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The politics and science of prevision : governing and probing the future / / edited by Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, and Myriam Dunn Cavelty
| The politics and science of prevision : governing and probing the future / / edited by Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, and Myriam Dunn Cavelty |
| Autore | Wenger Andreas |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Taylor & Francis, 2020 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource |
| Disciplina | 320.6 |
| Collana | CSS studies in security and international relations |
| Soggetto topico |
Policy sciences
Forecasting Human security - Forecasting POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Freedom & Security / International Security POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General POLITICAL SCIENCE / Public Affairs & Administration |
| Soggetto non controllato |
bio-weapons
climate change epistemology forecasting governance health care healthcare nuclear weapons policy-making prevision |
| ISBN |
1-00-302242-1
1-000-08836-7 1-003-02242-1 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Part 1. Introduction -- Governing and probing the future : the politics and science of prevision / Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty -- Part 2. Academic perspectives on future-oriented policy-making -- Imagined worlds : the politics of future-making in the 21st century / Sheila Jasanoff -- How to know the future -- and the past (and how not) : a pragmatist perspective on foresight and hindsight / Gunther Hellmann -- Future thinking and cognitive distortions : key questions that guide forecasting processes / Michael C. Horowitz -- Thinking historically : a guide for policy / Francis J. Gavin -- From predicting to forecasting : uncertainties, scenarios, and their (un-)intended side effects / Myriam Dunn Cavelty
Part 3. Empirical perspectives across policy fields -- Uncertainty and precariousness at the policy-science interface : three cases of climate-driven adaptation / Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk -- The anticipative medicalization of life : governing future risk and uncertainty in (global) health / Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health / Ursula Jasper -- Crisis, what crisis? Uncertainty, risk, and financial markets / Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson -- Imagining future biothreats : the role of popular culture / Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer -- Forecasting civil war and political violence / Corinne Bara -- Predicting nuclear weapons proliferation / Jonas Schneider"We do that once per day : cyclical futures and institutional ponderousness in predictive policing / Matthias Leese Part 4. Conclusion -- The politics and science of the future : assembling future knowledge and integrating it into public policy / Politics and Science of the Futurre: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy andGovernanceWenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jaspe |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910765838703321 |
Wenger Andreas
|
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| Taylor & Francis, 2020 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
The politics and science of prevision : governing and probing the future / / edited by Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, and Myriam Dunn Cavelty
| The politics and science of prevision : governing and probing the future / / edited by Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, and Myriam Dunn Cavelty |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | London ; ; New York : , : Taylor & Francis, , [2020] |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (260 pages) |
| Disciplina | 320.6 |
| Collana | CSS studies in security and international relations |
| Soggetto topico | Forecasting |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | Part 1. Introduction -- Governing and probing the future : the politics and science of prevision / Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty -- Part 2. Academic perspectives on future-oriented policy-making -- Imagined worlds : the politics of future-making in the 21st century / Sheila Jasanoff -- How to know the future-- and the past (and how not) : a pragmatist perspective on foresight and hindsight / Gunther Hellmann -- Future thinking and cognitive distortions : key questions that guide forecasting processes / Michael C. Horowitz -- Thinking historically : a guide for policy / Francis J. Gavin -- From predicting to forecasting : uncertainties, scenarios, and their (un-)intended side effects / Myriam Dunn Cavelty -- Part 3. Empirical perspectives across policy fields -- Uncertainty and precariousness at the policy-science interface : three cases of climate-driven adaptation / Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk -- The anticipative medicalization of life : governing future risk and uncertainty in (global) health / Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health / Ursula Jasper -- -- Crisis, what crisis? Uncertainty, risk, and financial markets / Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson -- Imagining future biothreats : the role of popular culture / Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer -- Forecasting civil war and political violence / Corinne Bara -- Predicting nuclear weapons proliferation / Jonas Schneider"We do that once per day : cyclical futures and institutional ponderousness in predictive policing / Matthias Leese Part 4. Conclusion -- The politics and science of the future : assembling future knowledge and integrating it into public policy / Politics and Science of the Futurre: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy andGovernanceWenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jaspe. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910686493003321 |
