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[null,"1.","Record Nr.",null,"UNINA9910789488003321"]
[null,null,"Titolo",null,"Knowing, when you don't know : : using microsimulation models to assess the poverty and distributional impacts of macroeconomic shocks / / edited by Ambar Narayan, Carolina Sanchez-Peramo"]
[null,null,"Pubbl/distr/stampa",null,"Washington, D.C. : , : World Bank, , c2011"]
[null,null,"ISBN",null,"1-283-49184-2"]
[{"$nulls":4},"9786613491848"]
[{"$nulls":4},"0-8213-8954-8"]
[null,null,"Descrizione fisica",null,"pages cm"]
[null,null,"Collana",null,"World Bank studies"]
[null,null,"Disciplina",null,"339.4/6015195"]
[null,null,"Soggetti",null,"Depressions"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Poverty"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Economics"]
[null,null,"Lingua di pubblicazione",null,"Inglese"]
[null,null,"Formato",null,"Materiale a stampa"]
[null,null,null,"Livello bibliografico","Monografia"]
[null,null,null,"Note generali","Description based upon print version of record."]
[null,null,null,"Nota di bibliografia","Includes bibliographical references."]
[null,null,"Nota di contenuto",null,"Contents; List of Contributors; Acknowledgments; Foreword; 1. Assessing the Poverty and Distributional Impacts of the Financial Crisis with Microsimulations: An Overview of Country Studies; Financial Crisis and Its Impact on Poverty; Evaluating the Impact of the Crisis; The Methodology to Estimate Impacts Ex Ante; How the Approach Works; Defining the \"Impact\": Two Types of Countries; Simulating the Impact of Policy Changes; Caveats to the Approach; Results from Micro-Macro Simulations for Four Countries; Results for Type I Countries; Results for Type II Countries"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Simulating the Impact of Policy ResponsesConclusion; 2. On Economy-Wide Shocks, Models and Politics; When Are Second-Round and Systemic Effects a First-Order Concern?; Implications; When Can Information Affect Government Behavior?; Conclusion and a Note on the World Bank; 3. The Distributional Consequences of the Economic and Financial Crisis of 2008-09: A Comment; Backdrop to the Issue of Distributional Consequences; Thinking about the Problem; The Guts of the U.S. Story; Some Basic Generalizations; The Current Crisis in Perspective; Results of Quick Post Crisis Surveys"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Takeaway Observations of Relevance for Policy4. Stress Testing for the Poverty Impacts of the Next Crisis; Introduction; The Need for a Social Protection Assessment Program (SPAP); An Overview of the Workshop "]
[{"$nulls":4},"Papers and Presentations; An Assessment, and What's Missing; Conclusion; References; Figures; Figure 1.1: Scheme of the modeling process; Figure 1.2: Impacts in Type I and Type II countries; Figure 1.3: Percent change in sectoral employment between benchmark and crisis (2010); Figure 1.4: Percent change in household income between benchmark and crisis scenarios (2010)"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Figure 1.5: Percent change in poverty/inequality indicators between crisis and benchmarkFigure 1.6: Percent losses in income for the general population (left) and the crisis-vulnerable (right); Figure 1.7: Percentage of poor and crisis-vulnerable households in rural areas; Figure 1.8: Percentage of households with low-skilled heads; Figure 1.9: Growth incidence curves: percent change in income (relative to the benchmark) due to crisis; Figure 1.10: Transitions across deciles of per capita income (percent of households in each decile)"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Figure 1.11: Macroeconomic projections for Mexico (2008-09 are actual observations 2010-11 are forecasts); Figure 1.12: Growth incidence curve for Mexico (2008-09); Figure 1.13: Transitions across deciles in Mexico; Figure 1.14: Growth incidence curves for Mexico (2010-11); Figure 1.15: Transitions across deciles for the period 2010-11; Figure 2.1: The welfare impact of food price changes in the 1997 Indonesian crisis across households; Figure 2.2: The pattern of change in deposits, by size and ownership of deposits, in the lead up to the Argentine financial crisis"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Figure 3.1: The top percentile (1%) of U.S. income (incomes above US368,000 in 2008)"]
[null,null,null,"Sommario/riassunto","Economists have long sought to predict how macroeconomic shocks willaffect individual welfare. Macroeconomic data and forecasts are easilyavailable when crises strike. But policy action requires not onlyunderstanding the magnitude of a macro shock, but also identifyingwhich households or individuals are being hurt by (or benefit from) thecrisis.A popular solution is to extrapolate the welfare impact of a shockfrom the historical response of income or consumption poverty tochanges in output, by estimating an 'elasticity' of poverty togrowth. Although this method provides an estimate for the agg"]
[null,"2.","Record Nr.",null,"UNINA9910968558503321"]
[null,null,"Autore",null,"Smith David <1954 April 3->"]
[null,null,"Titolo",null,"Growling tiger, roaring dragon / / David Smith"]
[null,null,"Pubbl/distr/stampa",null,"Vancouver, : Douglas & McIntyre, c2007"]
[null,null,"ISBN",null,"1-926685-68-7"]
[null,null,"Edizione",null,"[1st ed.]"]
[null,null,"Descrizione fisica",null,"1 online resource (272 p.)"]
[null,null,"Disciplina",null,"330.951/06"]
[null,null,"Soggetti",null,"Economic forecasting - China"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Economic forecasting - India"]
[{"$nulls":4},"Geopolitics"]
[{"$nulls":4},"International economic relations"]
[{"$nulls":4},"China Economic conditions 2000-"]
[{"$nulls":4},"India Economic conditions 21st century"]
[null,null,"Lingua di pubblicazione",null,"Inglese"]
[null,null,"Formato",null,"Materiale a stampa"]
[null,null,null,"Livello bibliografico","Monografia"]
[null,null,null,"Note generali","First published London : Profile Books, 2007 under title: The dragon and the elephant."]
[null,null,null,"Nota di bibliografia","Includes bibliographical references and index."]
[null,null,"Nota di contenuto",null,"Introduction: India, China and the new world order -- The return of history -- Enter the dragon -- India rising -- China roars, the world listens -- India's networked economy -- China versus India -- Ten ways China and India will (and won't) change the world."]
[null,null,null,"Sommario/riassunto","The ascension of China and India will be the outstanding development of the 21st century, raising fundamental questions about both the structure of the world economy and the balance of global geopolitical power. How aggressive a superpower will China be? And what about India, whose vast population and economic prospects appear to guarantee prosperity? Economist David Smith analyzes in depth the rapid eastward shift in global power to Beijing and Delhi Ã\u0082Â\u0097 and its enormous ramifications for the west."]