Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / / Moritz Pickl
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| Autore: |
Pickl Moritz
|
| Titolo: |
Perspectives on warm conveyor belts : sensitivities to ensemble configuration and the role for forecast error / / Moritz Pickl
|
| Pubblicazione: | Karlsruhe : , : KIT Scientific Publishing, , 2023 |
| Descrizione fisica: | 1 online resource (xiii, 214 pages) |
| Disciplina: | 303.49 |
| Soggetto topico: | Forecasting - Methodology |
| Nota di contenuto: | Introduction -- 1 -- Background and Research Questions -- 5 -- Data and Methods -- 29 -- The impact of ensemble configuration on rapidly ascending air streams -- 55 -- Impacts through stochastic perturbations -- 105 -- The role of WCBs for forecast error growth -- 139 -- Conclusions -- 171 -- Appendix for Chapter3 -- 181 -- Appendix for Chapter4 -- 183 -- Appendix for Chapter5 -- 185 -- Appendix for Chapter6 -- 187 -- Bibliography -- 193 -- Acknowledgements -- 213 -- Copyright. |
| Sommario/riassunto: | Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth. |
| Titolo autorizzato: | Perspectives on warm conveyor belts |
| Formato: | Materiale a stampa  |
| Livello bibliografico | Monografia |
| Lingua di pubblicazione: | Inglese |
| Record Nr.: | 9910683396503321 |
| Lo trovi qui: | Univ. Federico II |
| Opac: | Controlla la disponibilità qui |