| London ; ; New York : , : Taylor & Francis, , [2020] | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Prediction markets : theory and applications / / edited by Leighton Vaughan Williams
| Prediction markets : theory and applications / / edited by Leighton Vaughan Williams |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (566 p.) |
| Disciplina | 303.49 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | Vaughan WilliamsLeighton |
| Collana | Routledge international studies in money and banking |
| Soggetto topico |
Business forecasting
Economic forecasting Forecasting |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-283-46075-0
9786613460752 1-136-71569-X 0-203-81552-1 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Title; Copyright; Contents; Notes on contributors; 1. Introduction; 2. Modeling idea markets: Between beauty contests and prediction markets; 3. How prediction markets can save event studies; 4. Mechanisms for prediction markets; 5. Information markets for decision-making: Performance and feasibility; 6. Using prediction markets in new product development; 7. Prediction market accuracy for business forecasting; 8. Price biases and contract design: Lessons from Tradesports; 9. The predictive ability of financial markets
10. The ability of markets to predict conditional probabilities: Evidence from the US presidential campaign11. Prediction markets: A study on the Taiwan experience; 12. Uses of sports wagering-based prediction markets outside of the world of gambling; 13. Experimental prediction and pari-mutuel betting markets; 14. The economic analysis of sports betting by expert gamblers and insiders: A survey; 15. Who can beat the odds?: The case of football betting reviewed; 16. The prediction market for the Australian Football League; 17. Do experts know more than the crowd?: A case study; Index |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910461308403321 |
| Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Prediction markets : theory and applications / / edited by Leighton Vaughan Williams
| Prediction markets : theory and applications / / edited by Leighton Vaughan Williams |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (566 p.) |
| Disciplina | 303.49 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | Vaughan WilliamsLeighton |
| Collana | Routledge international studies in money and banking |
| Soggetto topico |
Business forecasting
Economic forecasting Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-136-71568-1
1-283-46075-0 9786613460752 1-136-71569-X 0-203-81552-1 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Title; Copyright; Contents; Notes on contributors; 1. Introduction; 2. Modeling idea markets: Between beauty contests and prediction markets; 3. How prediction markets can save event studies; 4. Mechanisms for prediction markets; 5. Information markets for decision-making: Performance and feasibility; 6. Using prediction markets in new product development; 7. Prediction market accuracy for business forecasting; 8. Price biases and contract design: Lessons from Tradesports; 9. The predictive ability of financial markets
10. The ability of markets to predict conditional probabilities: Evidence from the US presidential campaign11. Prediction markets: A study on the Taiwan experience; 12. Uses of sports wagering-based prediction markets outside of the world of gambling; 13. Experimental prediction and pari-mutuel betting markets; 14. The economic analysis of sports betting by expert gamblers and insiders: A survey; 15. Who can beat the odds?: The case of football betting reviewed; 16. The prediction market for the Australian Football League; 17. Do experts know more than the crowd?: A case study; Index |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910790472603321 |
| Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Prediction markets : theory and applications / / edited by Leighton Vaughan Williams
| Prediction markets : theory and applications / / edited by Leighton Vaughan Williams |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2011 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (566 p.) |
| Disciplina | 303.49 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | Vaughan WilliamsLeighton |
| Collana | Routledge international studies in money and banking |
| Soggetto topico |
Business forecasting
Economic forecasting Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-136-71568-1
1-283-46075-0 9786613460752 1-136-71569-X 0-203-81552-1 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto |
Cover; Title; Copyright; Contents; Notes on contributors; 1. Introduction; 2. Modeling idea markets: Between beauty contests and prediction markets; 3. How prediction markets can save event studies; 4. Mechanisms for prediction markets; 5. Information markets for decision-making: Performance and feasibility; 6. Using prediction markets in new product development; 7. Prediction market accuracy for business forecasting; 8. Price biases and contract design: Lessons from Tradesports; 9. The predictive ability of financial markets
10. The ability of markets to predict conditional probabilities: Evidence from the US presidential campaign11. Prediction markets: A study on the Taiwan experience; 12. Uses of sports wagering-based prediction markets outside of the world of gambling; 13. Experimental prediction and pari-mutuel betting markets; 14. The economic analysis of sports betting by expert gamblers and insiders: A survey; 15. Who can beat the odds?: The case of football betting reviewed; 16. The prediction market for the Australian Football League; 17. Do experts know more than the crowd?: A case study; Index |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910821487103321 |
