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Predicting suicide attacks : integrating spatial, temporal, and social features of terrorist attack targets / / Walter L. Perry [and seven others]



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Autore: Perry Walt L Visualizza persona
Titolo: Predicting suicide attacks : integrating spatial, temporal, and social features of terrorist attack targets / / Walter L. Perry [and seven others] Visualizza cluster
Pubblicazione: Santa Monica, Calif, : RAND, [2013]
Santa Monica, CA : , : RAND Corporation, , 2013
Descrizione fisica: 1 online resource (xxv, 85 pages) : illustrations (some color)
Disciplina: 363.325/12
Soggetto topico: Suicide bombings - Israel
Terrorism - Israel
Terrorists - Suicidal behavior - Israel
Persona (resp. second.): PerryWalt L.
Note generali: Description based upon print version of record.
Nota di bibliografia: Includes bibliographical references (p. 83-85).
Nota di contenuto: Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; CHAPTER ONE: Introduction and Overview; Background; About This Report; CHAPTER TWO: Quantitative Data and Methods; Quantitative Data; Socioeconomic Characteristics; Demographic Characteristics; Electoral Data; Proximity to Terrorist Safe Houses; Sociocultural Precipitants; Principal Component Analysis and Logistic Regression; Logistic Regression; Dimension Reduction; Classification and Regression Trees; Sociocultural Precipitants Analysis; Results of Quantitative Data Analysis
Principal Components Analysis Logistic Regression Models; Classification and Regression Trees; Sociocultural Precipitants; Summing Up; CHAPTER THREE: Qualitative Analysis; Methodology; Hypotheses Driving the Use of the Methodology; Assumptions in Using the Methodology; Restrictions; Timing; Results of Qualitative Data Analysis; Identification of Codes; Distribution of Codes; Retargeting of Previously Attacked Locations; Dispersion of Attacks over Time; Assessment of Transportation Targets; Comparison of Codes to a Subject-Matter Expert Hypothesis; CHAPTER FOUR: Conclusions and Recommendations
Conclusions from Quantitative Data Analysis Conclusions from Qualitative Data Analysis; Recommendations for Further Research; Regression Analyses and Classification; Sociocultural Precipitants; Transferability; Appendixes; A. Sociocultural Precipitant Database; B. Logistic Regression Output; About the Authors; Bibliography
Sommario/riassunto: As part of an exploration of ways to predict what determines the targets of suicide attacks, RAND conducted a proof-of-principle analysis of whether adding sociocultural, political, economic, and demographic factors would enhance the predictive ability of a methodology that focused on geospatial features. This test case focused on terrorist bombing incidents in Israel, but the findings indicate that the methodology merits further exploration.
Titolo autorizzato: Predicting suicide attacks  Visualizza cluster
ISBN: 0-8330-7803-8
Formato: Materiale a stampa
Livello bibliografico Monografia
Lingua di pubblicazione: Inglese
Record Nr.: 9910220101303321
Lo trovi qui: Univ. Federico II
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Serie: Rand Corporation monograph series.