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The Anatomy of Banking Crises / / Rupa Duttagupta, Paul Cashin



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Autore: Duttagupta Rupa Visualizza persona
Titolo: The Anatomy of Banking Crises / / Rupa Duttagupta, Paul Cashin Visualizza cluster
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : , : International Monetary Fund, , 2008
Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (39 p.)
Disciplina: 332.1
Soggetto topico: Banks and banking
Financial crises
Bank management
Foreign exchange
Dollar, American
Banks and Banking
Financial Risk Management
Foreign Exchange
Investments: General
Financial Crises
Investment
Capital
Intangible Capital
Capacity
Banks
Depository Institutions
Micro Finance Institutions
Mortgages
Economic & financial crises & disasters
Currency
Macroeconomics
Banking
Banking crises
Depreciation
Commercial banks
Saving and investment
Soggetto geografico: Argentina
Altri autori: CashinPaul  
Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references.
Nota di contenuto: Contents; I. Introduction; II. Literature Survey; III. Binary Classification Tree Methodology; IV. Empirical Analysis; A. Stylized Facts; B. BCT Results; V. Robustness Checks; A. Alternative Indicators; B. Out of Sample Prediction Performance; C. Consistency of BCT Results with Traditional Logit Analysis; VI. Conclusion; References; Appendix I. Data Sources; Figures; 1. Banking Crises by Year, 1990-2005; 2. Binary Classification Tree, Baseline Model, 1990-2005; 3. Binary Classification Tree, Alternative Model, 1990-2005
4. Binary Classification Tree Model on 1990-2000, and Out of Sample Prediction for 20015. Binary Classification Tree Model on 1990-2001, and Out of Sample Prediction for 2002; 6. Binary Classification Tree Model on 1990-2002, and Out of Sample Prediction for 2003; 7. Out of Sample Prediction for the Caribbean Countries, 1990-2005; Tables; 1. Banking Crisis Episodes During 1990-2005; 2. Average of Variables Used in the Empirical Analysis, 1990-2005; 3. Variable Importance Under the BCT Baseline and "Severe Crises" Specifications; 4. Median Values of Key Indicators at Terminal Notes
5. Logit Analysis of Determinants of Banking Crisis, 1990-2005
Sommario/riassunto: This paper uses a Binary Classification Tree (BCT) model to analyze banking crises in 50 emerging market and developing countries during 1990-2005. The BCT identifies key indicators and their threshold values at which vulnerability to banking crisis increases. The three conditions identified as crisis-prone-(i) very high inflation, (ii) highly dollarized bank deposits combined with nominal depreciation or low liquidity, and (iii) low bank profitability-highlight that foreign currency risk, poor financial soundness, and macroeconomic instability are key vulnerabilities triggering banking crises. The main results survive under alternative robustness checks, confirming the importance of the BCT approach for monitoring banking system vulnerabilities.
Titolo autorizzato: The Anatomy of Banking Crises  Visualizza cluster
ISBN: 1-4623-1342-6
1-4527-2789-9
9786612840487
1-4518-6954-1
1-282-84048-7
Formato: Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
Record Nr.: 9910788239303321
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
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Serie: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; ; No. 2008/093