LEADER 02734nam 2200445 450 001 9910483414703321 005 20211028155408.0 010 $a981-336-416-5 024 7 $a10.1007/978-981-33-6416-5 035 $a(CKB)4100000011758601 035 $a(DE-He213)978-981-33-6416-5 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC6476937 035 $a(PPN)253857635 035 $a(EXLCZ)994100000011758601 100 $a20210330d2021 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aurnn#008mamaa 181 $ctxt$2rdacontent 182 $cc$2rdamedia 183 $acr$2rdacarrier 200 10$aCOVID-19 pandemic dynamics $emathematical simulations /$fIgor Nesteruk 205 $a1st ed. 2021. 210 1$aGateway East, Singapore :$cSpringer,$d[2021] 210 4$d©2021 215 $a1 online resource (XII, 172 p. 77 illus., 46 illus. in color.) 311 $a981-336-415-7 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $aIntroduction -- Data used for calculations, comparisons and verifications -- Classical SIR model and the exact solution of differential equations -- Results of SIR simulation for the pandemic dynamics in different countries and regions -- Procedures of the parameter identification for the waves of epidemics -- Conclusions. 330 $aThis book highlights the estimate of epidemic characteristics for different countries/regions in the world with the use of known SIR (susceptible-infected-removed) model for the dynamics of the epidemic, the known exact solution of the linear differential equations and statistical approach developed before. The COVID-19 pandemic is of great interest to researchers due to its high mortality and a negative impact to the world economy. Correct simulation of the pandemic dynamics needs complicated mathematical models and many efforts for unknown parameters identification. The simple method of detection of the new pandemic wave is proposed and SIR model generalized. The hidden periods, epidemic durations, final numbers of cases, the effective reproduction numbers and probabilities of meeting an infected person are presented for countries like USA, Germany, UK, the Republic of Korea, Italy, Spain, France, the Republic of Moldova, Ukraine, and for the world. The presented information is useful to regulate the quarantine activities and to predict the medical and economic consequences of different/future pandemics. . 606 $aCOVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- 615 0$aCOVID-19 Pandemic, 2020- 676 $a362.1962414 700 $aNesteruk$b Igor$01220945 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910483414703321 996 $aCOVID-19 pandemic dynamics$92830453 997 $aUNINA LEADER 01314nam0 22002891i 450 001 UON00417296 005 20231205104806.520 100 $a20130204f1969 |0itac50 ba 101 $ager$aGOT 102 $aDE 105 $a|||| 1|||| 200 1 $aSämtliche Werke$ehistorisch-kritische Ausgabe mit Einschluß des handschriftlichen Nachlasses$eZwölf Teile in sechs Bänden. 1.-2. / August Graf von Platen ; herausgegeben von Max Koch und Erich Petzet 210 $aHildesheim$aNew York$cGeorg Olms Verlag$d1969 215 $a211 p., [1] c. ripieg., [1] c. di tav.$d17 cm. Reprographischer Nachdruck der Ausgabe Leipzig [1910]. 606 $aPOESIA TEDESCA$xSec. 18-19.$3UONC042138$2FI 620 $aUS$dNew York$3UONL000050 620 $aDE$dHildesheim$3UONL000317 676 $a831.6$cPoesia tedesca. 1750-1832$v21 700 1$aPLATEN$bAugust : von$3UONV203067$0444534 702 1$aKOCH$bMax$3UONV167926 702 1$aPETZET$bErich$3UONV213092 801 $aIT$bSOL$c20240220$gRICA 899 $aSIBA - SISTEMA BIBLIOTECARIO DI ATENEO$2UONSI 912 $aUON00417296 950 $aSIBA - SISTEMA BIBLIOTECARIO DI ATENEO$dSI TED 22 I PLA 3 a $eSI ST 7077 5 3 a $sBuono 996 $aSämtliche Werke$9182717 997 $aUNIOR