.J., : John Wiley & Sons, 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Developing a Structured Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Support Inflation-Forecast Targeting (IFT) / / Douglas Laxton, Alasdair Scott, David Rose
| Developing a Structured Forecasting and Policy Analysis System to Support Inflation-Forecast Targeting (IFT) / / Douglas Laxton, Alasdair Scott, David Rose |
| Autore | Laxton Douglas |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 65 p. : ill |
| Altri autori (Persone) |
ScottAlasdair
RoseDavid |
| Collana | IMF Working Papers |
| Soggetto topico |
Economic forecasting
Inflation targeting Inflation Macroeconomics Public Finance Forecasting Labor Economics: General General Aggregative Models: General Price Level Deflation Forecasting and Other Model Applications Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue: General Labour income economics Economic Forecasting Public finance & taxation Labor National accounts Communications in revenue administration Labor economics National income Prices Revenue |
| ISBN |
1-4623-1440-6
9786612842863 1-282-84286-2 1-4518-7212-7 1-4519-9534-2 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910788338403321 |
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Laxton Douglas
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| Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Drought prediction for socio-cultural stability project / / Christa-Peters Lidard [and ten others]
| Drought prediction for socio-cultural stability project / / Christa-Peters Lidard [and ten others] |
| Autore | Peters-Lidard Christa Dianne <1969-> |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Greenbelt, MD, : National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Goddard Space Flight Center, April 2014 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (viii, 47 pages) : color illustrations |
| Collana | NASA T/M |
| Soggetto topico |
Drought
Forecasting GRACE mission Precipitation (meteorology) Prediction analysis techniques |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910707195203321 |
|
Peters-Lidard Christa Dianne <1969->
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| Greenbelt, MD, : National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Goddard Space Flight Center, April 2014 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Dual-doppler feasibility study [[electronic resource] /] / Lisa L. Huddleston
| Dual-doppler feasibility study [[electronic resource] /] / Lisa L. Huddleston |
| Autore | Huddleston Lisa L |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Kennedy Space Center, FL : , : National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Kennedy Space Center, , [2012] |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (24 pages) : illustrations (some color) |
| Collana | NASA/TM |
| Soggetto topico |
Doppler radar
Forecasting Meteorology Position (location) Radar data Wind direction Wind velocity Radar networks Weather forecasting Wind (meteorology) |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910702003103321 |
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Huddleston Lisa L
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| Kennedy Space Center, FL : , : National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Kennedy Space Center, , [2012] | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The ecotechnic future [[electronic resource] ] : envisioning a post-peak world / / John Michael Greer
| The ecotechnic future [[electronic resource] ] : envisioning a post-peak world / / John Michael Greer |
| Autore | Greer John Michael |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Gabriola Island, BC, : New Society Publishers, c2009 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (xv, 271 pages) |
| Disciplina |
338.927
901 |
| Soggetto topico |
Human ecology
Forecasting Ecology Social change |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-282-46555-4
1-55092-439-7 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Front Cover; Advance Praise; Title Page; Rights Page; Contents; Introduction; Part One: Orientations; Chapter 1: Beyond the Limits; Chapter 2: The Way of Succession; Chapter 3: A Short History of the Future; Chapter 4: Toward the Ecotechnic Age; Part Two: Resources; Chapter 5: Preparations; Chapter 6: Food; Chapter 7: Home; Chapter 8: Work; Chapter 9: Energy; Chapter 10: Community; Chapter 11: Culture; Chapter 12: Science; Part Three: Possibilities; Chapter 13: The Ecotechnic Promise; Afterword; Notes; Bibliography; Index; About the Author |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910456973203321 |
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Greer John Michael
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| Gabriola Island, BC, : New Society Publishers, c2009 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
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Soggetto topico
-
Forecasting
(155)
- Economic forecasting (32)
- Economic Forecasting (17)
- Forecasting and Other Model Applications (17)
- Prices (17)