LEADER 04742nam 2200817 a 450 001 996320197603316 005 20230725032249.0 010 $a1-283-26808-6 010 $a9786613268082 010 $a0-8330-5247-0 035 $a(CKB)2670000000114027 035 $a(EBL)768125 035 $a(OCoLC)749265003 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000537122 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11324359 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000537122 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10553839 035 $a(PQKB)10420648 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL768125 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10497680 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC768125 035 $a(EXLCZ)992670000000114027 100 $a20110524d2011 uh 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurcn||||||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aGlobal demographic change and its implications for military power /$fMartin C. Libicki, Howard J. Shatz, Julie E. Taylor 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRAND$d2011 215 $a1 online resource (xxviii, 141 pages) $ccolor illustrations 225 1 $aRand Corporation monograph series 300 $a"Project Air Force." 300 $a"MG-1091-AF"--P. [4] of cover. 311 1 $a0-8330-5177-6 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aCover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; Chapter One: Introduction; Organization; Chapter Two: Numbers; Fertility Rates; Survival Rates; Migration; Projections; Youth Bulges to Come?; Projected Muslim Populations; Conclusions; Chapter Three: Long-Term Trends in National GDP; Forecasts of GDP per Working-Age Population; Uncertainties in the Relationship Between Aging and GDP; Conclusions; Chapter Four: The Economic Burden of Aging Populations; Policies Plus People Equals Burden; A Profile of the Aging World 327 $aThe Advanced Countries The Developing Countries; Medical Expenditures; Ambiguities in the Relationship Between Aging and Medical Expenditures; Counter evidence That Costs May Rise with Aging; Summing Up Aging and Medical Costs; Pension Expenditures and the Fiscal Burden; Implications for the Fiscal Burden, or the Lack Thereof; Conclusions; Chapter Five: The Influence of Demographics on the Causes of War; Chapter Six: The Impact of Demographic Trends on Military Power Projection; Manpower, Money, and Technical Expertise; Manpower; National Income; Technical Expertise; Other 327 $aThe Contribution of Demographics to Various Military Missions Nuclear Coercion; Commons Control; Surveillance; Conventional Combat; Raids and Seizures; Counterinsurgency; Military Operations Other Than War; Implications; Chapter Seven: Implications; Findings; Major Themes; The Once and Future Indispensable Nation; The Shrinking Zone of War; Lessons for the Air Force; Appendixes; Appendix A:Delayed Maternity and Fertility Rates; Appendix B:Trade-Offs Between Fertility Rates and Migration Rates; Bibliography 330 $aWhat is the impact of demographics on the prospective production of military power and the causes of war? This monograph analyzes this issue by projecting working-age populations through 2050; assessing the influence of demographics on manpower, national income and expenditures, and human capital; and examining how changes in these factors may affect the ability of states to carry out military missions. 410 0$aRand Corporation monograph series. 606 $aArmed Forces$xMobilization$xForecasting 606 $aBalance of power$xForecasting 606 $aMilitary policy$xForecasting 606 $aDemographic transition 606 $aManpower policy$zUnited States 606 $aPopulation aging$xEconomic aspects 606 $aSecurity, International$xEconomic aspects 606 $aWar$xForecasting 607 $aUnited States$xMilitary policy$xForecasting 607 $aUnited States$xPopulation$xForecasting 615 0$aArmed Forces$xMobilization$xForecasting. 615 0$aBalance of power$xForecasting. 615 0$aMilitary policy$xForecasting. 615 0$aDemographic transition. 615 0$aManpower policy 615 0$aPopulation aging$xEconomic aspects. 615 0$aSecurity, International$xEconomic aspects. 615 0$aWar$xForecasting. 676 $a355/.033073 700 $aLibicki$b Martin C$0877014 701 $aShatz$b Howard J$0935274 701 $aTaylor$b Julie E.$f1968-$0935275 712 02$aProject Air Force (U.S.) 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a996320197603316 996 $aGlobal demographic change and its implications for military power$92106447 997 $aUNISA