| Abingdon, Oxon : , : Routledge, , 2011 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Predictocracy [[electronic resource] ] : market mechanisms for public and private decision making / / Michael Abramowicz
| Predictocracy [[electronic resource] ] : market mechanisms for public and private decision making / / Michael Abramowicz |
| Autore | Abramowicz Michael |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | New Haven, : Yale University Press, c2007 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (1 online resource (xviii, 346 p.) ) : ill |
| Disciplina | 658.4/0355 |
| Soggetto topico |
Business forecasting
Economic forecasting Decision making Forecasting |
| Soggetto genere / forma | Electronic books. |
| ISBN |
1-282-08857-2
9786612088575 0-300-14495-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | The media -- Policy analysts -- Businesses -- Committees -- Regulatory bodies -- Administrative agencies -- Public corporations -- Courts -- Legislative bodies -- Predictocracy. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910455160803321 |
|
Abramowicz Michael
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||
| New Haven, : Yale University Press, c2007 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Predictocracy [[electronic resource] ] : market mechanisms for public and private decision making / / Michael Abramowicz
| Predictocracy [[electronic resource] ] : market mechanisms for public and private decision making / / Michael Abramowicz |
| Autore | Abramowicz Michael |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | New Haven, : Yale University Press, c2007 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (1 online resource (xviii, 346 p.) ) : ill |
| Disciplina | 658.4/0355 |
| Soggetto topico |
Business forecasting
Economic forecasting Decision making Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-282-08857-2
9786612088575 0-300-14495-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | The media -- Policy analysts -- Businesses -- Committees -- Regulatory bodies -- Administrative agencies -- Public corporations -- Courts -- Legislative bodies -- Predictocracy. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910777957803321 |
|
Abramowicz Michael
|
||
| New Haven, : Yale University Press, c2007 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Predictocracy [[electronic resource] ] : market mechanisms for public and private decision making / / Michael Abramowicz
| Predictocracy [[electronic resource] ] : market mechanisms for public and private decision making / / Michael Abramowicz |
| Autore | Abramowicz Michael |
| Edizione | [1st ed.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | New Haven, : Yale University Press, c2007 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (1 online resource (xviii, 346 p.) ) : ill |
| Disciplina | 658.4/0355 |
| Soggetto topico |
Business forecasting
Economic forecasting Decision making Forecasting |
| ISBN |
1-282-08857-2
9786612088575 0-300-14495-4 |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Nota di contenuto | The media -- Policy analysts -- Businesses -- Committees -- Regulatory bodies -- Administrative agencies -- Public corporations -- Courts -- Legislative bodies -- Predictocracy. |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910823431803321 |
|
Abramowicz Michael
|
||
| New Haven, : Yale University Press, c2007 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Probabilistic method for estimating future growth of oil and gas reserves [[electronic resource] /] / by Robert A. Crovelli and James W. Schmoker
| Probabilistic method for estimating future growth of oil and gas reserves [[electronic resource] /] / by Robert A. Crovelli and James W. Schmoker |
| Autore | Crovelli Robert A |
| Edizione | [Version 1.0.] |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | Denver, Colo. : , : U.S. Dept. of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, , 2001 |
| Altri autori (Persone) | SchmokerJ. W |
| Collana |
Geologic, engineering, and assessment studies of reserve growth
U.S. Geological Survey bulletin |
| Soggetto topico |
Forecasting
Natural gas reserves - Forecasting Petroleum reserves - Forecasting Probabilities |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910691360503321 |
|
Crovelli Robert A
|
||
| Denver, Colo. : , : U.S. Dept. of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, , 2001 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Proceedings of the 18th Workshop on Mobility in the Evolving Internet Architecture
| Proceedings of the 18th Workshop on Mobility in the Evolving Internet Architecture |
| Pubbl/distr/stampa | New York, NY, United States, : Association for Computing Machinery, 2023 |
| Descrizione fisica | 1 online resource (41 pages) |
| Collana | ACM Conferences |
| Soggetto topico |
Computer science
Programmable networks Generative and developmental approaches Forecasting |
| Formato | Materiale a stampa |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione | eng |
| Altri titoli varianti | MobiArch '23 |
| Record Nr. | UNINA-9910746496303321 |
| New York, NY, United States, : Association for Computing Machinery, 2023 | ||
| Materiale a stampa | ||
| Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II | ||
| ||
Soggetto topico
-
Forecasting
(163)
- Economic forecasting (40)
- Economic Forecasting (25)
- Forecasting and Other Model Applications (25)
- Prices (25)