LEADER 05451nam 22006734a 450 001 9910967815703321 005 20251116142357.0 010 $a0-8330-4328-5 010 $a0-585-24546-0 035 $a(CKB)111004368712810 035 $a(EBL)3031499 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000216762 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)12044338 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000216762 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10201652 035 $a(PQKB)11198457 035 $a(Au-PeEL)EBL3031499 035 $a(CaPaEBR)ebr2004616 035 $a(OCoLC)923689172 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3031499 035 $a(BIP)47666972 035 $a(EXLCZ)99111004368712810 100 $a19990209d1999 uy 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 03$aAn ounce of prevention, a pound of uncertainty $ethe cost-effectiveness of school-based drug prevention programs /$fJonathan P. Caulkins ... [et al.] 205 $a1st ed. 210 $aSanta Monica, CA $cRand$d1999 215 $a1 online resource (207 p.) 300 $aDescription based upon print version of record. 311 08$a0-8330-2560-0 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 185-194). 327 $a""PREFACE""; ""FIGURES""; ""TABLES""; ""SUMMARY""; ""EFFECT PER PROGRAM PARTICIPANT""; ""Proportion of Persons Who Would Have Ever Used Cocaine""; ""Lifetime Cocaine Consumption Per User (grams)""; ""Percentage Reduction in Cocaine Use Due to Prevention Program""; ""Discount Factor""; ""Social Multiplier""; ""Market Multiplier""; ""Causation/Correlation Ratio""; ""Scale-Up Factor""; ""Overall Effectiveness (grams per participant)""; ""COST-EFFECTIVENESS""; ""Program Cost (dollars per participant)""; ""Cost-Effectiveness (kilograms of cocaine consumption averted per million dollars spent)"" 327 $a""AGGREGATE EFFECTS AND OTHER BENEFITS""""CONCLUSION""; ""ACKNOWLEDGMENTS""; ""INTRODUCTION""; ""AN ANALYSIS OF COSTS AND EFFECTIVENESS""; ""BEYOND COST-EFFECTIVENESS""; ""AN ISSUE NOT YET EXAMINED""; ""OUR FOCUS""; ""EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""EFFECT ON COHORT MEMBERS PARTICIPATING IN PROGRAM""; ""Proportion of Cohort That Would Otherwise Use Cocaine""; ""Lifetime Consumption""; ""Program Effect""; ""Discount Factor""; ""Summary""; ""MULTIPLIERS""; ""Social Multiplier""; ""Market Multiplier""; ""QUALIFIERS""; ""INTEGRATING THE FACTORS""; ""Uncertainty"" 327 $a""Sources of Effect""""COST-EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""DEFINING PROGRAM COST""; ""ESTIMATING PROGRAM COST""; ""ESTIMATING COST-EFFECTIVENESS AND THE IMPLICATIONS OF UNCERTAINTY""; ""VARIATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF TIME""; ""OTHER BENEFITS""; ""ESTIMATING THE EFFECT ON USE OF DRUGS OTHER THAN COCAINE""; ""Simple Program Effectiveness""; ""Other Factors""; ""Comparison of Effects""; ""SOCIAL SAVINGS FROM REDUCED DRUG USE""; ""Cocaine""; ""Other Drugs""; ""BENEFITS UNRELATED TO REDUCED DRUG CONSUMPTION""; ""NATIONWIDE IMPLEMENTATION"" 327 $a""IMPLICATIONS FOR THE CURRENT COCAINE EPIDEMIC""""IMPLICATIONS FOR FUTURE EPIDEMICS""; ""IMPLICATIONS FOR THE LEGALIZATION DEBATE""; ""CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""MODEL PREVENTION PROGRAMS APPEAR TO BE COMPETITIVE WITH ENFORCEMENT""; ""GREAT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ABOUT PREVENTIONa???S COST- EFFECTIVENESS""; ""THE SOURCE OF BENEFITS IS NOT WHAT MIGHT BE EXPECTED""; ""DRUG USE PREVENTION HAS BENEFITS OTHER THAN REDUCED COCAINE USE""; ""A NATIONAL PROGRAM IS AFFORDABLE BUT WILL NOT END THE COCAINE EPIDEMIC""; ""DRUG PREVENTION SHOULD BE CONDUCTED BEFORE IT IS PERCEIVED NECESSARY"" 327 $a""PREVENTION CANNOT SUBSTITUTE FOR ENFORCEMENT IN A LEGALIZATION REGIME""""THE BOTTOM LINE""; ""ESTIMATING AVERAGE LIFETIME COCAINE CONSUMPTION""; ""HISTORICAL CONSUMPTION DIVIDED BY NUMBER OF USERS""; ""CONSUMPTION PROJECTED THROUGH A MODEL OVER AN INFINITE HORIZON""; ""CONSUMPTION PROJECTED THROUGH A MODEL OVER A FINITE HORIZON""; ""ADJUSTING THE HISTORICAL APPROACH FOR YEARS OF USE""; ""STEADY-STATE ESTIMATE""; ""SUMMARY""; ""PREVENTIONa???S EFFECTIVENESS AT REDUCING MARIJUANA INITIATION"" 327 $a""RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AGE OF MARIJUANA INITIATION AND LIFETIME CONSUMPTION OF COCAINE AND MARIJUANA"" 330 $aAmerica is spending billions of dollars on school-based drug prevention programmes. But how effective is prevention? How much does it cut drug use? This is an examination of the evidence from programmes, including Project ALERT and Life Skills in order to answer these questions. 606 $aYouth$xDrug use$zUnited States$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness 606 $aStudents$xDrug use$zUnited States$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness 606 $aCocaine abuse$zUnited States$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness 606 $aDrug abuse$xStudy and teaching$zUnited States$xCost effectiveness 615 0$aYouth$xDrug use$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness. 615 0$aStudents$xDrug use$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness. 615 0$aCocaine abuse$xPrevention$xCost effectiveness. 615 0$aDrug abuse$xStudy and teaching$xCost effectiveness. 676 $a362.29/17/0973 701 $aCaulkins$b Jonathan P$g(Jonathan Paul),$f1965-$0889404 801 0$bMiAaPQ 801 1$bMiAaPQ 801 2$bMiAaPQ 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910967815703321 996 $aAn ounce of prevention, a pound of uncertainty$94467712 997 $aUNINA