LEADER 02890oam 2200661I 450 001 996217316503316 005 20230422043201.0 010 $a1-280-33230-1 010 $a1-134-62346-1 010 $a0-203-25509-7 010 $a0-203-02720-5 024 7 $a10.4324/9780203027202 035 $a(CKB)1000000000004821 035 $a(EBL)169024 035 $a(OCoLC)264514847 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000079613 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11107814 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000079613 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10075394 035 $a(PQKB)10019721 035 $aebr10017523 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC169024 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL169024 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr10070760 035 $a(CaONFJC)MIL33230 035 $a(OCoLC)1000440271 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000004821 100 $a20180331d1999 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aMacroeconomic forecasting $ea sociological appraisal /$fRobert Evans 210 1$aLondon ;$aNew York :$cRoutledge,$d1999. 215 $a1 online resource (254 p.) 225 1 $aRoutledge studies in the modern world economy 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a1-138-86625-3 311 $a0-415-20694-4 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 214-223) and index. 327 $aBook Cover; Title; Contents; List of figures; List of tables; List of equations; List of models; Acknowledgements; Who knows what tomorrow brings? Brief introductions to the sociology of scientific knowledge and to economic forecasting; Cherished beliefs and t-statistics: how economic models are estimated; Extrapolations and expertise: how economic forecasts are made; Soothsaying or science? Choosing between economic models; Different models: economic forecasts in February 1993; Different futures: controversies and disputes in July 1993 327 $aDifficult choices: policy recommendations in October 1993Economic models, economic policy and science studies; Appendix A: equations used in the econometric model; Notes; Bibliography; Interviews; Index 330 $aDrawing on interviews with the UK government's Panel of Independent Forecasters, the author shows how economic models, forecasts and policy analysis depend crucially upon the judgements of economists. 410 0$aRoutledge studies in the modern world economy. 606 $aEconomic forecasting 606 $aMacroeconomics$xEconometric models 615 0$aEconomic forecasting. 615 0$aMacroeconomics$xEconometric models. 676 $a339/.01/12 700 $aEvans$b Robert$f1968,$0915492 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a996217316503316 996 $aMacroeconomic forecasting$92052194 997 $aUNISA