Macroeconomic forecasting : a sociological appraisal / / Robert Evans

• Autore: Evans Robert <1968, >
• Pubblicazione: London ; ; New York : , : Routledge, , 1999
• Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (254 p.)
• Disciplina: 339/.01/12
• Soggetto topico: Economic forecasting; Macroeconomics - Econometric models
• Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
• Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references (p. 214-223) and index.
• Nota di contenuto: Book Cover; Title; Contents; List of figures; List of tables; List of equations; List of models; Acknowledgements; Who knows what tomorrow brings? Brief introductions to the sociology of scientific knowledge and to economic forecasting; Cherished beliefs and t-statistics: how economic models are estimated; Extrapolations and expertise: how economic forecasts are made; Soothsaying or science? Choosing between economic models; Different models: economic forecasts in February 1993; Different futures: controversies and disputes in July 1993 ; Difficult choices: policy recommendations in October 1993Economic models, economic policy and science studies; Appendix A: equations used in the econometric model; Notes; Bibliography; Interviews; Index
• Sommario/riassunto: Drawing on interviews with the UK government's Panel of Independent Forecasters, the author shows how economic models, forecasts and policy analysis depend crucially upon the judgements of economists.
• Titolo autorizzato: Macroeconomic forecasting
• ISBN: 1-280-33230-1; 1-134-62346-1; 0-203-25509-7; 0-203-02720-5
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Record Nr.: 9910659136803321
• Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
• Serie: Routledge studies in the modern world economy.