LEADER 04457oam 22011534 450 001 9910964633003321 005 20250426110644.0 010 $a9786613827364 010 $a9781462332656 010 $a146233265X 010 $a9781452711805 010 $a1452711801 010 $a9781283514910 010 $a1283514915 010 $a9781451909067 010 $a1451909063 035 $a(CKB)3360000000443664 035 $a(EBL)3014407 035 $a(SSID)ssj0000940828 035 $a(PQKBManifestationID)11598328 035 $a(PQKBTitleCode)TC0000940828 035 $a(PQKBWorkID)10955948 035 $a(PQKB)11727793 035 $a(OCoLC)698585693 035 $a(IMF)WPIEE2006112 035 $a(MiAaPQ)EBC3014407 035 $a(IMF)WPIEA2006112 035 $aWPIEA2006112 035 $a(EXLCZ)993360000000443664 100 $a20020129d2006 uf 0 101 0 $aeng 135 $aur|n|---||||| 181 $ctxt 182 $cc 183 $acr 200 10$aFiscal Policy and Interest Rates : $eHow Sustainable Is The ?New Economy?? /$fManmohan Kumar, David Hauner 205 $a1st ed. 210 1$aWashington, D.C. :$cInternational Monetary Fund,$d2006. 215 $a1 online resource (34 p.) 225 1 $aIMF Working Papers 300 $a"May 2006." 311 08$a9781451863727 311 08$a1451863721 320 $aIncludes bibliographical references. 327 $a""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. LOW GLOBAL INTEREST RATES: POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS""; ""III. A MODEL OF INTEREST RATE DETERMINATION""; ""IV. EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE""; ""A. Data and Methodology""; ""B. Empirical Results""; ""C. A New Economy of Interest Rates?""; ""V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS""; ""REFERENCES"" 330 3 $aThis paper explores the determinants of long-term government bond yields in the Group of Seven (G-7) economies and analyzes the factors that could explain the conundrum of very low rates in the face of a variety of adverse factors in recent years. In particular, the paper focuses on the deteriorating fiscal position in the G-7 economies and enquires which factors could have offset their impact on long-term interest rates, and how sustainable they are likely to be. A model of interest rate determination is elaborated and estimated for the G-7, with explicit emphasis on capital flows and public savings. The results suggest a high likelihood of a substantial impact of the weaker budgetary positions in the G-7 on global interest rates when the offsetting unprecedented capital flows slow down. 410 0$aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;$vNo. 2006/112 606 $aInterest rates 606 $aFiscal policy 606 $aBanks and Banking$2imf 606 $aDebt Management$2imf 606 $aDebt$2imf 606 $aDebts, Public$2imf 606 $aDeflation$2imf 606 $aFinance$2imf 606 $aFiscal Policy$2imf 606 $aFiscal policy$2imf 606 $aGovernment debt management$2imf 606 $aInflation$2imf 606 $aInterest rates$2imf 606 $aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects$2imf 606 $aLong term interest rates$2imf 606 $aMacroeconomics$2imf 606 $aPrice Level$2imf 606 $aPrices$2imf 606 $aPublic finance & taxation$2imf 606 $aPublic Finance$2imf 606 $aReal interest rates$2imf 606 $aSovereign Debt$2imf 607 $aUnited States$2imf 615 0$aInterest rates. 615 0$aFiscal policy. 615 7$aBanks and Banking 615 7$aDebt Management 615 7$aDebt 615 7$aDebts, Public 615 7$aDeflation 615 7$aFinance 615 7$aFiscal Policy 615 7$aFiscal policy 615 7$aGovernment debt management 615 7$aInflation 615 7$aInterest rates 615 7$aInterest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects 615 7$aLong term interest rates 615 7$aMacroeconomics 615 7$aPrice Level 615 7$aPrices 615 7$aPublic finance & taxation 615 7$aPublic Finance 615 7$aReal interest rates 615 7$aSovereign Debt 700 $aKumar$b Manmohan$01803826 701 $aHauner$b David$01815890 801 0$bDcWaIMF 906 $aBOOK 912 $a9910964633003321 996 $aFiscal Policy and Interest Rates$94371502 997 $aUNINA