LEADER 04595nam 2200613Ia 450 001 9911006888603321 005 20200520144314.0 010 $a1-281-91126-7 010 $a9786611911263 010 $a0-08-092345-3 035 $a(CKB)1000000000547763 035 $a(EBL)365642 035 $a(OCoLC)290980630 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000072839 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11969697 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000072839 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10102768 035 $a(PQKB)11512097 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC365642 035 $a(EXLCZ)991000000000547763 100 $a20080630d2008 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aQuantifying and controlling catastrophic risks /$fB. John Garrick ; contributors, Robert F. Christie ... [et al.] 210 $aAmsterdam ;$aBoston $cAcademic Press/Elsevier$dc2008 215 $a1 online resource (374 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 $a0-12-374601-9 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references and index.es. 327 $aFront Cover; Quantifying and Controlling Catastrophic Risks; Copyright Page; Dedication Page; About the Author; Acknowledgments; Foreword; Preface; Chapter 1: Societal Risks in Need of Understanding and Action; 1.1. The Target Risks; 1.2. The Quantitative Definition of Risk; 1.3. The Process of Quantitative Risk Assessment; 1.4. The Meaning of Quantification; 1.5. Form of the Results of a Quantitative Risk Assessment; References; Chapter 2: Analytical Foundations of Quantitative Risk Assessment; 2.1. Quantitative Definition of Risk; 2.2. The Scenario Approach to Quantitative Risk Assessment 327 $a2.4. Quantification of the ScenariosReferences; Chapter 3: Case Study 1: Risk of a Catastrophic Hurricane in New Orleans, LA; 3.1. Summary of the Risk Assessment of a Catastrophic Hurricane Impacting New Orleans, LA; References; Chapter 4: Case Study 2: Risk of Asteroids Impacting the Earth; 4.3. Future Action; 4.4. The Risk from an Asteroid Impacting New Orleans; References; Chapter 5: Case Study 3: Terrorist Attack on the National Electrical Grid; 5.1. Summary of Insights from the Scoping Analysis; References; Chapter 6: Case Study 4: Abrupt Climate Change 327 $aChapter 7: Examples of Risks Having the Potential for Catastrophic Consequences7.1. Nuclear War; 7.7. Species Destruction: Tropical Rainforests; 7.12. Super Earthquakes; 7.14. Nanotechnology; 7.15. Population Management; References; Chapter 8: The Rational Management of Catastrophic Risks; 8.1. Benefits of Quantitative Risk Assessment; 8.3. Comparing Quantitative Risks Using the Case Studies; 8.4. Observations from the Case Studies; 8.5. Insights from Comparing Risks; 8.6. Where Do We Go from Here?; Appendix A: Roots of Quantitative Risk Assessment with an Example 327 $aA.3. Steps That Have Evolved for Integrated Quantitative Risk AssessmentReferences; Appendix B: Supporting Evidence for the Case Study of the Hurricane Risk in New Orleans, LA; B.1. Hurricane Risk Assessment for the Period 1900-2004; Appendix C: Supporting Evidence for the Case Study on Asteroid Risk; C.1. Asteroid Risk Assessment for the 48 Contiguous States of the United States of America; C.2. Asteroid Risk Assessment for Metropolitan New Orleans, LA; References; Author Index; Subject Index 330 $aThe perception, assessment and management of risk are increasingly important core principles for determining the development of both policy and strategic responses to civil and environmental catastrophes. Whereas these principles were once confined to some areas of activity i.e. financial and insurance, they are now widely used in civil and environmental engineering. Comprehensive and readable, Civil and Environmental Risk: Mitigation and Control, provides readers with the mathematical tools and quantitative methods for determining the probability of a catastrophic event and mitigating and con 606 $aEmergency management 606 $aDisasters$xRisk assessment 606 $aRisk assessment 615 0$aEmergency management. 615 0$aDisasters$xRisk assessment. 615 0$aRisk assessment. 676 $a363.342 676 $a363.342 700 $aGarrick$b B. John$01824653 701 $aChristie$b Robert F$01824654 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9911006888603321 996 $aQuantifying and controlling catastrophic risks$94391869 997 $aUNINA