Monetary policy and the lost decade : lessons from Japan / / prepared by Daniel Leigh

• Autore: Leigh Daniel
• Pubblicazione: [Washington, D.C.], : International Monetary Fund, Research Dept., 2009
• Edizione: 1st ed.
• Descrizione fisica: 33 p. : ill
• Disciplina: 339.5;339.530952
• Soggetto topico: Monetary policy - Japan - Econometric models; Deflation (Finance) - Japan - Econometric models; Anti-inflationary policies - Japan - Econometric models
• Soggetto geografico: Japan Economic conditions 1989-; Japan Economic policy 1989-
• Note generali: "October 2009."
• Nota di contenuto: Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Empirical Analysis -- A. Model Specification -- B. Model Estimation -- III. Counterfactual Analysis -- IV. Conclusion -- Tables -- 1. Estimation Results -- 2. Actual and Counterfactual Inflation and Output Loss -- Figures -- 1. The Japanese Economy Since 1990 -- 2. Estimation Results: Implicit Inflation Target -- 3. Estimation Results: Natural Rate of Interest -- 4. Estimated Policy-Rate Target and Actual Policy Rate -- 5. Autocorrelation Functions -- 6. Demand and Supply Shocks: 1990-2005 -- 7. Actual and Counterfactual Macroeconomic Dynamics: -- 8. Actual and Counterfactual Macroeconomic Dynamics: -- 9. Actual and Counterfactual Macroeconomic Dynamics: -- 10. Actual and Counterfactual Macroeconomic Dynamics: -- Appendix -- References.
• Sommario/riassunto: This paper investigates how monetary policy can help ward off a protracted deflationary slump when policy rates are near the zero bound by studying the experience of Japan during the "Lost Decade" which followed the asset-price bubble collapse in the early 1990s. Estimation results based on a structural model suggest that the Bank of Japan's interest-rate policy fits a conventional forward-looking reaction function with an inflation target of about 1 percent. The disappointing economic performance thus seems primarily due to a series of adverse economic shocks rather than an extraordinary policy error. In addition, counterfactual policy simulations based on the estimated structural model suggest that simply raising the inflation target would not have yielded a lasting improvement in performance. However, a price-targeting rule or a policy rule that combined a higher inflation target with a more aggressive response to output would have achieved superior stabilization results.
• Titolo autorizzato: Monetary Policy and the Lost Decade
• ISBN: 1-4623-8401-3; 1-4527-8234-2; 1-282-84433-4; 9786612844331; 1-4518-7379-4
• Formato: Materiale a stampa
• Livello bibliografico: Monografia
• Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
• Record Nr.: 9910812447703321
• Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
• Serie: IMF working paper ; ; WP/09/232.