LEADER 04868oam 22011774 450 001 9910970501503321 005 20250426110045.0 010 $a9786613821751 010 $a9781462325597 010 $a1462325599 010 $a9781452751160 010 $a1452751161 010 $a9781282474222 010 $a1282474227 010 $a9781451908640 010 $a1451908644 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443213 035 $a(EBL)3014462 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000939943 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11570203 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000939943 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10946338 035 $a(PQKB)10610763 035 $a(OCoLC)694141130 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006068 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014462 035 $a(IMF)WPIEA2006068 035 $aWPIEA2006068 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443213 100 $a20020129d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 14$aThe Utilization-Adjusted Output Gap : $eIs the Russian Economy Overheating? /$fNienke Oomes, Oksana Dynnikova 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2006. 215 $a1 online resource (46 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"March 2006." 311 08$a9781451863284 311 08$a1451863284 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. THE NONACCELERATING INFLATION RATE OF FACTOR UTILIZATION""; ""III. FACTOR UTILIZATION IN RUSSIA""; ""A. Capacity Utilization""; ""B. Labor Utilization""; ""C. Estimating the Natural Rate""; ""IV. OUTPUT GAP ESTIMATES""; ""A. Trend Fitting and Statistical Filtering""; ""B. Production Function Approach""; ""V. CONCLUSIONS""; ""I. Characteristics and Methodology of Capacity Utilization Surveys""; ""II. Econometric NAICU Estimates""; ""III. Statistical Methods for Estimating the Output Gap""; ""References"" 330 3 $aThis paper estimates the output gap in Russia using a utilization-adjusted production function approach, which we argue is preferable to traditional output gap methods. The approach amounts to (1) using available surveys to estimate the "natural rates" of capacity and labor utilization above which inflation begins to accelerate; (2) estimating a production function with utilization-adjusted capital and labor inputs; and (3) defining potential output as the level of output obtained when both capital and labor are at their estimated natural rates. The results suggest that the output gap in Russia was negative between 1999 and 2003, but may have recently become positive, thus contributing to inflationary pressures. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2006/068 606 $aInflation (Finance)$zRussia$xEconometric models 606 $aInput-output analysis$zRussia$xEconometric models 606 $aPhillips curve$xEconometric models 606 $aCapacity utilization$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aEconomic theory$2imf 606 $aIncome economics$2imf 606 $aIndustrial capacity$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aLabor Economics Policies$2imf 606 $aLabor economics$2imf 606 $aLabor Economics: General$2imf 606 $aLabor policy$2imf 606 $aLabor$2imf 606 $aLabour$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics: Production$2imf 606 $aOutput gap$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aProduction and Operations Management$2imf 606 $aProduction$2imf 607 $aRussian Federation$2imf 615 0$aInflation (Finance)$xEconometric models. 615 0$aInput-output analysis$xEconometric models. 615 0$aPhillips curve$xEconometric models. 615 7$aCapacity utilization 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aEconomic theory 615 7$aIncome economics 615 7$aIndustrial capacity 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aLabor Economics Policies 615 7$aLabor economics 615 7$aLabor Economics: General 615 7$aLabor policy 615 7$aLabor 615 7$aLabour 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aMacroeconomics: Production 615 7$aOutput gap 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aProduction and Operations Management 615 7$aProduction 700 $aOomes$b Nienke$01816466 701 $aDynnikova$b Oksana$01816467 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bEuropean Dept. 712 02$aInternational Monetary Fund.$bPolicy Development and Review Dept. 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910970501503321 996 $aThe Utilization-Adjusted Output Gap$94372561 997 $aUNINA